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The Commercial Spaceflight
                              Revolution
                            Duncan Law-Green, University of Leicester

Thursday, 15 September 11
Commercial Spaceflight
                            The What & Why of “NewSpace”


                     • What: Innovative, low-cost, efficiently
                            managed programmes

                     • Why: To open the space frontier to all of
                            humankind




Thursday, 15 September 11
TWA Rocket: 1955 - 1961

    Sponsored by Trans World Airlines

    Opening Centrepiece of
    Tomorrowland, Disneyland

    Adjacent to “Rocket to the
    Moon” movie exhibit



Thursday, 15 September 11
1968: Space Tourism in Film




Thursday, 15 September 11
2001: A Space Adventure
        US company Space Adventures forms agreement with Russian Space Agency
        for space tourism trips to International Space Station. Cost $20-30 million

                       2001                             2007/2009
                       Dennis Tito (US)                 Charles Simonyi (Hun/US)
                       Soyuz TM-32                      Soyuz TMA-10/TMA-14

                       2002                             2008
                       Mark Shuttleworth (SA/UK)        Richard Garriott (UK/US)
                       Soyuz TM-32                      Soyuz TMA-13
                       2005
                       Greg Olsen (US)                  2009
                       Soyuz TMA-7                      Guy Laliberte (Canada)
                                                        Soyuz TMA-16
                       2006
                       Anousheh Ansari (Iran/US)
                       Soyuz TMA-9
Thursday, 15 September 11
Peter Diamandis
   Founder of the X-Prize organisation
Thursday, 15 September 11
Ansari X-Prize
      Devised by Peter Diamandis,
      inspired by Orteig Prize for first solo
      transatlantic flight, won by
      Charles Lindberg in 1927.                          Anousheh Ansari

      $10 million for first vehicle to carry 3 people (or one person and
      equivalent mass) to 100km altitude and back, twice in two weeks.

      Prize funded by Iranian/American telecoms entrepreneur Anousheh
      Ansari

      Prize won 4 October 2004, by SpaceShipOne, built by Burt Rutan,
      funded by Paul Allen (co-founder of Microsoft).
Thursday, 15 September 11
Virgin Galactic SpaceShipTwo
   Under construction at Scaled Composites, Mojave




Thursday, 15 September 11
SpaceShipTwo & WhiteKnightTwo
 Completed, official rollout 8 Dec 2009

Thursday, 15 September 11
Spaceport America
   World’s first purpose-built commercial passenger spaceport
Thursday, 15 September 11
SpaceShipTwo Drop Tests
    Aerodynamic glide tests started 10 Oct 2010

Thursday, 15 September 11
XCOR “Lynx” suborbital rocketplane
   Artist’s impression
Thursday, 15 September 11
Thursday, 15 September 11
VTVL
                                  Vertical Takeoff,Vertical Landing




                    • Several companies including Masten Space
                            Systems and Armadillo Aerospace working
                            on fully-reusable VTVL rockets
Thursday, 15 September 11
Armadillo Aerospace
                                           SUPER MOD TEST
                            CADDO MILLS, TEXAS, 16 SEPT 2010
Thursday, 15 September 11
Armadillo Aerospace
                                           SUPER MOD TEST
                            CADDO MILLS, TEXAS, 16 SEPT 2010
Thursday, 15 September 11
Blue Origin
        • Founded by Jeff Bezos, CEO of Amazon.com, working on
               suborbital and orbital manned spacecraft

        • Private spaceport at Van Horn, Texas
        • Unmanned PM-2 launched 24 Aug 2011
               Achieved 45,000ft, Mach-1.2 before loss of vehicle




Thursday, 15 September 11
Thursday, 15 September 11
To Orbit and Beyond...
Thursday, 15 September 11
SpaceX
        • Founded by software entrepreneur
               Elon Musk in 2002

        • Developer of low-cost launch
               vehicles (Falcon-1, Falcon-9), spent ~$500M

        • Dragon: orbital spacecraft for cargo and crew.
               Winner of a NASA COTS (Commercial Orbital
               Transportation Services) contract.

