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GLOBAL FIXED INCOME
Quentin Fitzsimmons
Portfolio Manager
November 17, 2016
2017 Global Market Outlook Press Briefing
2
Global Fixed Income Outlook: Summary
ENVIRONMENT
 Historically low yields continue to be evident in many international fixed income markets, pointing to divergence away
from the U.S., where policy rates are being very gradually increased. Around the world, political patience with
accommodative monetary policy is wearing thin as economic growth remains low. More generally, investors are
questioning the balance between monetary and fiscal policy and how a greater reliance on the latter may impact fixed
income opportunities. (At the same time, the rebound in the price of oil is causing subdued inflation rates to base and
challenge fixed income valuations for many.)
LOOKING AHEAD
 The interplay between slow but discernible monetary policy tightening in the U.S. and a firm anchoring of Japanese
and core European bond yields suggests significant opportunities to exploit the move in spreads between
international markets as well as the shapes of yield curves.
 Global investors will continue to get rewarded for blending different country cycles together, especially in sovereign
opportunities that may be less familiar in traditional benchmarks. This reflects the value of fundamental research that
tracks improved public debt management and institutional transparency and further reform potential (notably in
Eastern Europe and parts of Asia).
 Credit markets remain supported by central bank balance sheet expansion and purchase programs as well as the
abeyance of the energy market scare. If volatility also remains suppressed in this environment, security selection can
be fruitful.
 The recovery in oil and some other commodity prices has helped to improve the potential for better economic
performance in some developing countries such as Brazil and Mexico. Embedded value is often accessible via the
currency market.
3
Challenges Facing Fixed Income
Investors: The Subzero-Yield Landscape
As of September 30, 2016
Sources: Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Copyright 2016, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Used with permission.
T. Rowe Price.
EVOLUTION OF GLOBAL FIXED INCOME MARKETS
GOVERNMENT YIELDS 1YR 2YR 3YR 4YR 5YR 6YR 7YR 8YR 9YR 10YR
Japan
Switzerland Negative Yield
Germany Positive Yield
Sweden
Netherlands
France
Belgium
Spain
Italy
Australia
Canada
UK
U.S.
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
AVERAGE YIELD TO
MATURITY FALLING
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Dec-14
Mar-15
Jun-15
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
Jun-16
Sep-16
PROPORTION OF SECURITIES WITH
NEGATIVE YIELD INCREASING
GLOBAL BONDS
GLOBAL BONDS
4
The Global Monetary Policy Experiment Persists…
but Fiscal Expansion Seems More Wish Than Prediction
As of September 30, 2016
Sources: Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Copyright 2016, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Used with permission.
T. Rowe Price.
CENTRAL BANK BALANCE SHEET
(U.S.$ BILLION EQUIVALENTS)
STRUCTURAL BUDGET BALANCE
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
%PotentialGDP
Advanced
Emerging
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
U.S.
Eurozone
Japan
China
5
Different Government Bond Markets
With Different Yield Curves
As of September 30, 2016
Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price.
U.S. TREASURY YIELD CURVE JAPAN GOVERNMENT YIELD CURVE
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y15Y20Y25Y30Y
September 30, 2017 (market implied rate)
September 30, 2016
September 30, 2015
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y15Y20Y25Y30Y
September 30, 2017 (market implied rate)
September 30, 2016
September 30, 2015
Further flattening expected. Steep yield curve to remain.
6
Europe: A Big Cloud Forming
on the Horizon?
As of September 30, 2016
Sources: Bloomberg, Bloomberg Barclays Euro Aggregate Corporate Index, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Copyright 2016, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Used
with permission. T. Rowe Price.
Tapering of
QE Program
European
Elections
UK—
Article 50
EXPECTED IN 2017
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
5-Year Germany
Euro Corporate Bonds
5-Year Italy
YIELD TO MATURITY OFFERING
LITTLE PREMIUM
7
Moderate Inflation Continues to Support
Many Bond Markets
As of September 30, 2016
Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price.
