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July 2012
Core Epidemiology Slides
Global summary of the AIDS epidemic  2011


      Number of people                       Total   34.2 million [31.8 million–35.9 million]
      living with HIV                       Adults   30.7 million [28.6 million–32.2 million]
                                          Women      16.7 million [15.7 million–17.8 million]
                              Children (<15 years)   3.4 million [3.1 million–3.9 million]


      People newly infected                  Total 2.5 million [2.2 million–2.8 million]
      with HIV in 2011                      Adults 2.2 million [2.0 million–2.4 million]
                              Children (<15 years) 330 000 [280 000–380 000]


      AIDS deaths in 2011                    Total 1.7 million [1.6 million–1.9 million]
                                            Adults 1.5 million [1.3 million–1.7 million]
                              Children (<15 years) 230 000 [200 000–270 000]
Global estimates for adults and children  2011


      People living with HIV              34.2 million [31.8 million – 35.9 million]

      New HIV infections in 2011          2.5 million [2.2 million – 2.8 million]

      Deaths due to AIDS in 2011          1.7 million [1.6 million – 1.9 million]
Regional HIV and AIDS statistics and features  2011
                                                              Adults and children                    Adults and children                      Adult prevalence        Adult & child
                                                                living with HIV                    newly infected with HIV                      (15‒ 49) [%]        deaths due to AIDS

Sub-Saharan Africa                                                           23.5 million                               1.7 million                        4.8%                  1.2 million
                                                                [22.2 million – 24.7 million]               [1.6 million – 1.9 million]             [4.6% – 5.1%]     [1.1 million – 1.3 million]

Middle East and North Africa                                                      330 000                                    39 000                        0.2%                       25 000
                                                                        [250 000 – 450 000]                        [29 000 – 60 000]                [0.1% – 0.2%]            [17 000 – 35 000]

South and South-East Asia                                                      4.2 million                                 300 000                         0.3%                     270 000
                                                                   [3.1 million – 4.7 million]                  [220 000 – 340 000]                 [0.2% – 0.4%]         [140 000 – 600 000]

East Asia                                                                         830 000                                    89 000                        0.1%                       60 000
                                                                     [590 000 – 1.2 million]                      [44 000 – 170 000]                [0.1% – 0.1%]            [42 000 – 83 000]

Latin America                                                                  1.4 million                                   86 000                        0.4%                       57 000
                                                                   [1.1 million – 1.7 million]                    [52 000 – 140 000]                [0.3% – 0.5%]            [35 000 – 86 000]

Caribbean                                                                         230 000                                    13 000                        1.0%                       10 000
                                                                        [200 000 – 250 000]                          [9700 – 16 000]                [0.8% – 1.1%]              [8200 – 12 000]

Eastern Europe and Central Asia                                                1.5 million                                 170 000                         1.0%                       90 000
                                                                   [1.3 million – 1.8 million]                  [110 000 – 220 000]                 [0.8% – 1.1%]          [74 000 – 110 000]

Western and Central Europe                                                        860 000                                    30 000                        0.2%                          9300
                                                                        [780 000 – 960 000]                        [21 000 – 40 000]                [0.2% – 0.2%]              [8300 – 10 000]

North America                                                                  1.4 million                                   58 000                        0.6%                       20 000
                                                                   [1.1 million – 2.0 million]                    [21 000 – 130 000]                [0.5% – 1.0%]            [16 000 – 27 000]

Oceania                                                                             53 000                                     2900                        0.3%                          1300
                                                                           [47 000 – 60 000]                           [2200 – 3800]                [0.2% – 0.3%]               [<1000 – 1800]

TOTAL                                                                       34.2 million                             2.5 million                          0.8%                 1.7 million
                                                               [31.8 million – 35.9 million]             [2.2 million – 2.8 million]                [0.7% - 0.8%]   [1.6 million – 1.9 million]

The ranges around the estimates in this table define the boundaries within which the actual numbers lie, based on the best available information.
Adults and children estimated to be living with HIV  2011


                                                        Western &               Eastern Europe
                                                       Central Europe            & Central Asia
                                                           860 000                 1.5 million
               North America                           [780 000 – 960 000]     [1.3 million – 1.8 million]
                 1.4 million                                                                                 East Asia
             [1.1 million – 2.0 million]                                                                     830 000
                                                  Middle East & North Africa                           [590 000 – 1.2 million]
                            Caribbean                       330 000
                             230 000                    [250 000 – 450 000]                  South & South-East Asia
                         [200 000 – 250 000]                                                             4.2 million
                                                          Sub-Saharan Africa                         [3.1 million – 4.7 million]
                            Latin America                     23.5 million
                              1.4 million                 [22.2 million – 24.7 million]                      Oceania
                         [1.1 million – 1.7 million]                                                         53 000
                                                                                                         [47 000 – 60 000]




