PLAN B NO BS - J. IV CARBON Oil - 20th Century's Fatal Seductress. C2 V1

* In 1900 the world produced 150 million barrels of oil, and,* Now in the early 21st Century, 28 billion barrels per year, an* 180 fold increase.* Cheap oil has enabled our food production explosion, along with our explosion in population, urbanization, and mobility. Oil’s been like having 10’s of personal slaves each, objectively, for we westerners, or like an oppressive western army, for the rest of the world.* In 1900 30% of us lived in cities. Thanks to oil, today 50% of us do.* The Grain harvest increased 400% in the 20th century.* Mobility has exploded, or, metastasized, if you will; a proliferation of cars, trains, planes.* Today, all we, today’s westerners have ever known is an oil based civilization, though Gandhi said we westerners had everything but civilization.*Oil, our Deadly MercenaryArmy, our central Addiction of the 20th Century.

* 1981 was the peak of new discoveries worldwide. Zero, none, nada, not 1 top 20 discoveries since then. Zilch. The tank is headed toward empty, for ever. You’ll tell your kids, what? * In 2006 the world pumped 28 billion barrels but discovered only 9 billion new. Uh, yes, that is not good. We used three times more than we replaced. * The World’s reserves are in free-fall, for decades now. You didn’t know. You do now. And? * One half of the world’s reserves are now used up. There are 1 trillion barrels left. * THE FIRST TRILLION WAS EASY OIL. * WHAT’S LEFT IS TOUGH OIL. It is, * DEEP, * OFF SHORE, * IN UNFRIENDLY COUNTRIES, * IN A DEADLY MIXTURE OF SAND, OR SHALE. * DIRTIEST FUEL ON THE PLANET. * PEAK OIL IS HERE. * THIS IS A TOTALLY DIFFERENT WORLD, THE ONE YOU ARE HANDING YOUR CHILDREN, AND ALL OF CREATION. * SO, WHAT IS THE END GAME FOR YOU? WARS? PRICE EXPLOSION? OR ARE YOU READY TO BREAK A SWEAT TO HAND CREATION SOMETHING BETTER?* Our Western Oil [Army] Fed us, Moved us, Plundered for us.… Now, it is abandoning, and turning on us. [Not we, but our children deserve better.]

* In 1950 through 1972 a bushel of wheat could be traded for barrel of oil, both trading for about $2.* But Grain is now pegged to Oil, and with oil now over $60 a barrel, grain for western cars is highly profitable. * In 2006 16% of the corn crop went to fuel for the cars of the affloholics. * By just 2 years later, in 2008 that doubled to about 30%. [God save us from the ‘Christian’ nation.]* THE WORLD PRICE OF GRAIN IS MOVING TO THE OIL PRICE EQUIVALENT. * Food will shift into the fuel economy benefiting western affloholics, and away from the bellies of the starving billions. Luckily, we are not all interconnected. Right? *Oil’s been Century’s 20 th Food, Pretty Much. It has infused everything we’ve consumed. Now, it’s gone.

* History is clear. New production follows new discovery by about 40 years, throughout the history of oil production.* In 1970 the US produced 9.6 million barrels per day. * In 2006 the US produced 5.1 million barrels per day. * There is a 47% decline in us production since 1970.* Venezuela has peaked now, a major US supplier.* The UK Peaked in roughly 2000. *Cleaner Oil is More than Half Gone. Forever. The rest is the expensive, dirty, HomeEart

* Russia eclipsed Saudi Arabia in 2006.* Canada, horrifically, under control of its carbon rich western right-wingers, is fighting to get its deadly tar sands into the US, and into the world’s atmosphere. As NASA’s James Hansen projects, Creation is doomed if this happens. And so far, your sideline-sitting are making it a done deal.* Other countries in drill baby drill mode, till you stop them are: * Kazakhstan, * Algeria, * Angola, * Brazil, * Nigeria, * UAE, * Libya. *Oil in Russia and Others is Gushing. For now. And drowning Creation in co2.

* Mexico * Is the US 2nd largest supplier. * In 2004 Mexico produced 3.4 million barrels per day. * Mexico’s dominant oil field is in steep decline. * Mexico could be a net oil importer by 2015.* China.* Saudi Arabia’s * Largest oil field is 50 years old now. * Saudi Arabia’s 2007 production of 8.9 million barrels was down 6% from the prior year.* Can pre-peak countries make up the difference for the rest? For how long? We can only hope, not. *The Biggest Sources traditionally, are in Decline - Saudi Arabia, etc.

