Electricity 2.0

Using The Lessons Of the Web To
 Improve Our Energy Networks

          ETech 2009

                     ...
Tom Raftery


        •Lead analyst, energy and
        sustainability practice,
        RedMonk
        •GreenMonk.net
  ...
Background




             3
Telecoms




Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Alexander_Graham_Bell.jpg

                                         ...
Telecoms




Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:1876_Bell_Speaking_into_Telephone.jpg

                             ...
Telecoms




Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Alexander_Graham_Bell.jpg      Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/al...
Electricity




Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Thomas_Edison.jpg          Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/int...
Electricity 1.0 - LANs!




 Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/adambrock/142056834/


                                   ...
Electricity 1.0 - Read Only




    Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/ericskiff/2400270056/



                          ...
Electricity 1.0 - Top Down




   Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/mikedefiant/1949525340/


                           ...
Electricity 1.0 - buggy




 Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/smb_flickr/892015017/


                                  ...
Electricity 1.0 - Dumb!




   Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/bright/24691962/



                                    ...
Electricity 1.0 - Closed!




 Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/markusschoepke/72431367/


                             ...
Electricity 1.0 - Architected for the Past




           Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/bakewell/35026819/


        ...
Provisioning for Hits




 Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/hsinho/228010056/

                                         ...
Provisioning for Hits




                        16
Then along comes...




 Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/hsinho/228010056/
                                            ...
Renewable energy




Source - Red Eléctrica de España (http://www.ree.es)
                                                ...
Renewable energy




    Source - http://www.eirgrid.ie
                                     19
Renewable energy

       Electricity
                     Wind Energy   Wind
        Demand



       5GW max       0.9GW ...
Renewable energy - 2020

       Electricity
                     Wind Energy   Wind
        Demand



       10GW max     ...
Storage?




Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/spo0ky/420291292/
                                                       22
Exotic storage solutions




 Image http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/d/d9/Minebw-large.jpg
                       ...
Exotic Storage solutions




Image http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9a/Pumpstor_racoon_mtn.jpg



         ...
Which leads to...




    Graph - http://www.eirgrid.ie
                                    25
And this...




              26
Current scenario




                   27
Change agents




Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/enigmaphotos/458004066/
                                             ...
Change agents




Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/sshb/3212887119/
                                                    ...
Solutions?




             30
Smart Grid




Photo: http://www.flickr.com/photos/traftery/2996254784/
                                                  ...
Smart Grid potential?

Smart grid technologies were the largest opportunity found in
the study and could globally reduce 2...
Use proven principles




 Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/alexbip/247333777/
                                         ...
Information




Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/traftery/2888824539/
                                                  ...
Smart Grid potential?

95% [of Americans] are interested in receiving detailed
information on their energy use

          ...
Use proven principles




     Data: http://www.synergymodule.com
                                          36
TiVo’ising Energy Use




 Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/earlysound/485734055/
                                      ...
Peak Shaving




Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/ronlayters/13237817/
                                                 ...
Demand Stimulation




 Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/pigpogm/320545917/
                                            ...
Push => Pull




               40
The Read/Write Grid




  Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/cdell/185642911/
                                            ...
Plug!




http://www.archboldelectric.com/
                                   42
Vehicle to Grid - p2p power?




    Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/better_place/3062172470/
                         ...
Quote

I could imagine a smart garage where I would plug in
my car and the computer handles it. I could even
make money by...
Enablers?




            45
Enablers?




 http://www.consert.com/
                           46
Enablers?




http://www.getgreenbox.com/
                              47
Enablers?




http://www.tendrilinc.com/
                             48
Enablers?




http://www.gridpoint.com/
                            49
Enablers?




http://www.google.org/powermeter/howitworks.html
                                                   50
Grassroots




http://homecamp.pbwiki.com/
                              51
Grassroots




Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/dalelane/3148136252/
                                                    ...
To Know Me Is To Change Me




     Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/tristanf/2627886505/




                          ...
To Know Me Is To Change Me




     Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/dalelane/3074171640/
                               ...
Hacking Your Home Electric




       Screenshot http://twitter.com/andy_house
                                           ...
To Know Me Is To Change Me




       Screenshot http://my.amee.com/demo/1
                                              56
Hacking Your Home Electric




    Screenshot http://stanford-clark.com/cgi-bin/cc128pie.pl?andy
                         ...
What if?




           58
What if?




Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/melancon/285306424/
                                                      ...
What if?




           60
What if?




Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/commensa/2531256290/
                                                     ...
Why is this important?

As global average temperature increase exceeds about 3.5
degrees C, model projections suggest sign...
Why is this critical?

If there’s no action before 2012, that’s too late. What we do in
the next two to three years will d...
Thanks!


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Electricity 2.0 @ Etech

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Tom Raftery of GreenMonk.net's updated Electricity 2.0 presentation for the 2009 O'Reilly ETech conference.