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Asia
Eastern Europe
EXPECTED INFLATION IN
EASTERN EUROPE AND ASIA
BOND MARKET: LOCAL PERFORMANCE
2016 YEAR TO DATE
IMF
FORECASTS
3.0%
5.7%
5.5%
7.4%
9.4%
5.5%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
Poland
Romania
Hungary
Malaysia
Philippines
Thailand
8
Not All Parts of the Bond Markets Will Follow
the Same Pattern in a Rising Rate Environment
As of September 30, 2016
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price.
MARKET PERFORMANCE WHEN TREASURY
YIELDS ROSE 100 BASIS POINTS OR MORE
12-Months
Ended
U.S. Yield
Move
U.S.
Treasury
Bonds
U.S.
Corporate
Bonds
U.S. Core
Bonds
Emerging
Markets
Corporate
Bonds
Emerging
Markets Hard
Currency
Bonds
U.S. High
Yield Bonds Bank Loans
Dec. 31, 1999 +179 bps -2.6% -2.0% -0.8% – 24.2% 3.4% 3.6%
May 31, 2004 130 -2.6 -0.4 -0.4 3.1 3.1 13.2 7.5
Jun. 30, 2006 120 -1.7 -2.2 -0.8 1.0 4.6 5.1 6.2
Dec. 31, 2009 162 -3.6 18.7 5.9 37.5 28.2 58.9 52.5
Sep. 30, 2013 140 -2.1 -1.6 -1.7 -0.1 -4.3 7.1 5.1
Reference
Index
10-Year
Treasury
Yield Move
Bloomberg
Barclays
U.S.
Treasury
Bond Index
Bloomberg
Barclays
U.S.
Corporate
Investment
Bond Index
Bloomberg
Barclays
U.S.
Aggregate
Bond Index
J.P. Morgan
CEMBI
Broad Index
J.P. Morgan
Emerging
Market Bond
Global Index
J.P. Morgan
Global High
Yield Index
S&P/LSTA
Performing
Loan Index
9
Corporate Bonds: Less About Credit Beta
and More About Credit Alpha
As of September 30, 2016
Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
U.S. High Yield
U.S. Investment Grade
Euro Investment Grade
CREDIT YIELDS NEAR THEIR LOWS IMPACT FROM ENERGY PRICES
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1103.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
7.5%
8.0%
2013 2014 2015
U.S. High Yield Premium
Oil Price
Option-AdjustedSpread
U.S.$perBarrel
YieldtoWorst
Yield to worst close to lows. Option-adjusted spread vs. oil prices (inverted).
10
A Preference for European High Yield
and Bank Loans
As of September 30, 2016
Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price.
0%
5%
10%
15%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
U.S. High Yield
Euro High Yield
U.S. Loans Only
DEFAULT RATES: HISTORY AND EXPECTED
MOODY’S
BASELINE
FORECASTS
11
Near Term, U.S. Dollar Remains Supported
As of September 30, 2016
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price.
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35
1.40
1.45
1.50
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
INTEREST RATES DIFFERENTIAL FAVORS U.S. DOLLAR
U.S. dollar tends to strengthen vs. euro
when U.S. rates increase vs. German rates
EUR/USD Spot Germany—U.S. 2-Year Yield Differential
12
But Emerging Markets Currencies Are Likely to
Show Further Appreciation in the Medium Term
As of September 30, 2016
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Sources: Haver Analytics and T. Rowe Price.
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Emerging Markets Average Current
Account Balance (% of GDP)
Four-Quarters Moving Average
IMPROVING CURRENT ACCOUNTS A STRONG APPRECIATION POTENTIAL
BASE 100 = DEC. 31, 2007
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Russian Ruble
Brazil Real
Mexican Peso
Indonesian Rupiah
DEPRECIATION
TREND
RECENT
APPRECIATION
13
Finally, Is Volatility the Next
Risk on the Horizon?
