Missiontoisraelppt4167
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  • This Is true. Just go to www.aljazeera.com Except I do not agree that the Palestinians are losing the media war within the US. Non-Jewish friends, even faculty, act like they believe that Israelis are the bad guys. I think that Sharon’s move to give back territories is brilliant PR.
  • Iraq is a disaster that has damaged US credibility and limits US ability to help. We and the world will be incredibly lucky if it doesn’t blow up completely.
  • I have heard other Israelis say this. The flip side is that the US lack of success in Iraq reduces the fear of the bad guys.
  • I have not heard that Israel is blamed for US losses. Al Jazeera’s Dr Kareem does appear to claim this or to encourage it.
  • Is Arab world one world? For instance I am of the belief that the Emirates are different. I believe that Jordan is more advanced. I think women have more equal status in Egypt and in Libya. Do we talk about Arab states vs Moslim states? For instance, what about Singapore or Malaysia? I think of Middle East Arabs more like Africa while Far East Moslims are more like Japanese and Chinese. In addition, GNP means what? I know the definition. What I mean is that it is not a good measure of “the pursuit of happiness”.
  • The US defense contractor will arm the Arabs.
  • In fact they made progress. We want the terror war to end and we are willing to fund their economy to end it.
  • I agree here also. I feel safer in Israel than in Washington, DC
  • Yes, but perhaps better to say that there is perhaps a partner now.
  • Drop..too fuzzy
  • I’d drop this one…too much speculation
  • Drop..too much Bashar analysis
  • Marginal.
  • Last bullet is hard to understand Message is I think---become a majority by PA joining with Israeli Arabs – sort of like telling Episcopals to kiss the ring of the Pope.
  • yes
  • Iran deserves its own discussion
  • Lots of subjects..maybe too complex..or maybe focus on these as opposed to earlier slide.
  • good

Transcript

  • 1. Mission to IsraelMission to Israel 20042004 As seen byAs seen by Netiva CaftoriNetiva Caftori
  • 2. Jewish United Fund/Jewish FederationJewish United Fund/Jewish Federation of Metropolitan Chicagoof Metropolitan Chicago Faculty Mission to IsraelFaculty Mission to Israel (August 16-23, 2004)  Martin KramerMartin Kramer – Moshe Dayan– Moshe Dayan Center forCenter for Middle EasternMiddle Eastern and Africanand African Studies, Tel-Studies, Tel- Aviv UniversityAviv University  author of Ivoryauthor of Ivory Towers on SandTowers on Sand
  • 3. Overview of the situationOverview of the situation – Arab media portrays Israel as the causeArab media portrays Israel as the cause of terrorism, stating that 9/11 was aof terrorism, stating that 9/11 was a Mossad plot; Israel/Jews manipulatedMossad plot; Israel/Jews manipulated the minds of the highjackers as they dothe minds of the highjackers as they do Pres. Bush and Vice President Chaney.Pres. Bush and Vice President Chaney. – The Palestinians are losing the mediaThe Palestinians are losing the media war within the US by emulating 9/11war within the US by emulating 9/11 tactics.tactics. – Israel defines terrorism by the type ofIsrael defines terrorism by the type of action, while the Palestinians defineaction, while the Palestinians define terrorism by motive – where fightingterrorism by motive – where fighting occupation is not terrorism.occupation is not terrorism.
  • 4. Cont.Cont. – Israel’s main concerns prior to 9/11Israel’s main concerns prior to 9/11 were Palestinian terrorism and Iran.were Palestinian terrorism and Iran. 9/11 gave Israel a license to fight9/11 gave Israel a license to fight terrorism, and Iraq provided Israel withterrorism, and Iraq provided Israel with a window of opportunity to pursue thata window of opportunity to pursue that fight.fight. – Stable peace with Egypt and JordanStable peace with Egypt and Jordan continuescontinues
  • 5. Upside of US war with IraqUpside of US war with Iraq – During the Iraq war, Israel followed andDuring the Iraq war, Israel followed and didn’t oppose the US. Whereas the US isdidn’t oppose the US. Whereas the US is bogged down in Iraq, Israel is saferbogged down in Iraq, Israel is safer because Iraq serves as an object lessonbecause Iraq serves as an object lesson to other Arab countries.to other Arab countries. – Hopefully, the US quandary will lead toHopefully, the US quandary will lead to better understanding of Israel’s positionbetter understanding of Israel’s position and actions toward the Palestinians.and actions toward the Palestinians. – US War with Iraq removed the threat ofUS War with Iraq removed the threat of an Eastern frontan Eastern front
  • 6. Downside (not longer current)Downside (not longer current)  Growth in Shiite radicalism andGrowth in Shiite radicalism and Iran’s influence over the ShiaIran’s influence over the Shia  Weakening of Israel-Turkey and US-Weakening of Israel-Turkey and US- Turkey relationshipTurkey relationship  US avoiding involvement in Israel-US avoiding involvement in Israel- Palestinian conflictPalestinian conflict  World perceives US-Iraq and Israel-World perceives US-Iraq and Israel- Palestinian as double occupation.Palestinian as double occupation. Israel is blamed for US losses.Israel is blamed for US losses. Analogy to Britain in 20-30’s.Analogy to Britain in 20-30’s.
