Hord Tipton Keynote Address

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Keynote Address given by Hord Tipton, former CIO of the US Department of the Interior, at Transformation and Innovation 2007.

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Hord Tipton Keynote Address

  1. 1. Transformation or Innovation Hord Tipton President Ironman Technologies [email_address] With thanks to Scott McLeod and Arapahoe High School for sharing their presentation
  2. 2. Did you know?
  3. 3. Sometimes size does matter.
  4. 4. If you’re one in a million in China . . .
  5. 5. there are 1,300 people just like you.
  6. 6. In India, there are 1,100 people just like you.
  7. 7. The 25% of the population in China with the highest IQs . . .
  8. 8. is greater than the total population of North America.
  9. 9. In India, it’s the top 28%.
  10. 10. Translation for teachers: they have more honors kids than we have kids.
  11. 11. Did you know?
  12. 12. China will soon become the number one English-speaking country in the world.
  13. 13. If you took every single job in the U.S. today and shipped it to China . . .
  14. 14. it still would have a labor surplus .
  15. 15. During the course of this presentation . . .
  16. 16. <ul><li>60 babies will be born in the U.S. </li></ul><ul><li>244 babies will be born in China. </li></ul><ul><li>351 babies will be born in India. </li></ul>
  17. 17. The U.S. Department of Labor estimates that today’s learner will have 10 to 14 jobs . . .
  18. 18. by age 38 .
  19. 19. According to the U.S. Department of Labor . . .
  20. 20. 1 out of 4 workers today is working for a company for whom they have been employed less than 1 year .
  21. 21. More than 1 out of 2 are working for a company for whom they have worked less than 5 years .
  22. 22. According to former Secretary of Education Richard Riley . . .
  23. 23. the top 10 jobs that will be in demand in 2010 didn’t exist in 2004.
  24. 24. We are currently preparing students for jobs that don’t yet exist . . .
  25. 25. using technologies that haven’t yet been invented . . .
  26. 26. in order to solve problems we don’t even know are problems yet .
  27. 27. Name this country . . .
  28. 28. <ul><li>Richest in the world </li></ul><ul><li>Largest military </li></ul><ul><li>Center of world business and finance </li></ul><ul><li>Strongest education system </li></ul><ul><li>World center of innovation and invention </li></ul><ul><li>Currency the world standard of value </li></ul><ul><li>Highest standard of living </li></ul>
  29. 29. England
  30. 30. in 1900 .
  31. 31. Did you know?
  32. 32. The U.S. is 20th in the world in broadband Internet penetration (Luxembourg just passed us).
  33. 33. Nintendo invested more than $140 million in research and development in 2002 alone.
  34. 34. The U.S. federal government spent less than half as much on research and innovation in education.
  35. 35. 1 of every 8 couples married in the U.S. last year met online .
  36. 36. There are over 106 million registered users of MySpace (as of September 2006).
  37. 37. If MySpace were a country, it would be the 11th-largest in the world (between Japan and Mexico).
  38. 38. The average MySpace page is visited 30 times a day.
  39. 39. Did you know?
  40. 40. We are living in exponential times.
  41. 41. There are over 2.7 billion searches performed on Google each month.
  42. 42. To whom were these questions addressed B.G. (before Google)?
  43. 43. The number of text messages sent and received every day exceeds the population of the planet.
  44. 44. There are about 540,000 words in the English language . . .
  45. 45. about 5 times as many as during Shakespeare’s time.
  46. 46. More than 3,000 new books are published . . .
  47. 47. daily .
  48. 48. It is estimated that a week’s worth of New York Times . . .
  49. 49. contains more information than a person was likely to come across in a lifetime in the 18th century.
  50. 50. It is estimated that 1.5 exabytes (1.5 x 10 18 ) of unique new information will be generated worldwide this year.
  51. 51. That’s estimated to be more than in the previous 5,000 years .
  52. 52. The amount of new technical information is doubling every 2 years .
  53. 53. For students starting a four-year technical or college degree, this means that . . .
  54. 54. half of what they learn in their first year of study will be outdated by their third year of study.
  55. 55. It is predicted to double every 72 hours by 2010.
  56. 56. Third-generation fiber optics has recently been tested by both NEC and Alcatel . . .
  57. 57. that pushes 10 trillion bits per second down one strand of fiber.
  58. 58. That’s 1,900 CDs, or 150 million simultaneous phone calls, every second.
  59. 59. It’s currently tripling about every 6 months and is expected to do so for at least the next 20 years.
  60. 60. The fiber is already there. They’re just improving the switches on the ends, which means the marginal cost of these improvements is effectively $0 .
  61. 61. Predictions are that e-paper will be cheaper than real paper.
  62. 62. 47 million laptops were shipped worldwide last year.
  63. 63. The $100 laptop project is expecting to ship between 50 to 100 million laptops a year to children in underdeveloped countries.
  64. 64. Predictions are that by 2013 a supercomputer will be built that exceeds the computation capability of the human brain.
  65. 65. By 2023, when 1st-graders will be just 23 years old and beginning their (first) careers . . .
  66. 66. it only will take a $1,000 computer to exceed the capabilities of the human brain.
  67. 67. And while technical predictions farther out than about 15 years are hard to make . . .
  68. 68. predictions are that by 2049 a $1,000 computer will exceed the computational capabilities of the human race .
  69. 69. In less than 10 years, 80% of fatal diseases known today will have cures With improvements in anti-aging science, nanotechnology, and stem cell development, you could live to be 100
  70. 70. What does it all mean ? For one, our social structure will dramatically change
  71. 71. Innovation is eating our lunch! So how do we deal with it ?
  72. 72. Innovation <ul><li>Innovation is the process of devising solutions that address unmet customer needs. To excel at this process, a company must be able to identify all the customer’s needs, determine which are unmet, and devise solutions that address those unmet needs. </li></ul><ul><li>The outcome-driven philosophy is the master key that unlocks the door to success in innovation. </li></ul><ul><li>By taking the time to understand how customers measure value, companies are able to successfully predict which ideas will succeed and which will fail transforming innovation from an art to a science. </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Anthony W. Ulwick CEO of Strategyn </li></ul></ul>
  73. 73. Transformation = Change <ul><li>People don’t mind change.. </li></ul><ul><ul><li>As long as you change in their direction </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Change takes time </li></ul><ul><ul><li>It is getting worse-not better </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Change is more visible </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Try to hide something from the media </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Communicating change is difficult </li></ul><ul><ul><li>You no longer can “spin it” </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Resisters to change have many weapons </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Think of the ways you can block change </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Now think of the ways you can encourage change </li></ul>
  74. 74. Keys to Successful Transformation <ul><li>Understand the requirements </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Try to get consensus ! </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Reengineer the business </li></ul><ul><ul><li>What are your core business processes </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Yesterday’s methods will not be competitive </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Prioritize the needs </li></ul><ul><ul><li>You can’t modernize all processes at once </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Establish accountability </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Who’s in charge </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Take the fear out of changing jobs </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Communicate the advantages </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Prepare your people in advance for new and exciting challenges </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Strategic planning </li></ul>
  75. 75. Summary Points <ul><li>The world is transforming exponentially </li></ul><ul><li>We are drowning in data </li></ul><ul><ul><li>How do we convert it into information? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>How do we protect it? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>How do we make decisions with it? </li></ul></ul><ul><li>We may be losing prominence in education and training </li></ul><ul><li>Our intelligence pool is diminishing relative to the rest of the world </li></ul>
  76. 76. How long will the US be the world’s technology and business leader? Thanks for your Attention
  77. 77. A good cigar and a great Fish!

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