Microsoft Word - SC101-07

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  • 1. ♦ Data ♦ Analysis ♦ Knowledge Programmable Logic Market Analysis & Forecast Mid-Course Correction in Market Growth SC101-07 February 2007
  • 2. © Copyright Semico Research, 2007 All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or part is prohibited without the express written permission of Semico. The contents of this report represent the interpretation and analysis of statistics and information that is generally available to the public or released by responsible agencies or individuals, but is not guaranteed as to its accuracy or completeness.
  • 3. Table of Contents Table of Contents.................................................................................. i Executive Overview .............................................................................. 1 Current ASIC Market Trends and Drivers: 2007............................. 3 Gate Array Market .........................................................................................3 Standard Cell Market .....................................................................................3 Structured ASIC Market ................................................................................4 PLD (SPLD + CPLD) Market .......................................................................4 FPGA Market.................................................................................................4 Worldwide ASIC Market Sales Data and Forecast: 1990—2011 .... 5 Regional Sales Data and Forecast: 2000—2011................................. 14 Regional PLD Market ....................................................................................17 Regional FPGA Market .................................................................................20 ASIC Market History and Forecast by Applications Segment ........ 23 PLD Market Applications ..............................................................................25 FPGA Market Applications ...........................................................................28 ASIC Market Quarterly Forecast: 1Q07 – 4Q08 .............................. 30 Quarterly Programmable Logic Market Actuals and Forecast....... 35 Comparison of SPLD, CPLD and FPGA Markets............................ 47 SPLD Market .................................................................................................50 CPLD Market.................................................................................................57 FPGA Market.................................................................................................64 SPLD, CPLD and FPGA Regional Comparison............................................71 SPLD, CPLD and FPGA Comparison by Geography ...................................80 Summary ............................................................................................... 85 2007© Semico Research Corp. All Rights Reserved Programmable Logic Market Analysis and Forecast 2007– 2011 i
  • 4. List of Tables Table 1: Total Worldwide ASIC Market History and Forecast.......................................... 6 Table 2: Regional ASIC Market History and Forecast 2006—2011................................ 15 Table 3: Regional PLD Market History and Forecast ...................................................... 17 Table 4: Regional FPGA Market History and Forecast.................................................... 20 Table 5: Worldwide ASIC Market History and Forecast by Application ........................ 23 Table 6: Worldwide PLD Market History and Forecast by Application .......................... 25 Table 7: Worldwide FPGA Market History and Forecast by Application ....................... 28 Table 8: Worldwide ASIC Market Quarterly Actuals and Forecast................................. 32 Table 9: Regional ASIC Market Quarterly Actuals and Forecast .................................... 33 Table 10: Worldwide Programmable Logic Market Quarterly Actuals and Forecast ...... 35 Table 11: Regional Programmable Logic Market Quarterly Actuals and Forecast.......... 36 Table 12: Regional SPLD Market History and Forecast .................................................. 50 Table 13: Regional CPLD Market History and Forecast.................................................. 57 Table 14: Regional FPGA Market History and Forecast.................................................. 64 Table 15: Total Programmable Logic Market History and Forecast ................................ 80 Table 16: Americas Programmable Logic Market History and Forecast ......................... 81 Table 17: Europe Programmable Logic Market History and Forecast ............................. 82 Table 18: Japan Programmable Logic Market History and Forecast ............................... 83 Table 19: Asia Pacific Programmable Logic Market History and Forecast ..................... 84 List of Figures Figure 1: Worldwide ASIC Market by Product Type......................................................... 5 Figure 2: Worldwide ASIC Actual and Forecast Unit Shipments 1Q95–4Q11 ................. 8 Figure 3: Quarter-Over-Quarter Percent Growth for Unit Shipments 1Q95–4Q11 ........... 9 Figure 4: Worldwide ASIC Actual and Forecast Aggregate ASPs 1Q95-4Q11 .............. 10 Figure 5: Quarter-Over-Quarter Percent Growth Forecast for ASIC ASPs 1Q95-4Q11 . 11 Figure 6: Worldwide ASIC Actual and Forecast Quarterly Revenues 1Q95-4Q11......... 12 Figure 7: Quarter-Over-Quarter Percent Growth Forecast for Revenues 1Q95-4Q11..... 13 Figure 8: Worldwide ASIC Market Forecast by Product Type 2000—2011 ................... 14 Figure 9: Worldwide ASIC Market Forecast by Region 2006—2011 ............................. 16 Figure 10: Regional PLD Market Forecast 2007—2011.................................................. 