  • 7. Asher SusserAsher Susser,, Director of Dayan Center & Senior Research FellowDirector of Dayan Center & Senior Research Fellow  Arab world is in deep crisis. There isArab world is in deep crisis. There is no central player in the region. Nono central player in the region. No single nation can deliver; there issingle nation can deliver; there is general Arab malaisegeneral Arab malaise  Spain translates in one year what allSpain translates in one year what all the Arab states translate in 1000the Arab states translate in 1000 years; GNP of all the Arab states isyears; GNP of all the Arab states is less than the GNP of Spain.less than the GNP of Spain.  Low status of women.Low status of women.  Egypt can’t control PalestiniansEgypt can’t control Palestinians
  • 8.  New threats come out of Arab weakness:New threats come out of Arab weakness: 1) war of terrorism, rage of society in1) war of terrorism, rage of society in retreat;retreat;  2) weapons of mass destruction,2) weapons of mass destruction, including the Iranian nuclear program;including the Iranian nuclear program;  3) demography in Arab states and3) demography in Arab states and immigration to western countriesimmigration to western countries
  • 9. Why did the Palestinians launch aWhy did the Palestinians launch a war against Israel?war against Israel? They are not irrational.They are not irrational. Multiple reasons:Multiple reasons:  1) Palestinians launched terrorism when1) Palestinians launched terrorism when Israel left Lebanon, believing that Israel isIsrael left Lebanon, believing that Israel is getting soft.getting soft.  2)Believe demography and time are in2)Believe demography and time are in their favor, will force one-state solutiontheir favor, will force one-state solution with a Palestinian majority and not a two-with a Palestinian majority and not a two- state solution.state solution.  3) They believe that Israeli military power3) They believe that Israeli military power is useless in this type of war.is useless in this type of war.
  • 10.  The Palestinian offensive has largelyThe Palestinian offensive has largely failed:failed:  1) Israel can’t use great power against1) Israel can’t use great power against Palestinians, but has shown morePalestinians, but has shown more resistance than expected. Israel was notresistance than expected. Israel was not broken by terror.broken by terror.  2) Other Arabs didn’t come to the2) Other Arabs didn’t come to the Palestinians’ help.Palestinians’ help.  3) Although Palestinians are not winning3) Although Palestinians are not winning their objectives in the short-term, Israel istheir objectives in the short-term, Israel is losing European support and islosing European support and is increasingly isolated.increasingly isolated.
  • 11. Cont. (maybe no longer current)Cont. (maybe no longer current)  Israel is making unilateral decisions,Israel is making unilateral decisions, as no partner with Palestinian leaderas no partner with Palestinian leader exists and anarchy reigns, Arabexists and anarchy reigns, Arab states are weak, and US is avoidingstates are weak, and US is avoiding involvement. US Democratization ofinvolvement. US Democratization of Iraq is “pie in the sky.” IsraeliIraq is “pie in the sky.” Israeli unilateral actions may be the onlyunilateral actions may be the only option left.option left.
  • 12. Zisser - Moshe Dayan CenterZisser - Moshe Dayan Center  Trends in the Arab World/TheTrends in the Arab World/The Palestinians/Israeli ArabsPalestinians/Israeli Arabs  Israel might be able to but doesn’t want toIsrael might be able to but doesn’t want to reach peace with Syria at this time. Israelreach peace with Syria at this time. Israel has no motivation for making peacehas no motivation for making peace because the Syrian army is weak andbecause the Syrian army is weak and poses no northern threat. Israel doesn’tposes no northern threat. Israel doesn’t want problems with Golan settlers at awant problems with Golan settlers at a time when the settlers in the West Banktime when the settlers in the West Bank and Gaza are so problematic.and Gaza are so problematic.
  • 13. More on SyriaMore on Syria  Bashar Assad is inexperienced and has lessBashar Assad is inexperienced and has less support than his father. But his regime is fairlysupport than his father. But his regime is fairly stable. The US sees Bashar as more rational thanstable. The US sees Bashar as more rational than his father.his father.  Bashar wants to improve relations with the US byBashar wants to improve relations with the US by improving relationships with Israel. As a youngerimproving relationships with Israel. As a younger president, he could be more flexible, but may notpresident, he could be more flexible, but may not be able to deliver. Like Sadat of the 70’s, he isbe able to deliver. Like Sadat of the 70’s, he is ready to make a cold peace. He recognizes that aready to make a cold peace. He recognizes that a political settlement is the only route, but Zisser ispolitical settlement is the only route, but Zisser is not sure that Bashar is able to sign a peacenot sure that Bashar is able to sign a peace treaty.treaty.
  • 14. Cont.Cont.  The Syrians are not ready to “smile.”The Syrians are not ready to “smile.” There is a lack of public diplomacy,There is a lack of public diplomacy, and expressed holocaust denial. Butand expressed holocaust denial. But Bashar has made some small signsBashar has made some small signs that he is interested in peace.that he is interested in peace.  Sharon has encouraged constructionSharon has encouraged construction in the Golan, but there are onlyin the Golan, but there are only 10,000 settlers there.10,000 settlers there.  In Lebanon, the Hezbollah is aIn Lebanon, the Hezbollah is a potential threat. The border is verypotential threat. The border is very quiet.quiet.