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Electricity 2.0 @ Etech

  1. 1. Electricity 2.0 Using The Lessons Of the Web To Improve Our Energy Networks ETech 2009 1
  2. 2. Tom Raftery •Lead analyst, energy and sustainability practice, RedMonk •GreenMonk.net •twitter.com/tomraftery •tom@redmonk.com •+34 677 695 468 2
  3. 3. Background 3
  4. 4. Telecoms Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Alexander_Graham_Bell.jpg 4
  5. 5. Telecoms Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:1876_Bell_Speaking_into_Telephone.jpg 5
  6. 6. Telecoms Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Alexander_Graham_Bell.jpg Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/alt1040/2675256698/ 6
  7. 7. Electricity Photo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Thomas_Edison.jpg Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/intimaj/111843868/ 7
  8. 8. Electricity 1.0 - LANs! Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/adambrock/142056834/ 8
  9. 9. Electricity 1.0 - Read Only Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/ericskiff/2400270056/ 9
  10. 10. Electricity 1.0 - Top Down Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/mikedefiant/1949525340/ 10
  11. 11. Electricity 1.0 - buggy Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/smb_flickr/892015017/ 11
  12. 12. Electricity 1.0 - Dumb! Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/bright/24691962/ 12
  13. 13. Electricity 1.0 - Closed! Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/markusschoepke/72431367/ 13
  14. 14. Electricity 1.0 - Architected for the Past Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/bakewell/35026819/ 14
  15. 15. Provisioning for Hits Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/hsinho/228010056/ 15
  16. 16. Provisioning for Hits 16
  17. 17. Then along comes... Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/hsinho/228010056/ 17
  18. 18. Renewable energy Source - Red Eléctrica de España (http://www.ree.es) 18
  19. 19. Renewable energy Source - http://www.eirgrid.ie 19
  20. 20. Renewable energy Electricity Wind Energy Wind Demand 5GW max 0.9GW max 2006 6.5% 1.8GW min 0.0GW min 20
  21. 21. Renewable energy - 2020 Electricity Wind Energy Wind Demand 10GW max 6.3GW max 2020 40% 3.6 GW min 0.0GW min 21
  22. 22. Storage? Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/spo0ky/420291292/ 22
  23. 23. Exotic storage solutions Image http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/d/d9/Minebw-large.jpg 23
  24. 24. Exotic Storage solutions Image http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/9a/Pumpstor_racoon_mtn.jpg 24
  25. 25. Which leads to... Graph - http://www.eirgrid.ie 25
  26. 26. And this... 26
  27. 27. Current scenario 27
  28. 28. Change agents Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/enigmaphotos/458004066/ 28
  29. 29. Change agents Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/sshb/3212887119/ 29
  30. 30. Solutions? 30
  31. 31. Smart Grid Photo: http://www.flickr.com/photos/traftery/2996254784/ 31
  32. 32. Smart Grid potential? Smart grid technologies were the largest opportunity found in the study and could globally reduce 2.03 GtCO2e, worth €79 billion ($124.6 billion) The Climate Group Smart 2020 Report http://www.smart2020.org/ 32
  33. 33. Use proven principles Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/alexbip/247333777/ 33
  34. 34. Information Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/traftery/2888824539/ 34
  35. 35. Smart Grid potential? 95% [of Americans] are interested in receiving detailed information on their energy use Oracle Turning Information into Power Report http://www.oracle.com/go/?&Src=6642417&Act=71&pcode=NAUT08044847MPP139 35
  36. 36. Use proven principles Data: http://www.synergymodule.com 36
  37. 37. TiVo’ising Energy Use Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/earlysound/485734055/ 37
  38. 38. Peak Shaving Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/ronlayters/13237817/ 38
  39. 39. Demand Stimulation Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/pigpogm/320545917/ 39
  40. 40. Push => Pull 40
  41. 41. The Read/Write Grid Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/cdell/185642911/ 41
  42. 42. Plug! http://www.archboldelectric.com/ 42
  43. 43. Vehicle to Grid - p2p power? Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/better_place/3062172470/ 43
  44. 44. Quote I could imagine a smart garage where I would plug in my car and the computer handles it. I could even make money by cost shifting.... It solves energy security, energy prices and job creation...and by the way, climate change. Eric Schmidt CEO Google 44
  45. 45. Enablers? 45
  46. 46. Enablers? http://www.consert.com/ 46
  47. 47. Enablers? http://www.getgreenbox.com/ 47
  48. 48. Enablers? http://www.tendrilinc.com/ 48
  49. 49. Enablers? http://www.gridpoint.com/ 49
  50. 50. Enablers? http://www.google.org/powermeter/howitworks.html 50
  51. 51. Grassroots http://homecamp.pbwiki.com/ 51
  52. 52. Grassroots Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/dalelane/3148136252/ 52
  53. 53. To Know Me Is To Change Me Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/tristanf/2627886505/ 53
  54. 54. To Know Me Is To Change Me Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/dalelane/3074171640/ 54
  55. 55. Hacking Your Home Electric Screenshot http://twitter.com/andy_house 55
  56. 56. To Know Me Is To Change Me Screenshot http://my.amee.com/demo/1 56
  57. 57. Hacking Your Home Electric Screenshot http://stanford-clark.com/cgi-bin/cc128pie.pl?andy 57 Blogpost http://eightbar.co.uk
  58. 58. What if? 58
  59. 59. What if? Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/melancon/285306424/ 59
  60. 60. What if? 60
  61. 61. What if? Photo http://www.flickr.com/photos/commensa/2531256290/ 61
  62. 62. Why is this important? As global average temperature increase exceeds about 3.5 degrees C, model projections suggest significant extinctions (40-70% of species assessed) around the globe. 2007 IPCC Climate Change Synthesis Report http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/syr/ar4_syr_spm.pdf 62
  63. 63. Why is this critical? If there’s no action before 2012, that’s too late. What we do in the next two to three years will determine our future. This is the defining moment. Rajendra Pachauri Chair IPCC 63
  64. 64. Thanks! 64
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