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Status	
  of	
  the	
  CMS	
  	
  
SM	
  Higgs	
  Search	
  
                          Joe	
  Incandela	
  
                           UCSB/CERN	
  
                           July	
  4,	
  2012	
     1
Status	
  of	
  the	
  CMS	
  	
  
               SM	
  Higgs	
  Search	
  
Raw ΣET~2 TeV
14 jets with ET>40
                                         Joe	
  Incandela	
  
Estimated PU~50                           UCSB/CERN	
  
                                          July	
  4,	
  2012	
     2
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION


                                                                                        On	
  behalf	
  of	
  the	
  CMS	
  Collaboration	
  




3
The	
  Standard	
  Model	
  




                          4
The	
  Standard	
  Model	
  
                                                     meas   fit       meas
                    Measurement          Fit    |O      −O |/σ
                                                0      1   2             3
    (5)
  Δαhad(mZ)        0.02758 ± 0.00035 0.02768
  mZ [GeV]         91.1875 ± 0.0021   91.1874
  ΓZ [GeV]          2.4952 ± 0.0023    2.4959
   0
  σhad   [nb]       41.540 ± 0.037     41.479
  Rl                20.767 ± 0.025     20.742
   0,l
  Afb              0.01714 ± 0.00095 0.01645
  Al(Pτ)            0.1465 ± 0.0032    0.1481
  Rb               0.21629 ± 0.00066 0.21579
  Rc                0.1721 ± 0.0030    0.1723
   0,b
  Afb               0.0992 ± 0.0016    0.1038
   0,c
  Afb               0.0707 ± 0.0035    0.0742
  Ab                 0.923 ± 0.020      0.935
  Ac                 0.670 ± 0.027      0.668
  Al(SLD)           0.1513 ± 0.0021    0.1481
     2 lept
  sin θeff (Qfb)    0.2324 ± 0.0012    0.2314
  mW [GeV]          80.399 ± 0.023     80.379
  ΓW [GeV]           2.085 ± 0.042      2.092
  mt [GeV]           173.3 ± 1.1        173.4

  July 2010                                     0      1          2      3



                                                                             5
The	
  Standard	
  Model	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                                                    meas   fit       meas
                                                                   Measurement          Fit    |O      −O |/σ
                                                                                               0      1   2             3
                                                   (5)
                                                 Δαhad(mZ)        0.02758 ± 0.00035 0.02768
                                                 mZ [GeV]         91.1875 ± 0.0021   91.1874
                                                 ΓZ [GeV]          2.4952 ± 0.0023    2.4959
                                                  0
                                                 σhad    [nb]      41.540 ± 0.037     41.479
                                                 Rl                20.767 ± 0.025     20.742
                                                  0,l
                                                 Afb              0.01714 ± 0.00095 0.01645
                                                 Al(Pτ)            0.1465 ± 0.0032    0.1481


                                                 R
                                                  Confirmed	
  to	
  better	
  than	
  1	
  %	
  
                                                 Rb      0.21629 ± 0.00066 0.21579
                                                          0.1721 ± 0.0030   0.1723
                                                  uncertainty	
  by	
  100’s	
  of	
  
                                                   c
                                                   0,b
                                                 A fb     0.0992 ± 0.0016   0.1038
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                   0,c

                                                  precision	
  m± 0.020 0.935
                                                                  easurements	
  
                                                 A fb     0.0707 ± 0.0035   0.0742
                                                 A b        0.923
                                                 Ac                 0.670 ± 0.027      0.668
                                                 Al(SLD)           0.1513 ± 0.0021    0.1481
                                                    2 lept
                                                 sin θeff (Qfb)    0.2324 ± 0.0012    0.2314
                                                 mW [GeV]          80.399 ± 0.023     80.379
                                                 ΓW [GeV]           2.085 ± 0.042      2.092
                                                 mt [GeV]           173.3 ± 1.1        173.4

                                                 July 2010                                     0      1          2      3



                                                                                                                            6
The	
  Standard	
  Model	
  
                                                             	
  	
  1	
  Missing	
  piece:	
  Higgs	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                                                     meas   fit       meas
                                                                    Measurement          Fit    |O      −O |/σ
                                                                                                0      1   2             3
                                                   (5)
                                                 Δαhad(mZ)         0.02758 ± 0.00035 0.02768
                                                 mZ [GeV]          91.1875 ± 0.0021   91.1874
                                                 ΓZ [GeV]           2.4952 ± 0.0023    2.4959
                                                  0
                                                 σhad    [nb]       41.540 ± 0.037     41.479
                                                 Rl                 20.767 ± 0.025     20.742
                                                  0,l
                                                 Afb               0.01714 ± 0.00095 0.01645
                                                 Al(Pτ)             0.1465 ± 0.0032    0.1481


                                                 R
                                                  Confirmed	
  to	
  better	
  than	
  1	
  %	
  
                                                 Rb      0.21629 ± 0.00066 0.21579
                                                          0.1721 ± 0.0030   0.1723
                                                  uncertainty	
  by	
  100’s	
  of	
  
                                                   c
                                                   0,b
                                                 A fb     0.0992 ± 0.0016   0.1038
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                   0,c

                                                  precision	
  m± 0.020 0.935
                                                                  easurements	
  
                                                 A fb     0.0707 ± 0.0035   0.0742
                                                 A b        0.923
                                                 Ac                  0.670 ± 0.027      0.668
                                                 Al(SLD)            0.1513 ± 0.0021    0.1481
                                                    2 lept
                                                 sin θeff (Qfb)     0.2324 ± 0.0012    0.2314
                                                 mW [GeV]           80.399 ± 0.023     80.379
                                                 ΓW [GeV]            2.085 ± 0.042      2.092
                                                 mt [GeV]            173.3 ± 1.1        173.4

                                                 July 2010                                      0      1          2      3



                                                                                                                             7
The	
  Standard	
  Model	
  
                                                             	
  	
  1	
  Missing	
  piece:	
  Higgs	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                                                     meas   fit       meas
                                                                    Measurement          Fit    |O      −O |/σ
                                                                                                0      1   2             3
                                                   (5)
                                                 Δαhad(mZ)         0.02758 ± 0.00035 0.02768
                                                 mZ [GeV]          91.1875 ± 0.0021   91.1874
                                                 ΓZ [GeV]           2.4952 ± 0.0023    2.4959
                                                  0
                                                 σhad    [nb]       41.540 ± 0.037     41.479
                                                 Rl                 20.767 ± 0.025     20.742
                                                  0,l
                                                 Afb               0.01714 ± 0.00095 0.01645
                                                 Al(Pτ)             0.1465 ± 0.0032    0.1481


                                                 R
                                                  Confirmed	
  to	
  better	
  than	
  1	
  %	
  
                                                 Rb      0.21629 ± 0.00066 0.21579
                                                          0.1721 ± 0.0030   0.1723
                                                  uncertainty	
  by	
  100’s	
  of	
  
                                                   c
                                                   0,b
                                                 A fb     0.0992 ± 0.0016   0.1038
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                   0,c

                                                  precision	
  m± 0.020 0.935
                                                                  easurements	
  
                                                 A fb     0.0707 ± 0.0035   0.0742
                                                 A b        0.923
                                                 Ac                  0.670 ± 0.027      0.668
                                                 Al(SLD)            0.1513 ± 0.0021    0.1481
                                                    2 lept
                                                 sin θeff (Qfb)     0.2324 ± 0.0012    0.2314
                                                 mW [GeV]           80.399 ± 0.023     80.379
                                                 ΓW [GeV]            2.085 ± 0.042      2.092
                                                 mt [GeV]            173.3 ± 1.1        173.4

                                                 July 2010                                      0      1          2      3



                                                                                                                             8
Where	
  we	
  stood	
  last	
  week	
  
                                               1.  Mtopvs.	
  MW	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                      §  Tevatron	
  MW	
  Tour	
  de	
  Force!!	
  
                                                            mW	
  =	
  80385	
  ±	
  15	
  MeV	
  (	
  World	
  Ave	
  –	
  
                                                             Mar	
  2012)	
  
                                                      §  Shifts	
  for	
  SM	
  Higgs	
  expectation	
  

                                               2.  Colliders	
  leave	
  little	
  space	
  
                                               	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                                       ~Mt2

                                                                                                                                This	
  is	
  the	
  main	
  story	
  of	
  
                                                                                                                                the	
  past	
  year	
  
                                                                                                       ~ln(mH)
                                                                                                                                Eliminated	
  	
  ~475	
  GeV	
  of	
  the	
  
                                                                                                                                mass	
  range.	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                 9
                                                                                                                                                                                 9
Higgs	
  boson	
  production	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                               §  √s=8	
  TeV:	
  25-­‐30%	
  higher	
  σ	
  than	
  √s=7	
  TeV	
  at	
  low	
  mH	
  
                                               §  All	
  production	
  modes	
  to	
  be	
  exploited	
  
                                                  §  gg	
  VBF	
  	
  VH	
  ttH	
  
                                                  §  Latter	
  3	
  have	
  smaller	
  cross	
  sections	
  but	
  better	
  S/B	
  in	
  many	
  cases	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                   10
Higgs	
  boson	
  production	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                               §  √s=8	
  TeV:	
  25-­‐30%	
  higher	
  σ	
  than	
  √s=7	
  TeV	
  at	
  low	
  mH	
  
                                               §  All	
  production	
  modes	
  to	
  be	
  exploited	
  
                                                  §  gg	
  VBF	
  	
  VH	
  ttH	
  
                                                  §  Latter	
  3	
  have	
  smaller	
  cross	
  sections	
  but	
  better	
  S/B	
  in	
  many	
  cases	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                   11
Higgs	
  boson	
  decays	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                               5	
  decay	
  modes	
  exploited	
  

                                               §  High	
  mass:	
  	
  	
  WW,	
  ZZ	
  
                                               	
  
                                               §  Low	
  mass:	
  	
  bb,	
  ττ,	
  WW,	
  ZZ,	
  γγ	
  

                                               §  Low	
  mass	
  region	
  is	
  very	
  rich	
  but	
  
                                                      also	
  very	
  challenging:	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                        main	
  decay	
  modes	
  (bb,	
  ττ)	
  are	
  hard	
  	
  	
  
                                                        to	
  identify	
  in	
  the	
  huge	
  background	
  
                                                        	
  
                                               §  Very	
  good	
  mass	
  resolution	
  
                                                      (1%):	
  	
  	
  Hàγγ	
  	
  and	
  	
  HàZZà4l	
  


                                                                                                                                                          12
CMS	
  Exclusion	
  Potential	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                               §  Not-­‐yet-­‐excluded	
  region:	
  	
  
                                                  ~[115-­‐130]	
  GeV	
  
                                               §  The	
  five	
  decay	
  modes	
  
                                                   discussed	
  today	
  have	
  
                                                   comparable	
  sensitivities	
  for	
  
                                                   exclusion.	
  