  • 15. Ellie RechessEllie Rechess, -, - Moshe Dayan CenterMoshe Dayan Center Trends in the Arab World/TheTrends in the Arab World/The Palestinians/Israeli ArabsPalestinians/Israeli Arabs  In one word, the situation is “good,” in twoIn one word, the situation is “good,” in two words it is “not good.”words it is “not good.”  20% (1.3 million) of the population is Arab20% (1.3 million) of the population is Arab including East Jerusalem, 85% Muslim, 7 %including East Jerusalem, 85% Muslim, 7 % Druze, and 7% ChristianDruze, and 7% Christian  60% of Arabs live north of Haifa, and Arabs are60% of Arabs live north of Haifa, and Arabs are the majority in the Galilee and Negev (130,000the majority in the Galilee and Negev (130,000 Bedouin). Arabs have 3.5% growth rate, withBedouin). Arabs have 3.5% growth rate, with Jews 1.1-1.2%, and Bedouins 5.5% (worldJews 1.1-1.2%, and Bedouins 5.5% (world record, population doubles every 12 years)record, population doubles every 12 years)  Palestinians see role of growing Israeli ArabPalestinians see role of growing Israeli Arab population as another front “Arab minority withpopulation as another front “Arab minority with the mentality of a majority living within a Jewishthe mentality of a majority living within a Jewish majority with the mentality of a minority”majority with the mentality of a minority”
  • 16. Cont.Cont.  Israeli Arabs see themselves asIsraeli Arabs see themselves as “Palestinian citizens of Israel”, with“Palestinian citizens of Israel”, with emotional, political and religious linksemotional, political and religious links to the Palestinians.to the Palestinians.  Islamization is the major trendIslamization is the major trend among Arabs/Bedouins, providing aamong Arabs/Bedouins, providing a sense of community and replacingsense of community and replacing government where Israel hasgovernment where Israel has neglected servicesneglected services
  • 17.  Arabs want to stay in Israel and influenceArabs want to stay in Israel and influence the type of state it will becomethe type of state it will become  Arabs and Jews mix mostly in urbanArabs and Jews mix mostly in urban localities, not in villages or settlements.localities, not in villages or settlements.  When Israel opposed a 2-state solution inWhen Israel opposed a 2-state solution in the 1980’s, the Arab states supported it.the 1980’s, the Arab states supported it. Now that Israel supports it, the ArabNow that Israel supports it, the Arab states oppose it. The strategy is to ‘movestates oppose it. The strategy is to ‘move the goal posts’ and sabotage peace. Theythe goal posts’ and sabotage peace. They refer to a 2-state solution as South Africanrefer to a 2-state solution as South African Apartheid, while 30% of Israelis want aApartheid, while 30% of Israelis want a Greater Israel. Palestinians want aGreater Israel. Palestinians want a majority Arab rule in 1-state solution.majority Arab rule in 1-state solution. Israeli Arabs talk about a ‘state for all itsIsraeli Arabs talk about a ‘state for all its citizens’ as a euphemism for dejudaisingcitizens’ as a euphemism for dejudaising
  • 18.  Bottom line: One state solution is a pipe dream,Bottom line: One state solution is a pipe dream, which would sabotage any political solution andwhich would sabotage any political solution and destroy Israel as we know it.destroy Israel as we know it.  Fence: seen as a means of disengagement versusFence: seen as a means of disengagement versus integration. It is a protection against theintegration. It is a protection against the demographic weapon as well as a means fordemographic weapon as well as a means for physical security. The placement of the fencephysical security. The placement of the fence could decide which Israeli Arabs are inside, orcould decide which Israeli Arabs are inside, or outside of Israel.outside of Israel.  Israel’s main threat is Iran. 70,000 US troopsIsrael’s main threat is Iran. 70,000 US troops who moved from Europe to Iraq pose a challengewho moved from Europe to Iraq pose a challenge to Iran to diffuse weapons of mass destructionto Iran to diffuse weapons of mass destruction (WMD). However without an international(WMD). However without an international coalition, the US is powerless to act against Irancoalition, the US is powerless to act against Iran and is trying to disengage from the region.and is trying to disengage from the region.  Neoconservatives in US are pro Zionism.Neoconservatives in US are pro Zionism. (Lipson).(Lipson).
  • 19. Stuart Schoffman, Ass. Editor and ColumnistStuart Schoffman, Ass. Editor and Columnist for the Jerusalem Reportfor the Jerusalem Report  Israel Today: The Impact of the Matzav onIsrael Today: The Impact of the Matzav on Israeli SocietyIsraeli Society  Cats have ‘Arafat Lives’Cats have ‘Arafat Lives’  People have a blurred understanding of thePeople have a blurred understanding of the boundary between Jewish religion, culture andboundary between Jewish religion, culture and nationality. Zionism was initially a minority Jewishnationality. Zionism was initially a minority Jewish position. Herzl believed Israel would be a homeposition. Herzl believed Israel would be a home for those who would or could not assimilatefor those who would or could not assimilate  Israelis are divided among people who care, orIsraelis are divided among people who care, or don’t care about what others thinkdon’t care about what others think  Immigration cannot solve the demographicImmigration cannot solve the demographic impasse; only a two-state solution.impasse; only a two-state solution.  There is lots of propaganda against Israel inThere is lots of propaganda against Israel in Islamic and other circles, often depicting theIslamic and other circles, often depicting the Jewish Puppeteer controlling the US and USJewish Puppeteer controlling the US and US moneymoney
  • 20.  Israel reacts to anti-Semitism in 3 ways:Israel reacts to anti-Semitism in 3 ways:  1) no matter what we do we’re in the wrong;1) no matter what we do we’re in the wrong;  2) try to turn down the flame; or2) try to turn down the flame; or  3) we have the right to exist. Anti-Zionism3) we have the right to exist. Anti-Zionism becomes anti-Semitism when only the Jews arebecomes anti-Semitism when only the Jews are denied a state.denied a state.  US is the only reliable ally for Israel, but campusUS is the only reliable ally for Israel, but campus humanities departments are turning againsthumanities departments are turning against IsraelIsrael  The way to help our students is to be multi-vocal.The way to help our students is to be multi-vocal. We need liberal Zionist role models that areWe need liberal Zionist role models that are sensitive to human rights. We should not defendsensitive to human rights. We should not defend everything Israel does; it is OK to voice dissenteverything Israel does; it is OK to voice dissent and anxiety.and anxiety.