Sources: Bloomberg Barclays, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Copyright 2016, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Used with permission. J.P. Morgan and T. Rowe
Price. *Merrill Option Volatility Index (MOVE) **CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
IndexLevel
45
70
95
120
145
170
195
220
245
270
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
IndexLevel
TREASURY BOND YIELD VOLATILITY*
September 30, 2006–September 30, 2016
S&P 500 OPTION VOLATILITY**
September 30, 2006–September 30, 2016
DEUTSCHE BANK CURRENCY VOLATILITY INDEX
September 30, 2006–September 30, 2016
10Y Avg.
91
60
10Y Avg.
21
13
10Y Avg.
10
10
5
10
15
20
25
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
IndexLevel
FX Volatiltiy IndexFX Volatility Index
14
Important Information
This material is being furnished by T. Rowe Price for general informational purposes only. Under no circumstances should the content, in whole or in part, be copied
or redistributed without consent from T. Rowe Price. The material does not constitute a distribution, an offer, an invitation, recommendation or solicitation to sell or
buy any securities in any jurisdiction. The material has not been reviewed by any regulatory authority in any jurisdiction. The material does not constitute advice of
any nature and prospective investors are recommended to seek independent legal, financial, and tax advice before making any investment decision.
The views contained herein are as of November 2016 and may have changed since that time.
Past performance cannot guarantee future results.
Australia—Issued in Australia by T. Rowe Price International Ltd (ABN 84 104 852 191), Level 50, Governor Phillip Tower, 1 Farrer Place, Suite 50B, Sydney, NSW
2000, Australia. T. Rowe Price International Ltd is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence in respect of the financial services it
provides in Australia. T. Rowe Price International Ltd is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority under UK laws, which differ from Australian
laws. For Wholesale Clients only.
Canada—Issued in Canada by T. Rowe Price (Canada), Inc. T. Rowe Price (Canada), Inc.’s investment management services are only available to Accredited
Investors as defined under National Instrument 45-106. T. Rowe Price (Canada), Inc. enters into written delegation agreements with affiliates to provide investment
management services.
DIFC—Issued in the Dubai International Financial Centre by T. Rowe Price International Ltd. This material is communicated on behalf of T. Rowe Price International
Ltd by its representative office which is regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority. For Professional Clients only.
EEA—Issued in the European Economic Area by T. Rowe Price International Ltd, 60 Queen Victoria Street, London EC4N 4TZ which is authorised and regulated by
the UK Financial Conduct Authority. For Professional Clients only.
Hong Kong—Issued in Hong Kong by T. Rowe Price Hong Kong Limited, 21/F, Jardine House, 1 Connaught Place, Central, Hong Kong. T. Rowe Price Hong Kong
Limited is licensed and regulated by the Securities & Futures Commission. For Professional Investors only.
Singapore—Issued in Singapore by T. Rowe Price Singapore Private Ltd., No. 501 Orchard Rd, #10-02 Wheelock Place, Singapore 238880. T. Rowe Price
Singapore Private Ltd. is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. For Institutional and Accredited Investors only.
Switzerland—Issued in Switzerland by T. Rowe Price (Switzerland) GmbH ("TRPSWISS"), Talstrasse 65, 6th Floor, 8001 Zurich, Switzerland. For Qualified
Investors only.
USA (public)—Issued in the USA by T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc., and by T. Rowe Price Investment Services, Inc., 100 East Pratt Street, Baltimore, MD, 21202.
T. ROWE PRICE, INVEST WITH CONFIDENCE and the Bighorn Sheep design are, collectively and/or apart, trademarks or registered trademarks of T. Rowe Price
Group, Inc. in the United States, European Union, and other countries. This material is intended for use only in select countries.
77286
THANK YOU.

