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Global Talent Market Quarterly                     FOURTH QUARTER   l   2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly CONTENTS	  CONTENTS 33          	  Global	  Economic	  Situa>on	              Global Econom...
Global Economic Situation                FOURTH QUARTER   l   2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly                                                                                            ...
Global Talent Market Quarterly                                                                                            ...
Global Labor Market Update                 FOURTH QUARTER   l   2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly                                                                                            ...
Global Talent Market Quarterly                                                                                            ...
Global Talent Market Quarterly                                                                                            ...
Global Talent Market Quarterly                                                                                            ...
U.S. Labor Market Overview                 FOURTH QUARTER   l   2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly                                                                                            ...
Global Talent Market Quarterly                                                                                            ...
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011
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Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011

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The Global Talent Market Quarterly provides a summary of the current economic and labor market conditions around the world and gives insight into how they might impact you.

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Transcript of "Global Talent Market Quarterly Q 4 2011"

  1. 1. Global Talent Market Quarterly FOURTH QUARTER l 2011
  2. 2. Global Talent Market Quarterly CONTENTS  CONTENTS 33  Global  Economic  Situa>on   Global Economic Situation • Briefing 6  Global  Labor  Market  Update   • Outlook        •  Americas   6 Global MEA   Market Update        •  E Labor        •  APAC   • Americas • EMEA 11  U.S.  Labor  Market  Overview   • APAC        •  Current  Employment  Condi8ons   • Legislative Update        •  Supply  and  Demand   11        •  Labor  Market  Spotlight   U.S. Labor Market Overview • Current Employment Conditions 15  Workforce  Solu>ons  Industry  Insight   • Supply and Demand        •  Global  RPO  Report   • Labor Market Spotlight        •  Con8ngent  Labor  Management  Trends   15 Workforce Webcast  Series   Insight        •  Kelly   Solutions Industry • Global RPO Report   • Contingent Labor Management Trends • Kelly Webcast Series  
  3. 3. Global Economic Situation FOURTH QUARTER l 2011
  4. 4. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  ECONOMIC  BRIEFING     The  global  economy  looks  to  be  on  a  moderate  growth  path  in  the  last  part  of  2011.  Future  growth  expecta>ons  are  dependent  upon  an   increase  in  consumer  and  business  confidence,  and  an  easing  in  fiscal  and  poli>cal  discord  in  key  markets  including  the  US  and  Eurozone.   AMERICAS   EMEA   APAC   Economic  growth  is  expected  to  be  sluggish   Growth  will  be  muted  across  EMEA  as   The  region’s  economies  have  rebounded  from   but  posi>ve  in  the  U.S.  through  2012,  fueling   uncertainty  over  fiscal  policies,  social   natural  disasters  in  early  2011.  Weakening   moderate  economic  ac>vity  in  the  region.     tensions,  and  structural  issues  con>nues.   export  demand  is  a  moun>ng  concern.   Canada   Eurozone   Japan   AGer  a  mid-­‐year  lull,  the  Canadian  economy  is   Despite  an  agreement  on    the  debt  crisis,   Post-­‐earthquake  reconstruc8on  con8nues  to   seeing  posi8ve  momentum  in  the  second  half   economic  uncertainty  persists.  