BNSC Consultation on the UK Civil Space Strategy (2007 – 2010) 21 st June 2007 Institute of Physics, Portland Place, London New Opportunities A panel discussion

Thinking ‘beyond’ The BNSC strategy is nominally for a three year period… …But three years is just ‘tomorrow’ in terms of the world of space What will things look like in 15 years time ?

The BNSC strategy is nominally for a three year period…

…But three years is just ‘tomorrow’ in terms of the world of space

What will things look like in 15 years time ?

Example scenarios: by 2022… … The private sector will have evolved sub-orbital space tourism vehicles into low cost human and cargo transportation to LEO ? … The US will have led a global return to the Moon and be establishing a permanent scientific outpost for geology, astronomy and preparation for a human Mars mission ? … Most commercial spacecraft manufacturing will have been outsourced to China, India ? … The International Space Station will have been sold to private equity investors to operate as a space hotel ? … Government space applications will be managed by industry in response to EU requirements ? … European space science and exploration will be managed by a European Science Research Council ? … Increased energy needs and oil depletion will make solar power satellites economically attractive ? … Climate change will be driving global population migrations and Government’s top priority will be to manage them ?

… The private sector will have evolved sub-orbital space tourism vehicles into low cost human and cargo transportation to LEO ?

The questions for this session What are the new or emerging issues in space ? What could be the UK’s role ? What should BNSC do ? Get involved ? Keep out of the way ?

What are the new or emerging issues in space ?

What could be the UK’s role ?

What should BNSC do ?

Get involved ?

Keep out of the way ?

Our Panel Stephen Attenborough Commercial Director, Virgin Galactic David Bestwick Technical Director, Avanti Communications Professor Frank Close OBE Professor of Physics at the University of Oxford, Chair of BNSC Space Exploration Working Group Dr. Kevin Fong Co-director of the Centre for Aviation Space and Extreme Environment Medicine, University College London. Professor Alan O’Neil University of Reading, Director of NERC Centre for Earth Observation Ruy Pinto Director Satellite Ops and Navigation, Inmarsat Pat Norris Business Development Manager, Logica CMG

Stephen Attenborough Commercial Director,

Virgin Galactic

David Bestwick Technical Director,

Avanti Communications

Professor Frank Close OBE Professor of Physics at the University of Oxford, Chair of BNSC Space Exploration Working Group

Dr. Kevin Fong Co-director of the Centre for Aviation Space and Extreme Environment Medicine, University College London.

Professor Alan O’Neil University of Reading, Director of NERC Centre for Earth Observation

Ruy Pinto Director Satellite Ops and Navigation, Inmarsat

Pat Norris Business Development Manager, Logica CMG

Some questions to kick-things off… Is space tourism a side-show to the main thrust of space industry or will it change the fundamental economics of space access? How will commercial satellite telecoms evolve over the next 15 years: where is the challenge – enough bandwidth or finding content that makes money? What is happening in the global space exploration scene and what does it mean for the UK? Taking climate change as a given, what are the societal and commercial issues that arise and how will space make a difference ? What really matters to the UK – developing technology here or just exploiting it ? Which elements of the space programme will really matter to the citizen of the future (the child of today)?

Is space tourism a side-show to the main thrust of space industry or will it change the fundamental economics of space access?

How will commercial satellite telecoms evolve over the next 15 years: where is the challenge – enough bandwidth or finding content that makes money?

What is happening in the global space exploration scene and what does it mean for the UK?

Taking climate change as a given, what are the societal and commercial issues that arise and how will space make a difference ?

What really matters to the UK – developing technology here or just exploiting it ?

Which elements of the space programme will really matter to the citizen of the future (the child of today)?