                                               §  Most	
  analyses	
  used	
  in	
  this	
  
                                                   combination	
  have	
  been	
  re-­‐
                                                   optimized.	
  In	
  order	
  to	
  avoid	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                   the	
  possibility	
  of	
  an	
  
                                                   unintended	
  bias,	
  all	
  selection	
  
                                                   criteria	
  in	
  the	
  analyses	
  of	
  the	
  
                                                   2011	
  and	
  2012	
  data	
  were	
  
                                                   fixed	
  before	
  looking	
  at	
  the	
  	
  
                                                   result	
  in	
  the	
  signal	
  region.	
  
                                                                                                                              13
CMS	
  Discovery	
  potential	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                               p-­‐values	
  	
  
                                                  §  Probability	
  that	
  background	
  
                                                      fluctuates	
  to	
  give	
  an	
  excess	
  
                                                      as	
  large	
  as	
  the	
  (average)	
  
                                                      signal	
  size	
  expected	
  for	
  a	
  
                                                      SM	
  Higgs.	
  
                                                        Takes	
  into	
  account	
  all	
  analysis	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                         steps,	
  estimated	
  backgrounds,	
  
                                                         etc.	
  for	
  the	
  5	
  search	
  channels	
  
                                                         indicated.	
  
                                                  §  Excellent	
  prospects	
  	
  for	
  
                                                      exploring	
  properties	
  


                                                                                                                                      14
How	
  is	
  it	
  possible	
  to	
  go	
  so	
  far	
  so	
  fast?	
  
                                                                                                        LHC	
  performance:	
  2010-­‐2011-­‐2012	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                                        CMS Total Integrated Luminosity, p-p
                                                                                    7                                                                           7   Stellar	
  performance	
  
                                               Total Integrated Luminosity (fb-1)




                                                                                                             2012	
  certified	
  
                                                                                                                                                                    of	
  the	
  LHC	
  enables	
  
                                                                                    6                        ‘Golden’:	
  5.19	
  m-­‐1	
  (85%)	
              6
                                                                                         2010, s = 7 TeV
                                                                                         2011, s = 7 TeV     Muon:	
  	
  	
  	
  5.62	
  m-­‐1	
  (92%)	
          all	
  experiments	
  to	
  
                                                                                    5
                                                                                         2012, s = 8 TeV
                                                                                                                                                                5   produce	
  significant	
  
                                                                                                                                                                    physics	
  results	
  
                                                                                    4                                                                           4
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                    3                                                                           3


                                                                                    2                                                                           2   Many	
  thanks	
  to	
  the	
  
                                                                                                                                                                    LHC	
  teams	
  and	
  the	
  
                                                                                    1                                                                           1
                                                                                                                                                                    many	
  others	
  who	
  
                                                                                    0                                                                           0   made	
  this	
  possible!	
  
                                                                                          02/05             02/07                       01/09
                                                                                                                                                 Time in year

                                                                                                                                                                                                      15
Total	
  weight	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  14000	
  t	
  
Overall	
  diameter	
  	
  	
  15	
  m	
                            ECAL         	

                                                                                  76k scintillating
                                                                                  PbWO4 crystals
                                                                                                                                CMS	
  
Overall	
  length	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  28.7	
  m	
                                                                        MUON	
  ENDCAPS	

                                                                                            	

                                                                                       HCAL Scintillator/brass
                                                                                            Interleaved ~7k ch
                                                                                                                            473 Cathode Strip Chambers (CSC)
                                                                                                                            432 Resistive Plate Chambers (RPC)

                                                                                                  3.8T Solenoid        IRON	
  YOKE	
  


                                                                                                                                             Preshower
                                                                                                                                             Si Strips ~16 m2
                                                                                                                                             ~137k ch


                                                   YBO                                                                                        Foward Cal
                                                                                                        YB1-                                  Steel + quartz
                                                                                                            2                                 Fibers 2~k ch




                                             Pixels	
  &	
  Tracker        	

                                           •  Pixels (100x150       µm2)
                                                                    "
                                               ~1m   2 ~66M ch"

                                           • Si Strips (80-180 µm)"
                                              ~200 m2 ~9.6M ch       	

                                                                                       MUON	
  BARREL	

                                                                                       250 Drift Tubes (DT) and
                                                                                       480 Resistive Plate Chambers (RPC)                                  16
Current	
  Operational	
  Status*	
  
                                                                  Pixels	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                  Strips	
  
                                                           Preshower	
  
                                                         ECAL	
  Endcap	
  
                                                          ECAL	
  Barrel	
  
                                                          HCAL	
  Outer	
  
                                                        HCAL	
  Forward	
  
                                                         HCAL	
  Endcap	
  
                                                          HCAL	
  Barrel	
  
                                                           muon	
  RPC	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                            muon	
  DT	
  
                                                           muon	
  CSC	
  
                                                                                   0	
               10	
          20	
         30	
        40	
       50	
        60	
         70	
        80	
          90	
          100	
  
                                                Pixel	
  
                                                     	
      Strip	
  
                                                                  	
     Preshower         ECAL	
  	
          ECAL	
  
                                                                                                                   	
       HCAL	
  
                                                                                                                                 	
       HCAL	
  
                                                                                                                                               	
      HCAL	
  
                                                                                                                                                            	
      HCAL	
  
                                                                                                                                                                         	
      Muon	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                     	
       Muon	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                   	
       Muon	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 	
  
                                               Tracker      Tracker                        Barrel             Endcaps       Barrel       Endcaps      Forward       Outer         DT           CSC           RPC
                                               97.1%        97.75%         97.1%           99.16%             98.54%        99.92%       99.96%       99.88%       96.88%        99.1%       97.67%        98.2%


                                                                                                                                                                                   *As of June 15 2012                        17
ECAL	
  calibration,	
  2012	
  data	
  
                                                                           Single	
  electron	
  energy	
  scale	
  (E/p)	
  stability	
                  Zàee	
  invariant	
  mass	
  distribution	
  for	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                           in	
  barrel	
  measured	
  with	
  W	
  àeν	
  events	
                      electrons	
  measured	
  in	
  the	
  barrel	
  

                                                                    1.03
                                               Relative E/p scale




                                                                            CMS 2012 Preliminary            with LM correction          Mean          1
                                                                    1.02     s = 8 TeV L = 3.95 fb-1        without LM correction       RMS     0.0019
                                                                                                            1 / LM correction           Mean       0.97
                                                                    1.01                                                                RMS     0.0063
                                                                       1
                                                                                                                                                                                              Electrons	
  with	
  
                                                                    0.99                                                                                                                      low	
  or	
  no	
  
                                                                    0.98                                                                                                                      Bremsstrahlung	
  
                                                                    0.97
                                                                    0.96
                                                                    0.95
                                                                    0.94    EB: Prompt Reconstruction!!
                                                                            ECAL Barrel: Prompt Reco
                                                                    0.93
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                           12/04 19/04 26/04 03/05 10/05 17/05 24/05 31/05 07/06    0      50     100
                                                                                                               date (day/month)



                                                   §  Wàeν	
  E/p:	
  Stable	
  E	
  scale	
  during	
  2012	
  run	
  after	
  light	
  monitoring	
  
                                                                      (LM)	
  corrections:	
  
                                                                     §  ECAL	
  Barrel	
  (EB):	
  	
  	
  	
  RMS	
  stability	
  after	
  corrections	
  0.19%	
  
                                                   §  Zàee:	
  Good	
  resolution	
  with	
  preliminary	
  energy	
  calibration	
  for	
  2012:	
  
                                                                              Instrumental	
  resolution:	
  1.0	
  GeV	
  in	
  ECAL	
  Barrel	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      18
‣CMS	
  assume a 50% keep for	
  8	
  TeV	
  and	
  high	
  PU	
  in	
  2012	
  
                                                                         If we
                                                                               Preparations	
  
                                                                         processing efficiency
                                                                                                 up factor in the Tier-0 and 90%


                                               § 
                                                                 ‣ Reasonably optimistic and leaves little room for catching up
                                                      Last	
  Autumn	
  	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                     §  cpu	
  time	
  for	
  high	
  PU	
  >40	
  sec/event	
  
                                                     §  Memory	
  usage	
  well	
  above	
  2	
  GB.	
                                        600

                                                                         ‣
                                                           Means	
  we	
  With 40%all	
  the	
  cores!	
  
                                                                           cannot	
  use	
   machine                                                               2GB/core               3GB/core




                                                                                                                            Prompt Reco (Hz)
                                                                                                                                               450
                                                     §  Even	
  200	
  Hz	
  looked	
  this leaves
                                                                           live time hard!	
  
