Leds 1st worshop_jelavic

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Vladimir Jelavic, EKONERG

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Leds 1st worshop_jelavic

  1. 1. 1st Workshop on developing Croatian Low-Emission Development Strategy Ministry of Environmental and Nature Protection (MZOIP), UNDP Thursday 14th June 2012, Zagreb, HGK, Nova cesta 3-7 Review of relevant documents for background information Vladimir Jelavić dr.sc. EKONERG
  2. 2. Energy and climate documentsThe Plan for protection and improvement of air quality in Croatia for forthe period of 2008. to 2011. (NN 61/08)HGH emission reduction scenarios for post-Kyoto period till 2009., with view on 2030and 2050. (EKONERG, 2009)Croatian energy sector development strategy, (NN 130/09)Fifth National Communication of Croatia under the UNFCCC, (MZOPUG, 2010)Plan for implementation of article 3.3 and 3.4 of Kyoto protocol (EKONERG,andCroatian Forest Company, 2010)Draft National Renewable Action Plan, Republic of Croatia, Prepared in accordancewith the requirements of Directive 2009/28/EC Article 4 (1,2) (Ministry of Economy,Labour and Entepreneurship, 2010)Croatian GHG Emission Projection Report, (AZO, 2011)National Inventory Report for 2010, (AZO, 2012)
  3. 3. The Plan for protection and improvement of air quality in Croatia for for the period of 2008. to 2011. (NN 61/08) 3/26
  4. 4. HGH emission reduction scenarios for post-Kyoto period till 2009., with view on 2030 and 2050. (EKONERG, 2009) Glavne mjere za smanjenje emisije održivog scenarija 70000 60000 Nova nuklearna 1000 MW CCS-izdvajanje i skladištenje CO2 50000 Mjere u sektoru otpad Mjere u poljoprivredi 40000 Mjere u industrijskim procesima Gg CO2-eq Promjena goriva i ostale mjere 30000 Obnovljivi izvori energije Energetska učinkovitost 20000 Održivi scenarij 10000 0 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 4/26
  5. 5. HGH emission reduction scenarios for post-Kyoto period till 2009.,with view on 2030 and 2050. (EKONERG, 2009) -22% u odnosu na BAU, u 2020. godini 70000 60000 50000 2q -e 40000 -5% u odnosu na Baznu godinu O G C 30000 g 20000 10000 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Scenarij bez mjera Scenarij s mjerama Scenarij s dodatnim mjerama -5% u odnosu na Baznu godinu 5/26
  6. 6. ‘Green book’ - Croatian energy sector development strategy, (NN 130/09) 6/26
  7. 7. Fifth National Communication of Croatia under the UNFCCC, (MZOPUG, 2010) GHG emission of Republic of Croatia and targets 40000 35000 30000 25000 GgCO2-eq 20000 GHG emission Base year 15000 95% of Base year 10000 95% of year 1990 5000 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Peto nacionalno izvješće RH prema UNFCCC-u, MZOPUG 2009
  8. 8. Draft National Renewable Action Plan, Republic of Croatia, Prepared in accordance with the requirements of Directive 2009/28/EC Article 4 (1,2) (Ministry of Economy, Labour and Entepreneurship, 2010)  Example – transport sector 8/26
  9. 9. The main measures till 2020- Energy efficiency - According EU directive 206/32/EC, 10% energy consumption reduction in 2020 comparing to average consumption in 2001-2005 9/26
  10. 10. % Strategy) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Bu lg ar ia La tv R ia om an C ia ro a Sl tia Renewable sources ov ak i E a C s to ze ni ch a R Li ep. th ua ni Po a la H n un d ga Sl ry ov en i Fi a nl a Lu nd xe m Po b. rtu ga C l yp ru s M al ta Sp a10/26 Be in lg iu G m re ec Au e st Sw ria ed The main measures till 2020 en EU -2 7 Ita N ly et he G r er l . m an Fr y an ce Ire la nd U Increase comparing the year 2005 D K en m ar k - 20% of gross net consumption in 2020, calculated target (Energy
  11. 11. The main measures till 2020Renewable energy:Sectorial goals: - 35% in electricity production - 10% in transport - 21% in heating and coolingContribution to 20% target: - RES in electricity 9,2 % - RES in transport 2,2 % - RES in heating and cooling 8,6% 11/26
  12. 12. The measures in other sectors In process industry In waste management In agriculture In land use change and forestry (LULUCF) 12/26
  13. 13. Where we can reduce emissions? 13/26
  14. 14. Where in energy sectors? 14/26
  15. 15. Through indicators Udio Hrvatske u Svijetu, % Države Priloga 1 CO2eq/stanovnik u odnosu na BDP/ stanovnik Površina 0,2 30 0,15 25 EU CO2-eq em isija 0,1 Stanovnika 20 Hrvatska 2004 tCO2-eq/stanovnik 0,05 15 0 10Proizvodnja el.en. Nom inalni BDP 5 0 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Ukupna potrošnja US$/stanovnik (PPP 2004) energije Low carbon pathway for Croatia 15/26
  16. 16. ZaključnoPrilike:- Smanjenje ovisnosti o uvozu- Smanjenje troškova u sektorima gdje se primjenjuje energetska efikasnost- Povećanje sigurnosti energetske opskrbe- Razvoj novih gospodarskih aktivnosti i otvaranje radnih mjesta- Smanjenje onečišćenja zrakaIzazovi:- Kako ubrzati primjenu OIE- Socio-gospodarski aspekt povećanja cijena zbog troškova ugljika- Opasnosti gubitka konkurentnosti i povećanje ovisnosti o stranim tehnologijama- ‘curenje ugljika’- Odluka o primijeni CCS- Nuklearna energija 16/26
  17. 17. Thank you

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