BI Solutions & H.L.Quist

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H.L.Quist presents his predictions in this aftermath of greed and the Obama election

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BI Solutions & H.L.Quist

  1. 1. The Aftermath of Greed … … and Elections - H.L. Quist
  2. 2. Who is H.L. Quist? <ul><li>Born in Green Bay, WI – grew up in Albuquerque </li></ul><ul><li>Phoenix resident since 1972 </li></ul><ul><li>Historian by education </li></ul><ul><li>Twice named All American Athlete – Track & Field </li></ul><ul><li>Financial Advisor – 35 years </li></ul><ul><li>Real Estate Developer – 10 Years </li></ul><ul><li>Senior Master's Track & Field Champion (USAT&F) </li></ul><ul><li>Inducted to UNM Hall of Fame in 1999 </li></ul><ul><li>Author – 4 books </li></ul><ul><li>Myth Buster on KFNN 1510 AM </li></ul>
  3. 3. Key Question … <ul><li>Which will do well & which poorly: </li></ul><ul><li>Cash? </li></ul><ul><li>Bonds? </li></ul><ul><li>Stocks? </li></ul><ul><li>Commodities? </li></ul><ul><li>Real Estate? </li></ul><ul><li>Should I use: </li></ul><ul><li>Fixed Rate Loans? </li></ul><ul><li>Variable Rate Loans? </li></ul>
  4. 4. H.L. Quist Presents … <ul><li>Get Ready </li></ul><ul><li>For The Coming Inflationary </li></ul>December, 2008
  5. 5. Introduction <ul><li>We’re at or near bottom of Bust Cycle </li></ul><ul><li>The Obama Economic Boom Begins </li></ul><ul><li>Visualize the opportunities ahead </li></ul><ul><li>Knowledge dissolves fear </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Separate political ideology from economic reality </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Seeing the macrocosm </li></ul></ul>Get Ready for the coming Inflationary BOOM!
  6. 6. Where Were You When? .. <ul><li>A Brief History of 10 Boom & Bust Cycles </li></ul><ul><li>1973 The Oil Embargo </li></ul><ul><li>1976-80 The Inflationary Boom </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Real Estate Appreciates 300% </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>While rates rise to 16% </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Will Obama Resemble Carter? </li></ul></ul><ul><li>1980-81 The Savings & Loan Crisis and Stagflation </li></ul><ul><li>1982-89 Garn-St. Germain & The Real Estate Boom </li></ul><ul><li>1990-92 The RTC Era </li></ul><ul><ul><li>My Discovery and a Defining Moment </li></ul></ul>
  7. 7. Where Were You When? .. <ul><li>1992-99 The Feel Good Era </li></ul><ul><ul><li>My 1 st Forecast for a Real Estate Boom </li></ul></ul><ul><li>2000-01 The .com Bubble & 9/11 </li></ul><ul><ul><li>My 1 st Forecast for a Market Crash </li></ul></ul><ul><li>2002-06 The Greenspan Plan </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Oct. 2002 – Get Fully Invested -> Right Again! </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>July 2005 – Downsize NOW ! -> No one wanted to believe me. </li></ul></ul><ul><li>2007 Subprime Goes Prime-Time </li></ul><ul><ul><li>What I knew on July 15, 2007 </li></ul></ul><ul><li>2008 The Aftermath of Greed </li></ul><ul><ul><li>The Future Isn’t What It Used To Be! </li></ul></ul>
  8. 8. Why Am I Forecasting … <ul><li>… a Boom Ahead? </li></ul><ul><li>All Markets Move On: </li></ul><ul><li>Fundamentals </li></ul><ul><li>Emotion </li></ul>Get Ready for the coming Inflationary BOOM!
  9. 9. Fundamentals – Already in Place <ul><li>Congress: </li></ul><ul><li>Housing & Economic Recovery Act of 2008 </li></ul><ul><li>Troubled Asset Relief Protection 2008 </li></ul><ul><li>$168 bln Stimulus and Second To Come </li></ul>
  10. 10. Fundamentals – Already in Place <ul><li>Treasury: </li></ul><ul><li>Unlimited capital to FNM and FRE </li></ul><ul><li>FDIC $250k Deposit Insurance and Money Market </li></ul><ul><li>New Mortgage Plan </li></ul><ul><li>Hope Now Alliance </li></ul><ul><li>Credit Card Relief </li></ul>
  11. 11. Fundamentals – Already in Place <ul><li>Federal Reserve: </li></ul><ul><li>Cut Fed Funds Rates </li></ul><ul><li>Buy Commercial Paper </li></ul><ul><li>Term Security Lending Facility (SWAPS) </li></ul><ul><li>Leverage Balance Sheet 400% </li></ul><ul><li>Loans and Stock Purchase for Banks </li></ul>
  12. 12. Fundamentals – Bottom Line <ul><li>The “fix” is in – whatever it takes </li></ul><ul><li>Helicopter Ben </li></ul><ul><li>Real Estate Dynamics Suddenly Change </li></ul>