                                               §  Task	
  force	
  20% contingency
                                                                    started	
  December	
                                                      300
                                                     §  Major	
  success!	
  
                                               §  Improvements	
                                                                              150
                                                                   ‣2.5	
  in	
  skeep most ofhave
                                                     §  A	
  factor	
  
                                                                         This assumes we
                                                                                  peed	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                         and
                                                           Under	
  ~15”	
  per	
  event	
  on	
  average	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                0
                                                                                                                                                     20       30          40         50          60         70
                                                                     lxbatch
                                                     §  Much	
  reduced	
  memory	
  use	
                                                                           Time Per Event (s)
                                                           Well	
  under	
  2	
  GB	
  	
  
                                                                         Jan 12                                                                 Prompt	
  Reconstruction	
  at	
  Tier-­‐0:	
  	
                 3
                                               §  Physics	
  performance	
  unchanged	
  	
                                                    Limit	
  on	
  our	
  data-­‐taking	
  rate	
  versus	
  event	
  
                                                     §  Kept	
  our	
  AAA	
  rating:	
                                                        processing	
  time	
  for	
  low	
  and	
  high	
  memory	
  
                                                           E.g.	
  no	
  explicit	
  pT	
  threshold	
  on	
  tracks	
                         use	
  cases	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  19
GEN-SIM/AODSIM Produc
                                                                                             MC	
  Production	
  Capabilities	
  	
  
                                               §  GEN-­‐SIM	
  @	
  Tier-­‐2’s	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                 §  Sustain	
  400M/Month	
               GEN-­‐SIM	
  
                                                       900M,	
  600M	
  past	
  2	
  
                                                        months	
  but	
  had	
  help	
  
                                                        from	
  Tier-­‐1’s	
  
                                               §  Redigi-­‐Rereco@	
  
                                                  Tier-­‐1’s	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                 §  Sustain	
  1B/month	
                    Redigi-­‐Rereco	
  
                                                       Peaks	
  high	
  as	
  2.3B	
  




                                                                                                                                  20	
  
Reconstruction



                 21
Global	
  Event	
  Description	
  (Pflow)	
  	
  
                                                        Made possible by CMS granularity and high magnetic field
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                               §  Optimal	
  combination	
  of	
  information	
  from	
  all	
  subdetectors	
  
                                               §  Returns	
  a	
  list	
  of	
  reconstructed	
  particles	
  
                                                 §  e,μ,γ,	
  charged	
  and	
  neutral	
  hadrons	
  
                                                       Used	
  in	
  the	
  analysis	
  as	
  if	
  it	
  came	
  from	
  a	
  list	
  of	
  generated	
  particles	
  
                                                       Used	
  as	
  building	
  blocks	
  for	
  jets,	
  taus	
  ,	
  missing	
  transverse	
  energy	
  ,	
  
                                                        isolation	
  and	
  PU	
  particle	
  identification	
  
                                                                                                                                                                           22
Electron/Photon	
  reconstruction	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                                                                                                              Electrons	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                              ECAL	
  Barrel	
  (EB)	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                               §  Cluster	
  reconstruction	
  in	
  ECAL	
  	
  
                                                  §  Common	
  for	
  both	
  electrons	
  and	
  photons	
  (Electrons	
  also	
  reconstructed	
  as	
  photons)	
  
                                                  §  Designed	
  to	
  collect	
  bremsstrahlung	
  	
  and	
  conversions	
  in	
  extended	
  phi	
  region	
  
                                               §  Dedicated	
  track	
  reconstruction	
  for	
  electrons	
  
                                                  §  Gaussian	
  Sum	
  Filter	
  allows	
  for	
  tracks	
  w/large	
  bremsstrahlung	
  	
  
                                               §  Photon	
  identification	
  specific	
  to	
  Hèϒϒ	
  
                                               §  Energy	
  scale	
  and	
  resolution	
  
                                                  §  Extensive	
  control	
  with	
  Z	
  and	
  J/ψèee	
  for	
  both	
  electrons	
  and	
  photons	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                           23
Electron	
  identification	
  
                                               §  Multivariate	
  e	
  identification	
  in	
  2012	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                 §  ECAL,	
  tracker,	
  ECAL-­‐tracker-­‐HCAL	
  matching,impact	
  parameter	
  
                                                 §  30%	
  efficiency	
  improvement	
  in	
  H→ZZ→4e	
  wrt	
  cut	
  based	
  ID	
  
                                               §  Multivariate	
  training	
  against	
  background	
  in	
  data	
  
                                                 	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                η	
  variance	
  
                                                                	
  ECAL	
  Barrel	
  (EB)	
  	
  
                                                                pT<20	
  GeV	
  



                                                                                                        Cut	
  Based	
  vs	
  MVA	
  ID	
  


                                                                                                                                              24
Muon	
  reconstruction	
  and	
  identification	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                               §  Start	
  with	
  particle	
  flow	
  muons	
  
                                                                                                                                                 Tighter	
  quality	
  	
  
                                               §  	
  Efficiency	
  above	
  96%	
  down	
  to	
  pT	
  =	
  5	
  GeV	
  	
                       criteria	
  applied	
  	
  
                                                 §  Above	
  99%	
  efficiency	
  for	
  pT	
  >	
  10	
  GeV	
                                   in	
  some	
  analyses	
  
                                                 §  Efficiency	
  in	
  data	
  using	
  J/Ψ	
  and	
  Z	
  peak	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                            J/Ψ→µµ	
  	
         Z→µµ	
  	
  
                                                                               Tag&Probe	
  	
                        Efficiency	
  is	
  stable	
  in	
  high	
  
                                                           Tag&Probe	
  
                                                                                                                         PU	
  environment	
  




                                                                                                                                                                           25
Particle-­‐based	
  isolation	
  
                                               Sum	
  energy	
  of	
  particles	
  in	
  ΔR	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                                                                                    Detector	
  vs	
  Particle	
  Flow	
  
                                               cone	
  around	
  the	
  lepton	
  
                                                    • Global	
  event	
  description	
                                                       Detector Isolation
                                                    eliminates	
  	
  double	
  counting	
  
                                                                                                                                             Particle Flow Isolation
                                                                                                                                         ELECTRONS	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                            Efficiency	
  is	
  stable	
  in	
  high	
  PU	
  
                                                                   environment	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                  Endcaps	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                  pT	
  <	
  10	
  GeV	
  
                                                           MUONS	
  

                                                                                                                  Pile-­‐up	
  contribution:	
  
                                                                                                                    •    Negligible	
  for	
  charged	
  hadrons	
  (vertexing)	
  
                                                                                                                    •    Neutrals	
  corrected	
  w/global	
  energy	
  density	
  (ρ)	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                         26
Tau	
  Identification	
  
                                               §  Tau	
  identification:	
                                                     τ-­‐>	
  πν	
            τ-­‐>	
  a1ν	
                 τ-­‐>	
  ρν	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                  §  Reconstruct	
  individual	
  decay	
  modes	
  	
  
                                                  §  Charged	
  hadrons	
  +	
  electromagnetic	
  obj	
  
                                                       §  EM	
  strips	
  account	
  for	
  material	
  effects	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                1	
  Prong	
         3	
  Prong	
          1	
  Prong	
  +	
  Strip	
  
                                               §  Tau	
  isolation:	
  
                                                                                                                                                 Tau ID + Isolation efficiency
                                                  §  Multivariate	
  discriminator	
  using	
  sum	
  of	
  
                                                         energy	
  deposits	
  in	
  dR	
  rings	
  around	
  the	
  tau	
  
                                                  	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                             Real	
  taus	
                           Fake	
  taus	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                          27
Jet	
  Identification	
  
                                                  •         Jet	
  reconstruction	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                       •    Reconstruction	
  with	
  particle	
  flow	
  objects	
  	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                       Typical jet                        Pileup jet
                                               §  Pileup	
  jets	
  structure	
  differs	
  wrt	
  regular	
  jets:	
  
                                                  §  Pileup	
  jets	
  originate	
  from	
  several	
  overlapping	
  jets	
  which	
  merge	
  together	
  
                                                  §  Likelihood	
  grows	
  rapidly	
  with	
  high	
  pileup	
  
                                               §  Discriminant	
  exploits	
  shape	
  and	
  tracking	
  variables	
  
                                                  §  discrimination	
  both	
  inside	
  and	
  outside	
  tracker	
  acceptance	
                             28
Standard	
  Model:	
  	
  Precision	
  Jets,	
  W,	
  and	
  γ*/Z	
  	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                               Inclusive	
  jet	
  and	
  dijets.	
  2-­‐4%	
  JES.	
  	
