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!"##$%&()*+,-.!"#$"%&()*#+,,-#.)#/0$"1#/).)#)2"&/#3,2#)*#4564#(2/$&"7.+#+87,"#         Philip Garland, Ph.D., VP Methodolo...
THE CHALLENGE You hear a lot in these presidential elections about “battleground” states, also known as “swing” states. He...
Some battleground states didn’t looklike fair fights at all, with one candidate      clearly dominating the state!
FOCUS ON: COLORADO,*"1,2(#-.@<)C9<#;<+-+#</>+#7++"#0)*+#7C*=0#/.)"9#;<+#   /*0+%1#2-.F/,I#!7/*/#</0#*/5";/5"+4#/#<+/-;,#.+...
FOCUS ON: FLORIDA   ,*"1,2(#-.()*"+,#</0#/#0C70;/"8/.#.+/4#)>+-#!7/*/?#           /*0+%1#2-.                              ...
FOCUS ON: PENNSYLVANIA,*"1,2(#-.!7/*/#7C5.;#/#<C9+#.+/4#7,#*54O*)";<I#F<52<#45==+4#/#75;#7C;#9-+F#/9/5"#/;#;<+#+"4#)E#;<+#...
Others were true tossup states that     swung back and forth!
FOCUS ON: MICHIGAN ,*"1,2(#-.!7/*/#</0#*/5";/5"+4#/#0*/..#7C;#0;/7.+#.+/4#)>+-#      /*0+%1#2-. ()*"+,#/"4#50#=C..5"9#/F/,...
FOCUS ON: IOWA ,*"1,2(#-.!C-#4/;/#0<)F+4#/#89<;#-/2+I#F5;<#!7/*/#-505"9#   /*0+%1#2-. 0.)F.,#/"4#;<+"#=.C**+8"9#0C44+".,?#...
FOCUS ON: VIRGINIA,*"1,2(#-.()*"+,#</4#/#0.5*#.+/4#5"#5-95"5/I#7C;#.)0;#5;#*54O   /*0+%1#2-.*)";<?#U+:0#7++"#-+2)>+-5"9#0;...
FOCUS ON: WISCONSIN,*"1,2(#-.()*"+,#</4#/"#+/-.,#.+/4#5"#k502)"05"I#7C;#!7/*/#   /*0+%1#2-.</0#0C-9+4#7/23?#A)":;#2)C";#()...
In a few states, the trends varied based on how we analyzed our data,and figuring out what was going on got    a whole lot...
FOCUS ON: NEVADA,*"1,2(#-.!7/*/#F/0#/<+/4#+/-.,#5"#;<+#*)";<#7C;#.)0;#*)*+";C*#/"4#"+>+-#-+2)>+-+4?#!-#454#<+n#           ...
FOCUS ON: OHIO ,*"1,2(#-.k<):0#)"#;)=n#@)#7+#<)"+0;I#F+:-+#");#0C-+?#@<+#-/F#4/;/#/"4#;<+#F+59<;+4#4/;/#/-+#JC5;+# 45]+-+"...
FOCUS ON: NORTH CAROLINA ,*"1,2(#-.K)#0;/;+#</0#C0#*)-+#2)"EC0+4#;</"#K)-;<#6/-).5"/?#K);#)".,#4)+0#+/2<#)E#)C-#*)4+.0# =-...
Can’t get enough election analysis?   Check out our blog for more!http://blog.surveymonkey.com/blog/    tag/presidential-p...
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SurveyMonkey 2012 Presidential Election Poll: Battleground State Analysis

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An in depth look at swing state trends during the 2012 presidential election.

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Transcript of "SurveyMonkey 2012 Presidential Election Poll: Battleground State Analysis"

  1. 1. !"##$%&()*+,-.!"#$"%&()*#+,,-#.)#/0$"1#/).)#)2"&/#3,2#)*#4564#(2/$&"7.+#+87,"# Philip Garland, Ph.D., VP Methodology Dave Goldberg, CEO Liana Epstein, Ph.D., Senior Methodologist Annabell Suh
  2. 2. THE CHALLENGE You hear a lot in these presidential elections about “battleground” states, also known as “swing” states. Here at SurveyMonkey we wanted to know just how much these supposed swing states had swung over the past month. Are voter preferences in these states really as fickle as people think they are? Or do they stay constant? Here’s what we found out!
