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Children's Parties and Other Ways to Cope with the Future

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Opening Keynote at ARAS Community Event Europe

Opening Keynote at ARAS Community Event Europe

Published in: Business, Technology

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  • 1. tonzijlstra.eu knowledge work, learning, complexity A children’s party, and other ways to cope with the future Bad Soden, 29 October 2013 ARAS Community Event Europe #ACEEU @ton_zylstra dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 2. http://www.flickr.com/photos/christchurchcitylibraries/2883645994/ A children’s party and other ways to cope with the future dinsdag 29 oktober 13 29-10-2013 ACE Europe
  • 3. http://www.flickr.com/photos/fredarmitage/1057613629/ “the future is already here” “it’s just not very evenly distributed” dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 4. dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 5. internet is to blame http://www.flickr.com/photos/kirklau/1638526962/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 6. as is mobile communications http://www.flickr.com/photos/menteblu61/6158389744/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 7. unintended consequences http://www.flickr.com/photos/dhdesign/1096464615/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 8. more connections http://internetcensus2012.github.io/InternetCensus2012/images/geovideo.gif dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 9. more real connections dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 10. http://www.flickr.com/photos/triterion/4063862492/ death of the middlemen dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 11. increased complexity, network metaphors dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 12. more information dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 13. opening existing data, access, knowledge, everything dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 14. existing data accessible (long tail) new data (qs) internet of things adding new data dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 15. higher speed http://www.flickr.com/photos/drewgeraets/122412289/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 16. non-linear change, cascading failures http://www.flickr.com/photos/newtown_grafitti/7209476640/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 17. exponential tech development dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 18. orders faster, cheaper, bigger http://www.flickr.com/photos/trevorandmarjee/8627043583/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 19. Networked life, networked work, networked learning Digital Disruption Wave disruption waves http://www.flickr.com/photos/73416633@N00/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 20. impact of more connections http://internetcensus2012.github.io/InternetCensus2012/images/geovideo.gif dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 21. increase in complexity dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 22. party planning http://www.flickr.com/photos/foreignoffice/2132852569/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 23. “Berlin is a pulsing, exciting city with so many varied and distinctive neighborhoods, iconic history all around, great food at all levels and from every corner of the world ... an excellent place to set up camp and make a great record.” (R.E.M. in Rolling Stone, July 2010) we are sensitive to complexity dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 24. and recognize its traces dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 25. • through connectedness more things are now complex • if treat complex like ‘normal’ we fail: better lists, AGI example on KM tools when better lists are useless dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 26. seeing layers dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 27. chaos: get out of the car, get off the road, where’s my phone! seeing layers dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 28. chaos: get out of the car, get off the road, where’s my phone! simple: you probably drove too fast, here’s a ticket. seeing layers dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 29. complicated: 28 incidents already, let’s place a warning sign. chaos: get out of the car, get off the road, where’s my phone! simple: you probably drove too fast, here’s a ticket. seeing layers dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 30. complex: weather, speed, roads, car(s), light, animals, me, let’s consider all complicated: 28 incidents already, let’s place a warning sign. chaos: get out of the car, get off the road, where’s my phone! simple: you probably drove too fast, here’s a ticket. seeing layers dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 31. EVENT complex complicated simple dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 32. • matrix, swallow the pill take the red pill http://www.flickr.com/photos/9731367@N02/8593252248/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 33. • droogzwemmen bestaat niet no dry runs, cheap ‘live’ experimentation http://www.flickr.com/photos/10422334@N08/6124947937/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 34. Shop theft This group did not exist according to public policy narrative as measurement (source: Cognitive Edge) dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 35. 7,2 http://www.flickr.com/photos/80563558@N00/6949694719/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 36. understanding our networks http://internetcensus2012.github.io/InternetCensus2012/images/geovideo.gif dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 37. (Paul Baran, 1964) network metaphor leading dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 38. dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 39. dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 40. dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 41. dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 42. 68 dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 43. • dinsdag 29 oktober 13 social media is social because it networks around info-objects (social objects)
  • 44. 70B items / month (fb) 190M / day (t) 3k / min (fl) 17M items (wpedia) 100hrs / min (yt) ‘if FB were a country’ 1,1B mostly useless metrics http://www.flickr.com/photos/jasonahowie/8583949219 dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 45. interesting metrics are about interaction http://www.flickr.com/photos/marc_smith/6785112263 dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 46. value rhythm evolution perspectives excitement spaces engagement functional communities (Wenger) http://www.flickr.com/photos/neoluk/6185522717/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 47. Michel Bauwens, p2pfoundation.net dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 48. impact of more information dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 49. the need to share dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 50. http://www.flickr.com/photos/walkingsf/4671578001/ more data = different dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 51. big data pitfalls: lack of context and hoarding http://visual.ly/big-data dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 52. open data dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 53. dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 54. dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 55. releasing data as intervention dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 56. data is a social object dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 57. existing data accessible (long tail) new data (qs) internet of things QS as new social objects dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 58. IoT, sharing and acting http://www.botanicalls.com/graphics/kit/sparkfun/800/IMG_8581_800.jpg dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 59. impact of higher speed http://www.flickr.com/photos/drewgeraets/122412289/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 60. non-linear change, cascading failures dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 61. non-linear change, ‘sudden emergence’ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 62. exponential tech development dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 63. http://www.hive76.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/LowerMag_WithFingerAndScaleBar_162pixelsPerMillimeter.jpg dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 64. Organic printing Solutions to foodproblems? health? (Siert Wijnia) dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 65. 10^14, 2:47 http://www.flickr.com/photos/wellcomeimages/5814146087/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 66. dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 67. http://www.flickr.com/photos/streamishmc/3836771157/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 68. wrap up http://www.flickr.com/photos/herselfsphotos/1205396238/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 69. just getting started http://www.flickr.com/photos/kirklau/1638526962/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 70. roll with it, resistance is futile http://www.flickr.com/photos/toohotty/2675099789/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 71. complexity, networks, social (data) objects http://www.flickr.com/photos/ringroadproductions/144808172/ dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 72. http://www.flickr.com/photos/christchurchcitylibraries/2883645994/ enjoy the party! dinsdag 29 oktober 13
  • 73. tonzijlstra.eu knowledge work, learning, complexity Credits All photos: Ton Zijlstra, by nc sa Except where URL mentioned on the photo, there (c) original source at URL. Slides: Ton Zijlstra, by Slides: http://slideshare.net/tonzijlstra Blog: http://zylstra.org/blog Contact: ton@tonzijlstra.eu Skype: ton_zylstra dinsdag 29 oktober 13