  
                                               Constrains	
  gluon	
  PDF	
  up	
  to	
  x=0.6	
  
                                                                                                                         Differential	
  Drell-­‐Yan	
  
                                                                                                                         cross	
  section:	
  2.5M	
  µµ	
  
                                                                                                                         pairs	
  tests	
  NNLO	
  cross	
  
                                                                                                                         sections	
  and	
  PDFs	
  	
  
                                                 CMS-PAS-QCD-11-004                                                        CMS-PAS-EWK-11-007                  29   29
Standard	
  Model	
  at	
  7	
  TeV	
  2010-­‐2011	
  
                                               8.8
                                                     CMS Preliminary, s=7 TeV                                                                                                                                                                                                                            CMS
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                                                                                                          [pb]
                                                                                                                                                                                                         W
                                                       CMS e/ µ +jets+btag                                            164 ± 3 ± 12 ± 7                                                       5                                                                          CMS 95%CL limit
                                                       TOP-11-003 (L=0.8-1.09/pb)
                                                                                                                                12
                                                                                                                      (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum)                                          10                                          Z




                                                                                                                                                          Production Cross Section, σtot
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        CMS measurement (stat ⊕syst)
                                                                                                                                                                                                  ≥1j                                                                   theory prediction
                                                                                                                                      16
                                                       CMS dilepton (ee,µ µ ,eµ )                                     170 ± 4 ± 16 ± 8                                                     104                                ≥1j
                                                       TOP-11-005 (L=1.14/fb)                                         (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum)                                                       ≥2j
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ≥2j               Wγ
                                                       CMS all-hadronic                                               136 ± 20 ± 40 ± 8
                                                                                                                                 40                                                        10
                                                                                                                                                                                             3
                                                                                                                                                                                                              ≥3j                                               Zγ
                                                       TOP-11-007 (L=1.09/fb)                                         (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          ≥3j
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    ≥4j                                                 WW
                                                       CMS dilepton (µ τ)                                             149 ± 24 ± 26 ± 9
                                                                                                                                       26
                                                                                                                                                                                           102                                                  ≥4j                            WZ
                                                       TOP-11-006 (L=1.09/fb)                                         (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ZZ
                                                                                                                               17                                                           10                                                                                                    H(127)
                                                       CMS 2010 combination                                           154 ±         ± 6
                                                                                                  Approx. NNLO QCD




                                                                                                                               17                                                                                                                                                                 → ZZ
                                                       arXiv:1108.3773 (L=36/pb)                                      (val ± tot. ± lum.)                                                                        jet
                                                                                                                                                                                                               ET > 30 GeV
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       γ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ET > 10 GeV
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       jet
                                                                                                                                                                                                                |η           | < 2.4                  Δ R(γ ,l) > 0.7
                                                       CMS e/ µ +jets+btag                                            150 ± 9 ± 17 ± 6                                                       1
                                                                                                                                17
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                       arXiv:1108.3773 (L=36/pb)                                      (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum)
                                                                                        NLO QCD




                                                                                                                                                                                                                    36 pb-1                             36 pb-1              1.1 fb-1            4.7 fb-1
                                                       CMS dilepton (ee,µ µ ,eµ )                                     168 ± 18 ±       14
                                                                                                                                            ± 7
                                                                                                                                                                                           10-1
                                                                                                                                       14                                                                       JHEP10(2011)132
                                                       arXiv:1105.5661 (L=36/pb)                                      (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum)                                                                                                     PLB701(2011)535    CMS-PAS-EWK-11-010   CMS-PAS-HIG-11-025
                                                                                                                                                                                                              CMS-PAS-EWK-10-012


                                                       CMS e/ µ +jets                                                 173 ± 14 ± 36 ± 7
                                                                                                                                 29
                                                       arXiv:1106.0902 (L=36/pb)                                      (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum)

                                                       Theory: Langenfeld, Moch, Uwer, Phys. Rev. D80 (2009) 054009


                                               -0.5
                                                       MSTW2008(N)NLO PDF, scale ⊗ PDF(90% C.L.) uncertainty
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               §  Fabulous	
  agreement	
  
                                                   0           50           100          150                         200            250             300
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               §  Lots	
  of	
  data	
  
                                                                                                                                    σ(tt) (pb)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               	
  …	
  on	
  to	
  the	
  Higgs…	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   30
H	
  èγγ	





               31
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                                H èγγ
                                                                                candidate
H	
  →	
  γγ Overview	
  
                                               §  Main	
  analysis	
  is	
  a	
  Multi-­‐Variate-­‐Analysis	
  (MVA)	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                 §  MVAs	
  for	
  photon	
  ID	
  and	
  event	
  classification	
  
                                                       Fit	
  mass	
  distribution	
  in	
  4	
  event	
  classes	
  based	
  on	
  a	
  diphoton	
  MVA	
  output	
  +	
  
                                                        2	
  di-­‐jet	
  categories	
  
                                                 §  Improvement	
  in	
  expected	
  limit	
  ~15%	
  over	
  cut-­‐based	
  analysis	
  
                                                 §  Cross-­‐checked	
  with	
  an	
  alternative	
  background	
  model	
  extraction:	
  	
  	
  
                                                       Fit	
  output	
  of	
  a	
  2nd	
  MVA	
  combining	
  diphoton	
  MVA	
  and	
  mγγ	
  	
  using	
  data	
  in	
  
                                                        mass	
  sidebands	
  to	
  construct	
  the	
  background	
  model	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                               §  Also	
  cross-­‐checked	
  with	
  a	
  cut	
  based	
  analysis	
  
                                                 §  Simple	
  and	
  robust	
  
                                                       Cut	
  based	
  photon	
  ID	
  and	
  event	
  classification	
  
                                                       ­  Fit	
  data	
  mass	
  distribution	
  in	
  2	
  rapidity	
  x	
  2	
  shower	
  shape	
  =4	
  categories	
  with	
  
                                                           different	
  Signal	
  over	
  Background	
  (S/B)	
  +	
  2	
  di-­‐jet	
  categories	
  
                                                 §  Published	
  for	
  2011	
  data	
  	
  
                                                       Phys.Lett.	
  B710	
  (2012)	
  403-­‐425	
  arXiv:1202.1487	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                     33
Search	
  for	
  a	
  narrow	
  mass	
  peak	
  with	
  two	
  
                                                                        isolated	
  high	
  Et	
  photons	
  	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                 2012 8 TeV

                                                                                         §  Blind	
  analysis	
  in	
  2012	
  
                                                                                         §  Re-­‐reco	
  2011	
  data	
  into	
  
                                                                                             unchanged	
  2011	
  
                                                                                             analysis	
  
                                                                                         §  Background	
  MC	
  only	
  
                                                                                             used	
  for	
  analysis	
  
                                                                                             optimization,	
  Z-­‐>ee	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                             also	
  to	
  measure	
  	
  
                                                                                             photon	
  efficiencies	
  and	
  
                                                                                             resolution	
  with	
  data	
  




                                                                                                                               34
Photon	
  Energy	
  Scale	
  and	
  Resolution	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                               §  ECAL	
  cluster	
  energies	
  corrected	
  using	
  a	
  MC	
  trained	
  multivariate	
  regression	
  
                                                   §  Improves	
  resolution	
  and	
  restores	
  flat	
  response	
  of	
  energy	
  scale	
  versus	
  pileup	
  
                                                          ­  Inputs:	
  Raw	
  cluster	
  energies	
  and	
  positions,	
  lateral	
  and	
  longitudinal	
  shower	
  shape	
  variables,	
  local	
  shower	
  
                                                              positions	
  w.r.t.	
  crystal	
  geometry,	
  pileup	
  estimators	
  
                                               §  Regression	
  also	
  used	
  to	
  provide	
  a	
  per	
  photon	
  energy	
  resolution	
  estimate	
  
                                               §  To	
  measure	
  the	
  Energy	
  Scale	
  and	
  resolution:	
  use	
  Z→e+e-­‐	
  


                                                                                                                   E5x5"
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                                                   ESC"
                                                                                                                   ESC corr"
                                                                                                                                                                   Both	
  EB	
  |η|<1	
  
                                                                                                          Effect	
  of	
  the	
                                     highR9	
  
                                                                                                          regression	
  on	
  the	
  	
  
                                                                                                          Z-­‐>ee	
  peak	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                     35
§  Photon	
  pre-­‐selection:	
                                                   Photon	
  ID	
  
                                                   §  ETγ1/mγγ>3,	
  ETγ2/mγγ>4	
  
                                                  §  Photon	
  Id	
  a	
  bit	
  tighter	
  than	
  trigger	
  selection	
  and	
  MC	
  EM	
  enrichment	
  filters	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                        Efficiency	
  measured	
  using	
  tag	
  and	
  probe	
  with	
  Z→ee	
  
                                                  §  Electron	
  veto:	
  Efficiency	
  measured	
  using	
  tag	
  and	
  probe	
  with	
  Z→µµγ	
  
                                               §  MVA	
  based	
  photon	
  ID	
  discriminates	
  photons	
  from	
  fakes:	
  
                                                  §  Inputs:	
  isolation,	
  shower	
  shape,	
  per	
  event	
  energy	
  density,	
  pseudorapidity	
  	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                                                                                    Validation	
  
                                                                                                                                                    with	
  Z→ee	
  
                                                                                                                                                    (inverted	
  
                                                                                                                                                    electron	
  veto)	
  




                                                                                                                                                                           36
The γγ Vertex Choice
                                               §  Mass reconstruction
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                  §  Depends on the correct position of the primary vertex
                                               §  Interaction vertex is identified using tracks from recoiling jets and underlying event
                                               plus conversions
                                                  §  correct in ~83% of cases for pileup in 2011 sample.
                                                  §  correct in ~80% of cases for pileup in 2012 sample.
                                               §  Vertex identification with a BDT
                                                  §  Input variables: Σpt2, Σpt projected onto the γγ transverse direction, pt asymmetry and
                                                    conversions
                                               §  Correct vertex finding probability also estimated using a BDT
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                                                                         Data-­‐MC	
  
                                                                                                                                       efficiency	
  for	
  
                                                                                                                                          Z-­‐>μμ	
  
                                                                                                                                          After	
  
                                                                                  Efficiency	
  to	
                                     removing	
  the	
  
                                                                                   identify	
                                            μ	
  tracks	
  
                                                                                    correct	
  
                                                                                    vertex	
  
Diphoton	
  MVA	
  
                                                 §  Diphoton	
  MVA	
  trained	
  on	
  signal	
  and	
  background	
  MC	
  with	
  input	
  variables	
  largely	
  
                                                     independent	
  of	
  mγγ	

J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                    §  Kinematics:	
  pT	
  and	
  η	
  of	
  each	
  photon,	
  and	
  cosΔφ	
  between	
  the	
  2	
  photons	
  