  • 21. Jonathon Fighel, Executive Deputy DirectorJonathon Fighel, Executive Deputy Director International Policy Institute for Counter-International Policy Institute for Counter- Terrorism. Former military governor of Jenin,Terrorism. Former military governor of Jenin, Ramala, Tulkarm.Ramala, Tulkarm.  The Terrorist Threat against IsraelThe Terrorist Threat against Israel and the United Statesand the United States – See article “Going Backwards” on the Al QaidaSee article “Going Backwards” on the Al Qaida Hezbollah connection c/oHezbollah connection c/o http://http:// www.charleslipson.comwww.charleslipson.com under top terrorismunder top terrorism site.site. – Terrorism is the use of terror for political goals.Terrorism is the use of terror for political goals. It is less important to look at the goals than atIt is less important to look at the goals than at the actions. People agree on fear of threats,the actions. People agree on fear of threats, but not on level or definition of terrorism – orbut not on level or definition of terrorism – or who is a terrorist.who is a terrorist.
  • 22. – Israel is facing three threats fromIsrael is facing three threats from ArabsArabs  Suicide attacks, small scale, with supportSuicide attacks, small scale, with support (“out-sourcing”) of community. They(“out-sourcing”) of community. They recruit Israeli Arabs.recruit Israeli Arabs.  Non-conventional weapons to inflict fear,Non-conventional weapons to inflict fear, as government can’t stop them. They areas government can’t stop them. They are not intended to totally destroy an area,not intended to totally destroy an area, but to contaminate it so as to paralyze thebut to contaminate it so as to paralyze the government’s ability to act. They are usedgovernment’s ability to act. They are used to pressure a government and inflictto pressure a government and inflict anxiety on population, such as the Madridanxiety on population, such as the Madrid elections or Barak/Sharon or Rabin/Pereselections or Barak/Sharon or Rabin/Peres election (1994-6). The level of anxiety iselection (1994-6). The level of anxiety is proportional to scale of attack. Islamicproportional to scale of attack. Islamic Caliphate (kingdom) goal, ends justifyCaliphate (kingdom) goal, ends justify means, Jihadmeans, Jihad
  • 23. – Israel is also facing threats from JewishIsrael is also facing threats from Jewish Terrorism (radical right wing)Terrorism (radical right wing) – How to fight terrorism?How to fight terrorism?  Religious approach as anti suicideReligious approach as anti suicide  Stop money launderingStop money laundering  Psychological warfare; specialPsychological warfare; special operationsoperations  Punishment/forcePunishment/force – Difficult to fight terrorism democraticallyDifficult to fight terrorism democratically because it is difficult to get informationbecause it is difficult to get information easily through democratically electedeasily through democratically elected officials. Radicals can get informationofficials. Radicals can get information more easily.more easily.
  • 24. emotional. They manipulate our emotionsemotional. They manipulate our emotions through their actions. Deeds arethrough their actions. Deeds are premeditated and planned (e.g.premeditated and planned (e.g. symbolism of beheading with a sword).symbolism of beheading with a sword). Dissemination is often firstly through theDissemination is often firstly through the Internet, knowing it will be picked up byInternet, knowing it will be picked up by major news stations.major news stations. – Our goal is to delegitimize suicide from being aOur goal is to delegitimize suicide from being a respected norm, which is glorified in schools andrespected norm, which is glorified in schools and posters. A Shahid is a status symbol conferringposters. A Shahid is a status symbol conferring immortality. People are afraid to oppose radicalimmortality. People are afraid to oppose radical Islam. We should go over the heads of jihadsIslam. We should go over the heads of jihads and reach more reasonable people.and reach more reasonable people. – Americans need to understand the mindset ofAmericans need to understand the mindset of opponents and their recruitment methods. Israelopponents and their recruitment methods. Israel can help by teaching about their mindset and bycan help by teaching about their mindset and by sharing intelligence.sharing intelligence.
  • 25. – Terrorism can be controlled and reducedTerrorism can be controlled and reduced to a tolerable level, but not eradicated.to a tolerable level, but not eradicated. Democracy is sensitive to the impact ofDemocracy is sensitive to the impact of terrorism. Societies differ by the level ofterrorism. Societies differ by the level of violence they are willing to accept beforeviolence they are willing to accept before rejecting the current government.rejecting the current government. Terrorism attacks populations and leadsTerrorism attacks populations and leads to loss of civil liberties.to loss of civil liberties. – Can’t effectively fight terrorism withCan’t effectively fight terrorism with technology; we need the human elementtechnology; we need the human element to obtain information in advance.to obtain information in advance. – Expect terrorism to continue, as well asExpect terrorism to continue, as well as the Islamic war of attrition.the Islamic war of attrition. – We use alerts as a substitute for goodWe use alerts as a substitute for good intelligence.intelligence. – Nuclear weapons are not the majorNuclear weapons are not the major problem.problem.