                       Total: 34.2 million [31.8 million – 35.9 million]
Estimated number of adults and children
newly infected with HIV  2011

                                                  Western &               Eastern Europe
                                                 Central Europe            & Central Asia
                                                     30 000                    170 000
              North America                       [21 000 – 40 000]        [110 000 – 220 000]
                  58 000                                                                            East Asia
              [21 000 – 130 000]                                                                      89 000
                                                                                                 [44 000 – 170 000]
                                             Middle East & North Africa
                        Caribbean                     39 000
                          13 000                   [29 000 – 60 000]                 South & South-East Asia
                       [9700 – 16 000]                                                           300 000
                                                    Sub-Saharan Africa                     [220 000 – 340 000]
                         Latin America                   1.7 million
                            86 000                   [1.6 million – 1.9 million]                    Oceania
                        [52 000 – 140 000]                                                           2900
                                                                                                  [2200 – 3800]




                       Total: 2.5 million [2.2 million – 2.8 million]
Estimated adult and child deaths from AIDS  2011


                                                 Western &               Eastern Europe
                                                Central Europe            & Central Asia
                                                      9300                        90 000
              North America                       [8300 – 10 000]          [74 000 – 110 000]
                 20 000                                                                           East Asia
              [16 000 – 27 000]                                                                    60 000
                                            Middle East & North Africa                          [42 000 – 83 000]
                        Caribbean                    25 000
                          10 000                  [17 000 – 35 000]                  South & South-East Asia
                       [8200 – 12 000]                                                          270 000
                                                   Sub-Saharan Africa                      [140 000 – 600 000]
                        Latin America                   1.2 million
                            57 000                  [1.1 million – 1.3 million]                   Oceania
                        [35 000 – 86 000]                                                           1300
                                                                                                [<1000 – 1800]




                       Total: 1.7 million [1.6 million – 1.9 million]
Children (<15 years) estimated to be living with HIV  2011


                                                 Western &               Eastern Europe
                                                Central Europe            & Central Asia
                                                     1800                         17 000
              North America                       [1400 – 2100]            [14 000 – 21 000]
                   4500                                                                           East Asia
                [4000 – 5800]                                                                      16 000
                                            Middle East & North Africa                         [11 000 – 22 000]
                        Caribbean                    19 000
                          18 000                  [12 000 – 26 000]                  South & South-East Asia
                      [15 000 – 21 000]                                                        180 000
                                                   Sub-Saharan Africa                      [100 000 – 230 000]
                        Latin America                   3.1 million
                            40 000                  [2.8 million – 3.4 million]                   Oceania
                        [29 000 – 54 000]                                                           3600
                                                                                                [2800 – 4600]




                       Total: 3.4 million [3.1 million – 3.9 million]
Estimated number of children (<15 years)
newly infected with HIV  2011

                                                 Western &           Eastern Europe
                                                Central Europe        & Central Asia
                                                     <200                    1700
              North America                          [<200]                [1400 – 2200]
                  <100                                                                        East Asia
                  [<200]                                                                         2000
                                            Middle East & North Africa                       [<1000 – 4100]
                      Caribbean                       3100
                            1100                   [2100 – 4500]                  South & South-East Asia
                      [<1000 – 1400]                                                          21 000
                                                   Sub-Saharan Africa                      [14 000 – 27 000]
                      Latin America                      300 000
                              2000                   [250 000 – 350 000]                      Oceania
                           [<1000 – 3900]                                                       <500
                                                                                             [<200 – <500]




                              Total: 330 000 [280 000 – 380 000]
Estimated deaths in children (<15 years) from AIDS  2011


                                                Western &            Eastern Europe
                                               Central Europe         & Central Asia
                                                     <100                     1100
              North America                       [<100 - <200]            [<1000 – 1500]
                  <100                                                                        East Asia
                  [<200]                                                                         1100
                                           Middle East & North Africa                        [<1000 – 1700]
                      Caribbean                       1800
                           1100                   [1200 – 2600]                   South & South-East Asia
                      [<1000 – 1400]                                                           15 000
                                                  Sub-Saharan Africa                        [9800 – 17 000]
                      Latin America                      210 000
                              2200                   [180 000 – 240 000]                      Oceania
                           [1100 – 3700]                                                        <500
                                                                                             [<200 – <500]