                                                    §  Photon	
  ID	
  MVA	
  output	
  for	
  each	
  photon	
  
                                                    §  per-­‐event	
  mass	
  resolution	
  and	
  vertex	
  probability	
  
                                                 §  Encode	
  all	
  relevant	
  information	
  on	
  signal	
  vs	
  background	
  discrimination	
  (aside	
  from	
  mγγ	
  
                                                     itself)	
  into	
  a	
  single	
  di-­‐photon	
  MVA	
  output	
  	
  to	
  first	
  order	
  independent	
  of	
  mγγ	





                                                                                                 Cat 1 "




                                                                                                                                                               Cat 1 "
                                                                                        Cat 3"

                                                                                                 Cat 2"

                                                                                                 Cat 0"




                                                                                                                                                      Cat 3"

                                                                                                                                                               Cat 2"

                                                                                                                                                               Cat 0"
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                               §  Residual	
  data-­‐MC	
  disagreement	
  
                                                 §  For	
  BG	
  only	
  make	
  analysis	
  sub-­‐optimal	
  
                                                 §  For	
  signal	
  would	
  cause	
  some	
  category	
  migration	
  included	
  in	
  the	
  systematic	
  errors	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                38
Di-­‐jet	
  Tagging	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                               §  Exclusive	
  selection	
  of	
  di-­‐photon	
  
                                                  events	
  with	
  VBF-­‐like	
  topology:	
                        Di-­‐jet	
  event	
  with:	
  	
  
                                                  §  Two	
  high	
  pT	
  jets	
  	
  with	
  large	
  pseudo-­‐    • 	
  diphoton	
  mass	
  121.9	
  GeV	
  
                                                      rapidity	
  difference	
  and	
  invariant	
  mass	
            • 	
  dijet	
  mass	
  1460	
  GeV	
  
                                               §  High	
  S/B	
                                                     • 	
  jet	
  pT:	
  288.8	
  and	
  189.1	
  GeV	
  	
  
                                                                                                                     • 	
  jet	
  η:	
  -­‐2.022	
  and	
  1.860	
  
                                               §  ~80%-­‐pure	
  VBF	
  events	
  for	
  large	
  di-­‐
                                                  jet	
  invariant	
  masses	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                                                                                                                39
Di-­‐jet	
  Tagging:	
  Selection	
  
                                               Analysis	
  improvements	
  in	
  2012:	
  	
  	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                               §  Split	
  di-­‐jet	
  tagged	
  events	
  in	
  two	
  categories	
  based	
  on	
  Mjj	
  and	
  jet	
  pT	
  
                                                  §  ~15%	
  improvement	
  in	
  sensitivity	
  for	
  dijet	
  category	
  	
  
                                                  §  better	
  sensitivity	
  to	
  separate	
  different	
  Higgs	
  production	
  modes	
  	
  
                                               §  Removal	
  of	
  jets	
  from	
  pileup	
  events	
  	
  
                                                  §  Based	
  on	
  the	
  jet	
  shape	
  variables,	
  tracks	
  in	
  jet	
  and	
  vertexing	
  
                                                  §  Cross-­‐checked	
  using	
  Z+jet	
  and	
  γ+jet	
  events	
  

                                                                                        Dijet selection cuts
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                                                                                                    40
7	
  TeV	
  Mass	
  Distribution	
  in	
  Categories	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                  Untagged 0            Untagged 1                                       Untagged 2




                                                                                       §  Background	
  model	
  is	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                           entirely	
  from	
  data.	
  
                                                                                       §  Fit	
  to	
  mass	
  distribution	
  in	
  
                                                                                           each	
  category	
  with	
  
                                                  Untagged 3               Dijet tag       polynomial	
  functions	
  (3rd	
  
                                                                                           to	
  5th	
  degree)	
  
                                                                                           §  keep	
  bias	
  below	
  20%	
  of	
  fit	
  
                                                                                                   error.	
  
                                                                                           §  causes	
  some	
  loss	
  of	
  
                                                                                                   performance	
  due	
  to	
  number	
  
                                                                                                   of	
  parameters	
  in	
  fit	
  function.	
  
                                                                                              	
  
                                                                                                                                                   41
8	
  TeV	
  Mass	
  Distribution	
  in	
  Categories	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                  Untagged 0            Untagged 1             Untagged 2
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                  Untagged 3             Dijet tight           Dijet loose




                                                                                                             42
S/B	
  Weighted	
  Mass	
  Distribution	
  
                                               §  Sum	
  of	
  mass	
  distributions	
  for	
  each	
  event	
  class,	
  weighted	
  by	
  S/B	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                 §  B	
  is	
  integral	
  of	
  background	
  model	
  over	
  a	
  constant	
  signal	
  fraction	
  interval	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                                                                                                       43
95%	
  CL	
  Exclusion	
  for	
  SM	
  Higgs	
  	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                               §  Expected	
  95%	
  CL	
  exclusion	
  0.76	
  times	
  SM	
  at	
  125	
  GeV	
  
                                               §  Large	
  range	
  with	
  expected	
  excusion	
  below	
  σSM	
  
                                               §  Largest	
  excess	
  at	
  125	
  GeV	
                                             44
P-Values
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                               §  Minimum local p-value at 125 GeV with a local significance of 4.1 σ
                                               §  Similar excess in 2011 and 2012
                                               §  Independent cross check analyses give similar results
                                               §  Global significance in the full search range (110-150 GeV) 3.2 σ
                                                                                                                         45
Fitted Signal Strength
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                               Combined best fit signal        Best fit signal strength
                                               strength                        consistent between
                                               σ/σSM = 1.56±0.43 x SM,         different classes
                                               consistent with SM.
                                                                                                          46
H	
  èZZ*	





                47
H	
  →ZZ(*)	
  →4l	
  	
  (l	
  =	
  e,μ):	
  the	
  golden	
  channel	
  
                                                                                                                           Clean	
  signature:	
  narrow	
  peak,	
  low	
  background	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                                                      Background:	
  	
  irreducible	
  ZZ(*);	
  	
  reducible	
  Z+jets,	
  ttbar,	
  WZ	
  

                                                                                        One	
  of	
  the	
  best	
  performing	
  channels	
  
                                                                                        in	
  the	
  whole	
  mass	
  range	
  …	
                                        …	
  but	
  extremely	
  demanding	
  channel	
  for	
  
                                                                                                                                                                          selection,	
  requiring	
  the	
  highest	
  possible	
  
                                                                                                                                                                          efficiencies	
  (lepton	
  Reco/ID/Isolation).	
  
                                                                                                                                                                          	
  
                                                                                                Production cross sections
                                                                                       8
             σ (pp→H→ZZ(*)→4l) [fb]




                                                                                                                                                  Small branching ratio
                                                                                       7
                                                                                                                                 + - + -
                                                                                       6                                   H!l l l l (l = e,μ)
                                                                                       5
                                                                                       4
                                                                                       3                               H!e+e- μ+μ-
                                                                                       2
                                                                                       1                             + -
                                                                                                                H!e e e e
                                                                                                                           + -

                                                                                       0
                                                                                           100 126            200           300 400 500 600
                                                                                                                                   mH [GeV]
                                                                                                                                                                           .
                                                         48
2012	
  analysis	
  +	
  improvements	
  
                                                       Blinding	
  policy:	
  analysis	
  optimized	
  blindly	
  for	
  2012,	
  	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                       applied	
  to	
  2011	
  reoptimization	
  
                                                            	
  
                                                            Do	
  NOT	
  look	
  at	
  110	
  <	
  m4l	
  <140	
  GeV,	
  and	
  m4l	
  >	
  300	
  GeV	
  	
  


                                                Main	
  changes:	
  

                                                New	
  lepton	
  ID	
  (MVA	
  +	
  PFlow)	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
                                                New	
  lepton	
  PFlow	
  isolation	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                Final	
  State	
  Radiation	
  (FSR)	
  recovery	
  
                                                2D	
  analysis:	
  m4l	
  +	
  Kinematic	
  Discriminant	
  
                                                	
  




                                               >20%	
  improvement	
  @	
  mH	
  =	
  126	
  GeV	
  	
                                   Expected	
  exclusion	
  range	
  	
  
                                                          wrt	
  2011	
  analysis	
  
                                                                                                                                              121–540	
  GeV	
  
                                                                                                                                 .
                                               49
Final State Radiation recovery algorithm
                                                             Applied	
  on	
  each	
  Z	
  for	
  photons	
  near	
     Expected	
  Performance	
  for	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION




                                                     l 

                                                             the	
  leptons	
  	
                                       MH=126	
  GeV	
  	
  
                                                     µ,e                             µ,e        γ                         §    6%	
  of	
  	
  events	
  affected	
  
                                                                                                                          §    Average	
  purity	
  of	
  80%	
  	
  
                                                                                                                          §    2%	
  added	
  in	
  analysis	
  
                                                                                            ΔR(l, γ)min<0.5

                                                                                       Particle	
  Flow	
  ID	
  
                                                                                       ET>	
  2	
  GeV	
  
July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search




                                                                                       |η|<2.4	
  
                                                                                       Isolation	
  
                                                             Z
                                               l          Associates	
  	
  photon	
  with	
  Z	
  if:	
  
                                                            l    M(ll+γ)<	
  100	
  GeV	
  
                                                            l    |M(ll+γ)-­‐ΜZ|<|M(ll)-­‐MZ|	
  
                                               l          Removes	
  associated	
  photons	
  from	
  lepton	
  
                                                           isolation	
  calculation	
  	
  	
  	
                                                                            50
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
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CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
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CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
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CMS - Bosone di Higgs
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CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
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CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
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CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
CMS - Bosone di Higgs
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CMS - Bosone di Higgs