  • 26. General Shlomo Brom, Senior ResearchGeneral Shlomo Brom, Senior Research Associate (Jaffe Institute)Associate (Jaffe Institute) 1.1. (see Strategic Papers,(see Strategic Papers, Tel-Aviv notes atTel-Aviv notes at www.tau.ac.il/jcsswww.tau.ac.il/jcss))
  • 27. Global Environment:Global Environment:  A decade after the end of the cold war, we live inA decade after the end of the cold war, we live in a uni-polar world with only the US superpower.a uni-polar world with only the US superpower. The Arabs lost their USSR patron. Regionally,The Arabs lost their USSR patron. Regionally, Arab unity is dead with Israel strongest power inArab unity is dead with Israel strongest power in region.region.  Israel’s GDP is greater than the combined GDP ofIsrael’s GDP is greater than the combined GDP of all combined neighbors, so can invest in moreall combined neighbors, so can invest in more securitysecurity  Economic strategy is towards high tech industry,Economic strategy is towards high tech industry, including weapons.including weapons.  Israel has moved from “Zionism = racism” toIsrael has moved from “Zionism = racism” to being courted by eastern Europe and Asia, whilebeing courted by eastern Europe and Asia, while being rejected by western powers.being rejected by western powers.  Israel sees globalization as an opportunity, not aIsrael sees globalization as an opportunity, not a threat, whereas the Arabs see it as a threatthreat, whereas the Arabs see it as a threat causing growing unemployment.causing growing unemployment.
  • 28.  Changing European-Israel relations asChanging European-Israel relations as Europe becomes a world power: Israel’sEurope becomes a world power: Israel’s economic and scientific relationship, andeconomic and scientific relationship, and even defense relationships with the EU areeven defense relationships with the EU are improving (e.g., the Israeli military hasimproving (e.g., the Israeli military has excellent relations with the Frenchexcellent relations with the French military), but the political relationship ismilitary), but the political relationship is deteriorating because of the Palestiniandeteriorating because of the Palestinian conflict. The main issues are not theconflict. The main issues are not the Muslim voters in the EU, as few vote, butMuslim voters in the EU, as few vote, but exporting Middle East problems to EUexporting Middle East problems to EU (terrorism, illegal immigrants).(terrorism, illegal immigrants).
  • 29. Local Environment:Local Environment:  Arab unity is dead, the Arab League is ineffective, andArab unity is dead, the Arab League is ineffective, and there is no prospect of an Arab coalition against Israel.there is no prospect of an Arab coalition against Israel.  Israel has military superiority. The current debate in IsraelIsrael has military superiority. The current debate in Israel is whether it would take two days or three to defeat Syria.is whether it would take two days or three to defeat Syria. Israel is more adaptive to the nature of war than is the US.Israel is more adaptive to the nature of war than is the US.  Palestinian anarchy/fragmentation is growing, as the PAPalestinian anarchy/fragmentation is growing, as the PA (national-secular camp) loses power to Islamic and Fatah(national-secular camp) loses power to Islamic and Fatah groups. Secularists are supported by regional powers, whilegroups. Secularists are supported by regional powers, while the street supports Islamicists. The secular camp and two-the street supports Islamicists. The secular camp and two- state solution camp are weakening and losing legitimacy asstate solution camp are weakening and losing legitimacy as the peace process failed. There is a debate over value ofthe peace process failed. There is a debate over value of violence vs political response. Arafat’s policy is to stay inviolence vs political response. Arafat’s policy is to stay in power while resisting changes to status quo. Islamistpower while resisting changes to status quo. Islamist support is growing but military power is weakening due tosupport is growing but military power is weakening due to targeted killings. Hamas is presenting more moderatetargeted killings. Hamas is presenting more moderate policies to outsiders about long-term cease-fire (policies to outsiders about long-term cease-fire (hudnahudna) but) but does not accept State of Israel.does not accept State of Israel.
  • 30.  The failure of the military venue has lead to twoThe failure of the military venue has lead to two new approaches: (i) low intensity conflictnew approaches: (i) low intensity conflict (terrorism) and (ii) WMD.(terrorism) and (ii) WMD. – Terrorism is unpleasant but not an existential threat.Terrorism is unpleasant but not an existential threat. It can be contained, as in fire-fighting. It cannot beIt can be contained, as in fire-fighting. It cannot be solved militarily, but it can give political leaders roomsolved militarily, but it can give political leaders room to maneuver. Sharon can afford to take the risks ofto maneuver. Sharon can afford to take the risks of disengagement.disengagement. – Israel’s enemies have developed a growing threat ofIsrael’s enemies have developed a growing threat of non-conventional weapons since 1960’s, especiallynon-conventional weapons since 1960’s, especially biological and chemical weapons. Iran is trying tobiological and chemical weapons. Iran is trying to develop nuclear capacity, which is an existentialdevelop nuclear capacity, which is an existential threat. They can be fought be having a crediblethreat. They can be fought be having a credible deterrence. Brom is not convinced that Iran willdeterrence. Brom is not convinced that Iran will succeed in building a nuclear weapon; diplomacy andsucceed in building a nuclear weapon; diplomacy and threats may work. But he is concerned about otherthreats may work. But he is concerned about other Arab nations becoming nuclear players. Uran is a veryArab nations becoming nuclear players. Uran is a very practical nation and is not willing to trade Teheran forpractical nation and is not willing to trade Teheran for Tel Aviv.Tel Aviv.
