Jolly Boy

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  • + guest4432f8b guest4432f8b 9 months ago
    it should be optimistic and pessimistic rather than worst case and better case
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Jolly Boy - Presentation Transcript

  1. Ocean’s 5 Stefano Di Genua Julia Goessler Shirley Liu Leo Tumwattana Jon Yau A jolly great investment opportunity in China
  2. Vision To become the leading ice cream brand in Northeast China
  3. Jolly Boy Success Strategy
  4. Jolly Boy Success Strategy
  5. Jolly Boy Success Strategy
    • Capture the Mass Premium segment in Northeast China with great potential.
    • Existing operations and extensive distribution network .
    • Experienced management and strong relationships .
    • IPO in 3 years can give you a return of 15 times the initial investment
    Investment highlights IRR of 118% after 3 years
  6. Agenda
  7. The key Jolly Boy differentiations Small Niche Market Low Margin Flexible Quality Pricing Capture the MASS PREMIUM market
  8. Timeline Clear timeline for future growth
  9. Agenda
  10. Ice Cream Market - China China has a HUGE ice cream market potential
    • Ice cream market is growing by 9% annually
    • Income is rising rapidly – 10% per year
    • Rising demand for dairy products
    • As a result:
      • More than 73% of Chinese ate ice cream in 2006!
      • (China Marketing Media Study 2006)
  11. Per Capita Per Year Ice Cream Consumption Source: Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada Huge room for future growth
  12. China’s North East Region Over 100 million people in Northeast China Northeast China has perfect market conditions Harbin Beijing Heilongjiang Jilin Shanghai Changchun Changchun GDP per capita RMB 21,000 Ranked 52 out of 650 Chinese cities Harbin GDP per capita RMB 22,000 Ranked 50 out of 650 Chinese cities Jilin Province’s ice cream market size: 400,000 tons
  13. Agenda
  14. Competitive Landscape Sources: Sinomonitor International Yili 15% Nestle 10% Walls 10% Jilin market size: 400,000 tons/annum No dominant player in industry Meadow 10% Mengniu 10% Jolly Boy 45% 168,000 tons
  15. Products Yili, Mengniu Quality Price 1.5 RMB 3.0 RMB Fragmented Domestic Players Nestle, Walls, Meadow Jolly Boy Chocolate Jolly Boy Genius Fruit Bars Jolly Boy Game Ice Bars MASS Less Expensive PREMIUM Quality Targeting the MASS PREMIUM market
  16. Agenda
  17. Marketing and Distribution Strong marketing & distribution already in place
  18. Agenda
  19. Key d ecision m aker MR MAO Mr. Mao the best man for success Award-winning Management Connections With Distribution Channels Market Expertise
  20. Ownership Breakdown Highly committed founders No one owning more than 3.5% stake
  21. Agenda
  22. Proposed Ownership Breakdown
  23. Proposed Ownership Breakdown
  24. Proposed Ownership Breakdown Offering great ownership opportunity Percent ownership offered to investor(s) 7.4%
  25. Investment Keynotes IRR of 118% (based on an exit in 2009) Break even within 13 months IPO return of 15 times initial investment * 2009 dividends = 150% of initial investment *Based on projections and exit value in 2009
  26. Projected Annual Profits Profits to grow by over 50% per year
  27. Profit Sensitivity Analysis (versus sale flux)
  28. Profit Sensitivity Analysis (versus sale flux) IRR 118%
  29. Profit Sensitivity Analysis (versus sale flux) IRR 89.8%
  30. Profit Sensitivity Analysis (versus sale flux) IRR 138.2%
  31. Usage Advertising Expansion
  32.  
  33. Summary – Strategy for Success
  34. Jolly Boy Ice Cream
  35. Jolly Boy Ice Cream
  36. Jolly Boy Projections 2006 2007 2008 2009 Sales Cases 1,624 4,048 6,072 9,107 Units 66,768 165,840 248,760 373,140 Gross Revenue (RMB 000's) 74,021 186,533 279,799 419,699 Variable Material Cost (47,394) (101,845) (152,768) (229,152) Variable Manufacturing Cost (4,154) (10,189) (13,807) (20,333) Other 0 0 0 0 Gross Profit 22,473 74,499 113,224 170,214 Per Case 13.84 18.40 18.65 18.69 As % of Gross Revenue 30.4% 39.9% 40.5% 40.6% Operating Expenses Sales & Distribution (3,126) (10,631) (16,961) (28,510) Primary Distribution (566) (1,200) (1,915) (2,987) Fleet (2,361) (5,774) (8,360) (12,245) Advertising (5,922) (14,923) (22,384) (33,576) Fixed Mfg. Cost (5,972) (10,862) (14,005) (15,222) General & Administrative (3,022) (4,266) (6,216) (8,270) Research & Development (2,221) (14,923) (22,384) (29,379) Total Operating Expenses (23,190) (62,579) (92,225) (130,189) As % of Gross Revenue 31.3% 33.5% 33.0% 31.0% Operating Profit Before Tax (717) 11,920 20,999 40,025 As % of Gross Revenue -1.0% 6.4% 7.5% 9.5% Tax 0 0 0 0 Net Operating Profit After Tax (717) 11,920 20,999 40,025 Investor Cash Flows Investment (2,000) 29,648 Dividends 0 0 0 0 0 Exchange Rate 8.0 7.2 6.5 5.8 5.2 US$ Cash Flow ($250) $0 $0 $0 $5,649 Investor IRR 118.0%
  37. Assumptions Investment 2,000 PE Ratio 10.0 Existing Capital 25,000 Payout Ratio 85.0% Total Capital 27,000 2009 Dividend 2,520 Ownership Interest 7.41%
  38. Exchange Rate Sensitivity Analysis Worst Case Negative Case Base case IRR 96.2% 105.7% 118.0%
  39. Management Structure Investor to receive USD 5.6 Million in 2009 2006 2007 2008 2009 FCF of JollyBoy (RMB ‘000) (717) 11,920 20,999 40,025 Investment (RMB ‘000) - 29,648 Dividends (RMB ‘000) - - - - Exchange rate (RMB:USD) 8.0 7.2 6.5 5.8 5.2 USD cash flow (USD ‘000) (250) - - - 5,649
  40. Dividend Policy
    • No dividends for the first three years
      • Raise funds for Harbin City plant
    • 2009 dividend alone enough to repay initial capital invested
  41. 3 Products Range of products targets low, middle and high-end RMB New Zealand Premium chocolate coated bars 3.0 “ Genius” fruit ice bars 1.5 “ Game” ice milk bars 2.0
  42. Projected Annual Revenue Revenue increases by 467% by 2009
  43. Dairy Supply in Northeast China Enough local dairy supply for Jolly Boy’s lower range ice creams Source: www.nenet.com.cn Northeast has the largest production capacity and is increasing at 25% a year
  44. Weather and Seasonality
    • Reducing reliance on seasonality
      • Proactive product rollouts
      • Changing customer sentiments
    • Save money
      • Lower storage costs
    Sources: www.marketingweek.co.uk, www.franchisesolutions.com NEVER too cold for Jolly Boy
  45. Northeast China
    • Changchun GDP per capita RMB21,000
      • Ranked 52 out of 659 Chinese cities
    • Harbin GDP per capita RMB22,000
    • Jilin has a number of world-famous tourist sites:
      • UNESCO World Heritage Sites
      • Impulse sales
    Sources: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki, www.euromonitor.com Large potential market with high incomes

+ StefanoStefano, 2 years ago

custom

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