* In decades there have not been any dramatic increases in exploration and development of traditional oil.* Obviously, the corp(ses) perceive that 95% of world’s oil is already discovered.* The whole world has been seismically searched.* It is extremely unlikely new fields to be found.* World demand increases annually 2 million barrels per day.* Old oil fields decline annually 4 million barrels per day. Uh, you do the math.* Current world demand needs a whole new Saudi Arabia every few years. YES, THIS IS NOT SUSTAINABLE.* IF THE OIL CO’S HAD GOOD PROSPECTS THEY’D BE DEVELOPING THEM.* WORLD PRODUCTION OF 85 MILLION BARRELS PER DAY DECLINED IN 2007.* Of the top 20 fields ever discovered, * 18 were discovered between 1917 and 1970’s. * NOT ONE OF THE TOP 20 OIL FIELDS HAS COME SINCE THE 1970’S. THE PLANET IS EMPTY OF NEW, LESS DEADLY OIL. *Our Global Pushers, the Corp(ses), Now are fiercely Pushing Dirtiest Oil.

* We can expect world oil output to drop to 67 million barrels per day by 2020, a 21% drop from today’s 87 million barrels per day. * This is an oil supply drop per person of 32% in just 14 years. Are you thinking about the implications of this? * The 5% of conventional oil left to be ‘discovered’ is: * In the virgin, uncleanable, to-be-warred over Arctic as it melts, * In the virgin, uncleanable, Alaska ANWAR reserves. * Deep deep deep. * And this is only enough to delay the inevitable by months, or a few years. At what price? * TAR SANDS AND OIL SHALE and carrageen are available in unimaginably huge, and Satanic quantities. * Alberta has an estimated 1.1 trillion barrels. * Venezuela has an estimated .4 trillion barrels. * The US Rockies oil shale, carrageen it is called, is a massive supply. * SEVERAL BARRELS OF WATER FOR EACH BARREL OF OIL. * CANADA’S ALBERTA TAR SANDS CAN SUPPLY ONLY 7% US OIL NEEDS, 1.4 MILLION BARRELS PER DAY. OH GOD.* Killer Oil the World is Awash in, if We’re That Insanely Inhumane to allow it to be extracted and sold. Are we? Are you?

* It is unspeakably highly carbon intensive production with massive, extensive use of natural gas, that itself is almost as carbon intensive as coal, truth be told. [Extraction releases oceans of methane.] * 2 tons of sand are ripped from the earth for 1 barrel of oil that is produced. * The net energy yield is extremely low with 2 out of each three barrels used simply for production; Tar Sands is three times DIRTIER than the oil we’ve known. * And the rape of the land in the process, is, well, brutal rape.* THE ALBERTA TAR SANDS ALONE WILL EXTERMINATE HUMANITY IF YOU INSANELY LET IT BE PULLED FROM THE GROUND.

* RATIONING WILL BE THE NORM.* PRICES WILL DRIVE UP, AND STAY THERE.* THE TRANSFER OF WEALTH TO THE ELITES, AND COUNTRIES THAT HATE US WILL BE ENORMOUS.* AND THE WARS FOR SCARCE OIL? *As the less-deadly Oil Goes Scarce, Wars, Price- Extortion Will Abound…

*We’ve been EatingOil, so, with No Oil, therewill be No Food. Unless…

* This ‘army’ of oil is our, * Tractors, * Irrigation pumps, * Fertilizer, * Phosphate and potash mining, * And now, developing countries too are moving from draft animals to tractors. * Fertilizer uses 20% of farm energy use, yes, oil. [Urbanization necessitates that fertilizer replace human waste, as fertilizer. Your chickens come to roost, in your kid’s house; and the poor.] * World food exports send nutrients elsewhere, never to return. * Nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium…. *The Oil Army has been Growing Our Food. [Yes, oil has been an ‘army’ of slaves for we

* In the US 19% of farm energy use is pumping water for irrigation.* India, and in the US, water tables are falling. In India, 50% of ALL electricity is used for pumping water from wells, that must be drilled deeper, and deeper, and deeper every year, until…!!!!!* No-till farming uses much less water, and is helping in the few places it is being used. *The Slave Oil Army’s been Irrigating Our Crops.