In  addi8on,   drive  growth  in  the  second  half  of  2011,  but  as   of  2011,  boosted  by  strength  in  manufacturing.   weak  consumer  spending  and  8ghter  fiscal   public  spending  tapers  off  in  2012,  private   Slower  growth  is  forecast  for  2012.     policies  across  the  region  are  contribu8ng  to   consump8on  is  expected  to  sustain  the   sub-­‐1%  growth  forecasts  and  the  risk  of   economy’s  momentum.   U.S.   recession  into  2012.   The  economy  has  struggled  to  maintain  its   China   upward  trajectory,  but  forecasts  indicate   U.K.   Slowing  but  s8ll  robust  growth  in  the  range  of   modest  growth  in  the  second  half  of  2011.   The  economy  will  con8nue  to  struggle  in  late   8-­‐9%  is  expected  to  con8nue  in  2012.  Poten8al   Poli8cal  disagreements  and  global  uncertainty   2011  due  to  high  infla8on,  ongoing  austerity   weakness  in  export  demand  from  advanced   con8nue  to  undermine  the  na8on’s  growth   measures,  and  regional  slowdown  concerns.   markets  poses  the  biggest  risk  to  China’s   prospects.   Modest  growth  is  expected  in  2012.   economic  health.     La>n  America   Central  and  Eastern  Europe   India   Decelera8ng  demand  for  exports  will  keep   Economic  ac8vity  is  slowing  in  response  to   Despite  rising  infla8on  and  a  slowdown  in  the   economic  growth  in  check  in  2012.  Despite  the   weaker  global  and  Eurozone  demand,  but   industrial  sector,  service  sector  resilience  will   slowdown,  regional  growth  will  remain  in  a   growth  rates  will  remain  among  the  strongest   keep  growth  rates  near  8%    in  2012.     healthy  3-­‐4%  range  in  the  short  term.   in  the  EMEA  region  in  2012.     Australia     Middle  East  and  North  Africa   Modest  economic  ac8vity  is  expected  for  the     Con8nued  poli8cal  and  social  turmoil  is   balance  of  2011.  The  booming  natural     dampening  growth  in  some  markets,  but  oil   resources  and  mining  sector  will  drive  higher   expor8ng  countries  will  con8nue  to  see  strong   growth  in  2012.     economic  ac8vity  in  2012.             May  Top  9%  as  Slump  Poses  Risk,  Bloomberg,  10.16.11;  Central  Europe  Seeing  Decelera8ng  Growth,  Wall  Street  Journal  Europe,  08.17.11;   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  –Country  Intelligence  Reports  (Ocotber  2011);  China  Growth  4   Eastern  European  Outlook:  Growth  will  slow  -­‐  but  not  as  sharply  as  in  the  West,  SEB,October  2011;  Recovering  Canadian  economy  grows  in  July,  Reuters,  9.30.11;  U.S.  2Q  GDP  Growth  Edges  Up  to  1.3%,  Reuters,  9.30.11;  Weak  and     bumpy  global  recovery  ahead,  SIA  Daily  News  09.21.1;  Consumers,  businesses  pump  up  US  Q3  growth,  Reuters,  10.27.11  
  5. 5. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS ECONOMIC  OUTLOOK     Economic  performance  remains  very  uneven,  with  strong  growth  in  emerging  markets  and  weakness  in  the  advanced  economies,   par>cularly  the  U.S.  and  Europe.  A  slight  accelera>on  is  expected  in  H2  2011  and  in  2012  but  ongoing  downside  risks  make  the  growth   outlook  uncertain.   Real  GDP  Growth  Rates  (%  Change)   Real  GDP  Growth  Rates  (%  Change)  Select  Markets     2011  (proj.)     2012  (proj.)     Country/  Region   2010  (est.)   2011  (proj.)   2012  (proj.)   AMERICAS   Japan     Brazil   7.5%   3.6%   3.9%   U.K.   Canada   3.2%   2.2%   1.9%   U.S.   3.0%   1.7%   1.4%   France     EMEA   France   1.4%   1.6%   0.4%   U.S.     Germany   3.6%   3.0%   1.0%   Italy   1.2%   0.6%   -­‐0.2%   Germany     Russia   4.0%   4.1%   3.9%   U.K.   1.8%   0.9%   1.0%   WORLD     Eurozone   1.7%   1.6%   0.3%   Brazil     APAC   Australia   2.7%   1.7%   3.2%   Russia     China   10.3%   9.3%   8.1%   India   8.8%   7.5%   7.7%   India     Japan   4.0%   -­‐0.6%   2.7%   APAC   7.0%   4.7%   6.0%   China     WORLD   4.2%   3.1%   3.5%   -­‐1%   1%   3%   5%   7%   9%   11%   Source:  IHS  Global  Insight  –Country  Intelligence  Reports  (October  2011)  5  