  • 31.  Israel has an effective missile shield, which is aIsrael has an effective missile shield, which is a huge deterrence. The small size of the country ishuge deterrence. The small size of the country is an advantage. The Arrow is “90%” effective.an advantage. The Arrow is “90%” effective.  Fear of irrational action regardless ofFear of irrational action regardless of consequence, fear of domino effect in Middle Eastconsequence, fear of domino effect in Middle East and increased chance of a mistake, but Israel isand increased chance of a mistake, but Israel is only nuclear country.only nuclear country.  Turkey-Israel relationship was beneficial in theTurkey-Israel relationship was beneficial in the past where Turkey exploited Israel’s relationshippast where Turkey exploited Israel’s relationship with the US and Israel used Turkish air space forwith the US and Israel used Turkish air space for training (quasi-military alliance). But Turkeytraining (quasi-military alliance). But Turkey doesn’t need Israel to connect to the EU.doesn’t need Israel to connect to the EU.  The disengagement option is more of a knee jerkThe disengagement option is more of a knee jerk reaction because there is no one to work with.reaction because there is no one to work with.
  • 32. Martin Kramer, Moshe Dayan Center forMartin Kramer, Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies,Middle Eastern and African Studies, Tel-Aviv UniversityTel-Aviv University How the Middle East is taught in USHow the Middle East is taught in US UniversitiesUniversities  In the 1980’s – 1990’s people were rivetedIn the 1980’s – 1990’s people were riveted by mobilizing impact of Islam on MEby mobilizing impact of Islam on ME development.development.  Edward Said’s “Orientalism” had a majorEdward Said’s “Orientalism” had a major impact on the field as a manifesto for MEimpact on the field as a manifesto for ME studies.studies.  ME studies were previously run as a guild,ME studies were previously run as a guild, with a high professional standard. This waswith a high professional standard. This was shifted to a populist third world trajectory.shifted to a populist third world trajectory.
  • 33.  70% of students study on government federal70% of students study on government federal scholarships under Area Studies Title 6 centers.scholarships under Area Studies Title 6 centers.  ME studies have become Arabo-Centric,ME studies have become Arabo-Centric, marginalizing other factions and with anmarginalizing other factions and with an underlying prejudice against Israel. Zionism isunderlying prejudice against Israel. Zionism is presented not as a national movement but as apresented not as a national movement but as a colonial implant, and Israel as an occupier.colonial implant, and Israel as an occupier. Kramer’s comment is that unlike the AlgerianKramer’s comment is that unlike the Algerian colonialists, who thought of themselves ascolonialists, who thought of themselves as Frenchmen, Jews have the right of self-Frenchmen, Jews have the right of self- identification and self-expression as any otheridentification and self-expression as any other people.people.  In Said’s view, the Palestinians are the “ArabIn Said’s view, the Palestinians are the “Arab hope” for the future of the ME. Iraq was another.hope” for the future of the ME. Iraq was another. Not one Iraq expert in MESA initially opposed theNot one Iraq expert in MESA initially opposed the war in Iraq.war in Iraq.
  • 34. ProfProf.. Ephraim Yuchtman-Yaar, Head ofEphraim Yuchtman-Yaar, Head of the Tami Steinmetz Center for Peacethe Tami Steinmetz Center for Peace Research, Trends in Public OpinionResearch, Trends in Public Opinion (eppie@post.tau.ac.il)(eppie@post.tau.ac.il)  There was a pendulum effect on Israeli politics between leftThere was a pendulum effect on Israeli politics between left and right parties. But this effect is no longer valid, as theand right parties. But this effect is no longer valid, as the Left has been abandoned by the Israeli public.Left has been abandoned by the Israeli public.  The Oslo agreement failed for the following reasons:The Oslo agreement failed for the following reasons:  (i) It lacked the pre-contractual elements that are required(i) It lacked the pre-contractual elements that are required to sustain the long-term survival of the contract. Sharedto sustain the long-term survival of the contract. Shared values and trust were lacking.values and trust were lacking.  (ii) It lacked built-in measures to deal with violations(ii) It lacked built-in measures to deal with violations  (iii) The Oslo process had a built in asymmetry, where(iii) The Oslo process had a built in asymmetry, where Israel gives up tangibles (land, return of PLO government)Israel gives up tangibles (land, return of PLO government) in return for PLO modifying their charter to accept thein return for PLO modifying their charter to accept the Jewish state and fighting terror. They were supposed toJewish state and fighting terror. They were supposed to hand over terrorists to Israel. (They never did, having ahand over terrorists to Israel. (They never did, having a revolving door imprisonment at best). There wererevolving door imprisonment at best). There were Palestinian violations as early as 12/93.Palestinian violations as early as 12/93.