* Transportation,* Processing,* Packaging,* Marketing, and* In the Kitchen, the largest consumer of energy in the western food chain. *The Slave Oil Army’s been Producing our Food five ways, in Production and four more ways.

* We in the US use 12% of our oil in food just for transportation from farm to consumer. * Think of our Air transport of food, fruit, etc.; it has exploded in recent decades.* 16% of our oil in food is used for canning, freezing, drying. *The US [Eats] as much Oil as Entire UK Uses for everything.

* OIL AND COAL FOR COOKING.* REFRIGERATION IS THE BIGGEST ELECTRICITY USER. *THE US KITCHEN IS THE FOOD CHAIN’S GREATEST COAL AND OIL PIT.

* IN THE 20 YEARS BETWEEN 1950 AND 1973 THE GRAIN HARVEST INCREASED 200%, MORE THAN SINCE THE VERY BEGINNING OF AGRICULTURE THOUSANDS OF YEARS AGO. THANK YOU CRIMINAL OIL POLICY. * BETWEEN 1950 AND 1990 SCIENCE, AND OIL, RAISED YIELDS FROM 1.1 TO 2.5 TONS PER HECTARE. * OMINOUSLY, SINCE 1990 THE HAS GROWTH SLOWED FROM A 2.2% INCREASE PER YEAR TO A 1.1% INCREASE. * THE EASY STEPS ARE DONE NOW.DONE. OH, WHAT A FUTURE OUR CHILDREN, AND THE POOR HAVE BEEN GIFTED BY Us.* OIL BASED GRAIN PRODUCTION CANNOT SURVIVE, WITHOUT OIL, THE DIRTIEST, DEADLIEST YET SEEN BY FAR.

* IRRIGATION, LARGELY DELIVERED BY OIL.* FERTILIZER USE GROWTH, AGAIN, THANKS TO OIL.* AND, HIGH YIELDING VARIETIES OF GRAIN, CORN, WHEAT, AND RYE. *THE SOURCES OF THE 23 YEAR FOOD PRODUCTIVITY RISE ARE:

* OH, THE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES KNOW. BUT FOR YOU WESTERNERS, NEVER MIND.* FOOD PRODUCTION PER PERSON PEAKED IN 1984.* THERE HAS BEEN A 12% DROP PER PERSON.* THIS WOULD MATTER IF YOU WERE CONNECTED TO THE BILLIONS FOR WHOM FOOD IS THEIR PRIMARY, MAJOR, LARGEST EXPENDITURE. NEVER MIND.* YOUR KIDS WILL DISCOVER THE CONNECTION. WHAT A SURPRISE IT WILL BE. *THERE HAS BEEN ADEFICIT, NEGATIVE GRAIN INCREASE SINCE 1994.

* SOYBEANS HAVE PROVIDED A ‘MIRACULOUS’ LIVESTOCK, FISH AND POULTRY SUPPLEMENT, GREATLY EXTENDING THE WEIGHT AND NUTRIENT VALUE OF THE OTHER GRAINS CONSUMED.* SOY IS DOMINANT IN WORLD AGRICULTURE NOW, A METEORIC RISE IN PRODUCTION DECIMATING GLOBAL FORESTS. PASS THE CHICKEN, STEAK AND PORK PLEASE.* BY 1990 MORE LAND WAS USED BY SOY THAN WHEAT. *SOYBEANS HAVE TEMPORARILY MASKED, DELAYED THE MASS HUNGER TIDAL

* 7 OUT OF 8 OF THE LAST YEARS PRODUCTION HAS FALLEN BELOW CONSUMPTION FOR THESE GRAINS.* GRAIN RESERVES ARE AT THEIR LOWEST LEVEL IN 34 YEARS.* THREE DEMANDS ARE OVERWHELMING FARMERS, – * 78 MILLION NEW PEOPLE PER YEAR, * BILLIONS OF PEOPLE MOVING UP THE FOOD CHAIN, * FOOD BEING SHUNTED TO FUEL FOR CARS, NOT FOOD FOR PEOPLE.* AND, FARMERS ARE FACING NEW CONSTRAINTS: * THE 50 YEAR IRRIGATION EXPANSION HAS ENDED. ENDED. * IRRIGATION IS NOW SHRINKING : * WELLS ARE GOING DRY, WATER TABLES ARE FALLING. * WATER IS BEING MASSIVELY DIVERTED TO CITIES, AWAY FROM FOOD, AWAY FROM FARMS.* FOR EXAMPLE, CHINA’S WHEAT HARVEST HAS DROPPED BY 20%. *BUT ONLY WHEAT, RICEAND CORN EXPANSION CAN AVERT WORLD HUNGER.