  6. 6. Global Labor Market Update FOURTH QUARTER l 2011
  7. 7. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  AMERICAS   10%     employment  gains  remain  moderate  as  global  economic  uncertainty   U.S.   2008   5%   con>nues  to  impact  employer  confidence;  other  regional  labor  markets   2010   such  as  Brazil  and  Canada  show  more  resiliency.   0%     U.S.   Brazil   Canada   Mexico   2012   UNITED  STATES   BRAZIL   CANADA   MEXICO   Hiring  con8nues  on  a  subdued   Brazil  con8nues  to  see  record   Canadian  job  crea8on  exceeded   Mexico’s  unemployment  rate   pace  into  the  last  half  of  2011,  as   low  unemployment  rates    (at  6%   expecta8ons  in  September  as  the   rose  in  August,  and  remains   private  company  job  crea8on   for  three  straight  months)  and   unemployment  rate  fell  to  a   higher  than  before  the  economic   makes  up  for  public  sector  losses.   steady  job  crea8on.  The  8ght   three-­‐year  low.  Much  of  the   crisis  despite  increases  in  formal   While  the  latest  labor  market   labor  market  is  also  driving  salary   employment  growth  during  the   private  sector  job  crea8on.  The   news  is  posi8ve,  hiring  is  likely  to   increases.  Average  earnings  for   month  came  in  the  public  sector,   underemployment  rate,  or   remain  muted  un8l  the  global   Brazilian  workers  were  up  0.5%   par8cularly  in  educa8on;  rising   people  who  reported  having   economic  picture  becomes  less   month-­‐over-­‐month  and  3.2%   self-­‐employment  also  accounted   work  but  wan8ng  more,  also   uncertain.   year-­‐over-­‐year  in  August.     for  a  significant  por8on  of  the   jumped  in  August.   Despite  persistently  high   While  the  labor  market  remains   country’s  job  increases.   A  bright  spot  in  the  Mexican   unemployment,  U.S.  firms  s8ll   strong,  increasing  foreign   The  oil  and  gas  industry  is   economy  has  been  the   report  difficul8es  in  alrac8ng   compe88on  has  caused  a  lull  in   expected  to  lead  the  na8on  in   automo8ve  sector.  In  the  first   and  retaining  top  talent.  Some   the  country’s  industrial  sector.   job  growth  over  the  next  20   nine  months  of  2011,  auto   employers  are  partnering  with   The  Brazilian  government  has   years.  Direct  and  indirect   produc8on  was  up  15%  over  the   universi8es  or  the  military  to  find   launched  a  program  called  "A   employment  as  a  result  of  new   prior  year,  and  output  remains   qualified  candidates,  while   Bigger  Brazil"  that  is  intended  to   oil  sands  investments  is  expected   on  a  record  pace  for  the  full  year.     others  are  focusing  more  effort   protect  and  promote  its   to  grow  from  75,000  jobs  in  2010   on  social  media  and  technology-­‐ domes8c  industry.     to  over  900,000  jobs  in  2035.   based  recrui8ng  tools.     “Canada’s  oil  sands  con8nue  to  create  significant  long-­‐term,  well-­‐paid,  skilled  jobs.  One  of  our  industry’s  most   pressing  issues  is  in  fact  a  lack  of  skilled  people  to  fill  the  jobs  we  have  today  and  foresee  in  the  future.”     —  Dave  Collyer,  President,  Canadian  Associa4on  of  Petroleum  Producers     Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  –Country  Intelligence  Reports  (October  2011);  Mexicos  August  Unemployment  5.8%  Vs  5.4%  Year  Ago,  Wall  Street  Journal,  09.23.11;  Brazils  Aug  Unemployment  Rate  6%,  Flat  Vs  Jul,  AE  Brazil  Newswire,   09.22.11;  Lag  in  Industrial  Sector  Slows  Brazil’s  Job  Growth,  BusinessWeek,  10.18.11;  Mexican  auto  output  up  14%  from  September  2010,  MarketWatch,  10.12.11;  Canada  Talent  Market  Snapshot,  Marke8ng  Informa8on,  10.11;  Oil  7   sands  a  Canadian  job  creator,  CAPP,  09.22.11;  Feeling  the  pinch,  Calgary  Herald,  10.15.11;  US  Talent  Market  Monthly,  October  2011;  Problems  -­‐-­‐  and  Solu8ons:  We  asked  HR  execu8ves:  Whats  your  biggest  challenge?  Wall  Street   Journal,  10.24.11  
