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Stephen Bezruchka Economic Titanic Health
 

Stephen Bezruchka Economic Titanic Health

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Stephen Bezruchka Economic Titanic Health Stephen Bezruchka Economic Titanic Health Presentation Transcript

  • Survival Rate on the Titanic 60 % 40 % 25 % 24 %
  • The Global Economic Titanic and Our Health Stephen Bezruchka
  • Agenda
    • CLASS Discussion on
      • Economics
      • Producing health in populations
      • Current economic situation causes
      • Health Impacts
        • Rich countries
        • Poor nations
      • Remedies
    • MY PERSPECTIVE
  • CURRENT POLITICAL SITUATION
    • Intellectually stimulating, compared with
      • Studying quantum mechanics
      • General theory of relativity
      • Medicine
      • Central limit theorem and normal distributons
    • Innovation
      • Sliced bread
      • Computers and internet
      • Twitter
      • Facebook
    • EXPERTS: ARE NOT
  • CURRENT POLITICAL SITUATION
    • MADE IN AMERICA
    • Crash
    • WORLD COLLAPSE
    • trillions to bankers
    • pennies to people
  • Impacts of recession?
    • what have you noticed?
  • Economics
    • What is it?
    • What does recession mean?
    • How did it come about?
    • What is happening in your country?
    • What is happening in the US?
  • PRESUMED HEALTH IMPACTS
    • Individual?
      • mechanism?
    • Population?
      • mechanism?
    • Details in your country?
    • Details in the US?
  • HISTORY OF Last WXYZ years
    • 5000 YEARS?
    • 500 YEARS?
    • 80 YEARS?
    • 50 YEARS?
    • 25 YEARS?
    • 7 YEARS?
    • 1-2 YEARS?
  • Slavery
    • Work until you die
  • Feudalism
    • Lord takes half your crop
  •  
  • Capitalism
    • Free market (best way to run the world)
    • Invisible hand (each follows own greed)
    • Competition (relentless)
    • Innovation, productive forces
      • Machinery to do away with human labor
      • Overproduction
    • Wealth production (how?)
  • Capitalism
    • Free market (best way to run the world)
    • Invisible hand (each follows own greed)
    • Competition (relentless)
    • Innovation, productive forces
      • Machinery to do away with human labor
      • Overproduction
    • Wealth production (how?)
      • Surplus value of labor
      • (unpaid portion into pockets of capitalists)
      • Alienation of labor (worker has no control)
  • Harvey 2005
  •  
  • Harvey 2005
  • Rick Wolfe Capitalism Hits the Fan 2009
  • Rick Wolfe Capitalism Hits the Fan 2009
  • Rick Wolfe Capitalism Hits the Fan 2009
  • Rick Wolfe Capitalism Hits the Fan 2009
  • Rick Wolfe Capitalism Hits the Fan 2009
  • Rick Wolfe Capitalism Hits the Fan 2009
  • http://video.google.com/googleplayer.swf?docId=-9050474362583451279
  • Rick Wolfe Capitalism Hits the Fan 2009
  • Rick Wolfe Capitalism Hits the Fan 2009
  • Rick Wolfe Capitalism Hits the Fan 2009
  • Rick Wolfe Capitalism Hits the Fan 2009
  •  
  •  
  • Critical of Economic Growth rich countries
    • Georgescu-Roegen
    • Boulding
    • Daly
  • Economic Growth & Population Health
    • Sweden
      • 1800 ~1950 mortality declined with economic growth
      • weaker with increasing economic growth
      • 1950-2000 no impact on health
  • Wilkinson & Pickett 2009 Spirit Level Economic growth and health
  • Easterlin 1999
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  • Wilkinson & Pickett 2009 Spirit Level Income and health
  • Health during US Great Depression
  • Fishback et. al. 2005 TRENDS IN IMR
  • Fishback et. al. 2005 TRENDS IN Non-Infant Death Rates
  • Fishback et. al. 2005 TRENDS IN Relief and IMR decline
  •  
  • Recession & Population Health
    • USA:
      • Tapia Granados
      • Ruhm (aggregated & individual data)
      • Edwards
      • Fishback et. al.
      • Dehejia & Lleras-Muney
    • Japan: Tapia Granados
    • Germany: Neumeyer
    • Spain: Tapia Granados
    • Australia: Potts
    • Sweden: Tapia Granados & Ionides
      • Gerdtham & Johannsson
    • Korea: Khang
    • OECD: Gerdtham & Ruhm
  • Recession & Population Health
    • Mortality is procyclical in rich countries studied
      • Increases in economic upswings
    • Sweden: small study from 1980-86
      • Counter-cyclical in men
      • No effect in women
      • Unemployed have worse health
      • Rate of unemployed doesn't affect unemployed health
  •  
  • Tapia Granados 2005
  • Tapia Granados 2005
  • Tapia Granados 2005
  • Tapia Granados 2005 Periods 1900-19 1920-44 1945-70 1971-99 John Stuat Mill: If two phenomena vary simultaneously, one is causing the other is there is a third factor causing both of them
  •  
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  • Recession & Population Health
    • Poor countries :
      • Peru: increased CMR 1989
      • Thailand: increased adult mortality 1996-99
      • Indonesia increased CMR 1996-99
      • Russia after fall of communism
  • PERU economic indicators 1978-98 Paxson & Schady 2005 PERU IMR surveys 1978-98
  • Paxson & Schady 2005 PERU IMR High/Low Terrorism Departments 1978-98 Low-terrorism Departments: Amazonas, Arequipa, Cajamarca, Cusco, Ica, La Libertad, Lambayeque, Loreto, Madre de Dios, Moquegua, Piura, Puno, Tacna, Tumbes High-terrorism Departments: Ancash, Apuprimac, Ayacucho, Huancavelica, Huanuco, Junin, Lima, Pasco, San Martin, Ucayali
  • Paxson & Schady 2005 PERU economic indicators 1978-98 PROCYCLICAL PERU IMR surveys 1978-98 PERU public health spending 1978-2000
  • Hopkins 2006 Indonesia Malaysia Thailand
  • Hopkins 2006 Indonesia Malaysia Thailand
  • Simms & Rowson 2003 Provincial Indonesia IMR changes 1996-9
  • Simms & Rowson 2003 Indonesia Provider Contact changes 1995-9
  • Hopkins 2006 Indonesia Malaysia Thailand
  •  
  • 2002 Andreev IJE 2003
  • Recession & Population Health
    • Poor countries:
      • Russia after fall of communism
      • Thailand: increased adult mortality 1996-99
      • Peru: increased CMR 1989
      • Indonesia increased CMR 1996-99
    • FOOD CRISIS
  •  
  • Remedies
    • Rethinking how world should function economically
    • What is an economy for?
    • Global planetary health
    • Managing without growth
    • Geonomy
  • Feb 2, 2009
  •  
  •  
  •  
  •  
  • ONE TRILLION DOLLARS
  • ONE TRILLION DOLLARS LOOKS LIKE?
  • TEN THOUSAND DOLLARS LOOKS LIKE
  • ONE MILLION DOLLARS LOOKS LIKE
  • ONE HUNDRED MILLION DOLLARS LOOKS LIKE
  • ONE BILLION DOLLARS LOOKS LIKE
  • ONE TRILLION DOLLARS LOOKS LIKE One billion hundred million million
  • Grave New World