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Toronto real estate market charts   January 2014
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Toronto real estate market charts January 2014

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Toronto real estate market charts January 2014

Toronto real estate market charts January 2014

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Toronto real estate market charts   January 2014 Toronto real estate market charts January 2014 Presentation Transcript

  • H 4l. .’J_15‘1 i_| llH: '3|. NF* o'. ‘l: lIW: I iIIiI: a‘RE§ Housing Market Charts — January 2014
  • TREB HOUSING MARKET CHARTS TorontoMLSSa| es Monthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison 12000 I2011 I2012 D2013 I2014 10000 8.000 6.000 4.000 Source? Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS‘ sales for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.
  • TREB HOUSING MARKET CHARTS TorontoMLS New Listings Monthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison 25000 I2011 I2012 D2013 I2014 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 )0 Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS“ new listings for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.
  • TREB HOUSING MARKET CHARTS 1.. ... . Real Italic Baud —. ..t. .-I--Iuulinv -nu. -unna-an-Q-ca. TorontoMLS Sales-to-New Listings Ratio Monthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison “)3 c2011 c2012 i: i2o13 n2o14 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots the monthly MLS“ sales-to~new listings ratio (SNLR) for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month. When the SNLR moves higher, annual average prire growth generally increases - often at .1 rate well above inflation. When the SNLR moves lower, annual averae rice rowth enerall detlines and can become neative.
  • TREB HOUSING MARKET CHARTS TorontoMLSAverage Resale Home Price Monthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison $600,000 $550,000 $500,000 $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 I2011 I2012 D2013 I2014 Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots the monthly MLS" average home price for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.
  • N . l.: l_l}* llllllfillltl . '.i: l:lZl3:| Lilllltlli :2 TorontoMLS Sales Monthly Time Series with Trend Line 12,000 Actual MLS‘ Sales 10,000 Trend (12-Month Mcwirg Average) 8,000 ‘ A g 6,000 n H‘. / l, ' I 4,000 I-‘! I‘l . Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS‘ sales since January 1995. The blue line shows actual sales. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or other irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual sales must occur to change the direction of the trend.
  • , . l.: l_l}* lllllliillltl . '.i: l:lZl3:| Lilllltlli -2 TorontoMLS New Listings Monthly Time Series with Trend Line 22,000 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 Actual MLS‘ New Listings I Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS‘ new listings since January 1995. The blue line shows actual new listings. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or other irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual new listings must occur to change the direction of the trend.
  • N i: su: = : um: ;mi . '.m: ::<a; « ; ::m: z:: :2 TorontoMLSAverage Price Monthly Time Series with Trend Line 575,000 Actual MLS‘ Average Price s25,ooo (‘F 475 000 Trend (12-Month Moving Average) 425,000 375,000 325,000 275,000 225,000 175,000 9?’ 9° :5‘ 9* 9°’ 9° 9" 9'” 9°’ 9“ 9” 9*’ $3‘ .6” 9°’ >9 : »"' :0’ °. ~1”°, ~.°* ° '° ’° ~. '° Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS‘ average price since January 1995. The blue line shows the actual average price. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12.month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or other irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual average price must occur to change the direction of the trend
  • '_Tj‘: ff. llOUSl. ‘.'-3 . ".’l. £'~. .“‘. l(ET CHWTS , lnllnsffle ' 1-. .. inc: V—— I: It Inc‘ on bu-Q-don‘-Ocoac ; :[, . . _ ‘Spies-to-New listings Ratio Compared to Nnnual Percent Change in Home Price jsales-to-New Listings Ratio 1-Average Price Annual Per cent Change '. I e. g. - , -_, ,3, o U1 3? 38 3% 32 (aun umorg) asueqg zuaj) rad renuuv aagrd 38219/V 3.3 , _|. _l 5%’ 29; xi § 3 . ¢‘’a‘~>= ‘e°‘’. ~>= ’° V’ s‘* Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots the monthly sales—to—new listings ratio (blue line) with yearover-year average annual per cent price change (brown line). When the salesto new listings ratio moves higher, average annual per cent change in home prices generally trends higher. when the sales-to«new listings ratio moves lower, average annual per cent change in home prices generally trends lower.
  • H i: i_1_: ~: illlliii no . '.'ul: iIi? : ; ::m: i:: TREB Affordability Indicator share of Av: -rage Household Income Used for Mortpxngc Prlndpnl and Interest, PropertyTaxes and Utilities on the Averaged Priced GTA Resale Home 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% . , . ~q§° % $9~s~‘*’Z. °fis? ‘i°91°? ??‘°i°? ’i°? "l°? ‘i°S9~锓; °9‘%<5’? »6’7»<9'? »<¢’»<5"7»°%¢i»<§‘&<5%%%%*’ ‘ Y Y Y I I i V $5’ $ource: ‘l'oron! o Real Estate Board Data and Calculation; Statistics Canada Explanation: This chart plots the share of average household income that [on toward montage principal and interest, property taxes and utilities for the average priced home In the GTA subject to the lollowing assumptions: Au-nu . u-‘.4! ul yvu-1;»-mu ‘-; Iul; uiLr an upullrd by min . ‘0 in-v ICIIK down paynm-'. A-wens! Sven! 7-IN I--'n;9cemVe i‘Sv. unmn Cans-1.n| 15,, y¢u amov’ znmu In-vet xge pl Leny In I n: rem: -v‘. e' ‘, v.'t$'- -new! W on me SIoIl~.1h5 (4 mo Smvey I Manse? -Jd S. em1- g Imgnpg urmies mu tenured f1V/ §IhmAVl, 'ri Iv--v me 1a'u.1|r9 Cum": Survey of unm¢hn| " V100"-nrnnfi romr-nrevm or the (mum-er Pm-5 Irma Anv -gp hnuwhntt‘ -‘mm: upauem :1». ( rn'.1 -4 ( . -4:1-. run in bv1wvvn( on-mu ultimo’: 2 min; iltvvpr-aikm (yuan up 2:. £. llS| m rum. ’ gvrvwth in -wrap -nu, ouvIiIr_ ropmlv-4 by sun-mu Canada in ma [ahnm Inna Vmvoy '3 m. rrwnn1|. . "V'. "“. "."