  • 1. Status  of  the  CMS     SM  Higgs  Search   Joe  Incandela   UCSB/CERN   July  4,  2012   1
  • 2. Status  of  the  CMS     SM  Higgs  Search   Raw ΣET~2 TeV 14 jets with ET>40 Joe  Incandela   Estimated PU~50 UCSB/CERN   July  4,  2012   2
  • 3. July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION On  behalf  of  the  CMS  Collaboration   3
  • 5. The  Standard  Model   meas fit meas Measurement Fit |O −O |/σ 0 1 2 3 (5) Δαhad(mZ) 0.02758 ± 0.00035 0.02768 mZ [GeV] 91.1875 ± 0.0021 91.1874 ΓZ [GeV] 2.4952 ± 0.0023 2.4959 0 σhad [nb] 41.540 ± 0.037 41.479 Rl 20.767 ± 0.025 20.742 0,l Afb 0.01714 ± 0.00095 0.01645 Al(Pτ) 0.1465 ± 0.0032 0.1481 Rb 0.21629 ± 0.00066 0.21579 Rc 0.1721 ± 0.0030 0.1723 0,b Afb 0.0992 ± 0.0016 0.1038 0,c Afb 0.0707 ± 0.0035 0.0742 Ab 0.923 ± 0.020 0.935 Ac 0.670 ± 0.027 0.668 Al(SLD) 0.1513 ± 0.0021 0.1481 2 lept sin θeff (Qfb) 0.2324 ± 0.0012 0.2314 mW [GeV] 80.399 ± 0.023 80.379 ΓW [GeV] 2.085 ± 0.042 2.092 mt [GeV] 173.3 ± 1.1 173.4 July 2010 0 1 2 3 5
  • 6. The  Standard  Model   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION meas fit meas Measurement Fit |O −O |/σ 0 1 2 3 (5) Δαhad(mZ) 0.02758 ± 0.00035 0.02768 mZ [GeV] 91.1875 ± 0.0021 91.1874 ΓZ [GeV] 2.4952 ± 0.0023 2.4959 0 σhad [nb] 41.540 ± 0.037 41.479 Rl 20.767 ± 0.025 20.742 0,l Afb 0.01714 ± 0.00095 0.01645 Al(Pτ) 0.1465 ± 0.0032 0.1481 R Confirmed  to  better  than  1  %   Rb 0.21629 ± 0.00066 0.21579 0.1721 ± 0.0030 0.1723 uncertainty  by  100’s  of   c 0,b A fb 0.0992 ± 0.0016 0.1038 July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search 0,c precision  m± 0.020 0.935 easurements   A fb 0.0707 ± 0.0035 0.0742 A b 0.923 Ac 0.670 ± 0.027 0.668 Al(SLD) 0.1513 ± 0.0021 0.1481 2 lept sin θeff (Qfb) 0.2324 ± 0.0012 0.2314 mW [GeV] 80.399 ± 0.023 80.379 ΓW [GeV] 2.085 ± 0.042 2.092 mt [GeV] 173.3 ± 1.1 173.4 July 2010 0 1 2 3 6
  • 7. The  Standard  Model      1  Missing  piece:  Higgs   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION meas fit meas Measurement Fit |O −O |/σ 0 1 2 3 (5) Δαhad(mZ) 0.02758 ± 0.00035 0.02768 mZ [GeV] 91.1875 ± 0.0021 91.1874 ΓZ [GeV] 2.4952 ± 0.0023 2.4959 0 σhad [nb] 41.540 ± 0.037 41.479 Rl 20.767 ± 0.025 20.742 0,l Afb 0.01714 ± 0.00095 0.01645 Al(Pτ) 0.1465 ± 0.0032 0.1481 R Confirmed  to  better  than  1  %   Rb 0.21629 ± 0.00066 0.21579 0.1721 ± 0.0030 0.1723 uncertainty  by  100’s  of   c 0,b A fb 0.0992 ± 0.0016 0.1038 July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search 0,c precision  m± 0.020 0.935 easurements   A fb 0.0707 ± 0.0035 0.0742 A b 0.923 Ac 0.670 ± 0.027 0.668 Al(SLD) 0.1513 ± 0.0021 0.1481 2 lept sin θeff (Qfb) 0.2324 ± 0.0012 0.2314 mW [GeV] 80.399 ± 0.023 80.379 ΓW [GeV] 2.085 ± 0.042 2.092 mt [GeV] 173.3 ± 1.1 173.4 July 2010 0 1 2 3 7
  • 8. The  Standard  Model      1  Missing  piece:  Higgs   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION meas fit meas Measurement Fit |O −O |/σ 0 1 2 3 (5) Δαhad(mZ) 0.02758 ± 0.00035 0.02768 mZ [GeV] 91.1875 ± 0.0021 91.1874 ΓZ [GeV] 2.4952 ± 0.0023 2.4959 0 σhad [nb] 41.540 ± 0.037 41.479 Rl 20.767 ± 0.025 20.742 0,l Afb 0.01714 ± 0.00095 0.01645 Al(Pτ) 0.1465 ± 0.0032 0.1481 R Confirmed  to  better  than  1  %   Rb 0.21629 ± 0.00066 0.21579 0.1721 ± 0.0030 0.1723 uncertainty  by  100’s  of   c 0,b A fb 0.0992 ± 0.0016 0.1038 July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search 0,c precision  m± 0.020 0.935 easurements   A fb 0.0707 ± 0.0035 0.0742 A b 0.923 Ac 0.670 ± 0.027 0.668 Al(SLD) 0.1513 ± 0.0021 0.1481 2 lept sin θeff (Qfb) 0.2324 ± 0.0012 0.2314 mW [GeV] 80.399 ± 0.023 80.379 ΓW [GeV] 2.085 ± 0.042 2.092 mt [GeV] 173.3 ± 1.1 173.4 July 2010 0 1 2 3 8
  • 9. Where  we  stood  last  week   1.  Mtopvs.  MW   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  Tevatron  MW  Tour  de  Force!!      mW  =  80385  ±  15  MeV  (  World  Ave  –   Mar  2012)   §  Shifts  for  SM  Higgs  expectation   2.  Colliders  leave  little  space     July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search ~Mt2 This  is  the  main  story  of   the  past  year   ~ln(mH) Eliminated    ~475  GeV  of  the   mass  range.     9 9
  • 10. Higgs  boson  production   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search §  √s=8  TeV:  25-­‐30%  higher  σ  than  √s=7  TeV  at  low  mH   §  All  production  modes  to  be  exploited   §  gg  VBF    VH  ttH   §  Latter  3  have  smaller  cross  sections  but  better  S/B  in  many  cases     10
  • 11. Higgs  boson  production   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search §  √s=8  TeV:  25-­‐30%  higher  σ  than  √s=7  TeV  at  low  mH   §  All  production  modes  to  be  exploited   §  gg  VBF    VH  ttH   §  Latter  3  have  smaller  cross  sections  but  better  S/B  in  many  cases     11
  • 12. Higgs  boson  decays   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION 5  decay  modes  exploited   §  High  mass:      WW,  ZZ     §  Low  mass:    bb,  ττ,  WW,  ZZ,  γγ   §  Low  mass  region  is  very  rich  but   also  very  challenging:   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search main  decay  modes  (bb,  ττ)  are  hard       to  identify  in  the  huge  background     §  Very  good  mass  resolution   (1%):      Hàγγ    and    HàZZà4l   12
  • 13. CMS  Exclusion  Potential   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  Not-­‐yet-­‐excluded  region:     ~[115-­‐130]  GeV   §  The  five  decay  modes   discussed  today  have   comparable  sensitivities  for   exclusion.   §  Most  analyses  used  in  this   combination  have  been  re-­‐ optimized.  In  order  to  avoid   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search the  possibility  of  an   unintended  bias,  all  selection   criteria  in  the  analyses  of  the   2011  and  2012  data  were   fixed  before  looking  at  the     result  in  the  signal  region.   13
  • 14. CMS  Discovery  potential   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION p-­‐values     §  Probability  that  background   fluctuates  to  give  an  excess   as  large  as  the  (average)   signal  size  expected  for  a   SM  Higgs.      Takes  into  account  all  analysis   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search steps,  estimated  backgrounds,   etc.  for  the  5  search  channels   indicated.   §  Excellent  prospects    for   exploring  properties   14
  • 15. How  is  it  possible  to  go  so  far  so  fast?   LHC  performance:  2010-­‐2011-­‐2012   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION CMS Total Integrated Luminosity, p-p 7 7 Stellar  performance   Total Integrated Luminosity (fb-1) 2012  certified   of  the  LHC  enables   6 ‘Golden’:  5.19  m-­‐1  (85%)   6 2010, s = 7 TeV 2011, s = 7 TeV Muon:        5.62  m-­‐1  (92%)   all  experiments  to   5 2012, s = 8 TeV 5 produce  significant   physics  results   4 4 July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search 3 3 2 2 Many  thanks  to  the   LHC  teams  and  the   1 1 many  others  who   0 0 made  this  possible!   02/05 02/07 01/09 Time in year 15
  • 16. Total  weight                  14000  t   Overall  diameter      15  m   ECAL 76k scintillating PbWO4 crystals CMS   Overall  length              28.7  m   MUON  ENDCAPS HCAL Scintillator/brass Interleaved ~7k ch 473 Cathode Strip Chambers (CSC) 432 Resistive Plate Chambers (RPC) 3.8T Solenoid IRON  YOKE   Preshower Si Strips ~16 m2 ~137k ch YBO Foward Cal YB1- Steel + quartz 2 Fibers 2~k ch Pixels  &  Tracker •  Pixels (100x150 µm2) " ~1m 2 ~66M ch" • Si Strips (80-180 µm)" ~200 m2 ~9.6M ch MUON  BARREL 250 Drift Tubes (DT) and 480 Resistive Plate Chambers (RPC) 16
  • 17. Current  Operational  Status*   Pixels   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION Strips   Preshower   ECAL  Endcap   ECAL  Barrel   HCAL  Outer   HCAL  Forward   HCAL  Endcap   HCAL  Barrel   muon  RPC   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search muon  DT   muon  CSC   0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70   80   90   100   Pixel     Strip     Preshower ECAL     ECAL     HCAL     HCAL     HCAL     HCAL     Muon     Muon     Muon     Tracker Tracker Barrel Endcaps Barrel Endcaps Forward Outer DT CSC RPC 97.1% 97.75% 97.1% 99.16% 98.54% 99.92% 99.96% 99.88% 96.88% 99.1% 97.67% 98.2% *As of June 15 2012 17
  • 18. ECAL  calibration,  2012  data   Single  electron  energy  scale  (E/p)  stability   Zàee  invariant  mass  distribution  for   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION in  barrel  measured  with  W  àeν  events   electrons  measured  in  the  barrel   1.03 Relative E/p scale CMS 2012 Preliminary with LM correction Mean 1 1.02 s = 8 TeV L = 3.95 fb-1 without LM correction RMS 0.0019 1 / LM correction Mean 0.97 1.01 RMS 0.0063 1 Electrons  with   0.99 low  or  no   0.98 Bremsstrahlung   0.97 0.96 0.95 0.94 EB: Prompt Reconstruction!! ECAL Barrel: Prompt Reco 0.93 July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search 12/04 19/04 26/04 03/05 10/05 17/05 24/05 31/05 07/06 0 50 100 date (day/month) §  Wàeν  E/p:  Stable  E  scale  during  2012  run  after  light  monitoring   (LM)  corrections:   §  ECAL  Barrel  (EB):        RMS  stability  after  corrections  0.19%   §  Zàee:  Good  resolution  with  preliminary  energy  calibration  for  2012:      Instrumental  resolution:  1.0  GeV  in  ECAL  Barrel     18