  13. 13. Emotion <ul><li>First Time in American History - Fervor </li></ul><ul><li>Make Things Right for the Working Class </li></ul><ul><li>Perception is More Than Reality </li></ul><ul><li>A Change in Consumer Sentiment </li></ul><ul><li>The Great Political Irony </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Obama Bails Out Wall St. </li></ul></ul>
  14. 14. The Boldest Future Forecast … <ul><li>… in America </li></ul><ul><li>The 3-Year Target </li></ul><ul><li>Equities Reach 2007 High </li></ul><ul><li>Real Estate in Phoenix Reaches 2007 High </li></ul><ul><li>Commodities Approach 2008 High </li></ul>Get Ready for the coming Inflationary BOOM!
  15. 15. The Downside? <ul><li>Inflation Could Morph into Hyper-inflation </li></ul><ul><li>What is a Crack-Up Boom? </li></ul><ul><li>Stay With “The Myth Buster” </li></ul>Get Ready for the coming Inflationary BOOM!
  16. 16. Key Question … <ul><li>Which will do well & which poorly: </li></ul><ul><li>Cash? </li></ul><ul><li>Bonds? </li></ul><ul><li>Stocks? </li></ul><ul><li>Commodities? </li></ul><ul><li>Real Estate? </li></ul><ul><li>Should I use: </li></ul><ul><li>Fixed Rate Loans? </li></ul><ul><li>Variable Rate Loans? </li></ul>Poorly Awful Great Great Great Yes No
  17. 17. Why Hold this Seminar? <ul><li>I agree with Mr. Quist’s forecast – felt he should share it with others </li></ul><ul><li>B.I.Solutions Corp. is a group of Real Estate Investors </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Pictures were of our Clients and properties </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>We’re open to more investors joining us </li></ul></ul><ul><li>If he’s right – we’ll do VERY well </li></ul><ul><li>Even if he’s wrong – we’ll continue to do well </li></ul><ul><li>Mr. Quist taught me something more important than “Location-Location-Location” -> TIMING! </li></ul><ul><li>This may be the best time ever to invest … </li></ul>
  18. 18. Joe Stachon Mortgage <ul><li>H.L. Quist’s Message: </li></ul><ul><li>Inflation -> Interest Rates Rise Dramatically </li></ul><ul><li>Inflation -> Loans get Cheaper </li></ul><ul><li>Are you using loans effectively? </li></ul><ul><li>This is a good time to convert adjustable loans to fixed rate </li></ul><ul><li>Great Time to leverage more </li></ul>
  19. 19. Joe Stachon Mortgage <ul><ul><li>No loan 80% loan </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Home Value $200k $200k </li></ul><ul><li>Mortgage 0 160k </li></ul><ul><li>Equity $200k $ 40k </li></ul><ul><li>$ to Invest $0 $160k </li></ul><ul><li>What if Home Values go up? If down? </li></ul>
  20. 20. Joe Stachon Mortgage <ul><li>Values up 15%: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>No loan 80% loan </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Home Value $230k $230k </li></ul><ul><li>Mortgage 0 160k </li></ul><ul><li>Equity $230k $ 70k </li></ul><ul><li>Change +$30k +$30k </li></ul><ul><li>%Change +15% +75% </li></ul>$ Gain is the same!
  21. 21. Joe Stachon Mortgage <ul><li>Values down 15%: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>No loan 80% loan </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Home Value $170k $170k </li></ul><ul><li>Mortgage 0 160k </li></ul><ul><li>Equity $170k $ 10k </li></ul><ul><li>Change -$30k -$30k </li></ul><ul><li>%Change -15% -75% </li></ul>$ Loss is the same!
  22. 22. Joe Stachon Mortgage <ul><li>Regardless of mortgage – $ gain or loss is the same! </li></ul><ul><li>How about the $160k invested? </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Earn $1,600 - $3,200/year above the cost of the mortgage … </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>At today’s rates </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Earnings increase with inflation! </li></ul></ul>Get Ready for the coming Inflationary BOOM!
  23. 23. Contact <ul><li>Ron Nawrocki (The Ronald) </li></ul><ul><li>B.I.Solutions Corp. </li></ul><ul><li>3971 N Village St </li></ul><ul><li>Buckeye AZ 85396 </li></ul><ul><li>1-623-249-4792 </li></ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul><ul><li>www.TheRonald.us </li></ul>B.I.Solutions: P roven, P rofitable, and P ositioned for Growth

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