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Toronto real estate market charts - February 2014
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Toronto real estate market charts - February 2014

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Toronto real estate market charts - February 2014

Toronto real estate market charts - February 2014

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  • 1. 7:-I 5 H _I. .’J_15‘i i_| !l! L'i| .u‘| FI o'. 'l: lIlI(EiI iIIiI: J‘HE? : T . _s. 7- 1? ‘v w' i-‘ 4-‘ | ‘- -"1 . -.. ~4._ Housing Market Charts - February 2014
  • 2. TREB HOUSING MARKET CHARTS TorontoMLSSa| es Monthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison 12000 I2011 I2012 D2013 I2014 10000 8.000 6.000 4.000 Source? Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS‘ sales for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.
  • 3. TREB HOUSING MARKET CHARTS TorontoMLS New Listings Monthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison 25000 I2011 I2012 D2013 I2014 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 )0 Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS“ new listings for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.
  • 4. TREB HOUSING MARKET CHARTS TorontoM LS Sales-to-New Listings Ratio Monthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison :68 32011 32012 02013 -2014 0.90 0.80 0.70 0.60 0,50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 e : ‘-0° 0 Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots the monthly MLS° sales-to-new listings ratio ISNLRI for the current year and the previous three years. lhe recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month. When the SNLR moves higher, annual average DHCE‘ growth generally increases - often at a rate well above inflation. When the SNLR moves lower, annual averae price rowth enerally declines and can become neative.
  • 5. TREB HOUSING MARKET CHARTS TorontoMLSAverage Resale Home Price Monthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison 5000000 n2o11 -2012 E12013 -2014 $550,000 $500,000 $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots the monthly MLS" average home price for the current year and the previous three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.
  • 6. N . l.: l_l}* llllllfillltl . '.i: l:lZI3:| ;: :ii: ii: :2 TorontoMLS Sales Monthly Time Series with Trend Line 12,000 Actual MLS‘ Sales . I 10,000 Trend (12-Month Moving Average)“ ‘ [ ‘ . . I ‘ l . I 8,000 . ‘fl. III: T. IT ll 4,000 l'l” xi '. . ' It I . ‘o<o’%90~"«‘50-<><o’%<b0's’r'b>« 9 4:9 , ,,<~'°’ $9 . ,<~'°’ 09 6° o9 09 °9°°9°°9®°9°°9 6° <~'~’, ,<~'~’, ,o'~ <~'~, ,<~'~ ’° °x°'°’°’° s s'°°s ’° Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS‘ sales since January 1995. The blue line shows actual sales. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or other irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual sales must occur to change the direction of the trend.
  • 7. N . l.: l_l}* llllllfillltl . '.i: l:lZI3:| ;: :ii: ii: -2 TorontoMLS New Listings Monthly Time Series with Trend Line 22,000 20 000 ActualMLS' New Listings 18:00‘) Trend (12»Month Moving Average) I ' 16,000 ' 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 ¢, °§°°, °I°°, °$‘ 69069“°9°«o”°9"’°9°’°9°‘°9”°9'°°s5‘ ¢9”¢, o“¢, ~9°, ~”¢,0°, é”°, ~“ '° ’° ° ° ° ° 5''’ ° ’° ’° xi’ ° ° it s''* ° 9 ° ’° '° Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS‘ new listings since January 1995. The blue line shows actual new listings. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or other irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual new listings must occur to change the direction of the trend.
  • 8. N i: sue: = : l!lli: iI. ‘l€« . '.m: ::<a; « ; ::m: z:: :2 TorontoMLSAverage Price Monthly Time Series with Trend Line 575300 Actual MLS‘ Averag* Pric‘ 525,000 475,000 Trend (12-Month Moving Average) 425,000 375,000 325,000 275,000 225,000 175,000 #§§§&§¢&&Q§§§§&§#99§ go o° 30° 9° o° 9° 30° 'o° 39° o° 'o° 30° 59° o° 9° 9° o° o° o° ; z>° Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS‘ average price since January 1995. The blue line shows the actual average price. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12.month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or other irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual average price must occur to change the direction of the trend
  • 9. '_Tj‘: ff. POUSIII-3 . ".’i. £'~. .“‘. l(El CHWTS , lnllnsffle ' 1-. .. Inc: V—— I: It Inc‘ one bu-Q-don‘-Occac ; :[, . . _ ‘Spies-to-New listings Ratio Compared to Nnnual Percent Change in Home Price jsaies-to-New Listings Ratio 1-Average Price Annual Per Cent Change '. I e. g. - , -_, ,3, o Ln 3? 38 3% 32 (aun UMOJ8) asueqg zuaj) Jed ienuuv 93i. ld 38219/V 3.3 , _|. _l 5%’ 29; ii § 3 ” , .s; a°. »x»»~ ssb °° °°°" Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Explanation: This chart plots the monthly sales—to—new listings ratio (blue line) with ye-arover-year average annual per cent price change (brown line). When the sa| es—to new listings ratio moves higher, average annual per cent change in home prices generally trends higher. when the sales-to«new listings ratio moves lower, average annual per cent change in home prices generally trends lower.
  • 10. H i: i_i_: ~: llllllil iii llultlilé: ;: :ii: ii: TREB Affordability indicator share of Average Household Income Used for Mortgage Principal and interest, PropertyTaxes and Utilities on the Averaged Priced GTA Resale Home 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% . , . ~q§° 0 ct‘~s~‘*’Z. °Rs? ‘i°t1°? ??‘°i°? ’i°? "l°? ‘i°S9~锓; °9‘%<5’? r6’7t<9'? r<¢’t<5"7t°%¢i, <§‘&<5%%%%*’ ‘ Y Y Y I i l V 0*’ $ource: ‘l'oronto Real Estate Board Data and Calculation; Statistics Canada Explanation: This chart plots the share of average household income that goes toward rnortpp principal and interest, property taxes and utilities for the average priced home in the GTA subject to the loilowing assumptions: Au-nu . u-cal ul [val-In-: lnll *-. -nu-; uiu at rrpullrll by Tltfti . ‘0 per lent llown paynm-'. A-retype Seven! 7-IN I--'rt;9cemle i‘Sr. urimn (ans-l. n| 15,, y¢u arnor’ Inltor A-er sge pr Lefty in r in retrofit‘ ‘, y.'c-sh -xieii ii cm are Slollsilti (4 la. Smvey I Mzuset-Jd Semi. g Imgnpg uriiiies mu lenrvvgd nv/ tur-mun, -rt iv--v the rm-ax; Cum‘: Survey of ltniiuehnl‘ wen"-ncnnrl romr-nrents or the (rIru. i-vet Purl! lnrln Ant -9 hnuwhntt‘ -‘mm: ropautm :1». ( rn'.1 —. r ( nuns. run in bvhA'vvn( ovlluwl ultimo’: 2 min; iitrrpr-atirwi (yeah up 2:. £. llS| or raw. ’ ‘much in -wrap -nu, ouvIiIr_ ropounr by sun-mu Could: in ma uhnur lnrtq survey '3 or. nrwvril. . "V'. "“. "."