  • 35. Michael Oren, Senior Fellow Shalom CenterMichael Oren, Senior Fellow Shalom Center (Zionist, Conservative)(Zionist, Conservative) Israel faces at least 5 existential threats:Israel faces at least 5 existential threats:  Conventional military threat, millions of soldiers andConventional military threat, millions of soldiers and 5000 tanks, 3000-4000 planes5000 tanks, 3000-4000 planes  Missiles with an array of warheads (not includingMissiles with an array of warheads (not including nuclear), threats of wiping us out, can strike anywherenuclear), threats of wiping us out, can strike anywhere  Terrorist threats no longer perceived as nuisance, usedTerrorist threats no longer perceived as nuisance, used to unravel society and undermine the economy,to unravel society and undermine the economy, multiplier affect. Terror when it ceases to terrorizemultiplier affect. Terror when it ceases to terrorize doesn’t undermine. Intifada cost more casualties thandoesn’t undermine. Intifada cost more casualties than Vietnam war. Greatest moral victory of not demolishingVietnam war. Greatest moral victory of not demolishing other side, unmatched by other threatened countries.other side, unmatched by other threatened countries.  Demographic threat, controversial, maintains Jewish andDemographic threat, controversial, maintains Jewish and democratic character. Main function of fence, Bedouindemocratic character. Main function of fence, Bedouin problem marrying Palestinian women (200,000 movedproblem marrying Palestinian women (200,000 moved from territories to Israel, not love matches but arrangedfrom territories to Israel, not love matches but arranged to get Israel social services and promote familyto get Israel social services and promote family reunification in Israel).reunification in Israel).  Environmental threat including competition for resourcesEnvironmental threat including competition for resources and contamination by Israel and neighboring states (e.g.and contamination by Israel and neighboring states (e.g. desalination)desalination)
  • 36. Israel, the 100th smallest country, with less thanIsrael, the 100th smallest country, with less than 1/1000th of the world's population, can make claim1/1000th of the world's population, can make claim to the following:Israelto the following:Israel  Israel has the highest ratio of university degreesIsrael has the highest ratio of university degrees to the population in the world.to the population in the world.  Israel produces more scientific papers per capitaIsrael produces more scientific papers per capita than any other nation by a large margin - 109 perthan any other nation by a large margin - 109 per 10,000 people - as well as one of the highest per10,000 people - as well as one of the highest per capita rates of patents filed.capita rates of patents filed.  In proportion to its population, Israel has theIn proportion to its population, Israel has the largest number of startup companies in thelargest number of startup companies in the world. In absolute terms, Israel has the largestworld. In absolute terms, Israel has the largest number of startup companies than any othernumber of startup companies than any other country in the world, except the US (3,500country in the world, except the US (3,500 companies mostly in hi-tech).companies mostly in hi-tech).  Israel is ranked #2 in the world for ventureIsrael is ranked #2 in the world for venture capital funds right behind the US.capital funds right behind the US.  Outside the United States and Canada, Israel hasOutside the United States and Canada, Israel has the largest number of NASDAQ listed companies.the largest number of NASDAQ listed companies.
  • 37.  Israel has the highest average living standards inIsrael has the highest average living standards in the Middle East. The per capita income in 2000the Middle East. The per capita income in 2000 was over $17,500, exceeding that of the UK.was over $17,500, exceeding that of the UK.  With an aerial arsenal of over 250 F-16s, IsraelWith an aerial arsenal of over 250 F-16s, Israel has the largest fleet of the aircraft outside of thehas the largest fleet of the aircraft outside of the US.US.  Israel's $100 billion economy is larger than all ofIsrael's $100 billion economy is larger than all of its immediate neighbors combined.its immediate neighbors combined.  On a per capita basis, Israel has the largestOn a per capita basis, Israel has the largest number of biotech start-ups.number of biotech start-ups.  Israel has the largest raptor migration in theIsrael has the largest raptor migration in the world, with hundreds of thousands of Africanworld, with hundreds of thousands of African birds of prey crossing as they fan out into Asia.birds of prey crossing as they fan out into Asia.  Twenty-four percent of Israel's workforce holdsTwenty-four percent of Israel's workforce holds university degrees - ranking third in theuniversity degrees - ranking third in the industrialized world, after the United States andindustrialized world, after the United States and Holland - and 12 percent hold advanced degrees.Holland - and 12 percent hold advanced degrees.
  • 38.  Israel is the only liberal democracy in the MiddleIsrael is the only liberal democracy in the Middle East.East.  In 1984 and 1991, Israel airlifted a total ofIn 1984 and 1991, Israel airlifted a total of 22,000 Ethiopian Jews at risk in Ethiopia to safety22,000 Ethiopian Jews at risk in Ethiopia to safety in Israel.in Israel.  When Golda Meir was elected Prime Minister ofWhen Golda Meir was elected Prime Minister of Israel in 1969, she became the world's secondIsrael in 1969, she became the world's second elected female leader in modern times.elected female leader in modern times.  When the U.S. Embassy in Nairobi, Kenya wasWhen the U.S. Embassy in Nairobi, Kenya was bombed in 1998, Israeli rescue teams were onbombed in 1998, Israeli rescue teams were on the scene within a day - and saved three victimsthe scene within a day - and saved three victims from the rubble.from the rubble.  Israel has the third highest rate ofIsrael has the third highest rate of entrepreneurship - and the highest rate amongentrepreneurship - and the highest rate among women and among people over 55 - in the world.women and among people over 55 - in the world.
  • 39.  Relative to its population, Israel is the largestRelative to its population, Israel is the largest immigrant-absorbing nation on earth.immigrant-absorbing nation on earth.  Immigrants come in search of democracy,Immigrants come in search of democracy, religious freedom, and economic opportunity.religious freedom, and economic opportunity.  Israel was the first nation in the world to adoptIsrael was the first nation in the world to adopt the Kimberly process, an international standardthe Kimberly process, an international standard that certifies diamonds as "conflict free.that certifies diamonds as "conflict free.  "According to industry officials, Israel designed"According to industry officials, Israel designed the airline industry's most impenetrable flightthe airline industry's most impenetrable flight security.security.  U.S. officials now look to Israel for advice on howU.S. officials now look to Israel for advice on how to handle airborne security threats.to handle airborne security threats.  Israel's Maccabi basketball team won theIsrael's Maccabi basketball team won the European championships in 2001.European championships in 2001.  Israeli tennis player Anna Smashnova is the 15thIsraeli tennis player Anna Smashnova is the 15th ranked female player in the world.ranked female player in the world.  Mighty Morphin' Power Rangers was produced byMighty Morphin' Power Rangers was produced by Haim Saban, an Israeli whose family fledHaim Saban, an Israeli whose family fled persecution in Egypt.persecution in Egypt.
