The World of Tomorrow
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The World of Tomorrow

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    The World of Tomorrow The World of Tomorrow Presentation Transcript

    • The world of Tomorrow
    • 40 years ago, we were 4 Billion. Today, we are 7 Billion human beings on Earth World population (in Billion) 7 +3 6 Billion 5 4 3 2 1973 2013 1 0 10,000 BC 8000 BC 6000 BC 4000 BC 2000 BC 0 1000 2013
    • In 40 years People living below the poverty line Life expectancy -60% +15years Average revenue per person x3 Illiteracy rate -50%
    • UNPRECEDENTED TECHNOLOGICAL REVOLUTIONS DISRUPTED PEOPLE’S LIFESTYLES Medical diagnosis MICRO PROCESSOR 1970 1971 NMR Mass market computer hardware & software Localization MICROCHIP 1974 Personal data and privacy 1978 GPS HIGH-SPEED TRAINS 1981 People transportation and train freight
    • HOMO-NUMERICUS IS ON ? Digital pictures mass creation and replication 1983 MOBILE PHONE WORLD WIDE WEB 1989 e-commerce, mass information storage and sharing 1992 DIGITAL CAMERA 2005 Ipod, Iphone, Itunes and IPad 2013
    • Predicting the future is impossible, but we are allowed to envision it.
    • 4 OVERARCHING TRENDS 1. 2. 3. 4. People’s emancipation Political and economic power redistribution Disrupted Water, Food, Demographics Energy: natural resources under strain
    • People are emancipating
    • …A FAST-PACED GROWTH OF THE MIDDLE-CLASS SEGMENT… 15% 40% 2013 2030
    • REDUCED POVERTY
    • Number of people living with less than 1.25$ of revenue per day worldwide REDUCED POVERTY 1 000 Million 2013 500 Million 2030
    • ACCESS TO EDUCATION
    • Average number of years of the academic cycle in North Africa and the Middle-East 8.7 years 7.1 ACCESS TO EDUCATION years 2013 2030
    • BETTER ACCESS TO HEALTHCARE
    • Transmissible diseases contribution to world mortality (AIDS, paludism, B hepatitis, etc.) BETTER ACCESS TO HEALTHCARE - 30% 2013 through 2030
    • …FASTER ADOPTION OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES Number of years needed for a technology to be adopted by 25% of the US population Internet Mobile phone Color television Radio 1870 Telephone Electricity 46 35 31 7 13 18 2013
    • Political and economic power is being redistributed
    • • In 2030, Asia will be bigger than Europe and the US in terms of: • GDP • Population • Military and defence expenditure • Investments in R&D
    • • China alone will be bigger than the US in economic terms before 2030 • India and Brasil will keep up with their current growth rates • Colombia, Indonesia, South Africa, Nigeria and Turkey will become key players of the world economy • The European, Japanese and Russian economies will stay on the decline
    • THE WORLD WILL BE MULTI-POLAR THE US HEGEMONY WILL COME TO AN END. AGILITY COOPERATION TRANSPARENCY
    • Demographic disruptions will shake up the way we live
    • In 2030: 8,4 Billion individuals will live on our planet:
    • A global aging of the population, especially in western countries (but not only)… GERMANY & JAPAN Year : 2013 Median age ≈ 45 y.o. EUROPE / KOREA / TAIWAN Year : 2013 Median age ≈ 38 y.o. 100+ 100+ 0 0
    • ….that will lead to a gradual impoverishment and to more migrations from these countries. GERMANY & JAPAN Year : 2030 Median age ≈ 50 y.o. EUROPE / KOREA / TAIWAN Year : 2030 Median age ≈ 45 y.o. 100+ 100+ 0 0
    • …URBANIZATION WILL NOT SLOW DOWN… 30% 1960 X2 IN 70 YEARS 60% 2030
    • 5 cities the size of London will be built on a yearly basis and maybe more
    • Natural resources are under strain
    • THE WORLD OF TOMORROW, ALSO IS… A WORLD OF THREATS
    • POLITICAL 1 2 3 Iran’s isolation Global military withdrawal of the US Cyberterrorism and use of weapons of mass destruction
    • PUBLIC HEALTH 1 Severe pandemic
    • ECONOMICAL 1 2 China’s collapse European Union and/or Eurozone’s collapse
    • CLIMATIC 1 2 Geomagnetic Uncontrollable solar storm global warming
    • THE WORLD OF TOMORROW