                              Total: 230 000 [200 000 – 270 000]
Over 7000 new HIV infections a day in 2011

    About 97% are in low and middle income countries

    About 900 are in children under 15 years of age

    About 6000 are in adults aged 15 years and older, of whom:
       ─ almost 47% are among women
       ─ about 41% are among young people (15-24)
2011 global HIV and AIDS estimates
Children (<15 years)

      Children living with HIV       3.4 million [3.1 million – 3.9 million]

      New HIV infections in 2011     330 000 [280 000 – 380 000]

      Deaths due to AIDS in 2011     230 000 [200 000 – 270 000]

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2012 UNAIDS Epidemiology slides

  • 2. Global summary of the AIDS epidemic  2011 Number of people Total 34.2 million [31.8 million–35.9 million] living with HIV Adults 30.7 million [28.6 million–32.2 million] Women 16.7 million [15.7 million–17.8 million] Children (<15 years) 3.4 million [3.1 million–3.9 million] People newly infected Total 2.5 million [2.2 million–2.8 million] with HIV in 2011 Adults 2.2 million [2.0 million–2.4 million] Children (<15 years) 330 000 [280 000–380 000] AIDS deaths in 2011 Total 1.7 million [1.6 million–1.9 million] Adults 1.5 million [1.3 million–1.7 million] Children (<15 years) 230 000 [200 000–270 000]
  • 3. Global estimates for adults and children  2011 People living with HIV 34.2 million [31.8 million – 35.9 million] New HIV infections in 2011 2.5 million [2.2 million – 2.8 million] Deaths due to AIDS in 2011 1.7 million [1.6 million – 1.9 million]
  • 4. Regional HIV and AIDS statistics and features  2011 Adults and children Adults and children Adult prevalence Adult & child living with HIV newly infected with HIV (15‒ 49) [%] deaths due to AIDS Sub-Saharan Africa 23.5 million 1.7 million 4.8% 1.2 million [22.2 million – 24.7 million] [1.6 million – 1.9 million] [4.6% – 5.1%] [1.1 million – 1.3 million] Middle East and North Africa 330 000 39 000 0.2% 25 000 [250 000 – 450 000] [29 000 – 60 000] [0.1% – 0.2%] [17 000 – 35 000] South and South-East Asia 4.2 million 300 000 0.3% 270 000 [3.1 million – 4.7 million] [220 000 – 340 000] [0.2% – 0.4%] [140 000 – 600 000] East Asia 830 000 89 000 0.1% 60 000 [590 000 – 1.2 million] [44 000 – 170 000] [0.1% – 0.1%] [42 000 – 83 000] Latin America 1.4 million 86 000 0.4% 57 000 [1.1 million – 1.7 million] [52 000 – 140 000] [0.3% – 0.5%] [35 000 – 86 000] Caribbean 230 000 13 000 1.0% 10 000 [200 000 – 250 000] [9700 – 16 000] [0.8% – 1.1%] [8200 – 12 000] Eastern Europe and Central Asia 1.5 million 170 000 1.0% 90 000 [1.3 million – 1.8 million] [110 000 – 220 000] [0.8% – 1.1%] [74 000 – 110 000] Western and Central Europe 860 000 30 000 0.2% 9300 [780 000 – 960 000] [21 000 – 40 000] [0.2% – 0.2%] [8300 – 10 000] North America 1.4 million 58 000 0.6% 20 000 [1.1 million – 2.0 million] [21 000 – 130 000] [0.5% – 1.0%] [16 000 – 27 000] Oceania 53 000 2900 0.3% 1300 [47 000 – 60 000] [2200 – 3800] [0.2% – 0.3%] [<1000 – 1800] TOTAL 34.2 million 2.5 million 0.8% 1.7 million [31.8 million – 35.9 million] [2.2 million – 2.8 million] [0.7% - 0.8%] [1.6 million – 1.9 million] The ranges around the estimates in this table define the boundaries within which the actual numbers lie, based on the best available information.
