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Gep june 2013 regional outlook east asia & pacific

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  • GEP 2010 Presentation
  • GEP 2010 Presentation
  • Transcript

    • 1. 1 Ekaterine Vashakmadze World Bank June 2013 Global Economic Prospects East Asia & Pacific Regional Outlook http://www.worldbank.org/globaloutlook
    • 2. Growth Source: World Bank; DataStream. -7 -2 3 8 13 18 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4 12Q1 12Q2 12Q3 12Q4 13Q1 ASEAN 4 China Developing excl. EAP World excl. EAP GDP, % change, quarter-over-quarter, saar
    • 3. Loose policies Source: World Bank; IMF, IFS. -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 07M03 08M03 09M03 10M03 11M03 12M03 13M3 China Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Vietnam Real credit growth, % change, year-over-year
    • 4. Growth outlook in 2013 Source: World Bank; DataStream. -45 -35 -25 -15 -5 5 15 25 35 45 55 08Q1 09Q1 10Q1 11Q1 12Q1 13Q1 Malaysia Thailand Indonesia China Philippines GDP growth, q/q , saar
    • 5. Growth outlook in 2014 and 2015 and risks Loose policies contributed to rising debt levels Price pressures in selected countries of the region Source: World Bank; IMF; BIS. Source: World Bank; DataStream. 0 50 100 150 200 Malaysia China Thailand Indonesia General Government Non-Financial corporations HH Other Share of GDP 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 11M0511M0811M1112M0212M0512M0812M1113M0213M05 East Asia (excludes China) China Indonesia CPI, % change, 3m/3m, saar
    • 6. Policy recommendations Source: World Bank; DataStream. -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 12M06 12M08 12M10 12M12 13M02 2013M04 Japan China East Asia excl. China Indonesia Philippines Percentage change, 3m/3m, saar
    • 7. 7 Ekaterine Vashakmadze World Bank June 2013 Global Economic Prospects East Asia & Pacific Regional Outlook http://www.worldbank.org/globaloutlook

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