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2017 Market Outlook - Global Fixed Income

  • 1. GLOBAL FIXED INCOME Quentin Fitzsimmons Portfolio Manager November 17, 2016 2017 Global Market Outlook Press Briefing
  • 2. 2 Global Fixed Income Outlook: Summary ENVIRONMENT  Historically low yields continue to be evident in many international fixed income markets, pointing to divergence away from the U.S., where policy rates are being very gradually increased. Around the world, political patience with accommodative monetary policy is wearing thin as economic growth remains low. More generally, investors are questioning the balance between monetary and fiscal policy and how a greater reliance on the latter may impact fixed income opportunities. (At the same time, the rebound in the price of oil is causing subdued inflation rates to base and challenge fixed income valuations for many.) LOOKING AHEAD  The interplay between slow but discernible monetary policy tightening in the U.S. and a firm anchoring of Japanese and core European bond yields suggests significant opportunities to exploit the move in spreads between international markets as well as the shapes of yield curves.  Global investors will continue to get rewarded for blending different country cycles together, especially in sovereign opportunities that may be less familiar in traditional benchmarks. This reflects the value of fundamental research that tracks improved public debt management and institutional transparency and further reform potential (notably in Eastern Europe and parts of Asia).  Credit markets remain supported by central bank balance sheet expansion and purchase programs as well as the abeyance of the energy market scare. If volatility also remains suppressed in this environment, security selection can be fruitful.  The recovery in oil and some other commodity prices has helped to improve the potential for better economic performance in some developing countries such as Brazil and Mexico. Embedded value is often accessible via the currency market.
  • 3. 3 Challenges Facing Fixed Income Investors: The Subzero-Yield Landscape As of September 30, 2016 Sources: Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Copyright 2016, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Used with permission. T. Rowe Price. EVOLUTION OF GLOBAL FIXED INCOME MARKETS GOVERNMENT YIELDS 1YR 2YR 3YR 4YR 5YR 6YR 7YR 8YR 9YR 10YR Japan Switzerland Negative Yield Germany Positive Yield Sweden Netherlands France Belgium Spain Italy Australia Canada UK U.S. 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 AVERAGE YIELD TO MATURITY FALLING 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 PROPORTION OF SECURITIES WITH NEGATIVE YIELD INCREASING GLOBAL BONDS GLOBAL BONDS
  • 4. 4 The Global Monetary Policy Experiment Persists… but Fiscal Expansion Seems More Wish Than Prediction As of September 30, 2016 Sources: Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Copyright 2016, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Used with permission. T. Rowe Price. CENTRAL BANK BALANCE SHEET (U.S.$ BILLION EQUIVALENTS) STRUCTURAL BUDGET BALANCE -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 %PotentialGDP Advanced Emerging 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 U.S. Eurozone Japan China
  • 5. 5 Different Government Bond Markets With Different Yield Curves As of September 30, 2016 Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price. U.S. TREASURY YIELD CURVE JAPAN GOVERNMENT YIELD CURVE 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y15Y20Y25Y30Y September 30, 2017 (market implied rate) September 30, 2016 September 30, 2015 -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y15Y20Y25Y30Y September 30, 2017 (market implied rate) September 30, 2016 September 30, 2015 Further flattening expected. Steep yield curve to remain.
