The World of Tomorrow

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The World of Tomorrow

  1. 1. The world of Tomorrow
  2. 2. 40 years ago, we were 4 Billion. Today, we are 7 Billion human beings on Earth World population (in Billion) 7 +3 6 Billion 5 4 3 2 1973 2013 1 0 10,000 BC 8000 BC 6000 BC 4000 BC 2000 BC 0 1000 2013
  3. 3. In 40 years People living below the poverty line Life expectancy -60% +15years Average revenue per person x3 Illiteracy rate -50%
  4. 4. UNPRECEDENTED TECHNOLOGICAL REVOLUTIONS DISRUPTED PEOPLE’S LIFESTYLES Medical diagnosis MICRO PROCESSOR 1970 1971 NMR Mass market computer hardware & software Localization MICROCHIP 1974 Personal data and privacy 1978 GPS HIGH-SPEED TRAINS 1981 People transportation and train freight
  5. 5. HOMO-NUMERICUS IS ON ? Digital pictures mass creation and replication 1983 MOBILE PHONE WORLD WIDE WEB 1989 e-commerce, mass information storage and sharing 1992 DIGITAL CAMERA 2005 Ipod, Iphone, Itunes and IPad 2013
  6. 6. Predicting the future is impossible, but we are allowed to envision it.
  7. 7. 4 OVERARCHING TRENDS 1. 2. 3. 4. People’s emancipation Political and economic power redistribution Disrupted Water, Food, Demographics Energy: natural resources under strain
  8. 8. People are emancipating
  9. 9. …A FAST-PACED GROWTH OF THE MIDDLE-CLASS SEGMENT… 15% 40% 2013 2030
  10. 10. REDUCED POVERTY
  11. 11. Number of people living with less than 1.25$ of revenue per day worldwide REDUCED POVERTY 1 000 Million 2013 500 Million 2030
  12. 12. ACCESS TO EDUCATION
  13. 13. Average number of years of the academic cycle in North Africa and the Middle-East 8.7 years 7.1 ACCESS TO EDUCATION years 2013 2030
  14. 14. BETTER ACCESS TO HEALTHCARE
  15. 15. Transmissible diseases contribution to world mortality (AIDS, paludism, B hepatitis, etc.) BETTER ACCESS TO HEALTHCARE - 30% 2013 through 2030
  16. 16. …FASTER ADOPTION OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES Number of years needed for a technology to be adopted by 25% of the US population Internet Mobile phone Color television Radio 1870 Telephone Electricity 46 35 31 7 13 18 2013
  17. 17. Political and economic power is being redistributed
  18. 18. • In 2030, Asia will be bigger than Europe and the US in terms of: • GDP • Population • Military and defence expenditure • Investments in R&D
  19. 19. • China alone will be bigger than the US in economic terms before 2030 • India and Brasil will keep up with their current growth rates • Colombia, Indonesia, South Africa, Nigeria and Turkey will become key players of the world economy • The European, Japanese and Russian economies will stay on the decline
  20. 20. THE WORLD WILL BE MULTI-POLAR THE US HEGEMONY WILL COME TO AN END. AGILITY COOPERATION TRANSPARENCY
  21. 21. Demographic disruptions will shake up the way we live
  22. 22. In 2030: 8,4 Billion individuals will live on our planet:
  23. 23. A global aging of the population, especially in western countries (but not only)… GERMANY & JAPAN Year : 2013 Median age ≈ 45 y.o. EUROPE / KOREA / TAIWAN Year : 2013 Median age ≈ 38 y.o. 100+ 100+ 0 0
  24. 24. ….that will lead to a gradual impoverishment and to more migrations from these countries. GERMANY & JAPAN Year : 2030 Median age ≈ 50 y.o. EUROPE / KOREA / TAIWAN Year : 2030 Median age ≈ 45 y.o. 100+ 100+ 0 0
  25. 25. …URBANIZATION WILL NOT SLOW DOWN… 30% 1960 X2 IN 70 YEARS 60% 2030
  26. 26. 5 cities the size of London will be built on a yearly basis and maybe more
  27. 27. Natural resources are under strain
  28. 28. THE WORLD OF TOMORROW, ALSO IS… A WORLD OF THREATS
  29. 29. POLITICAL 1 2 3 Iran’s isolation Global military withdrawal of the US Cyberterrorism and use of weapons of mass destruction
  30. 30. PUBLIC HEALTH 1 Severe pandemic
  31. 31. ECONOMICAL 1 2 China’s collapse European Union and/or Eurozone’s collapse
  32. 32. CLIMATIC 1 2 Geomagnetic Uncontrollable solar storm global warming
  33. 33. THE WORLD OF TOMORROW

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