  3. 3. Some battleground states didn’t looklike fair fights at all, with one candidate clearly dominating the state!
  4. 4. FOCUS ON: COLORADO,*"1,2(#-.@<)C9<#;<+-+#</>+#7++"#0)*+#7C*=0#/.)"9#;<+# /*0+%1#2-.F/,I#!7/*/#</0#*/5";/5"+4#/#<+/-;,#.+/4#)>+-#()*"+,?# 69  :;+$"1# .&/<# !"# $%&$# ()*"+,# -+.+/0+0# /1/23# /40# 5"# 6).)-/4)# 7./08"9# !7/*/:0# 2./5*# ;</;# <+# </0# 5*=-)>+4# ;<+# +2)")*,?# @<+# 0/*+# 4/,# ;<+# A+">+-# B)0;# =C7.50<+0# /"# /-82.+# -+=)-8"9# ;</;# +2)")*,#50#C".53+.,#;)#5*=-)>+?#D#45=#5"#!7/*/:0# 0C==)-;#"C*7+-0#E)..)F0?# 5. 49  4"&# &=.)<# G"# ;<+# 4+7/;+# )"# $%&$H# !7/*/# *+"8)"0# ;<+# -+2+";# DC-)-/# 0<))8"9I# 7C;# <+49+0#/#45-+2;#JC+08)"#/7)C;#9C"#2)";-).?#@<50# 0++*0#;)#<C-;#<50#0;/"45"9#5"#6).)-/4)I#2)";-/-,# 3. 6. 4. ;)#<50#0C-9+#5"#=)=C./-5;,#/2-)00#;<+#"/8)"?# >9  >2&# &=.)<# K)# 9C"# 2)";-).# *+"8)"0# 5"# ;<+# 4+7/;+# )"# $%&LLI# 0C==)-;# E)-# !7/*/# 0=53+0# 0.59<;.,?#()*"+,:0#-+*/5"0#C"2</"9+4?# ?9  @."&A# =.8-+./*<# !"# $%&LMI# +NOPQRD# A5-+2;)-# R52</+.# S-)F"# 2-5825T+0# !7/*/:0# -+0=)"0+# ;)# UC--52/"+#V/"4,#)"#6).)-/4)#-/45)?#U+#/.0)#;/.30# C=#()*"+,I#/"4#=-+452;0#<+#F5..#F5"#;<+#0;/;+?#
  5. 5. FOCUS ON: FLORIDA ,*"1,2(#-.()*"+,#</0#/#0C70;/"8/.#.+/4#)>+-#!7/*/?# /*0+%1#2-. . D22)-45"9#;)#)C-#4/;/I#P.)-54/#50#");#/#7/1.+9-)C"4#0;/;+?# 69  4"&# &=.)<# D# *52-)2)0*# )E# /# "/8)"/.# ;-+"4I# !7/*/# WF5"0X# ;<+# 4+7/;+# )"# $%&$HI# "/--)F5"9# ;<+# 9/=# 7+;F++"# ;<+# 2/"454/;+0# 0.59<;.,?# 49  > 2 &# & = . ) <# ( ) * " + ,# +*=</05T+0#2-+/8"9#+"+-9,# 5"4+=+"4+"2+#5"#;<+#Y?V?I#/# 3. 6. 5. 3+,# 500C+# 5"# P.)-54/I# 5"# ;<+# 4+7/;+#)"#$%&LL?# >9  @(.-# )*$2# +."1;.1<# ()*"+,# -+.+/0+0# /# V=/"50<# ./"9C/9+# 2)**+-25/.# )"# $%&LI# =+-</=0# <5Z"9# <)*+# F5;<# C"4+254+4# U50=/"52#>);+-0?#