  • 19. ‣CMS  assume a 50% keep for  8  TeV  and  high  PU  in  2012   If we Preparations   processing efficiency up factor in the Tier-0 and 90% §  ‣ Reasonably optimistic and leaves little room for catching up Last  Autumn     J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  cpu  time  for  high  PU  >40  sec/event   §  Memory  usage  well  above  2  GB.   600 ‣    Means  we  With 40%all  the  cores!   cannot  use   machine 2GB/core 3GB/core Prompt Reco (Hz) 450 §  Even  200  Hz  looked  this leaves live time hard!   §  Task  force  20% contingency started  December   300 §  Major  success!   §  Improvements   150 ‣2.5  in  skeep most ofhave §  A  factor   This assumes we peed   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search and    Under  ~15”  per  event  on  average     0 20 30 40 50 60 70 lxbatch §  Much  reduced  memory  use   Time Per Event (s)    Well  under  2  GB     Jan 12 Prompt  Reconstruction  at  Tier-­‐0:     3 §  Physics  performance  unchanged     Limit  on  our  data-­‐taking  rate  versus  event   §  Kept  our  AAA  rating:   processing  time  for  low  and  high  memory      E.g.  no  explicit  pT  threshold  on  tracks   use  cases   19
  • 20. GEN-SIM/AODSIM Produc MC  Production  Capabilities     §  GEN-­‐SIM  @  Tier-­‐2’s   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  Sustain  400M/Month   GEN-­‐SIM      900M,  600M  past  2   months  but  had  help   from  Tier-­‐1’s   §  Redigi-­‐Rereco@   Tier-­‐1’s   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search §  Sustain  1B/month   Redigi-­‐Rereco      Peaks  high  as  2.3B   20  
  • 22. Global  Event  Description  (Pflow)     Made possible by CMS granularity and high magnetic field J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search §  Optimal  combination  of  information  from  all  subdetectors   §  Returns  a  list  of  reconstructed  particles   §  e,μ,γ,  charged  and  neutral  hadrons      Used  in  the  analysis  as  if  it  came  from  a  list  of  generated  particles      Used  as  building  blocks  for  jets,  taus  ,  missing  transverse  energy  ,   isolation  and  PU  particle  identification   22
  • 23. Electron/Photon  reconstruction   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION Electrons     ECAL  Barrel  (EB)   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search §  Cluster  reconstruction  in  ECAL     §  Common  for  both  electrons  and  photons  (Electrons  also  reconstructed  as  photons)   §  Designed  to  collect  bremsstrahlung    and  conversions  in  extended  phi  region   §  Dedicated  track  reconstruction  for  electrons   §  Gaussian  Sum  Filter  allows  for  tracks  w/large  bremsstrahlung     §  Photon  identification  specific  to  Hèϒϒ   §  Energy  scale  and  resolution   §  Extensive  control  with  Z  and  J/ψèee  for  both  electrons  and  photons   23
  • 24. Electron  identification   §  Multivariate  e  identification  in  2012   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  ECAL,  tracker,  ECAL-­‐tracker-­‐HCAL  matching,impact  parameter   §  30%  efficiency  improvement  in  H→ZZ→4e  wrt  cut  based  ID   §  Multivariate  training  against  background  in  data     July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search η  variance    ECAL  Barrel  (EB)     pT<20  GeV   Cut  Based  vs  MVA  ID   24
  • 25. Muon  reconstruction  and  identification   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  Start  with  particle  flow  muons   Tighter  quality     §   Efficiency  above  96%  down  to  pT  =  5  GeV     criteria  applied     §  Above  99%  efficiency  for  pT  >  10  GeV   in  some  analyses   §  Efficiency  in  data  using  J/Ψ  and  Z  peak   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search J/Ψ→µµ     Z→µµ     Tag&Probe     Efficiency  is  stable  in  high   Tag&Probe   PU  environment   25
  • 26. Particle-­‐based  isolation   Sum  energy  of  particles  in  ΔR   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION Detector  vs  Particle  Flow   cone  around  the  lepton   • Global  event  description   Detector Isolation eliminates    double  counting   Particle Flow Isolation ELECTRONS   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search Efficiency  is  stable  in  high  PU   environment   Endcaps   pT  <  10  GeV   MUONS   Pile-­‐up  contribution:   •  Negligible  for  charged  hadrons  (vertexing)   •  Neutrals  corrected  w/global  energy  density  (ρ)   26
  • 27. Tau  Identification   §  Tau  identification:   τ-­‐>  πν   τ-­‐>  a1ν   τ-­‐>  ρν   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  Reconstruct  individual  decay  modes     §  Charged  hadrons  +  electromagnetic  obj   §  EM  strips  account  for  material  effects     1  Prong   3  Prong   1  Prong  +  Strip   §  Tau  isolation:   Tau ID + Isolation efficiency §  Multivariate  discriminator  using  sum  of   energy  deposits  in  dR  rings  around  the  tau     July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search Real  taus   Fake  taus   27
  • 28. Jet  Identification   •  Jet  reconstruction   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION •  Reconstruction  with  particle  flow  objects     July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search Typical jet Pileup jet §  Pileup  jets  structure  differs  wrt  regular  jets:   §  Pileup  jets  originate  from  several  overlapping  jets  which  merge  together   §  Likelihood  grows  rapidly  with  high  pileup   §  Discriminant  exploits  shape  and  tracking  variables   §  discrimination  both  inside  and  outside  tracker  acceptance   28
  • 29. Standard  Model:    Precision  Jets,  W,  and  γ*/Z     J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search Inclusive  jet  and  dijets.  2-­‐4%  JES.     Constrains  gluon  PDF  up  to  x=0.6   Differential  Drell-­‐Yan   cross  section:  2.5M  µµ   pairs  tests  NNLO  cross   sections  and  PDFs     CMS-PAS-QCD-11-004 CMS-PAS-EWK-11-007 29 29
  • 30. Standard  Model  at  7  TeV  2010-­‐2011   8.8 CMS Preliminary, s=7 TeV CMS J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION [pb] W CMS e/ µ +jets+btag 164 ± 3 ± 12 ± 7 5 CMS 95%CL limit TOP-11-003 (L=0.8-1.09/pb) 12 (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum) 10 Z Production Cross Section, σtot CMS measurement (stat ⊕syst) ≥1j theory prediction 16 CMS dilepton (ee,µ µ ,eµ ) 170 ± 4 ± 16 ± 8 104 ≥1j TOP-11-005 (L=1.14/fb) (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum) ≥2j ≥2j Wγ CMS all-hadronic 136 ± 20 ± 40 ± 8 40 10 3 ≥3j Zγ TOP-11-007 (L=1.09/fb) (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum) ≥3j ≥4j WW CMS dilepton (µ τ) 149 ± 24 ± 26 ± 9 26 102 ≥4j WZ TOP-11-006 (L=1.09/fb) (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum) ZZ 17 10 H(127) CMS 2010 combination 154 ± ± 6 Approx. NNLO QCD 17 → ZZ arXiv:1108.3773 (L=36/pb) (val ± tot. ± lum.) jet ET > 30 GeV γ ET > 10 GeV jet |η | < 2.4 Δ R(γ ,l) > 0.7 CMS e/ µ +jets+btag 150 ± 9 ± 17 ± 6 1 17 July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search arXiv:1108.3773 (L=36/pb) (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum) NLO QCD 36 pb-1 36 pb-1 1.1 fb-1 4.7 fb-1 CMS dilepton (ee,µ µ ,eµ ) 168 ± 18 ± 14 ± 7 10-1 14 JHEP10(2011)132 arXiv:1105.5661 (L=36/pb) (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum) PLB701(2011)535 CMS-PAS-EWK-11-010 CMS-PAS-HIG-11-025 CMS-PAS-EWK-10-012 CMS e/ µ +jets 173 ± 14 ± 36 ± 7 29 arXiv:1106.0902 (L=36/pb) (val ± stat. ± syst. ± lum) Theory: Langenfeld, Moch, Uwer, Phys. Rev. D80 (2009) 054009 -0.5 MSTW2008(N)NLO PDF, scale ⊗ PDF(90% C.L.) uncertainty §  Fabulous  agreement   0 50 100 150 200 250 300 §  Lots  of  data   σ(tt) (pb)  …  on  to  the  Higgs…     30 30
  • 32. July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION H èγγ candidate
  • 33. H  →  γγ Overview   §  Main  analysis  is  a  Multi-­‐Variate-­‐Analysis  (MVA)   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  MVAs  for  photon  ID  and  event  classification      Fit  mass  distribution  in  4  event  classes  based  on  a  diphoton  MVA  output  +   2  di-­‐jet  categories   §  Improvement  in  expected  limit  ~15%  over  cut-­‐based  analysis   §  Cross-­‐checked  with  an  alternative  background  model  extraction:          Fit  output  of  a  2nd  MVA  combining  diphoton  MVA  and  mγγ    using  data  in   mass  sidebands  to  construct  the  background  model   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search §  Also  cross-­‐checked  with  a  cut  based  analysis   §  Simple  and  robust      Cut  based  photon  ID  and  event  classification   ­  Fit  data  mass  distribution  in  2  rapidity  x  2  shower  shape  =4  categories  with   different  Signal  over  Background  (S/B)  +  2  di-­‐jet  categories   §  Published  for  2011  data        Phys.Lett.  B710  (2012)  403-­‐425  arXiv:1202.1487   33