  8. 8. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   TABLE OF CONTENTS GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  EMEA   10%     2008   The  debt  crisis  and  other  factors  are  puing  a  damper  on  economic  and  labor   5%   2010   market  growth  across  much  of  the  EMEA  region.  Austerity  plans  are  limi>ng   2012   public  sector  employment,  and  firms  remain  hesitant  to  take  on  addi>onal     0%   workers. Germany   France   U.K.   Russia   Italy   GERMANY   FRANCE   UNITED  KINGDOM   RUSSIA   The  German  labor  market   The  labor  market  remains  fragile,   The  UK  labor  market  shows   The  unemployment  rate  con8nues   con8nues  to  show  robust   as  economic  uncertainty  is   con8nuing  weakness,  as  austerity   to  recover  quickly,  falling  to  6.1%   performance  despite  indica8ons   keeping  hiring  levels  soG.   measures  are  causing  large  job   in  August  compared  to  an  average   of  a  global  economic  slowdown.   Unemployment  hit  9.1%  in  the   losses  in  the  public  sector,  while   rate  of  7.5%  in  Q1  2011.  The   Unemployment  fell  to  a  record   second  quarter  and  is  forecast  to   concerns  over  the  European  debt   Russian  government  expects  the   low  again  in  September  2011,   rise  again,  signifying  the   crisis  and  slowing  global  growth   unemployment  rate  to  drop  below   while  job  vacancies  con8nue  to   government’s  target  rate  of  9%   have  kept  private  company  hiring   6%  through  2014.     increase.  The  outlook  calls  for   unemployment  by  the  end  of   in  check.   Russian  workers’  mobility  has   con8nued  stable  employment   2011  will  not  be  met.   increased  following  the  recession,   Young  people  have  been  among   growth  into  2012.   as  more  employees  relocate  to   According  to  Frances  quarterly   the  most  severely  affected  by  the   Wage  growth  has  also  been  brisk   business  survey,  demand  for   slowdown  in  the  UK  labor   pursue  beler  jobs,  higher  pay,  and   in  Germany,  as  companies  are   manufactured  goods  weakened   market.  Unemployment  in  the   improved  living  condi8ons.     issuing  raises  and  higher  bonus   sharply  during  the  third  quarter.   age  16-­‐24  group  is  approaching  1   payments,  and  further  reducing   Demand  is  also  expected  to   million,  or  more  than  21%,  and   ITALY   the  number  of  people  in  short-­‐ contract  in  the  fourth  quarter  of   concern  is  growing  that  many   Italy’s  unemployment  rate  is  stable   8me  work.  The  highest  wage   the  year,  giving  rise  to  new   youths  will  be  out  of  work  for  an   at  around  8%.To  help  boost   growth  in  Q2  2011  came  from   worries  about  the  short-­‐term   extended  period  given  the   employment,  the  government   the  manufacturing  industry,   strength  of  the  French  economy   persistently  weak  economy.   pledged  to  ease  hiring  and  firing   where  wages  improved  by  7.0%.   and  labor  market.   rules  as  part  of  an  austerity  plan     announced  in  August  2011.     .     "Youth  unemployment  is  like  a  dripping  tap,  cos8ng  tens  of  millions  of  pounds  a  week  through  benefits  and  lost   produc8vity.  And,  just  like  a  dripping  tap,  if  we  dont  do  something  to  fix  it,  its  likely  to  get  much  worse.“     —  Paul  Brown,  director  of  communica4ons  at  UK  youth  charity  The  Princes  Trust   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  –Country  Intelligence  Reports  (October  2011);  Unemployment  rate  in  Russia  might  drop  to  5.8%  by  2014,  Russia  &  CIS  Business  and  Financial  Newswire,  09.22.11;  White  collar  workers  becoming  more   mobile,  Moscow  News,  10.19.11;  Italy’s  Jobless  Rate  Unchanged  at  8  Percent  as  Economy  Grows,  Bloomberg,  08.31.11;  U.K.  