  6. 6. FOCUS ON: PENNSYLVANIA,*"1,2(#-.!7/*/#7C5.;#/#<C9+#.+/4#7,#*54O*)";<I#F<52<#45==+4#/#75;#7C;#9-+F#/9/5"#/;#;<+#+"4#)E#;<+#*)";<I#*5--)-5"9#"/8)"/.#;-+"40?#@<+#E/2;#;</;#/..#0<5[0#5"#>)8"9#=-+E+-+"2+0#5"#B+""0,.>/"5/#2/"#7+# .5"3+4# ;)# "/8)"/.I# -/;<+-# ;</"# 0;/;+O.+>+.I# ;-+"40I# 0C==)-;0# ;<+# 54+/# ;</;# B+""0,.>/"5/# 50# ");# /#7/1.+9-)C"4#0;/;+#5"#;<+#L%$L#=-+054+"8/.#+.+28)"?# /*0+%1#2-. 69  B.7C#/,"<#@<+#C0C/.#=)0;OB#4+7/;+#0=53+# /[+-# $%&$$# 50# 5"# EC..# +]+2;# 95>+"# S54+":0# 7/239-)C"4^<+# F/0# 7)-"# 5"# V2-/";)"I# B+""0,.>/"5/. 49  >2&#(2/$&"7.+#&=.)<#VC==)-;#E)-#()*"+,# -50+0# /[+-# ;<+# _"/.# =-+054+"8/.# 4+7/;+# )"# 3. 6. 5. $%&LLI#F<5.+#0C==)-;#E)-#!7/*/#;))3#/#45=?# @<50# 50# .53+.,# .5"3+4# ;)# ()*"+,:0# E)2C0# )"# ;<+# 500C+# )E# `)7# 2-+/8)"I# /# 3+,# 500C+# F5;<# B+""0,.>/"5/#>);+-0?# >9  D;22$8."# @."&A<# D0# 5"# */",# );<+-# 0F5"9# 0;/;+0I# ;<+# 2)*75"/8)"# )E# 6<-50# 6<-508+:0# =-/50+# )E# !7/*/# /"4# ;<+# -+=)-8"9# )E# ()*"+,:0# =/0;# 2)**+";0# /7)C;# 2CZ"9# PQRD#=-)4C2+#/#=)058>+#7C*=#E)-#!7/*/# /"4#/#"+9/8>+#)"+#E)-#()*"+,?#
  7. 7. Others were true tossup states that swung back and forth!
  8. 8. FOCUS ON: MICHIGAN ,*"1,2(#-.!7/*/#</0#*/5";/5"+4#/#0*/..#7C;#0;/7.+#.+/4#)>+-# /*0+%1#2-. ()*"+,#/"4#50#=C..5"9#/F/,?#G;#")F#0++*0#/#0C-+#F5"#E)-#!7/*/?# 69  B.7C#/,"<#D#BSV:0#4)2C*+";/-,#/7)C;# ()*"+,# /5-0# )"# $%&$%# /"4# <59<.59<;0# ()*"+,:0# A+;-)5;# 7/239-)C"4?# U50# =)=C./-5;,#0=53+0?# 49  E2$78.+#.$&<#!"#$%&$#/#E)-*+-#/54+#)E# ()*"+,:0# E/;<+-# aF<)# F/0# ;<+# 9)>+-")-#)E#R52<59/"#E-)*#$MHbO$MHMcI# 2-5825T+0#<5*?#@<+#9/=#F54+"0#0.59<;.,#5"# !7/*/:0#E/>)-?# >9  @;(2F!E# !&/<# @<+# =-)O()*"+,# 0C=+-# BD6I# W(+0;)-+# !C-# PC;C-+X# 7C,0# d$?H# *5..5)"# 5"# /4# 8*+# 5"# R52<59/"# /"4# 4. 6. 