        • Successful Falcon-9 first launch 18 June 2010
        • Successful Dragon flight test and re-entry 8 Dec 2010
Thursday, 15 September 11
Falcon 9/Dragon launch, Cape Canaveral
Thursday, 15 September 11
SpaceX Dragon in orbit
Thursday, 15 September 11
SpaceX Dragon




                LAS (Launch Abort System) to enable powered landings


Thursday, 15 September 11
SpaceX: Falcon Heavy
   53 metric tons to LEO
Thursday, 15 September 11
COTS & CCDev
      • COTS: Commercial Cargo to ISS
              - SpaceX (Dragon)
              - Orbital (Cygnus)

      • CCDev: Commercial Crew to ISS
              - SpaceX (Dragon)
              - Sierra Nevada Corp. (Dream Chaser)
              - Boeing (CST-100)
              - Blue Origin

      • Funding in low hundred million $
Thursday, 15 September 11
Bigelow Aerospace
       • Founded by construction magnate
               Robert Bigelow in 1999

       • Commercial space stations, based
               on “Transhab” inflatable habitat
               technology developed at NASA JSC

       • Two subscale demonstrators already in orbit (Genesis-1, II).
       • Leases access to stations, $8 million/month
       • Oct 2010: Signed MOUs with Japan, Singapore, Netherlands,
               Sweden, Australia, UK. Full-scale due to launch 2014.



Thursday, 15 September 11
Bigelow Aerospace:
                            Full-scale mockups of space station modules
Thursday, 15 September 11
Thursday, 15 September 11
Private Space Stations
     • Excalibur Almaz
            (US/Russia/Isle of Man)


     • Orbital Technologies
             (Russia)




Thursday, 15 September 11
Return to the Moon...
          ...this time to stay
Thursday, 15 September 11
Google Lunar X-Prize
                    • £30M prize for first commercial rover on lunar
                            surface. First landing by 2015.

                    • 29 teams competing, includes major universities and
                            aerospace companies

                    • Rover must land, travel 500 metres, return science
                            data and HD video
                                   Astrobotic (US)            Odyssey Moon (US, UK)




Thursday, 15 September 11
Circumlunar flight


                                    DSE Spacecraft

               • Space Adventures planning circumlunar flight ($150M/
                       seat)

               • One ticket already sold, one under negotiation
               • Modified Soyuz plus boost stage, “free return” trajectory
                       (similar to Apollo 13)

               • Flight expected around 2016.
Thursday, 15 September 11
Mining the Moon & Asteroids




                    • Helium-3 Schmitt et al.) fuel for fusion reactors
                      (Harrison
                                 from lunar soil,

                    • Platinum group metals (Paul Spudis et al.)
                    • Rare earth elements (MoonEx)
                    • Iron, aluminium, titanium...
                    • Oxygen from lunar minerals
                    • Water (Shackleton Energy Company)
Thursday, 15 September 11
Satellite Solar Power




                    • April 2009: Pacific Gas & Electric makes
                            agreement to purchase space solar power
                            from Solaren
Thursday, 15 September 11
Future NASA Policy
Thursday, 15 September 11
NASA Budget Challenges

                                              $$
                                                                    Commercial Crew



                                                   $$

                                                                     Science Missions


                                              $$
                   SLS: Space Launch System

      $16bn to first flight                               Exploration Tech
Thursday, 15 September 11
Deep Space Missions?




                            Design for a “true spacecraft” proposed by NASA
                               Technology Applications Assessment Team
Thursday, 15 September 11

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Commercial Space Revolution Driving New Era