Unemployment  Hits  16-­‐Year  High,  Wall  Street  Journal  Europe,  10.13.11;  Youth  unemployment:  The  angry   millions,  The  Independent,  10.11.11;  France  -­‐  Differing  job  crea8on  forecasts  for  2012,  SIA  Daily  News,  10.07.11;  German  unemployment  falls  to  record  low  in  September,  Agence  France  Presse,  09.29.11;  Real  wages  in  Germany  grow  8   1.9%  Y/Y  in  Q2,  Frankfurter  Allgemeine  Zeitung,  09.22.11;  French  job  picture  dims,  Wall  Street  Journal,  10.26.11  
  9. 9. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO GLOBAL  LABOR  MARKET  UPDATE:  APAC   Average  Annual  Unemployment  Rate   TABLE OF CONTENTS 10%     2008   A  slowdown  in  global  demand  has  caused  some  modera>on  in  the  strong   5%   2010   growth  of  APAC  labor  markets,  but  the  region’s  economies  s>ll  show  healthy   2012   job  crea>on  and  an  increasing  trend  towards  recrui>ng  foreign  talent  to   address  skilled  labor  shortages.   0%   Japan   China   India   Australia   CHINA   JAPAN   INDIA   AUSTRALIA   The  Chinese  economy  generated   Japan’s  unemployment  rate  fell   Hiring  ac8vity  is  expected  to   The  labor  market  has  cooled   9.9  million  jobs  in  the  first  nine   to  4.1%,  hiyng  its  lowest  level  in   moderate  through  the  end  of   somewhat  in  2011  in  the  wake  of   months  of  2011,  exceeding  the   nearly  three  years,  and  job   2011,  as  global  economic   soGer  global  and  regional   government’s  target  of  crea8ng  9   availability  improved  slightly  in   uncertainty  is  causing  a  slight   demand,  but  employment  trends   million  jobs  for  the  year.  The   September  2011.  The  improved   slowdown  in  the  country’s  job   are  stable  and  op8mis8c  headed   Chinese  government  will   figures  from  September  are   market.   into  2012.   con8nue  its  efforts  to  boost   par8cularly  encouraging,  as  they   A  growing  number  of  foreign   Skills  shortages  are  growing   employment  by  introducing   are  the  first  to  include  data  from   workers,  primarily  professionals   throughout  the  Australian   favorable  tax  policies  and   the  regions  hardest  hit  by  the   from  the  US  and  Europe,  are  s8ll     economy.  In  a  survey  of  300   providing  financial  support.     natural  disaster  in  the  spring.   looking  to  India  for  jobs.  Hiring  of   Australian  businesses,  61%  of   China’s  largest-­‐ever  college   Japanese  companies  are  looking   expatriates  has  increased  an   respondents  reported  skills   gradua8ng  class,  6.6  million,  hit   to  alleviate  a  cri8cal  long-­‐term   es8mated  15-­‐20%  in  2011.  There   shortages  in  2011,  up  from  51%   the  labor  market  in  the  summer   challenge–a  shrinking  workforce   are  currently  as  many  as  40,000   the  previous  year.  Many  firms   of  2011.  Concerns  remain  about   –by  hiring  and  promo8ng  more   expat  professionals  working  in   say  they  prefer  to  train   the  country’s  ability  to  create   women.  Japanese  women  are   various  industries  in  India,   Australian  employees  in  order  to   enough  high-­‐quality  posi8ons  to   also  increasingly  interested  in  job   par8cularly  in  the  banking  and   meet  future  skill  needs,  but  some   accommodate  the  growing   opportuni8es  to  help  ease  family   financial  services,  automobile,   are  sponsoring  foreign  workers  in   number  of  educated  workers.   economic  concerns.   pharmaceu8cal,  energy  and   order  to  fill  the  gaps.   retail  sectors.           "There  will  be  a  heavy  reliance  on  bringing  people  in  from  overseas.  Even  with  the  training  of  Australians,  we  have   expecta8ons  that  [impor8ng  foreign  workers]  will  con8nue  to  grow."   —  Karen  Waller,  Head  of  Migra4on,  KPMG  Australia   Sources:  IHS  Global  Insight  –Country  Intelligence  Reports  (October  2011);  Labour  shortages  grow  by  10%,  re8rement  of  baby  boomers  a  challenge  for  SMEs,  SmartCompany.au,  10.10.11;  India  Incs  hiring  outlook  for  Oct-­‐Dec  quarter  takes  a   bea8ng,  India  Times,  10.14.11;  Booming  economy:  India  Inc  expats’  hiring  up  20%  this  year,  India  Times,  10.10.11;  Japan  Jobless  Rate  Falls  to  4.3  Pct  in  Aug,  Jiji  Press,  09.29.11;  Firms  Turning  to  Women  for  Growth,  Nikkei  Report,  08.27.11;   China  exceeds  employment  target,  Economic  Times,  10.25.11;  Amid  China  boom,  job  search  for  many  grads  goes  bust,  Reuters,  09.13.11;  Japans  jobless  rate  drops  to  lowest  in  three  years,  DPA,  10.28.11  9  
  10. 10. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS LEGISLATIVE  UPDATE     desire  to  boost  domes>c  worker  par>cipa>on  is  driving  employment  legisla>on  in  Singapore  and  Saudi  Arabia,  while  easing   A   restric>ons  for  employers  is  the  impetus  for  changes  to  the  labor  code  in  Hungary  and  Spain.  In  the  US,  the  “hot  bumon”  issue  of   classifica>on  of  independent  contractors  illustrates  the  dichotomy  between  the  desire  for  flexibility  and  the  need  for  regula>on.   RUSSIA   FRANCE   Government  is  considering   Employers  with  50  or  more   plans  to  eliminate  labor   employees  must  have  a  gender   books,  the  mandatory   equality  ac8on  plan  or   method  of  employment   UNITED  STATES   documenta8on  and  benefit   CHINA   collec8ve  agreement  in  place   The  IRS  has  launched  a  limited   verifica8on  for  all  workers.     As  of  October  2011,   by  January  1,  2012.   amnesty  program  that  will  enable   foreign  employees  who   employers  to  resolve  past  worker   work  in  China  must   classifica8on  issues.  In  addi8on,   HUNGARY   enroll  in  the  social   INDIA   proposed  legisla8on  would  create   Reduced  unemployment  benefits  and   insurance  system.   Approved  a  na8onal  manufacturing   stricter  record-­‐keeping   introduced  employer-­‐friendly  amendments   policy  that  aims  to  increase   requirements  for  companies  that   to  the  labor  code,  including  looser   produc8on  capabili8es,  improve   hire  independent  contractors.   provisions  for  over8me  work  and   manufacturing  infrastructure,  and   compensa8on,  and  more  restric8ons  on   create  100  million  addi8onal  jobs.   vaca8on  8me  and  childcare  leave.     SINGAPORE   Tightening  eligibility   SPAIN   requirements  for   THAILAND   The  government  is  temporarily  liGing  the   Reviewing  plans  to  ins8tute  a   expatriates  seeking   restric8ons  requiring  employers  to  offer   na8onal  minimum  wage.  Currently   professional  employment   ARGENTINA   visas  as  of  January  2012.   permanent  posi8ons  to  workers  with   there  are  more  than  30  minimum   Effec8ve  September   two  or  more  fixed-­‐term  contracts.   wages  that  vary  by  city.   2011,  the  minimum   wage  increased  by  25%.   SAUDI  ARABIA   By  the  end  of  November  2011,  employers  must   comply  with  laws  that  mandate  quotas  of  Saudi   workers  or  face  puni8ve  measures.   Sources:  Aon  Hewil  Global  Legisla8ve  Developments  (July-­‐September  2011);  Washington  DC  Employment  Law  Update,  Liller  Mendelson,  09.23.11  and  10.17.11;  India  Cabinet  Approves  Na8onal  Manufacturing  Policy,  Wall  Street   Journal  Online,  10.25.11  10  
  11. 11. U.S. Labor Market Overview FOURTH QUARTER l 2011