  • 6. 6 Europe: A Big Cloud Forming on the Horizon? As of September 30, 2016 Sources: Bloomberg, Bloomberg Barclays Euro Aggregate Corporate Index, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Copyright 2016, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Used with permission. T. Rowe Price. Tapering of QE Program European Elections UK— Article 50 EXPECTED IN 2017 -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 5-Year Germany Euro Corporate Bonds 5-Year Italy YIELD TO MATURITY OFFERING LITTLE PREMIUM
  • 7. 7 Moderate Inflation Continues to Support Many Bond Markets As of September 30, 2016 Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price. 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Asia Eastern Europe EXPECTED INFLATION IN EASTERN EUROPE AND ASIA BOND MARKET: LOCAL PERFORMANCE 2016 YEAR TO DATE IMF FORECASTS 3.0% 5.7% 5.5% 7.4% 9.4% 5.5% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Poland Romania Hungary Malaysia Philippines Thailand
  • 8. 8 Not All Parts of the Bond Markets Will Follow the Same Pattern in a Rising Rate Environment As of September 30, 2016 Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price. MARKET PERFORMANCE WHEN TREASURY YIELDS ROSE 100 BASIS POINTS OR MORE 12-Months Ended U.S. Yield Move U.S. Treasury Bonds U.S. Corporate Bonds U.S. Core Bonds Emerging Markets Corporate Bonds Emerging Markets Hard Currency Bonds U.S. High Yield Bonds Bank Loans Dec. 31, 1999 +179 bps -2.6% -2.0% -0.8% – 24.2% 3.4% 3.6% May 31, 2004 130 -2.6 -0.4 -0.4 3.1 3.1 13.2 7.5 Jun. 30, 2006 120 -1.7 -2.2 -0.8 1.0 4.6 5.1 6.2 Dec. 31, 2009 162 -3.6 18.7 5.9 37.5 28.2 58.9 52.5 Sep. 30, 2013 140 -2.1 -1.6 -1.7 -0.1 -4.3 7.1 5.1 Reference Index 10-Year Treasury Yield Move Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury Bond Index Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate Investment Bond Index Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index J.P. Morgan CEMBI Broad Index J.P. Morgan Emerging Market Bond Global Index J.P. Morgan Global High Yield Index S&P/LSTA Performing Loan Index
  • 9. 9 Corporate Bonds: Less About Credit Beta and More About Credit Alpha As of September 30, 2016 Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 U.S. High Yield U.S. Investment Grade Euro Investment Grade CREDIT YIELDS NEAR THEIR LOWS IMPACT FROM ENERGY PRICES 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1103.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 2013 2014 2015 U.S. High Yield Premium Oil Price Option-AdjustedSpread U.S.$perBarrel YieldtoWorst Yield to worst close to lows. Option-adjusted spread vs. oil prices (inverted).
  • 10. 10 A Preference for European High Yield and Bank Loans As of September 30, 2016 Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price. 0% 5% 10% 15% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 U.S. High Yield Euro High Yield U.S. Loans Only DEFAULT RATES: HISTORY AND EXPECTED MOODY’S BASELINE FORECASTS
  • 11. 11 Near Term, U.S. Dollar Remains Supported As of September 30, 2016 Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and T. Rowe Price. -1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1.20 1.25 1.30 1.35 1.40 1.45 1.50 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 INTEREST RATES DIFFERENTIAL FAVORS U.S. DOLLAR U.S. dollar tends to strengthen vs. euro when U.S. rates increase vs. German rates EUR/USD Spot Germany—U.S. 2-Year Yield Differential
  • 12. 12 But Emerging Markets Currencies Are Likely to Show Further Appreciation in the Medium Term As of September 30, 2016 Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Sources: Haver Analytics and T. Rowe Price. -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 Emerging Markets Average Current Account Balance (% of GDP) Four-Quarters Moving Average IMPROVING CURRENT ACCOUNTS A STRONG APPRECIATION POTENTIAL BASE 100 = DEC. 31, 2007 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Russian Ruble Brazil Real Mexican Peso Indonesian Rupiah DEPRECIATION TREND RECENT APPRECIATION
  • 13. 13 Finally, Is Volatility the Next Risk on the Horizon? Sources: Bloomberg Barclays, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Copyright 2016, Bloomberg Index Services Ltd. Used with permission. J.P. Morgan and T. Rowe Price. *Merrill Option Volatility Index (MOVE) **CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 IndexLevel 45 70 95 120 145 170 195 220 245 270 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 IndexLevel TREASURY BOND YIELD VOLATILITY* September 30, 2006–September 30, 2016 S&P 500 OPTION VOLATILITY** September 30, 2006–September 30, 2016 DEUTSCHE BANK CURRENCY VOLATILITY INDEX September 30, 2006–September 30, 2016 10Y Avg. 91 60 10Y Avg. 21 13 10Y Avg. 10 10 5 10 15 20 25 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 IndexLevel FX Volatiltiy IndexFX Volatility Index
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