5. ./C"2<+4#;F)#"+F#/40#)"#$%&Lb?#P)-#/# 7-5+E#*)*+";I#()*"+,#50#/<+/4?# ?9  D;22$8."# @."&A<# D0# 5"# */",# );<+-# 0F5"9# 0;/;+0I# ;<+# 2)*75"/8)"# )E# 6<-50# 3. 6<-508+:0# =-/50+# )E# !7/*/# /"4# ;<+# -+=)-8"9# )E# ()*"+,:0# =/0;# 2)**+";0# /7)C;#2CZ"9#PQRD#=-)4C2+#/#=)058>+# 7C*=# E)-# !7/*/# /"4# /# "+9/8>+# )"+# E)-#()*"+,?#
  9. 9. FOCUS ON: IOWA ,*"1,2(#-.!C-#4/;/#0<)F+4#/#89<;#-/2+I#F5;<#!7/*/#-505"9# /*0+%1#2-. 0.)F.,#/"4#;<+"#=.C**+8"9#0C44+".,?#U+#7)C"2+4#7/23#/"4# 69  :/# G,$"/# H1$/)2<# @<+# -/2+# 5"# G)F/# ")F#5;:0#/",)"+:0#9/*+?# 0C44+".,# 7+2)*+0# /# ;)00C=# /[+-# ;<+# A+0# R)5"+0# (+950;+-# 2-5825T+4# !7/*/# )"# $%&Le# E)-# 5"0508"9# ;</;# 2)**+";0# <+#*/4+#;)#;<+#"+F0=/=+-#-+*/5"#)]O -+2)-4?## 5. 49  :/# G,$"/# H1$/)2# /)2$-/# .1.$"<# @<+# (+950;+-:0# +"4)-0+*+";# )E# ()*"+,# )"# $%&Lf# =-+2+4+0# /# F54+"5"9# )E# ()*"+,:0#.+/4#5"#G)F/?# 3. 6. >9  D;22$8."# @."&A<# @<+# `C*=# 5"# 0C==)-;# 5. E)-# !7/*/# <+-+# 50# /# *52-)2)0*# )E# /# "/8)"/.# ;-+"4# 5"# ;<+# F/3+# )E# 6<-50# 6<-508+:0#=-/50+#)E#!7/*/:0#</"4.5"9#)E# UC--52/"+# V/"4,# a$%&LM# )"F/-40cI# /"4# ;<+# +*+-9+"2+# )E# /# =/0;# 0;/;+*+";# E-)*# ()*"+,# ;</;# <+# F/";+4# ;)# 2C;# PQRD#a$%&b%#)"F/-40c?#
  10. 10. FOCUS ON: VIRGINIA,*"1,2(#-.()*"+,#</4#/#0.5*#.+/4#5"#5-95"5/I#7C;#.)0;#5;#*54O /*0+%1#2-.*)";<?#U+:0#7++"#-+2)>+-5"9#0;+/45.,#+>+-#05"2+I#7C;#;<+#84+# 69  IF# &=.)<# D[+-# ;<+# 4+7/;+# )"# $%&$$I#2)C.4#;C-"#/9/5"0;#<5*#/9/5"#/;#/",#*)*+";?# 0C==)-;# E)-# ()*"+,# `C*=0# F<5.+# 0C==)-;# E)-#!7/*/#=.C**+;0?# 49  JK,L.# I,)M<# !7/*/:0# Wg)1/# );+X# 7C0# ;)C-# */3+0# *C.8=.+# 0;)=0# 5"# 5-95"5/# )"# ;<+#$;<I#4-C**5"9#C=#0C==)-;#E)-#!7/*/?# >9  H,N"A#2.++$/<#D;#/#5-95"5/#-/..,#)"#$%&$hI# ()*"+,#500C+0#!7/*/#/#4)C7.