* EVERY 1 DEGREE RISE MEANS: * MORE EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS, AND, * MORE INTENSE DROUGHTS.* You currently have us on Plan A, with an outlook of a roughly 1 degree rise in temperature every 10 years.* So, with another 78 million people every year added, you are taking crop yields down another 40% by mid century. Hmmm. But who will blame you personally?*EVERY 1 DEGREE RISE IN TEMPERATURE FROM CARBON = A 10% DECLINE IN GRAIN YIELDS.

* AND, WE’RE DOING IT AT AN ACCELERATING RATE.* URBAN SPRAWL IS GOING GLOBAL, LEAD BY US.* INDUSTRIALIZING COUNTRIES LIKE CHINA ARE FOLLOWING OUR LEAD, LIKE ADDICTS.* FURIOUSLY WE’RE ALL CONSTRUCTION HOMES, FACTORIES, ROADS, HIGHWAYS, PARK ING LOTS. GOODBYE CROPLAND. GOODBYE FOOD. HELLO HUNGER; JUST THE POOR, AT FIRST. *INSANELY, WE’RE PAVING CROPLAND GLOBALLY.

* WHEN OIL JUMPED ABOVE $60 PER BARREL IN 2005 ETHANOL INVESTMENT EXPLODED.* GRAIN USED IN ETHANOL HAS BEEN DOUBLING.* 1/5TH OF THE US GRAIN HARVEST IS NOW GOING TO FUEL.* THIS IS LESS THAN 4% OF US FUEL USE, BUT EXTREMELY PROFITABLE FOR AGRIBUSINESS, EVEN BEFORE YOUR SUBSIDIES.* BRAZIL USING HALF OF ITS SUGAR CANE HARVEST FOR LIQUID FUEL.* EUROPE INCREASINGLY USES BIODIESEL: * INCREASINGLY TURNING TO PALM OIL FROM INDONESIA AND MALAYSIA, * Which is Causing massive deforestation, ripping out what is left of earth’s lungs. * The Netherlands is withdrawing from the practice ,to avoid climate destruction, proving that sanity, Humanity is still possible. *OUR CARS ARE DEVOURING THE STARVING’S CROPS, AND WE’RE IN DENIAL.

* Corn, now the worlds dominant feed grain as well as the leading ethanol feedstock, overtook wheat roughly a decade ago.* World corn harvest exceeded 700 mil-lion tons.* Wheat was just under 600 million tons.* Rice was 420 million tons.* These constitute 85 percent of the 2-billion-ton world grain harvest. *

* The corn harvest of Iowa is immense, the leading corn-producing state. It exceeds the entire grain harvest of Canada, for example.* And it is ours to squander how we wish, right? Might makes right, right? *

* Wow, just imagine what we’d do if we weren’t a Christian nation!* Planned and in the words are Iowa distilleries slated to consume 2.7 billion bushels, for our cars, not people’s bellies.* Uh, the total Iowa corn harvest only 2.2 billion bushels.* Japan, Egypt, and Mexico are the leading importers of US grain. Sorry folks, you’ll have to go elsewhere. Oops, there is no elsewhere. Tough. *

* In September 2007 food prices nearly doubled those of 2 years earlier. Ka-ching, ka-ching.* Wheat prices more than doubled.* Soy prices went up more than half. *

* In Mexico, * 2007 tortilla price shot up 60%. (Let them eat sand.) * Crowds of 75,000 protested in the streets, but not US streets, thanks to ICE. * Government price controls were instituted.* Italy saw pasta boycotts due to skyrocketing prices.* The UK too is worrying about rising bread prices. *