19 Figure 11: Regional FPGA Market forecast 2007—2011 ................................................ 22 Figure 12: Worldwide ASIC Market Forecast by Application for 2007 .......................... 24 Figure 13: Worldwide ASIC Market Forecast by Application for 2011 .......................... 25 Figure 14: Worldwide PLD Market Forecast by Application for 2007............................ 26 Figure 15: Worldwide PLD Market Forecast by Application for 2011............................ 27 Figure 16: Worldwide FPGA Market Forecast by Application for 2007 ......................... 29 Figure 17: Worldwide FPGA Market Forecast by Application for 2011 ......................... 29 Figure 18: Worldwide ASIC Market Monthly Revenue Comparison .............................. 30 Figure 19: Worldwide ASIC Market Monthly Revenue Comparison 2006-2007............ 31 Figure 20: Worldwide Programmable Logic Actual and Forecast Unit Shipments by Quarter........................................................................................................................ 38 2007© Semico Research Corp. All Rights Reserved Programmable Logic Market Analysis and Forecast 2007– 2011 ii
  • 5. Figure 21: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for Programmable Logic Unit Shipments 1Q95 – 4Q11 .............................................................................................................. 39 Figure 22: Trendline for Worldwide Programmable Logic Actual and Forecast Unit Shipments by Quarter................................................................................................. 40 Figure 23: Worldwide Programmable Logic Actual and Forecast ASPs by Quarter ....... 41 Figure 24: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for Programmable Logic ASPs 1Q95 – 4Q11 ........................................................................................................................... 42 Figure 25: Trendline for Worldwide Programmable Logic Actual and Forecast ASPs 1Q95 – 4Q11– ............................................................................................................ 43 Figure 26: Worldwide Programmable Logic Actual and Forecast Revenues by Quarter 44 Figure 27: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for Programmable Logic Revenues 1Q95 – 4Q11 ........................................................................................................................... 45 Figure 28: Trendline for Worldwide Programmable Logic Actual and Forecast Revenues 1Q95 – 4Q11 .............................................................................................................. 46 Figure 29: Comparison of SPLD, CPLD and FPGA Revenues 1990 - 2011 ................... 47 Figure 30: Comparison of SPLD, CPLD and FPGA Unit Volumes 1990 - 2011 ............ 48 Figure 31: Comparison of SPLD, CPLD and FPGA ASPs 1990 - 2011.......................... 49 Figure 32: Worldwide SPLD Actual and Forecast Unit Shipments by Quarter ............... 51 Figure 33: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for SPLD Unit Shipments 1Q95 – 4Q11 52 Figure 34: Worldwide SPLD Actual and Forecast ASPs by Quarter ............................... 53 Figure 35: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for SPLD ASPs 1Q95 – 4Q11................ 54 Figure 36: Worldwide SPLD Actual and Forecast Revenues by Quarter ........................ 55 Figure 37: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for SPLD Revenues 1Q95 – 4Q11 ......... 56 Figure 38: Worldwide CPLD Actual and Forecast Unit Shipments by Quarter............... 58 Figure 39: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for CPLD Unit Shipments 1Q95 – 4Q11 59 Figure 40: Worldwide CPLD Actual and Forecast ASPs by Quarter............................... 60 Figure 41: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for CPLD ASPs 1Q95 – 4Q11 ............... 61 Figure 42: Worldwide CPLD Actual and Forecast Revenues by Quarter ........................ 62 Figure 43: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for CPLD Revenues 1Q95 – 4Q11......... 63 Figure 44: Worldwide FPGA Actual and Forecast Unit Shipments by Quarter............... 65 Figure 45: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for FPGA Unit Shipments 1Q95 – 4Q11 66 Figure 46: Worldwide FPGA Actual and Forecast ASPs by Quarter............................... 67 Figure 47: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for FPGA ASPs 1Q95 – 4Q11 ............... 68 Figure 48: Worldwide FPGA Actual and Forecast Revenues by Quarter ........................ 69 Figure 49: Quarterly Percent Growth Forecast for FPGA Revenues 1Q95 – 4Q11......... 70 Figure 50: SPLD Revenues by Region 2000 - 2011......................................................... 71 Figure 51: SPLD Unit Shipments by Region 2000 - 2011 ............................................... 72 Figure 52: SPLD ASP Comparison by Region 2000 - 2011 ............................................ 73 Figure 53: CPLD Revenue Comparison by Region 2000 - 2011 ..................................... 74 Figure 54: CPLD Unit Volume Comparison by Region 2000 - 2011 .............................. 75 Figure 55: CPLD ASP Comparison by Region 2000 - 2011 ............................................ 76 Figure 56: FPGA Revenue Comparison by Region 2000 - 2011 ..................................... 77 Figure 57: FPGA Unit Volume Comparison by Region 2000 - 2011 .............................. 78 Figure 58: FPGA ASP Comparison by Region 2000 - 2011 ............................................ 79 Figure 59: FPGA Evolution .............................................................................................. 86 2007© Semico Research Corp. All Rights Reserved Programmable Logic Market Analysis and Forecast 2007– 2011 iii