  • 34. Search  for  a  narrow  mass  peak  with  two   isolated  high  Et  photons     J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION 2012 8 TeV §  Blind  analysis  in  2012   §  Re-­‐reco  2011  data  into   unchanged  2011   analysis   §  Background  MC  only   used  for  analysis   optimization,  Z-­‐>ee   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search also  to  measure     photon  efficiencies  and   resolution  with  data   34
  • 35. Photon  Energy  Scale  and  Resolution   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  ECAL  cluster  energies  corrected  using  a  MC  trained  multivariate  regression   §  Improves  resolution  and  restores  flat  response  of  energy  scale  versus  pileup   ­  Inputs:  Raw  cluster  energies  and  positions,  lateral  and  longitudinal  shower  shape  variables,  local  shower   positions  w.r.t.  crystal  geometry,  pileup  estimators   §  Regression  also  used  to  provide  a  per  photon  energy  resolution  estimate   §  To  measure  the  Energy  Scale  and  resolution:  use  Z→e+e-­‐   E5x5" July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search ESC" ESC corr" Both  EB  |η|<1   Effect  of  the   highR9   regression  on  the     Z-­‐>ee  peak   35
  • 36. §  Photon  pre-­‐selection:   Photon  ID   §  ETγ1/mγγ>3,  ETγ2/mγγ>4   §  Photon  Id  a  bit  tighter  than  trigger  selection  and  MC  EM  enrichment  filters   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION    Efficiency  measured  using  tag  and  probe  with  Z→ee   §  Electron  veto:  Efficiency  measured  using  tag  and  probe  with  Z→µµγ   §  MVA  based  photon  ID  discriminates  photons  from  fakes:   §  Inputs:  isolation,  shower  shape,  per  event  energy  density,  pseudorapidity     July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search Validation   with  Z→ee   (inverted   electron  veto)   36
  • 37. The γγ Vertex Choice §  Mass reconstruction J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  Depends on the correct position of the primary vertex §  Interaction vertex is identified using tracks from recoiling jets and underlying event plus conversions §  correct in ~83% of cases for pileup in 2011 sample. §  correct in ~80% of cases for pileup in 2012 sample. §  Vertex identification with a BDT §  Input variables: Σpt2, Σpt projected onto the γγ transverse direction, pt asymmetry and conversions §  Correct vertex finding probability also estimated using a BDT July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search Data-­‐MC   efficiency  for   Z-­‐>μμ   After   Efficiency  to   removing  the   identify   μ  tracks   correct   vertex  
  • 38. Diphoton  MVA   §  Diphoton  MVA  trained  on  signal  and  background  MC  with  input  variables  largely   independent  of  mγγ J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  Kinematics:  pT  and  η  of  each  photon,  and  cosΔφ  between  the  2  photons   §  Photon  ID  MVA  output  for  each  photon   §  per-­‐event  mass  resolution  and  vertex  probability   §  Encode  all  relevant  information  on  signal  vs  background  discrimination  (aside  from  mγγ   itself)  into  a  single  di-­‐photon  MVA  output    to  first  order  independent  of  mγγ Cat 1 " Cat 1 " Cat 3" Cat 2" Cat 0" Cat 3" Cat 2" Cat 0" July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search §  Residual  data-­‐MC  disagreement   §  For  BG  only  make  analysis  sub-­‐optimal   §  For  signal  would  cause  some  category  migration  included  in  the  systematic  errors   38
  • 39. Di-­‐jet  Tagging   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  Exclusive  selection  of  di-­‐photon   events  with  VBF-­‐like  topology:   Di-­‐jet  event  with:     §  Two  high  pT  jets    with  large  pseudo-­‐ •   diphoton  mass  121.9  GeV   rapidity  difference  and  invariant  mass   •   dijet  mass  1460  GeV   §  High  S/B   •   jet  pT:  288.8  and  189.1  GeV     •   jet  η:  -­‐2.022  and  1.860   §  ~80%-­‐pure  VBF  events  for  large  di-­‐ jet  invariant  masses   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search 39
  • 40. Di-­‐jet  Tagging:  Selection   Analysis  improvements  in  2012:       J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  Split  di-­‐jet  tagged  events  in  two  categories  based  on  Mjj  and  jet  pT   §  ~15%  improvement  in  sensitivity  for  dijet  category     §  better  sensitivity  to  separate  different  Higgs  production  modes     §  Removal  of  jets  from  pileup  events     §  Based  on  the  jet  shape  variables,  tracks  in  jet  and  vertexing   §  Cross-­‐checked  using  Z+jet  and  γ+jet  events   Dijet selection cuts July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search 40
  • 41. 7  TeV  Mass  Distribution  in  Categories   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION Untagged 0 Untagged 1 Untagged 2 §  Background  model  is   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search entirely  from  data.   §  Fit  to  mass  distribution  in   each  category  with   Untagged 3 Dijet tag polynomial  functions  (3rd   to  5th  degree)   §  keep  bias  below  20%  of  fit   error.   §  causes  some  loss  of   performance  due  to  number   of  parameters  in  fit  function.     41
  • 42. 8  TeV  Mass  Distribution  in  Categories   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION Untagged 0 Untagged 1 Untagged 2 July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search Untagged 3 Dijet tight Dijet loose 42
  • 43. S/B  Weighted  Mass  Distribution   §  Sum  of  mass  distributions  for  each  event  class,  weighted  by  S/B   J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION §  B  is  integral  of  background  model  over  a  constant  signal  fraction  interval   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search 43
  • 44. 95%  CL  Exclusion  for  SM  Higgs     J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search §  Expected  95%  CL  exclusion  0.76  times  SM  at  125  GeV   §  Large  range  with  expected  excusion  below  σSM   §  Largest  excess  at  125  GeV   44
  • 45. P-Values J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search §  Minimum local p-value at 125 GeV with a local significance of 4.1 σ §  Similar excess in 2011 and 2012 §  Independent cross check analyses give similar results §  Global significance in the full search range (110-150 GeV) 3.2 σ 45
  • 46. Fitted Signal Strength J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search Combined best fit signal Best fit signal strength strength consistent between σ/σSM = 1.56±0.43 x SM, different classes consistent with SM. 46
  • 48. H  →ZZ(*)  →4l    (l  =  e,μ):  the  golden  channel   Clean  signature:  narrow  peak,  low  background   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION Background:    irreducible  ZZ(*);    reducible  Z+jets,  ttbar,  WZ   One  of  the  best  performing  channels   in  the  whole  mass  range  …   …  but  extremely  demanding  channel  for   selection,  requiring  the  highest  possible   efficiencies  (lepton  Reco/ID/Isolation).     Production cross sections 8 σ (pp→H→ZZ(*)→4l) [fb] Small branching ratio 7 + - + - 6 H!l l l l (l = e,μ) 5 4 3 H!e+e- μ+μ- 2 1 + - H!e e e e + - 0 100 126 200 300 400 500 600 mH [GeV] . 48
  • 49. 2012  analysis  +  improvements   Blinding  policy:  analysis  optimized  blindly  for  2012,     J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION applied  to  2011  reoptimization     Do  NOT  look  at  110  <  m4l  <140  GeV,  and  m4l  >  300  GeV     Main  changes:   New  lepton  ID  (MVA  +  PFlow)           New  lepton  PFlow  isolation   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search Final  State  Radiation  (FSR)  recovery   2D  analysis:  m4l  +  Kinematic  Discriminant     >20%  improvement  @  mH  =  126  GeV     Expected  exclusion  range     wrt  2011  analysis   121–540  GeV   . 49
  • 50. Final State Radiation recovery algorithm Applied  on  each  Z  for  photons  near   Expected  Performance  for           J. Incandela for the CMS COLLABORATION l  the  leptons     MH=126  GeV     µ,e µ,e γ §  6%  of    events  affected   §  Average  purity  of  80%     §  2%  added  in  analysis   ΔR(l, γ)min<0.5 Particle  Flow  ID   ET>  2  GeV   July 4th 2012 The Status of the Higgs Search |η|<2.4   Isolation   Z l  Associates    photon  with  Z  if:   l  M(ll+γ)<  100  GeV   l  |M(ll+γ)-­‐ΜZ|<|M(ll)-­‐MZ|   l  Removes  associated  photons  from  lepton   isolation  calculation         50