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WPA's Key Weekend Charts 120203

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  • 1. WPA’s Key Weekend Charts February 3, 2012 Page 1
  • 2. WPA’s Key Weekend ChartsAs part of our continuing effort to keep our clients and friends up-to-date on the politicalenvironment as we head toward Election Day, 2012, we’ll be distributing these weekly data updatesevery Friday morning.In each update you can expect to find the following key indicators tracked: • Direction of the Country • Obama Job Approval • National Unemployment • Obama Approval on the Economy • Generic Congressional Ballot • National & per capita debt • The latest on the Presidential raceIn addition, each week we’ll feature a few charts showing what we think is the most interesting andtimely new polling data from that week. This week we have: • Support for Various Economic Proposals • Republican Opinions of their Candidates • Obama State by State Approval • Change in Obama Approval 2010-2011 by State Page 2
  • 3. Weekly SummaryVoter’s continue to believe the country is headed in the wrong direction by a 2 to 1 margin, whileObama’s overall approval holds steady with more Americans disapproving (48%) of him thanapproving (46%). Obama’s approval rating in 2011 as a whole dropped in almost every state, andonly a small bastion of Democratic states in the Northeast approved of the job the president wasdoing in 2011 by more than 50%.Although unemployment dropped to 8.3% in January, the national debt continues to skyrocket. Percapita debt is $49,216.87. Perhaps unsurprisingly, voters feel that Obama is doing poorly on theeconomy. Instead of continuing to pursue divisive issues like increasing federal taxes andgovernment spending the President could look at the economic proposals that unite Americans. Taxbreaks for U.S. corporations that bring jobs back from overseas or pressuring China to allow fairertrade are both economic proposals that receive bipartisan support.While Romney and Obama are tied on the ballot, Gingrich is down by 12% to Obama currently. Thelong primary race is also taking a toll among Republicans, with over half of them feeling only fair orpoor about their field of candidates for the first time. Page 3
  • 4. Most Americans are unhappy with the direction of the country. Direction of the Country100%90%80% 74% 73% 69% 63%70% 60% 61%60% 55%50%40% 36% 33% 32% 38%30% 25% 21%20% 21%10% 0% 10/6/2008 10/6/2009 10/6/2010 10/6/2011 Right Direction Wrong Direction Source: Reuters/Ipsos National Poll Page 4
  • 5. Obama continues to have an overall negative job approval. Obama Job Approval100%90%80%70%60% 51% 51% 52% 49% 48%50%40% 46% 43% 46% 44% 43%30%20%10% 0% Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Approve Disapprove Source: Real Clear Politics Page 5
  • 6. Unemployment remains above 8%. National Unemployment Rate12.0%10.0% January, 2012 8.0% 8.3% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Series1 Source: Real Clear Politics Page 6
  • 7. Most Americans are unhappy with Obama’s performance on the economy. Obama on the Economy100%90%80%70% 63% 58% 58% 60%60% 52%50% 41% 39%40% 35% 44% 36%30%20%10% 0% 4/20/2009 10/5/2009 1/17/2010 5/11/2010 9/13/2010 1/10/2011 6/20/2011 12/12/2011 Approve Disapprove Source: AP- GfK Roper Public Affairs Page 7
  • 8. Democrats have a slight edge on the generic Congressional ballot. Generic Congressional Ballot100%90%80%70%60%50% 46% 45% 43% 44% 42%40% 43% 41% 42% 43% 42%30%20%10% 0% Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Democrat Republican Source: Real Clear Politics Page 8
  • 9. The national debt has risen over $121,028,205,968.39 since last Friday. $15,363,137,290,815.92 U.S. National Debt$121,028,205,968.39 Increase from last week$49,216.87 Each Citizen’s Share Source: Brillig Debt Clock Page 9
  • 10. Romney currently performs slightly better than Gingrich against Obama. Obama vs. Romney Obama vs. Gingrich Gingrich 41%Obama Romney 48% 48% Obama 53% Unsure Unsure 1% 2% Source: USA Today/Gallup Jan 27-28, 2012 Page 10
  • 11. Republicans and Democrats agree on cutting taxes and pressuring China for fairer trade. American’s support for various economic proposals100% 93% 89%90% 84% 80% 79% 81%80% 77% 77% 71%70% 64% 66% 64%60% 54%50% 46% 41%40%30%20%10% 0% Giving tax breaks to U.S. Pressuring China to allow Increasing federal Increasing federal Increasing federal income corporations that bring fairer trade between the government spending to government spending for taxes on upper-income jobs back to the U.S. from U.S. and China support the development education and job training Americans overseas of alternative fuel sources for the long-term unemployed Democrats Independents Republicans Source: Gallup Page 11
  • 12. The long and brutal primary is taking a toll on how Republicans see their candidates. As a group, the Republican candidates are...100%90%80%70%60% 49% 52% 48%50% 44%40% 46% 46% 43% 44%30%20%10% 0% May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Excellent/Good Only Fair/Poor Source: Pew Research Center, Jan 26-29, 2012, Among Republicans Page 12
  • 13. Obama has greater than 50% approval only in the fiercest Democratic strongholds.Obama’s Approval 2011 Approval Rating by State <50% 50% >50% Source: Gallup, Jan 31, 2012 Page 13
  • 14. Almost every state in the Union has a less positive opinion of Barack Obama in 2011 than they did in 2010.Change in Obama’s Approval Rating between 2010-2011Approval Change 10% -10% Source: Gallup, Jan 31, 2012 Page 14
  • 15. For additional information about this or any other of our services, please feel free to contact: Bryon Allen Chris Wilson Chris Perkins Partner and COO Partner and CEO Partner 202.470.6300 405.286.6500 202.494.3084 E-mail: E-mail: E-mail:BAllen@WPAResearch.com CWilson@WPAResearch.com CPerkins@WPAResearch.com Page 15