1
Internet Prospects
Vint Cerf
July 2014
HAPPY BASTILLE DAY!!
2
33
Internet - Global Statistics 2014
Approx. 6.9 B mobiles and ~1.5 Billion smartphones)
(http://mobithinking.com/mobile-m...
4
Internet Technical Evolution
• IPv6 - in parallel with IPv4 – about 3.x% access Google
• Internationalized Domain Names ...
5
An Internet of Things
6
Internet and its Implications in 2014
•  World Wide Web – Massive information sharing and discovery
•  Mobile technology -...
Internet and its Implications 2014
•  Political challenges
•  Civil unrest, information and misinformation
•  Activism – g...
Example Internet Policy Challenges
•  Internet Governance
•  Internet Governance Forum, NETmundial, ICANN, ISOC, RIRs
•  I...
The Potential Role of the World Bank
•  Unique opportunity to engage in support for Internet
infrastructure development
• ...
DISCUSSION?
11
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Emerging internet trends that will shape the global economy

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Based on his decades of experience, the well-known Internet pioneer Vinton G. Cerf talked about the major emerging trends and threats about the Internet that will dramatically shape the global economy, followed by a townhall style conversation with World Bank Chief Economist Kaushik Basu.

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Emerging internet trends that will shape the global economy

  1. 1. 1 Internet Prospects Vint Cerf July 2014
  2. 2. HAPPY BASTILLE DAY!! 2
  3. 3. 33 Internet - Global Statistics 2014 Approx. 6.9 B mobiles and ~1.5 Billion smartphones) (http://mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats) 1.01Billion Hosts (ftp.isc.org/www/survey/reports/current/) 2.484 Billion Users (International Telecommunication Union)
  4. 4. 4 Internet Technical Evolution • IPv6 - in parallel with IPv4 – about 3.x% access Google • Internationalized Domain Names - operational • New gTLDs (2000 applications) – 300 are delegated – http://newgtlds.icann.org/en/ • Domain Name System Security (DNSSEC) – in deployment • Digitally-Signed Address Registration (RPKI) – Controversial in some quarters, but beta implementations exist • Internet of Things – an emerging phenomenon • Mobile applications – in the hundreds of thousands
  5. 5. 5 An Internet of Things
  6. 6. 6
  7. 7. Internet and its Implications in 2014 •  World Wide Web – Massive information sharing and discovery •  Mobile technology - access anywhere, anytime •  Image capture and sharing •  Augmented Reality (e.g. Google Glass) •  Location tracking (Emergency services) •  Remote Control (Internet of Things) •  Standards encourage application development •  Mutual reinforcement of Internet and Mobiles •  Social Networking •  Privacy impact •  Common interest discovery •  Coordinated, real time activities 7
  8. 8. Internet and its Implications 2014 •  Political challenges •  Civil unrest, information and misinformation •  Activism – good and bad societal consequences (extremism) •  Transparency and Accountability •  Malware, Cyber-safety and National Security •  3D Printing •  New import/export paradigms (export designs not finished products) •  Transport of raw materials vs manufactured parts •  Intellectual Property •  Protection; new modes of sharing (e.g. creative commons) •  Preservation of Digital Content (Bitrot and the Digital Desert) 8
  9. 9. Example Internet Policy Challenges •  Internet Governance •  Internet Governance Forum, NETmundial, ICANN, ISOC, RIRs •  Internet Standards (IETF, IAB, IEEE, ITU-T, ANSI, ISO, Industry Fora) •  Critical Role of Multi-Stakeholder processes •  Role of the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) •  Communication Standards, Radio Assignments, Development •  The legal meaning/weight of digital signatures •  Bridging the Broadband Digital Divide- infrastructure •  Economics of Access to and Use of the Internet •  Avoiding the Politicization of Internet Governance Policy 9
  10. 10. The Potential Role of the World Bank •  Unique opportunity to engage in support for Internet infrastructure development •  Advice to Governments on Internet policy development •  Analysis of Economic Factors in the growth of the Internet •  Explication of the Role of Risk Capital in Internet-based companies and their products and services •  Facilitation of International and Multi-stakeholder agreements •  Convening Power to Promote Constructive Internet Use 10
  11. 11. DISCUSSION? 11

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