+#F</**,i# _-0;I#<+#+N=-+00+0#2)"2+-"#/7)C;#!7/*/:0# 2C;0# 5"# 4+E+"0+# 0=+"45"9# a/# <);O7C1)"# 500C+# <+-+cI# /"4# ;<+"# <+# -/50+0# JC+08)"0# 5. /7)C;#!7/*/:0#-+.595)"?# ?9  >2&# &=.)<# ()*"+,# -+=+/;+4.,# 7-5"90# C=# 3. 6. 4. 7. 8. !7/*/:0# 4+E+"0+# 0=+"45"9# 2C;0# 5"# ;<+# ;<5-4# 4+7/;+# /"4# ;<+# 9/=# 7+;F++"# ;<+# 2/"454/;+0#"/--)F0#0</-=.,?# 5. O9  P.)#"$1*)<#D#"/8)"/.#;-+"4#50#/;#F)-3#<+-+i# !7/*/# /==+/-0# )"# @<+# @)"59<;# V<)F# )"# $%&Le#/"4#<50#"C*7+-0#9+;#/#7))0;?# Q9  @."&A#=.8-+./*<#K)#UC--52/"+#V/"4,#7C*=# E)-# !7/*/# 5"# ;<50# 0;/;+?# Q>+-# 05"2+# V/"4,# <5;I# 5-95"5/"0# </>+# j)23+4# ;)# ()*"+,# 50# 4-)>+0?##
  11. 11. FOCUS ON: WISCONSIN,*"1,2(#-.()*"+,#</4#/"#+/-.,#.+/4#5"#k502)"05"I#7C;#!7/*/# /*0+%1#2-.</0#0C-9+4#7/23?#A)":;#2)C";#()*"+,#)C;#,+;#;<)C9<m# 69  R$/8,"/$"#(2$&<#k502)"05"5;+#B/C.#(,/"#*/3+0# <50#<)*+#0;/;+#=-)C4?#!"#$%&$%I#(,/":0#=C7.52# 0;/;+*+";# ;</;# ()*"+,:0# 0;/"2+# )"# /7)-8)"# */;2<+4# <50# )F"# 9);# /# =)058>+# -+0=)"0+?# !"# $%&$$I# (,/":0# 4+7/;+# =+-E)-*/"2+# EC-;<+-# 7C),0#;<+#823+;:0#=)=C./-5;,?# 49  4"&#(2/$&"7.+#&=.)<#@<50#50#/#*52-)2)0*#)E# /# 7-)/4+-# "/8)"/.# ;-+"4l# !7/*/# WF5"0X# ;<+# 4+7/;+#)"#$%&$H#/"4#;<+#-/2+#89<;+"0?## 3. 4. 6. 5. >9  G&$.%$"/($2&# =.8-+./*<# !"# $%&$h# .)2/.# "+F0# )C;.+;0# -+=)-;# )"# /# k502)"05"# 059"# 2/..5"9# E)-# !7/*/:0#<+/4#;)#7+#<C"9#5"#/#"))0+?#D#F++3# ./;+-# ;<+# 0;)-,# 7-+/30# ;</;# /# =-)*5"+";# 6Q!# </0# +*/5.+4# +*=.),++0# F/-"5"9# ;<+*# ");# ;)# >);+#E)-#!7/*/?#!C;-/9+#+"0C+0#/"4#!7/*/:0# .+/4#F54+"0?# ?9  F.A$"1# .# C$/$)<# ()*"+,:0# _-0;# ;-5=# a$$&$c# ;)# k502)"05"# 05"2+# DC9C0;# 95>+0# <5*# /# _9<8"9# 2</"2+#5"#;<+#0;/;+#/9/5"?#
  12. 12. In a few states, the trends varied based on how we analyzed our data,and figuring out what was going on got a whole lot more complicated!