* The emerging competition between the owners of the worlds 860 million automobiles and the 2 billion poorest peo-ple is uncharted territory for humanity, but not for inhumanity. And here comes China with another 1 billion cars. * The average income of the worlds automobile owners is roughly $30,000 a year. They are NOT the 4 billion of our brothers and sisters existing on $4 per day, or less.*

* The 4 percent of U.S. automotive fuel currently supplied from ethanol could be achieved several times over, and at a fraction of the cost, simply by raising auto fuel- efficiency standards by 20 percent. Yes, at a fraction of the cost. But no worries, who is going to blame you personally?* Plus, the poor of the world can’t reach you. Never mind about our US children in uniform. *

* The major alternatives include: * Electric cars and plug-in hybrids. * Wind is available for the gaso-line equivalent of less than $1 a gallon, with today’s technologies. * Liquid fuel from fast-growing trees, switchgrass, prairie grass mix-tures, or other cellulosic materials, which can be grown on wasteland are pretty easily within reach, if we decide this is important. * Jatropha, a golf ball-sized fruit with seeds containing oil that can be turned into biodiesel; Jatropha diesel can be produced for $43 per barrel. * Microalgae, water hyacinth, and the list of alternatives goes on.*

Peak Denial about Peak Oil

* Few countries are planning for a reduction in oil use. * The U.S. Department of Energy expects world oil consumption to go from roughly 85 million barrels or so a day at present to close to 120 million barrels a day by 2030??!!?!?!??! This is madness. In a democracy, the buck stops, with you.*

* Until 1900, urbanization was, with a few exceptions, a slow, barely perceptible process.* When the last century began, there were only a few cities with a million people. Today there are more than 400 such cities, and 20 mega-cities have 10 million or more residents.* The metabolism of cities depends on concentrating vast amounts of food, water, and materials and then dispersing the resulting garbage and human waste.* Only with oil, and secondarily coal, was this possible. Ah, affloholism. Isn’t it grand?*

* Food will become more costly, yes, even for the real people, we affloholic westerners.* Diets will be altered as people move down the food chain, or out of the food chain, all together.* Diets will thus become more closely attuned to local products and more seasonal in nature, and for billions of us, that will mean sand, or in the case of our men and women in uniform, lead. *

* Did you know that the emissions per passenger on a trans-Atlantic flight is measured in tons of co2?* But of course, look at all the Good that does for the true owners of the planet! You know, the 4 billion poor. Right? *

* Your United States burns more gasoline than the next 20 countries combined.* Will world popula-tion growth survive a continuing decline in world oil produc-tion? At what level of misery?* How will a shrinking oil supply be allocated among countries? By the market? By negotiated international agree-ments? By war? Not by sane, humane, compassionate, war-time-speed switch to efficiency, wind, solar, and non-food biofuel, right?* Can civilization itself survive the stresses asso-ciated with falling oil production at a time when food prices are rising and the stresses from climate change are mounting? Business as usual, Plan A? Nope. *

* 50 years of hunger reduction is now being reversed. Recent reports indicate that the halving of hunger committed for 2015 is being moved out to after 2100 – MDG, Millennial Development Goals. No worries, only the poor and our kids in uniform will soon be affected.* In 2007, James Morris, head of the U.N. World Food Programme (WFP), announced that 18,000 children are now dying each day from hunger and related causes, with some overlap with the 26,000 kids that die each day largely due to lack of clean water, easily preventable by non-affloholics.* The number of people in developing countries who are hungry and malnourished, which declined from 960 million in 1970 to 800 million in 1996, has turned upward, reaching 830 million in 2003.*

* United States, by far the largest food aid donor, saw the price of a ton of food aid in 2007 climb to $611, up from $363 per ton in 2004.* FAO and WFP each year release an assessment of crop and food conditions that lists the countries in dire need of food assistance.* In May 2007, a total of 33 coun-tries with a combined population of 763 million were on this list.* 17 were in need of external food assistance because of recent civil strife and conflict.* The top 20 list of failing states, including Afghanistan, Burundi, Cote dlvoire, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea, Pakistan, Somalia, Sudan, and Zimbab-we. *

PLAN B NO BS - J. IV CARBON Oil - 20th Century's Fatal Seductress. C2 V1

by Start Loving on Dec 23, 2011

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PLAN B NO BS - J. IV CARBON Oil - 20th Century’s Fatal Seductress. C2 V1 — Presentation Transcript