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WPA's Key Weekend_Charts_120224
 

WPA's Key Weekend_Charts_120224

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    WPA's Key Weekend_Charts_120224 WPA's Key Weekend_Charts_120224 Presentation Transcript

    • WPA’s Key Weekend Charts February 24, 2012 Page 1
    • WPA’s Key Weekend ChartsAs part of our continuing effort to keep our clients and friends up-to-date on the politicalenvironment as we head toward Election Day, 2012, we’ll be distributing these weekly data updatesevery Friday morning.In each update you can expect to find the following key indicators tracked: • Direction of the Country • Obama Job Approval • National Unemployment • Obama Approval on the Economy • Generic Congressional Ballot • National & per capita debtIn addition, each week we’ll feature a few charts showing what we think is the most interesting andtimely new data from that week. This week we have: • The price of gas since Obama’s inauguration. • Recent polling on the Keystone pipeline. • Federal debt per household and federal spending per household under the President’s new plan. Page 2
    • Weekly SummaryGas prices are rising higher as the results of a July, 2010 moratorium on offshore drilling continueto make themselves felt. • The recent Keystone pipeline rejection will only further increase energy prices.The Obama Administration’s attempt to shift responsibility for denying the Keystone pipelinebecomes more clear when you look at recent polling on the pipeline. • More than two thirds of Americans (67%) want the pipeline to be built. • Only a quarter (25%) oppose the pipeline.Further federal debt and federal spending increases form the core of the President’s new plan tocontinue the slight economic growth we’ve seen. • Federal spending would rise to $44,000 per household under the president’s new plan. • Each taxpayer’s share of the existing debt alone, without increased spending, is $136,056. Page 3
    • Americans remain unhappy with the direction their country is heading. Direction of Country100.00% 90.00% 80.00% 74% 70.00% 69% 62% 60.00% 55% 57% 50.00% 54% 40% 38% 40.00% 32% 38% 30.00% 20.00% 25% 21% 10.00% 0.00% Right Direction Wrong Direction Source: Reuters/Ipsos National Poll Page 4
    • Obama’s job approval has held steady since last week, and is up slightly from one month ago. Obama Job Approval100%90%80%70%60% 52% 49% 52% 51% 49%50%40% 46% 47% 42% 44% 43%30%20%10% 0% Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Approve Disapprove One Week Ago One Month Ago Approve 49% 46% Disapprove 47% 48% Source: Real Clear Politics Page 5
    • Gallup survey data indicates that despite the January drop to 8.3%, unemployment may be on the rise again. Gallup Data11.50%11.00%10.50%10.00% 9.50% 10.3% 9.0% 9.00% 8.3% 8.50% 8.00% 7.50% 7.00% National Unemployment Rate 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% January, 2012 8.3% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics & Gallup Gallup data is not seasonally adjusted Page 6
    • Americans remain unhappy with Obama’s economic performance. Obama on the Economy100%90%80%70% 62% 58% 59%60% 53% 50% 51%50% 38% 49%40% 46% 44% 40% 36%30%20%10% 0% Feb-09 May-09 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 Approve Disapprove Source: ABC News/Washington Post Poll Page 7
    • After gaining a slight edge last week, Democrats have returned to a tie with Republicans on the generic ballot. Generic Congressional Ballot100%90%80%70%60%50% 46% 43% 44% 42% 43% 43%40% 45% 41% 42% 43% 42% 43%30%20%10% 0% Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Democrat Republican One Week Ago One Month Ago Republicans 44% 44% Democrats 45% 42% Source: Real Clear Politics Page 8
    • Interest per citizen is over $12,016 as the national debt continues to climb. $15,388,044,029,559 U.S. National Debt $136,056 Each Taxpayer’s Share$12,016 Interest Per Citizen Source: USDebtclock.org Page 9
    • Gas prices are on the rise again. This latest jump seems to be correlated with both the Keystone pipeline decision and continued unrest in the Middle East. Gas Prices Since Obamas Inauguration$4.00$3.50 April 20, 2010 Deepwater Horizon Jan 18, 2012 Oil Spill Obama rejects$3.00 Keystone Pipeline Feb 19, 2012 Iran halts exports Mar 19, 2011 to UK, France$2.50 Obama announces Brazilian oil drilling partnership July 12, 2010 Obama’s offshore$2.00 drilling moratorium$1.50$1.00 Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration Page 10
    • A vast majority of Americans prefer to see the Keystone XL pipeline built."A proposed oil pipeline known as Keystone XL would transport oil from Canada to refineries in the United States. Do you think the pipeline should be built or not?" Should not be built 25% Unsure 8% Should be built 67% Source: Fox News via Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company (R) Feb 6-9, 2012. n=1,110 registered voters Page 11
    • The President’s budget increases debt per household and overall spending per household for Americans.6.00% GDP Growth4.00% 3.2%2.00%0.00% Q1 2009 Q4 2009 Q3 2010 Q2 2011 Source: John Hinderaker, Powerline & BEA, U.S. Dep of Commerce Page 12
    • For additional information about this or any other of our services, please feel free to contact: Bryon Allen Chris Wilson Chris Perkins Partner and COO Partner and CEO Partner 202.470.6300 405.286.6500 202.494.3084 E-mail: E-mail: E-mail:BAllen@WPAResearch.com CWilson@WPAResearch.com CPerkins@WPAResearch.com Brian Smith Ryan Steusloff Vice President Vice President 405.640.9517 202.470.6300 bsmith@WPAResearch.com rsteusloff@WPAResearch.com Page 13