  • 5. Adults and children estimated to be living with HIV  2011 Western & Eastern Europe Central Europe & Central Asia 860 000 1.5 million North America [780 000 – 960 000] [1.3 million – 1.8 million] 1.4 million East Asia [1.1 million – 2.0 million] 830 000 Middle East & North Africa [590 000 – 1.2 million] Caribbean 330 000 230 000 [250 000 – 450 000] South & South-East Asia [200 000 – 250 000] 4.2 million Sub-Saharan Africa [3.1 million – 4.7 million] Latin America 23.5 million 1.4 million [22.2 million – 24.7 million] Oceania [1.1 million – 1.7 million] 53 000 [47 000 – 60 000] Total: 34.2 million [31.8 million – 35.9 million]
  • 6. Estimated number of adults and children newly infected with HIV  2011 Western & Eastern Europe Central Europe & Central Asia 30 000 170 000 North America [21 000 – 40 000] [110 000 – 220 000] 58 000 East Asia [21 000 – 130 000] 89 000 [44 000 – 170 000] Middle East & North Africa Caribbean 39 000 13 000 [29 000 – 60 000] South & South-East Asia [9700 – 16 000] 300 000 Sub-Saharan Africa [220 000 – 340 000] Latin America 1.7 million 86 000 [1.6 million – 1.9 million] Oceania [52 000 – 140 000] 2900 [2200 – 3800] Total: 2.5 million [2.2 million – 2.8 million]
  • 7. Estimated adult and child deaths from AIDS  2011 Western & Eastern Europe Central Europe & Central Asia 9300 90 000 North America [8300 – 10 000] [74 000 – 110 000] 20 000 East Asia [16 000 – 27 000] 60 000 Middle East & North Africa [42 000 – 83 000] Caribbean 25 000 10 000 [17 000 – 35 000] South & South-East Asia [8200 – 12 000] 270 000 Sub-Saharan Africa [140 000 – 600 000] Latin America 1.2 million 57 000 [1.1 million – 1.3 million] Oceania [35 000 – 86 000] 1300 [<1000 – 1800] Total: 1.7 million [1.6 million – 1.9 million]
  • 8. Children (<15 years) estimated to be living with HIV  2011 Western & Eastern Europe Central Europe & Central Asia 1800 17 000 North America [1400 – 2100] [14 000 – 21 000] 4500 East Asia [4000 – 5800] 16 000 Middle East & North Africa [11 000 – 22 000] Caribbean 19 000 18 000 [12 000 – 26 000] South & South-East Asia [15 000 – 21 000] 180 000 Sub-Saharan Africa [100 000 – 230 000] Latin America 3.1 million 40 000 [2.8 million – 3.4 million] Oceania [29 000 – 54 000] 3600 [2800 – 4600] Total: 3.4 million [3.1 million – 3.9 million]
  • 9. Estimated number of children (<15 years) newly infected with HIV  2011 Western & Eastern Europe Central Europe & Central Asia <200 1700 North America [<200] [1400 – 2200] <100 East Asia [<200] 2000 Middle East & North Africa [<1000 – 4100] Caribbean 3100 1100 [2100 – 4500] South & South-East Asia [<1000 – 1400] 21 000 Sub-Saharan Africa [14 000 – 27 000] Latin America 300 000 2000 [250 000 – 350 000] Oceania [<1000 – 3900] <500 [<200 – <500] Total: 330 000 [280 000 – 380 000]
  • 10. Estimated deaths in children (<15 years) from AIDS  2011 Western & Eastern Europe Central Europe & Central Asia <100 1100 North America [<100 - <200] [<1000 – 1500] <100 East Asia [<200] 1100 Middle East & North Africa [<1000 – 1700] Caribbean 1800 1100 [1200 – 2600] South & South-East Asia [<1000 – 1400] 15 000 Sub-Saharan Africa [9800 – 17 000] Latin America 210 000 2200 [180 000 – 240 000] Oceania [1100 – 3700] <500 [<200 – <500] Total: 230 000 [200 000 – 270 000]
  • 11. Over 7000 new HIV infections a day in 2011  About 97% are in low and middle income countries  About 900 are in children under 15 years of age  About 6000 are in adults aged 15 years and older, of whom: ─ almost 47% are among women ─ about 41% are among young people (15-24)
  • 12. 2011 global HIV and AIDS estimates Children (<15 years) Children living with HIV 3.4 million [3.1 million – 3.9 million] New HIV infections in 2011 330 000 [280 000 – 380 000] Deaths due to AIDS in 2011 230 000 [200 000 – 270 000]