Envision Utah Air Quality Presentation
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  • 1. 2013 1998 As Utah adds 2.5 million by 2050... 1998 2050 2.1m 2.9m 5.4m2050 Source: Envision Utah Quality Growth Strategy and Technical Review, Census 2010 SF1 100%, State of Utah GOPB
  • 2. Will we have... • Clean air to breath? • Enough water for our needs? • Transportation choices that promote a high quality of life? • An affordable cost of living, with housing options for everyone? • Natural lands, agriculture, and recreational options? • Quality jobs for all of us? • An educated population? • Enough roads, rail, and utilities without overburdening ourselves with costs? Where are we headed? 2013 ? ?
  • 3. October 29 Kickoff “In Utah, we don’t believe in sitting back and seeing where growth will take us. We seek to be visionary and to actively secure our future. Together, we will develop a voluntary, locally-implemented, market-driven vision to help keep Utah beautiful, prosperous, healthy and neighborly for current residents and future generations.” -- Governor Gary R. Herbert, Honorary Co-Chair of Envision Utah.
  • 4. Exploring Choices • Workshops • Public input • Task force meetings • Scenario modeling Choosing • Online tool • Media and outreach campaign • Statistical survey Vision Establishment • Analyzing the public's choices • Vision documentation • Public vision release • Begin implementation 2014 Early 2015 2015 Envision Utah: Your Utah. Your Future.
  • 5. CLEAN AIR ACTION TEAM Area Sources Industry Point Sources Vehicles Developing a comprehensive strategy that addresses all three sources of pollution across Utah.
  • 6. 10% 30% 61% AVERAGE WINTER WEEKDAY EMISSIONS Industry Source Area Source Mobile Source Combined 2010 (2008 for Logan) baseline emissions data from Utah Division of Air Quality state implementation plans for Logan, Salt Lake, and Provo non-attainment areas
  • 7. Air Quality Impacts • Attracting a high-quality labor force • Attracting clean industry • Tourism • Health care costs • Adding any businesses with any emissions • Other?
  • 8. Immediate Recommendations • Bring cleaner cars and fuel to Utah ASAP • Eliminate wood burning during inversions • Expand public and active transportation • Increase DAQ’s budget and authority • Continue and expand the public education campaign
  • 9. LET’S CLEAR THE AIR CAMPAIGN
  • 10. • Seen by 2,596,000 viewers on television • Heard by 9,057,456 listeners on radio • Seen by 17,395,664 drivers on billboards • Seen by 79,917 users via Google searches • Seen by 7,648,000 viewers on the Web • Seen by 25,623,000 users on Facebook
  • 11. Tier 3: Integrated System for Vehicle Emissions and Fuels • Begins nationwide in 2017 and phases in through 2025 • But there are risks to Utah
  • 12. 2008-2019 Emissions by Source (Pre-Tier 3) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2010 2014 2017 2019 Tonsperday Area Mobile NonRoad Point Source: DAQ
  • 13. Tier 1, Tier 2, and Tier 3: VOC + NOx 910 160 30 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 VOC+NOX mg/mi Tier 1 Tier 2 (Bin 5) Tier 3 *30 mg/mi is equivalent to Tier 2 Bin 2 (or approximately the same as a CNG Honda Civic)
  • 14. Tier 1, Tier 2, and Tier 3: Direct PM2.5 100 10 3 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Direct PM mg/mi Tier 1 Source: DAQ
  • 15. Projected Change in 2030 24-hour PM2.5 Design Values from Tier 3 Source: DAQ
  • 16. Tier 3: EPA-Estimated Costs • Vehicles: $ 72 cost per new car • Fuel: Less than one penny per gallon
  • 17. Tier 3: Risks for Utah • 3-year compliance extension for Utah refineries • National averaging, banking, and trading (ABT) provisions may leave Utah with dirtier fuels for the long term. • Low-sulfur gasoline required to enable emission controls in Tier 3 vehicles.