  • 1. The Commercial Spaceflight Revolution Duncan Law-Green, University of Leicester Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 2. Commercial Spaceflight The What & Why of “NewSpace” • What: Innovative, low-cost, efficiently managed programmes • Why: To open the space frontier to all of humankind Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 3. TWA Rocket: 1955 - 1961 Sponsored by Trans World Airlines Opening Centrepiece of Tomorrowland, Disneyland Adjacent to “Rocket to the Moon” movie exhibit Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 4. 1968: Space Tourism in Film Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 5. 2001: A Space Adventure US company Space Adventures forms agreement with Russian Space Agency for space tourism trips to International Space Station. Cost $20-30 million 2001 2007/2009 Dennis Tito (US) Charles Simonyi (Hun/US) Soyuz TM-32 Soyuz TMA-10/TMA-14 2002 2008 Mark Shuttleworth (SA/UK) Richard Garriott (UK/US) Soyuz TM-32 Soyuz TMA-13 2005 Greg Olsen (US) 2009 Soyuz TMA-7 Guy Laliberte (Canada) Soyuz TMA-16 2006 Anousheh Ansari (Iran/US) Soyuz TMA-9 Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 6. Peter Diamandis Founder of the X-Prize organisation Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 7. Ansari X-Prize Devised by Peter Diamandis, inspired by Orteig Prize for first solo transatlantic flight, won by Charles Lindberg in 1927. Anousheh Ansari $10 million for first vehicle to carry 3 people (or one person and equivalent mass) to 100km altitude and back, twice in two weeks. Prize funded by Iranian/American telecoms entrepreneur Anousheh Ansari Prize won 4 October 2004, by SpaceShipOne, built by Burt Rutan, funded by Paul Allen (co-founder of Microsoft). Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 8. Virgin Galactic SpaceShipTwo Under construction at Scaled Composites, Mojave Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 9. SpaceShipTwo & WhiteKnightTwo Completed, official rollout 8 Dec 2009 Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 10. Spaceport America World’s first purpose-built commercial passenger spaceport Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 11. SpaceShipTwo Drop Tests Aerodynamic glide tests started 10 Oct 2010 Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 12. XCOR “Lynx” suborbital rocketplane Artist’s impression Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 14. VTVL Vertical Takeoff,Vertical Landing • Several companies including Masten Space Systems and Armadillo Aerospace working on fully-reusable VTVL rockets Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 15. Armadillo Aerospace SUPER MOD TEST CADDO MILLS, TEXAS, 16 SEPT 2010 Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 16. Armadillo Aerospace SUPER MOD TEST CADDO MILLS, TEXAS, 16 SEPT 2010 Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 17. Blue Origin • Founded by Jeff Bezos, CEO of Amazon.com, working on suborbital and orbital manned spacecraft • Private spaceport at Van Horn, Texas • Unmanned PM-2 launched 24 Aug 2011 Achieved 45,000ft, Mach-1.2 before loss of vehicle Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 19. To Orbit and Beyond... Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 20. SpaceX • Founded by software entrepreneur Elon Musk in 2002 • Developer of low-cost launch vehicles (Falcon-1, Falcon-9), spent ~$500M • Dragon: orbital spacecraft for cargo and crew. Winner of a NASA COTS (Commercial Orbital Transportation Services) contract. • Successful Falcon-9 first launch 18 June 2010 • Successful Dragon flight test and re-entry 8 Dec 2010 Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 21. Falcon 9/Dragon launch, Cape Canaveral Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 22. SpaceX Dragon in orbit Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 23. SpaceX Dragon LAS (Launch Abort System) to enable powered landings Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 24. SpaceX: Falcon Heavy 53 metric tons to LEO Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 25. COTS & CCDev • COTS: Commercial Cargo to ISS - SpaceX (Dragon) - Orbital (Cygnus) • CCDev: Commercial Crew to ISS - SpaceX (Dragon) - Sierra Nevada Corp. (Dream Chaser) - Boeing (CST-100) - Blue Origin • Funding in low hundred million $ Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 26. Bigelow Aerospace • Founded by construction magnate Robert Bigelow in 1999 • Commercial space stations, based on “Transhab” inflatable habitat technology developed at NASA JSC • Two subscale demonstrators already in orbit (Genesis-1, II). • Leases access to stations, $8 million/month • Oct 2010: Signed MOUs with Japan, Singapore, Netherlands, Sweden, Australia, UK. Full-scale due to launch 2014. Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 27. Bigelow Aerospace: Full-scale mockups of space station modules Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 29. Private Space Stations • Excalibur Almaz (US/Russia/Isle of Man) • Orbital Technologies (Russia) Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 30. Return to the Moon... ...this time to stay Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 31. Google Lunar X-Prize • £30M prize for first commercial rover on lunar surface. First landing by 2015. • 29 teams competing, includes major universities and aerospace companies • Rover must land, travel 500 metres, return science data and HD video Astrobotic (US) Odyssey Moon (US, UK) Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 32. Circumlunar flight DSE Spacecraft • Space Adventures planning circumlunar flight ($150M/ seat) • One ticket already sold, one under negotiation • Modified Soyuz plus boost stage, “free return” trajectory (similar to Apollo 13) • Flight expected around 2016. Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 33. Mining the Moon & Asteroids • Helium-3 Schmitt et al.) fuel for fusion reactors (Harrison from lunar soil, • Platinum group metals (Paul Spudis et al.) • Rare earth elements (MoonEx) • Iron, aluminium, titanium... • Oxygen from lunar minerals • Water (Shackleton Energy Company) Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 34. Satellite Solar Power • April 2009: Pacific Gas & Electric makes agreement to purchase space solar power from Solaren Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 35. Future NASA Policy Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 36. NASA Budget Challenges $$ Commercial Crew $$ Science Missions $$ SLS: Space Launch System $16bn to first flight Exploration Tech Thursday, 15 September 11
  • 37. Deep Space Missions? Design for a “true spacecraft” proposed by NASA Technology Applications Assessment Team Thursday, 15 September 11