  12. 12. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  EMPLOYMENT  CONDITIONS     PAYROLLS  RISE,  BUT  UNEMPLOYMENT   U.S.  MONTHLY  EMPLOYMENT  CHANGE  AND  UNEMPLOYMENT  RATE   REMAINS  STUBBORNLY  HIGH   600   11.0   Unemployment  Rate  (%)   Employment  (000’s)   U.S.  employers  hired  103,000  new   300   10.0   workers  in  September,  slightly  ahead  of   9.0   analysts’  modest  growth  expecta8ons.   0   Hiring  totals  for  July  and  August  were   8.0   -­‐300   revised  up  by  a  combined  99,000  jobs,   7.0   another    encouraging  sign  that  is  helping   -­‐600   6.0   ease  concerns  about  the  threat  of  a   -­‐900   5.0   Jul-­‐08   Jan-­‐09   Jul-­‐09   Jan-­‐10   Jul-­‐10   Jan-­‐11   Jul-­‐11   Oct-­‐08   Oct-­‐09   Oct-­‐10   Apr-­‐09   Apr-­‐10   Apr-­‐11   double-­‐dip  recession.   Private  employers  again  accounted  for  all   of  September’s  job  growth,  as   Non-­‐Farm  Employment   Private-­‐Sector  Employment   Unemployment  Rate   government  payrolls  con8nue  to  shrink   in  response  to  rising  budget  deficits.   Government  payrolls  fell  34,000  over  the   month  and  have  shed  nearly  300,000     EMPLOYMENT  OVERVIEW   jobs  since  last  September.   SEPT   AUG   JULY   JUNE   MAY   The  na8on’s  jobless  rate  held  at  9.1%    for   a  third  consecu8ve  month  in  September,   Total  non-­‐farm  employment  growth   103K   57K   127K   20K   53K   however,  and  will  not  see  any  significant   improvement  un8l  the  economy  can   Private  employment  growth   137K   42K   173K   75K   99K   consistently  create  a  minimum  of   150,000  jobs  a  month.     Unemployment  rate   9.1%   9.1%   9.1%   9.2%   9.1%     EMPLOYERS  REMAIN  HESITANT  TO  HIRE   The  current  ‘jobless  recovery”  has  now  dragged  on  for  more  than  two  years,  with  employment  growth  averaging  just  95,000  jobs  per  month  since  the  start   of  2010.  Job  crea8on  in  2011  has  finally  eclipsed  the  1  million  mark,  surpassing  the  modest  hiring  totals  achieved  last  year,  and    the  U.S.  is  on  track  to  add   1.4  million  workers  by  the  end  of  the  year.  At  this  pace,  total  U.S.  employment  will  finish  the  year  more  than  6  million  jobs  below  the  pre-­‐recessionary  peak.    12  
  13. 13. Global Talent Market Quarterly BACK TO TABLE OF CONTENTS U.S.  LABOR  MARKET  -­‐  SUPPLY  AND  DEMAND     THE  U.S.  SUPPLY/DEMAND  GAP  WIDENS   There  were  more  than  3.5  unemployed  workers  for  every  online   adver8sed  vacancy  in  the  U.S.  in  October,  as  the  number  of   U.S.  MARKET  -­‐  MONTHLY  LABOR  DEMAND  VS.  LABOR  SUPPLY   online  job  ads  con8nues  to  decrease  and  unemployment  remains   high.  Na8onally,  there  are  nearly  10  million  more  unemployed   16   workers  than  adver8sed  job  vacancies.   Millions   14   DEMAND  LEVELS  VARY  BY  REGION  –  LARGEST  GAP  IN  THE  WEST   12   An  up8ck  in  demand  for  jobs  in  the  Northeast  and  South  regions   was  offset  by  larger  declines  in  vacancies  in  the  Midwest  and   10   West.  In  the  West,  there  are  more  than  4  unemployed  workers   for  each  vacancy  adver8sed.   8   6   HEALTHCARE,  SCI/TECH  WORKERS  STILL  IN  HIGH  DEMAND   The  number  of  adver8sed  vacancies  for  healthcare  prac88oners   4   and  computer  and  math  occupa8ons  con8nues  to  outnumber  job   2   seekers  by  more  than  two  to  one.  The  life,  physical  and  social   sciences  category  also  shows  job  demand  outstripping  supply.   0   Dec  07   Mar  08   Jun  08   Jun  09   Jun  11   Dec  08   Mar  09   Dec  09   Mar  11   Sep  07   Sep  08   Sep  09   Sep  11   Sep  10   Mar  10   Jun  10   Dec  10   CONSTRUCTION  WORKERS  CONTINUE  TO  SUFFER   An  es8mated  1.4  million  construc8on  workers  remain  out  of   work  as  of  September.    While  job  pos8ng  volumes  have  risen   nearly  50%  in  the  past  year,  there  remains  nearly  19  unemployed   #  of  online  ads     #  of  unemployed  workers   construc8on  workers  for  every  online  adver8sed  vacancy.       “We  have  no  clear  sign  that  demand  is  picking  up.  The  drop  of  513,000  in  demand  over  the  last  seven  months  has   largely  offset  the  gain  of  763,000  in  early  2011.”     —    June  Shelp,  Vice  President,  The  Conference  Board,  October  2011   Source:  The  Conference  Board  Help  Wanted  OnLine®  (HWOL),  10.31.11.  13    

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