  13. 13. FOCUS ON: NEVADA,*"1,2(#-.!7/*/#F/0#/<+/4#+/-.,#5"#;<+#*)";<#7C;#.)0;#*)*+";C*#/"4#"+>+-#-+2)>+-+4?#!-#454#<+n# $ !" 3. % & 6. 5. 4. #" 6. 3. 4. ( ) $! % 3. *!/*0+%1#2-.69  IF#&=.)<#D[+-#;<+#4+7/;+#)"#$%&$$I#0C==)-;#E)-#()*"+,#`C*=0#F<5.+#0C==)-;#E)-#!7/*/#=.C**+;0?#49  >2&#&=.)<#@<+#.+/4#!7/*/#</4#+>/=)-/;+0#/[+-#;<+#;<5-4#=-+054+"8/.#4+7/;+#)"#$%&LL?#D.;<)C9<#;<50#4+7/;+#F/0#0++"#/0#.+/"5"9#5"# !7/*/:0#E/>)-I#()*"+,#C0+0#;<+#4+7/;+#;)#0;-)"9.,#+*=</05T+#`)7#2-+/8)"#aF<5.+#!7/*/#E)2C0+4#)"#E)-+59"#=).52,cI#/#;)=#2)"2+-"#)E# K+>/4/#>);+-0?#@<50#50#/#4508"2;.,#45]+-+";#5*=/2;#E-)*#;<+#"/8)"#/0#/#F<).+#aF<52<#0/F#/#0*/..#=-)O!7/*/#7C*=c?#>9  H,N"AS/#2.++ATT<#(+/.5T5"9#;</;#;<+#;<+*+#)E#`)7#2-+/8)"#50#-+0)"/8"9#F5;<#K+>/4/"0I#()*"+,#E)2C0+0#)"#K+>/4/O0=+25_2#+2)")*52# 500C+0#/;#<50#"+N;#759#-/..,?#D22)-45"9#;)#)C-#-/F#*)4+.I#;<50#</0#/#-/F#5*=/2;^7C;#/22)-45"9#;)#)C-#F+59<;+4#*)4+.I#5;#4)+0":;#<5;# <)*+#F<+-+#5;#2)C";0?#k<52<#50#-59<;n#k+:..#0++#)"#Q.+28)"#A/,?#?9  D;22$8."#@."&A<#D0#5"#*/",#);<+-#0F5"9#0;/;+0I#;<+#2)*75"/8)"#)E#6<-50#6<-508+:0#=-/50+#)E#!7/*/#/"4#;<+#-+=)-8"9#)E#()*"+,:0# =/0;#2)**+";0#/7)C;#2CZ"9#PQRD#=-)4C2+#/#=)058>+#7C*=#E)-#!7/*/#/"4#/#"+9/8>+#)"+#E)-#()*"+,?#,(.92%%."%.9%.*(9: .k+..I#;</;#4+=+"40#)"#F<52<#*)4+.#,)C#.53+#<+-+?#!C-#-/F#*)4+.#</0#!7/*/#08..#;-/5.5"9#7,#/#=)5";l#)C-# F+59<;+4#*)4+.#</0#!7/*/#.+/45"9#7,#*)-+#;</"#b#=)5";0?.
  14. 14. FOCUS ON: OHIO ,*"1,2(#-.k<):0#)"#;)=n#@)#7+#<)"+0;I#F+:-+#");#0C-+?#@<+#-/F#4/;/#/"4#;<+#F+59<;+4#4/;/#/-+#JC5;+# 45]+-+";#5"#;+-*0#)E#=-+4528"9#/#F5""+-?#SC;#;<+#7C*=0#5"#;<+#-)/4#/-+#;<+#0/*+?# $ % !" & #" 3. 6. 5. 3. 6. 5. ( $! ) % *! /*0+%1#2-. 69  4"&#&=.)i#!"#;<+#"/8)"/.#.+>+.I#!7/*/:0#4+7/;+#WF5"X#)"#$%&$H#5"2-+/0+0#<50#=)=C./-5;,I#7C;#;<50#;-+"4#4)+0#");#<).4#5"#!<5)?#@<50#50# .53+.,#4C+#;)#()*"+,:0#E)2C0#)"#`)7#2-+/8)"I#/#<);O7C1)"#500C+#5"#!<5)?#aMo#)E#!<5)/"0#0/,#;<+5-#7599+0;#2)"2+-"#50#;<+#+2)")*,?