WPA Iowa Presidential Survey MQ
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WPA Iowa Presidential Survey MQ

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WPA Iowa Presidential Survey MQ WPA Iowa Presidential Survey MQ Document Transcript

  • © 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research WILSON PERKINS ALLEN OPINION RESEARCH 324 Second Street, SE Washington, DC 20003 405.286.6500 www.wparesearch.com WPA ID: 14-119 WPA_IOWA PRESIDENTIAL SURVEY_MQ_140404.DOCX STATEWIDE RPV MARCH 31, 2014 SAMPLE: n=402 RPV MoE=±4.9% NO CODE/ASK ALL QUESTIONS INTRODUCTION: Good evening. May I please speak with NAME FROM FILE? My name is ____________ and I'm calling from WPA Research, a national public opinion firm. This evening we're conducting a short scientific survey in Iowa and we'd like to get your opinions. We’re not selling anything and your responses will be completely confidential. 1. First, are you or any member of your immediate family a member of the news media, a Public Relations company, or an active participant with any political campaign? 1. Yes ..................................................................................................... TERMINATE 2. No/All other .....................................................................................................100% 2. Please rate your likelihood to vote in the June 3rd , 2014 Republican primary election for United States Senate, U.S. Congress, and various state and local offices on a scale from zero to ten. Zero means you definitely won’t vote in the Republican primary election in June, five means you might or might not vote in the Republican primary election in June, and ten means you will definitely vote in the Republican primary election in June. 1. Zero .................................................................................................... TERMINATE 2. 1.......................................................................................................... TERMINATE 3. 2.......................................................................................................... TERMINATE 4. 3.......................................................................................................... TERMINATE 5. 4.......................................................................................................... TERMINATE 6. 5............................................................................................................................9% 7. 6............................................................................................................................2% 8. 7............................................................................................................................4% 9. 8............................................................................................................................9% 10. 9............................................................................................................................7% 11. Ten......................................................................................................................69% 12. DK/Refused........................................................................................ TERMINATE
  • WPA/RPV/697/3286 Page 2 of 4 © 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission Now, thinking about the Presidential election coming up in 2016… WPA1. If the Republican primary election for United States President were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were…RANDOMIZE Rand Paul Paul Ryan Rick Perry Mike Huckabee Jeb Bush Chris Christie Ted Cruz Marco Rubio Scott Walker Bobby Jindal …or… Rick Santorum 4. Mike Huckabee 14% 1. Rand Paul 10% 9. Scott Walker 8% 2. Paul Ryan 7% 5. Jeb Bush 7% 7. Ted Cruz 7% 6. Chris Christie 6% 11. Rick Santorum 5% 3. Rick Perry 3% 8. Marco Rubio 3% 10. Bobby Jindal 2% 12. Someone else (specify) DNR 2% 13. Won’t vote/none DNR 1% 14. DK/Refused DNR 25%
  • WPA/RPV/697/3286 Page 3 of 4 © 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission Now, I have just a few more questions for demographic purposes only…. 19. In politics today, do you usually think of yourself as ROTATE a strong Republican, a not-so-strong Republican, or an Independent? TOTAL REPUBLICAN 73% 1. Strong Republican 55% 2. Not-So-Strong Republican 18% 3. Independent/Something Else 25% 4 DK/Refused DNR 2% 20. (And,) Would you say you are a ROTATE Conservative, a Moderate, or a Liberal END ROTATION in your political beliefs? IF CONSERVATIVE/LIBERAL, ASK: And, would you say you are VERY (conservative/liberal) or just SOMEWHAT (conservative/liberal)? TOTAL CONSERVATIVE 76% TOTAL LIBERAL 2% 1. Very Conservative 59% 2. Somewhat Conservative 18% 3. Moderate 18% 4. DK/Refused DNR 4% 5. Somewhat Liberal 1% 6. Very Liberal 1% 21. If you had to choose, would you more closely identify yourself as part of the traditional Republican Party, or would you identify more with the Tea Party movement? 1. Traditional Republican Party 46% 2. Neither DNR 8% 3. DK/Refused DNR 8% 4. Tea Party Movement 38% 22. What is the highest level of formal education you have completed? 1. Less than high school graduate 2% 2. High school graduate 22% 3. Some College /Associates Degree 28% 4. Bachelor’s Degree 29% 5. Post graduate 18% 6. DK/Refused DNR 2%
  • WPA/RPV/697/3286 Page 4 of 4 © 2014 -- Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research Confidential – do not copy or distribute without permission 23. In what year were you born? RECORD EXACT FOUR DIGIT RESPONSE; RECODE INTO CATEGORIES 1. 18-24 3% 2. 25-34 5% 3. 35-44 9% 4. 45-54 15% 5. 55-64 25% 6. 65-74 21% 7. 75 or over 21% 8. Refused DNR 1% 25. Sex: BY OBSERVATION 1. Male 48% 2. Female 52% 26. Congressional District: PRE-CODE 1. First 20% 2. Second 23% 3. Third 26% 4. Fourth 31% 27. Media Market: PRE-CODE 1. Cedar Rapids/ Waterloo/ Dubuque 23% 2. Davenport 10% 3. Des Moines/ Ames 37% 4. Omaha 8% 5. Ottumwa/ Kirksville 2% 6. Quincy/ Hannibal/ Keokuk 1% 7. Rochester/ Mason City/ Austin 4% 8. Sioux City 13% 9. Sioux Falls/ Mitchell 2% 28. Vote History: PRE-CODE 1. 0 of 4 3% 2. 1 of 4 38% 3. 2 of 4 24% 4. 3 of 4 20% 5. 4 of 4 15%