  • 40.  In 1991, during the Gulf War, the IsraelIn 1991, during the Gulf War, the Israel Philharmonic Orchestra played a concertPhilharmonic Orchestra played a concert wearing gas masks as scud missiles firedwearing gas masks as scud missiles fired by Saddam Hussein fell on Tel Aviv.by Saddam Hussein fell on Tel Aviv.  Israel has the world's second highest perIsrael has the world's second highest per capita of new books.capita of new books.  Israel is the only country in the world thatIsrael is the only country in the world that entered the 21st century with a net gain inentered the 21st century with a net gain in its number of trees.its number of trees.  Israel has more museums per capita thanIsrael has more museums per capita than any other country.any other country.  Israel has two official languages: HebrewIsrael has two official languages: Hebrew and Arabic.and Arabic.
  • 41. MedecineMedecine  Israeli scientists developed the first fullyIsraeli scientists developed the first fully computerized, no-radiation, diagnosticcomputerized, no-radiation, diagnostic instrumentation for breast cancer.instrumentation for breast cancer.  An Israeli company developed a computerizedAn Israeli company developed a computerized system for ensuring proper administration ofsystem for ensuring proper administration of medications, thus removing human error frommedications, thus removing human error from medical treatment. Every year in U.S. hospitalsmedical treatment. Every year in U.S. hospitals 7,000 patients die from treatment mistakes.7,000 patients die from treatment mistakes.  Israel's Givun imaging developed the firstIsrael's Givun imaging developed the first ingestible video camera, so small it fits inside aingestible video camera, so small it fits inside a pill. Used the view the small intestine from thepill. Used the view the small intestine from the inside, the camera helps doctors diagnose cancerinside, the camera helps doctors diagnose cancer and digestive disorders.and digestive disorders.  Researchers in Israel developed a new deviceResearchers in Israel developed a new device that directly helps the heart pump blood, anthat directly helps the heart pump blood, an innovation with the potential to save lives amonginnovation with the potential to save lives among those with congestive heart failure. The newthose with congestive heart failure. The new device is synchronized with the heart'sdevice is synchronized with the heart's mechanical operations through a sophisticatedmechanical operations through a sophisticated system of sensors.system of sensors.
  • 42. TechnologyTechnology  With more than 3,000 high-tech companies andWith more than 3,000 high-tech companies and start-ups, Israel has the highest concentration ofstart-ups, Israel has the highest concentration of hi-tech companies in the world (apart from thehi-tech companies in the world (apart from the Silicon Valley).Silicon Valley).  In response to serious water shortages, IsraeliIn response to serious water shortages, Israeli engineers and agriculturalists developed aengineers and agriculturalists developed a revolutionary drip irrigation system to minimizerevolutionary drip irrigation system to minimize the amount of water used to grow crops.the amount of water used to grow crops.  Israel has the highest percentage in the world ofIsrael has the highest percentage in the world of home computers per capita.home computers per capita.  Israel leads the world in the number of scientistsIsrael leads the world in the number of scientists and technicians in the workforce, with 145 perand technicians in the workforce, with 145 per 10,000, as opposed to 85 in the U.S., over 70 in10,000, as opposed to 85 in the U.S., over 70 in Japan, and less than 60 in Germany.Japan, and less than 60 in Germany.  With over 25% of its work force employed inWith over 25% of its work force employed in technical professions, Israel places first in thistechnical professions, Israel places first in this category as well.category as well.
  • 43.  The cell phone was developed in Israel byThe cell phone was developed in Israel by Motorola, which has its largestMotorola, which has its largest development center in Israel.Most of thedevelopment center in Israel.Most of the Windows NT operating system wasWindows NT operating system was developed by Microsoft-Israel.The Pentiumdeveloped by Microsoft-Israel.The Pentium MMX Chip technology was designed inMMX Chip technology was designed in Israel at Intel.Voice mail technology wasIsrael at Intel.Voice mail technology was developed in Israel.Both Microsoft anddeveloped in Israel.Both Microsoft and Cisco built their only R&D facilities outsideCisco built their only R&D facilities outside the US in Israel.the US in Israel.
  • 44.  The technology for AOL Instant MessengerThe technology for AOL Instant Messenger was developed in 1996 by four youngwas developed in 1996 by four young Israelis.Israelis.  A new acne treatment developed in Israel,A new acne treatment developed in Israel, the ClearLight device, produces a high-the ClearLight device, produces a high- intensity, ultraviolet-light-free, narrow-intensity, ultraviolet-light-free, narrow- band blue light that causes acne bacteriaband blue light that causes acne bacteria to self-destruct - all without damagingto self-destruct - all without damaging surroundings skin or tissue.surroundings skin or tissue.  An Israeli company was the first toAn Israeli company was the first to develop and install a large-scale solar-develop and install a large-scale solar- powered and fully functional electricitypowered and fully functional electricity generating plant, in southern California'sgenerating plant, in southern California's Mojave desert.Mojave desert.  The first PC anti-virus software wasThe first PC anti-virus software was developed in Israel in 1979.developed in Israel in 1979.