# 49  U$/*A#C,7"1#=;/$"//<#K+F0#7-+/30#)"#$%&Lb#;</;#*/",#>)8"9#*/2<5"+0#F+-+#8+4#;)#()*"+,#4)")-0?#!<5)I#F<52<#</0#/#<50;)-,#)E# >)8"9#*/2<5"+#2)";-)>+-0,I#*/,#</>+#;/3+"#;<50#-+>+./8)"#7/4.,?# >9  !&#=+$)V<#@F)#"+F#/40#/-+#-+.+/0+4#5"#!<5)#)"#$%&LM?#!"+#<59<.59<;0#/#3+,#+>/"9+.52/.#+"4)-0+*+";I#/"4#;<+#);<+-#/1/230#!7/*/:0# -+2)-4#0C==)-8"9#;<+#/C;)#5"4C0;-,?#@<+#./1+-#50#/"#5*=)-;/";#500C+#5"#!<5)l#/9/5"I#`)7O2-+/8)"#500C+0#5"#!<5)#/-+#3+,?# ,(.92%%."%.9%.*(9: .k+..I#;</;#4+=+"40#)"#F<52<#*)4+.#,)C#.53+#<+-+?#!C-#-/F#*)4+.#</0#()*"+,#C=#7,##=)5";0l#)C-#F+59<;+4# *)4+.#</0#!7/*/#.+/45"9#7,#b#=)5";0?#@<+,#2/..#!<5)#/#0F5"9#0;/;+#E)-#/#-+/0)"p.
  15. 15. FOCUS ON: NORTH CAROLINA ,*"1,2(#-.K)#0;/;+#</0#C0#*)-+#2)"EC0+4#;</"#K)-;<#6/-).5"/?#K);#)".,#4)+0#+/2<#)E#)C-#*)4+.0# =-)`+2;#/#45]+-+";#F5""+-^7C;#;<+-+#/-+#/.0)#45]+-+";#7C*=0#/"4#;-+"40#4+=+"45"9#)"#F<52<#)"+# )E#)C-#;<-++#*)4+.0#,)C#.))3#/;?#k+:..#.+;#,)C#*/3+#C=#,)C-#)F"#*5"4#<+-+?# 3. 5. 7. 4. 7. 6. 6. 7. 4. ;<=# =>?@AB>C.DEC>F.G3# =>?@AB>C.G6# /*0+%1#2-. 69  !#+$L+#3.$)*<#!"#$%&$$#()*"+,#=-/,0#F5;<#.+9+"4/-,#+>/"9+.50;#/"4#K)-;<#6/-).5"/#-+054+";#S5..,#g-/</*?# 49  !#2.&$,#1.W<#!"#$%&$fI#()*"+,:0#0)"#@/99#9)+0#)"#/#.)2/.#K)-;<#6/-).5"/#K+F0#-/45)#0<)F#;</;#<+#F/";+4#;)#W;/3+#/#0F5"9#/;# ;<+#=-+054+";?X#@<50#0++*0#");#;)#9)#)>+-#F+..#F5;<#>);+-0?# >9  >2&#&=.)<#()*"+,:0#4+7/;+#=+-E)-*/"2+#)"#$%&LL#-+0)"/;+0#5"#K)-;<#6/-).5"/#?# ?9  D;22$8."#@."&A<#@<+#<C--52/"+#/"N5+;,#7C5.40I#/"4#0)#4)#!7/*/:0#=)..#"C*7+-0?# O9  @."&A# /)2$-/# .1.$"<# @<50# 50# /# *52-)2)0*# )E# /# "/8)"/.# ;-+"4?# @<+# 2)*75"/8)"# )E# 6<-50# 6<-508+:0# *+45/# 7.5;T# )"# $%&b%# =-/505"9# !7/*/:0#<C--52/"+#-+0=)"0+#/"4#;<+#-+=)-8"9#)"#$%&b$#)E#()*"+,:0#=/0;#2)**+";0#/7)C;#2CZ"9#PQRD#89<;+"#;<+#-/2+?# ,(.92%%."%.9%.*(9: .q)C-#9C+00#50#/0#9))4#/0#)C-0?#
  16. 16. Can’t get enough election analysis? Check out our blog for more!http://blog.surveymonkey.com/blog/ tag/presidential-poll-tracker/
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