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WPA Obamacare National MQ November 18-20, 2013
WPA Obamacare National MQ November 18-20, 2013
WPA Obamacare National MQ November 18-20, 2013
WPA Obamacare National MQ November 18-20, 2013
WPA Obamacare National MQ November 18-20, 2013
WPA Obamacare National MQ November 18-20, 2013
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WPA Obamacare National MQ November 18-20, 2013

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MQ of the WPA National Poll on Obamacare's effects on the 2012 election.

MQ of the WPA National Poll on Obamacare's effects on the 2012 election.

Published in: News & Politics
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  • 1. WILSON PERKINS ALLEN OPINION RESEARCH 324 Second Street, SE Washington, DC 20003 405.286.6500 www.wparesearch.com WPA ID: 13-193 WPA_NATIONAL ADD ONS_MQ_131122.DOCX WPA NATIONAL LIKELY VOTERS NOVEMBER 18-20, 2013 SAMPLE: n=801 Likely Voters MoE=±3.5% NO CODE/ASK ALL QUESTIONS INTRODUCTION: Good evening. May I please speak with NAME FROM FILE? My name is ____________ and I'm calling from WPA Research, a national public opinion firm. This evening we're conducting a short scientific survey in your area and we'd like to get your opinions. We’re not selling anything and your responses will be completely confidential. 1. First, are you or any member of your immediate family a member of the news media, a Public Relations company, or an active participant with any political campaign? 1. 2. 2. Yes ........................................................................................................ TERMINATE No/All other .....................................................................................................100% Please rate your likelihood to vote in the November 2014 election for United States Congress and various state and local offices on a scale from zero to ten. Zero means you definitely won’t vote in next year’s election, five means you might or might not vote in next year’s election, and ten means you will definitely vote in next year’s election. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Zero ....................................................................................................... TERMINATE 1 ............................................................................................................ TERMINATE 2 ............................................................................................................ TERMINATE 3 ............................................................................................................ TERMINATE 4 ............................................................................................................ TERMINATE 5 ........................................................................................................................... 3% 6 ........................................................................................................................... 1% 7 ........................................................................................................................... 1% 8 ........................................................................................................................... 2% 9 ........................................................................................................................... 2% Ten...................................................................................................................... 91% DK/Refused .......................................................................................... TERMINATE © 2013 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research
  • 2. WPA/Likely Voters/1023/4914 3. Page 2 of 6 And thinking back to the presidential election in November of 2012, for whom did you vote? ROTATE FIRST TWO Mitt Romney, the Republican Barack Obama, the Democrat …or… someone else 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Romney Someone Else Don’t Remember/Did not Vote DNR Refused DNR Obama 44% 4% 2% 2% 48% IF Q3:5, ASK Q4 N=384 4. As you may know, millions of Americans have lost their insurance plans despite President Obama’s promise that, quote, “if you like your plan, you can keep it.” If you knew in 2012 that this promise was not true, would you still have voted for Barack Obama? IF YES/ NO, ASK: And would you say you DEFINITELY (would/ would not) have voted for Barack Obama, or just probably? TOTAL WOULD NOT HAVE TOTAL WOULD HAVE 1. 2. 3. 4 5. 23% 72% Definitely would not have Probably would not have Hard Undecided/DK/Refused DNR Probably would have Definitely would have 16% 7% 5% 9% 63% © 2013 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
