WPA's Weekly Political Brief

252 views

Published on

Published in: News & Politics
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
252
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
46
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
1
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

WPA's Weekly Political Brief

  1. 1. WPA’s Weekly Political Brief September 21, 2012 Page 1
  2. 2. WPA’s Weekly Political BriefAs part of our continuing effort to keep our clients and friends up-to-date on the political environmentas we head toward Election Day, 2012, we’ll be distributing these weekly data updates every Friday.In each update you can expect to find the following key indicators tracked: • Direction of the Country • Obama Job Approval • National Unemployment • Obama Approval on the Economy • Generic Congressional Ballot • National & per capita debt • Romney vs. ObamaIn addition, each week we’ll feature a few charts showing what we think is the most interesting andtimely new data from that week. This week we have: • Partisan differences in how Americans see economic news coverage. • The impact of recent attacks and protests in the Middle East on Obama’s Foreign Policy Approval. • American beliefs regarding free speech versus offending other nations. Page 2
  3. 3. Weekly Summary• There is a distinct partisan difference in how Americans have interpreted media coverage of the economy (pg. 9). o 60% of Republicans feel as though the coverage of the economy has been mostly bad, yet only 15% of Democrats feel the same.• President Obama has seen his foreign policy approval take a severe hit in the wake of the attacks and protests in the Middle East (pg. 12). o There has been an eleven point swing against President Obama from August to September as his approval rating fell five points while his disapproval rating rose six points. o More Americans feel as though Mitt Romney “scares terrorists” as a leader than President Obama.• Following the protests in the Middle East, nearly 75% of Americans believe protecting free speech is more important than offending other nations (pg. 13). Page 3
  4. 4. The number of American’s believing the nation is headed in the right direction moved up to 37% percent in September. Direction of the Country100%90% 77% 74%80%70% 66% 64% 63% 64% 66%64% 63% 62% 61% 62% 56%60% 47%50% 2010 Election 37%40% 31% 31% 30% 31% 31% 29% 27%29% 28%27% 30%30% 17% 19%20%10% 0% May-10 Apr-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Oct-11 Feb-12 Mar-12 Mar-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 May-12 Aug-12 Jan-10 Feb-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Jun-12 Jun-11 Aug-10 Sep-11 Jun-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Sep-12 Right Direction Wrong Track One Month Ago One Year Ago Right Direction 31% 19% Wrong Track 63% 75% Source: Real Clear Politics Page 4
  5. 5. President Obama’s approval rating is higher than his disapproval rating, but voters remain statistically evenly split about his performance. Obama Job Approval100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 49% 52% 51% 52% 51% 50% 48% 48% 49% 50% 49% 48% 49% 48% 48% 49% 50% 40% 46% 47%47% 48% 47% 46% 48% 48% 42% 44% 43% 44% 44% 46% 46% 47% 30% 20% 10% 0% Approve Disapprove One Week Ago One Month Ago Approve 47% 48% Disapprove 49% 49% Source: Real Clear Politics Page 5
  6. 6. The national debt rose by more than $19 billion in the past week. $16,043,603,124,617 U.S. National Debt $140,275 Debt Per Taxpayer$51,027 Debt Per Citizen Source: USDebtclock.org Page 6
  7. 7. Democrats currently hold a 1-point lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot. Generic Congressional Ballot100%90% Previous Election Day Generic Ballots 100% R+7 seats D+37 seats D+29 seats R+69 seats80% 49% 47% 54% 53% 52% 45% 46% 43% 50%70% 0%60% 2004 2006 2008 201050% 46% 45% 46% 43% 44% 42% 43% 44% 41% 43% 43% 44% 45%40% 45% 44% 43% 41% 42% 43% 42% 43% 41% 41% 42% 44% 41%30%20%10% 0% Democrat Republican Source: Real Clear Politics Seat change includes Congressional and Senate gains Page 7
  8. 8. Only 45% of Americans approve of President Obama’s handling of the economy. Obama Economic Approval100.0% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 2010 Election 51% 50.0% 40.0% 45% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Approve Disapprove Source: Pollster.com Page 8
  9. 9. 60% of Republicans believe that the news they hear about the economy is “Mostly Bad” while only 15% of Democrats feel the same. The gap is more apparent when compared to August of 2011, when both parties had majority negative views. Overall, 35% of Americans believe coverage is mostly bad. Media Coverage of the Economy as “Mostly Bad”100%90%80% 71%70% 67% 60%60% 62%50%40% 33% 35%30% 24%20% 18% 15%10% 0% Aug-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Republicans Overall Democrats Source: Pew Research Center Page 9
  10. 10. Job creation in August remained well below pace needed to keep up with population growth in the nation. Jobs Created by Month200,000 125,000 =150,000 141,000 Number of new jobs needed to keep pace with100,000 96,000 population growth 45,000 50,000 0 June July August National Unemployment Rate12.0% 10.0% 8.0% August 2012 6.0% 8.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Page 10
  11. 11. The President experienced a small bump following the Democratic National Convention, but has no managed to expand his lead in the following weeks. Obama vs. Romney100%90%80%70%60% 47% 49% 49% 49% 47% 49% 47% 46% 46% 45% 47% 47% 46% 47% 47% 47% 48% 48%50%40% 46% 43% 45% 44% 43% 45% 44% 45% 46% 45% 45% 43% 45% 44% 44% 45% 45% 44%30%20%10% 0% Obama Romney Source: Real Clear Politics Page 11
  12. 12. In the wake of the recent terrorist attacks and protests throughout the Middle East, President Obama’s foreign policy approval took a major hit. In addition, a new poll suggests that more Americans believe that Romney is more intimidating to terrorists. Which Candidate "Scares Terrorists" More100% Obama Foreign Policy Approval90% Change 37% 100%80% 90%70% 80%60% 70% Obama 16% Unsure 60% 54%50% 49% Neither 50% 13%40% Romney 40% 46% 40% 30%30% 20%20% 10% 39% 0%10% Aug-12 Sep-12 Approve Disapprove 0% Foreign Policy Source: NBC/WSJ Poll 9/12-16 Terrorism Source: Esquire Magazine Page 12
  13. 13. After an anti-Islamic YouTube video sparked protest in the Middle East, nearly three- quarters of Americans believe that guaranteeing free speech is more important than not offending other nations. Should Free Speech or Not Offending Other Nations Be More Important Guarantee othernations arent offended 15% Undecided 13% Guarantee Free Speech 72% Source: Rasmussen Reports 9/13-14 Page 13
  14. 14. For additional information about this or any other of our services, please feel free to contact: Bryon Allen Chris Wilson Chris Perkins Partner and COO Partner and CEO Partner 202.470.6300 405.286.6500 202.494.3084 E-mail: E-mail: E-mail:BAllen@WPAResearch.com CWilson@WPAResearch.com CPerkins@WPAResearch.com Ryan Steusloff Matt Gammon Vice President Vice President 202.470.6300 202.470.6300 rsteusloff@WPAResearch.com mgammon@WPAResearch.com Page 14

×