  • 3. WPA/Likely Voters/1023/4914 5. Page 3 of 6 If the election for United States Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for ROTATE the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate? IF REPUBLICAN/DEMOCRATIC, ASK: And, would you DEFINITELY vote for the (Republican/Democratic) candidate, or just PROBABLY? IF UNDECIDED/NOT SURE, ASK: If you had to decide today, would you lean more toward ROTATE the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate? TOTAL REPUBLICAN TOTAL DEMOCRATIC 43% 37% 1. 2. 3. Definitely Republican Probably Republican Lean Republican 31% 8% 4% 4. 5. 6. 7. Hard Undecided/Not Sure/Don’t Know DNR Lean Democratic Probably Democratic Definitely Democratic 20% 2% 6% 29% Now, I have just a few more questions for demographic purposes only…. 6. In politics today, do you usually think of yourself as a ROTATE Republican, Independent, or Democrat? IF REPUBLICAN/DEMOCRAT, ASK: Do you think of yourself as a STRONG (Republican/Democrat) or NOT-SO-STRONG (Republican/Democrat)? TOTAL REPUBLICAN TOTAL DEMOCRAT 1. 2. 3. 4 5. 6. 30% 30% Strong Republican Not-So-Strong Republican Independent/Something Else DK/Refused DNR Not-So-Strong Democrat Strong Democrat 20% 10% 37% 3% 10% 20% © 2013 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
  • 4. WPA/Likely Voters/1023/4914 7. Page 4 of 6 (And,) Would you say you are a ROTATE Conservative, a Moderate, or a Liberal END ROTATION in your political beliefs? IF CONSERVATIVE/LIBERAL, ASK: And, would you say you are VERY (conservative/liberal) or just SOMEWHAT (conservative/liberal)? TOTAL CONSERVATIVE TOTAL LIBERAL 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 8. Very Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate DK/Refused DNR Somewhat Liberal Very Liberal 23% 17% 36% 3% 11% 10% What is the highest level of formal education you have completed? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 9. 40% 21% Less than high school graduate High school graduate Some College /Associates Degree Bachelor’s Degree Post graduate DK/Refused DNR 2% 17% 28% 26% 27% 1% And, which of the following categories best describes your annual household income? IF REFUSED INITIALLY SAY: I understand your hesitation. We use this information for demographic purposes only and do not keep any personal information about you or your family. Which of these broad income categories best describes your annual household income? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Less than $25,000 $25,000 to less than $50,000 $50,000 to less than $75,000 $75,000 to less than $100,000 $100,000 to less than $125,000 $125,000 to less than $150,000 More than $150,000 DK/Refused DNR © 2013 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research 8% 15% 16% 18% 10% 5% 11% 17% Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
  • 5. WPA/Likely Voters/1023/4914 10. What is your current marital status? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 11. White Hispanic, Mexican, Latino, Spanish African-American Asian Other (specify) _________ Refused DNR 76% 7% 12% 2% 1% 2% In what year were you born? RECORD EXACT FOUR DIGIT RESPONSE; RECODE INTO CATEGORIES 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 14. 21% 2% 76% Yes DK/Refused DNR No Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 13. 10% 77% 1% 5% 6% 1% Single, never married Married Separated Divorced Widowed DK/Refused DNR Are there children in your household under the age of eighteen? 1. 2. 3. 12. Page 5 of 6 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 or over Refused DNR 6% 11% 15% 19% 22% 14% 11% 2% Sex: BY OBSERVATION 1. 2. Male Female © 2013 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research 47% 53% Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission
  • 6. WPA/Likely Voters/1023/4914 15. Census Region: PRE-CODE 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 16. Page 6 of 6 Pacific Division (AK, CA, OR, WA) Mountain Division (MT, ID, WY, NV, UT, AZ, CO, NM) West South Division (TX, OK, AR, LA) East South Division (KY, TN, MS, AL) South Atlantic Division (MD, DC, DE, WV, VA, NC, SC, GA, FL) West North Central Division (ND, SD, MN, IA, NE, KS, MO) East North Central Division (WI, IL, MI, IN, OH) Middle Atlantic Division (PA, NY, NJ) New England Division (ME, VT, NH, MA, CT, RI) 16% 7% 10% 6% 18% 8% 16% 13% 6% Census Region 2: PRE-CODE 1. 2. 3. 4. Northeast Midwest South West © 2013 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research 19% 24% 34% 23% Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission

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