This document provides information on two pilots, Eric Radtke and Bret Koebbe, who are presenting on real-time decision making for pilots. It outlines their backgrounds and credentials. The rest of the document covers various topics related to preflight planning, including electronic resources, weather briefing, facilities briefing, NOTAMs, route consideration, aircraft considerations, physiological considerations, and pilot proficiency. It also includes two scenario examples - a California VFR flight and a fall IFR flight - to demonstrate go/no-go decision making.
The Go/No-Go Decision: Real-time decision making for pilots
1. Eric Radtke & Bret Koebbe!
Go / No-go
Real–time decision making for pilots
Sporty’s Academy
2. Eric Radtke
• President & Chief Pilot!
Sporty’s Academy
• ATP & Master CFI!
Sporty’s Pilot Shop
!
• Editor!
Student Pilot News
Go / No-go:
Real-time decision making for pilots
3. Bret Koebbe
• ATP / CFI / Vice President!
Sporty’s Academy
• App / video producer!
Sporty’s Pilot Shop
• Editor!
iPad Pilot News
Go / No-go:
Real-time decision making for pilots
9. Weather Briefing
Preflight Planning!
• Preflight requirements!
- 91.103 – all information concerning the flight
- Runway lengths, performance
- IFR & away from the vicinity of the airport
- Weather, fuel, alternatives
There is no “Official Weather Briefing”!
15. Route Consideration
Preflight Planning!
Things to consider:
- Terrain
- Airspace
- TFRs
- Traffic Flow
- Weather
- Aircraft capabilities
- Contingencies
Altitude Selection
- Direction of Flight
- Minimum altitudes (91.119 – 500’ at all times)
- Off-route – minimum obstruction altitudes
16. Aircraft Considerations
Preflight Planning!
Inoperative Equipment!
- MEL vs. Required Equipment List
- Is it safe and have appropriate steps been
taken for deferrals?
!
Required Inspections!
!
Oxygen Use!
- 12,500’/14,000’/15,000’
- Best-practice – 5,000’ Night, 10,000’ Day
- Pressurized? Need 10 min supply > FL250
23. California VFR Flight
Cessna 182
AIRPLANE
Cessna 182 Skylane
Garmin G1000
Autopilot
XM Datalink Weather
iPad/ForeFlight
PILOT PROFILE
Private Pilot
Instrument Rating (not current)
Night current (for pax carrying)
Business owner / trip
700 hours in the C182
1 passenger (business associate)
KSBA -> KMYF
Departure time 0030Z
(4:30pm local)
Time en route 1.1 hrs
Sunset is 0145Z
FLIGHT
24. California VFR Flight
Cessna 182
Santa Barbara (KSBA)!
Long Runways
Instrument Approaches (ILS)
San Diego Montgomery Field (KMYF)!
Long Runways
Instrument Approaches (ILS)
!
Airport Considerations
25. California VFR Flight
Cessna 182
Direct isn’t always best; flight over water considerations!
Route Considerations
26. California VFR Flight
Cessna 182
Route goes through Los Angeles Class B airspace!
Airspace Considerations
37. California VFR Flight
Cessna 182
Proposed Departure: 0030Z!
Time en route: 1:06 hours!
Proposed Arrival: 0136Z!
Fuel Requirements
Considerations:!
Sunset is 0145Z
Weather deviations
ATC/Traffic routing/delays
FAR: land with 30 minutes DAY, 45 minutes NIGHT
FAR Min Fuel vs. Extra reserves
Smart Fuel: 1:06 + 1:00 reserves = 2:06
38. California VFR Flight
Cessna 182
Pilot Considerations
Pilot Variables:!
- Recovering from a head cold
- Taking Tylenol Cold (Rule of 5)
- Work Pressures to make the trip
- Doesn’t sleep well in hotels
How do these affect your decision?!
!
- IMSAFE Checklist
- FAA-Approved Medications
39. California VFR Flight
Cessna 182
Aircraft Considerations
Inoperative Equipment:!
Navigation Lights
How do this affect your decision?!
!
Required for operations from sunset to sunrise
Increased pressure to land before sunset
Proposed arrival time is 9 minutes before sunset
40. California VFR Flight
Cessna 182
Time to make a decision
Pilot Factors!
Health
Day currency
Night currency
IFR Currency
Trip urgency
Airplane Factors!
Weight & Balance
Fuel
Maintenance
Weather Factors!
VFR Ceiling
VFR Visibility
Thunderstorms/icing/turbulence/winds
41. California VFR Flight
Cessna 182
Time to make a decision
What are my “outs”?
1) Wait until the morning (good VFR weather forecast)
2) Depart as planned, be prepared to land at an alternate if weather deteriorates
3) If you get “caught” in IFR weather, you have the skills to fly an approach to get
safely on the ground (though this wouldn’t be legal)
4) If delays push you towards a sunset landing, diversion possible (inop nav lights)!
42. California VFR Flight
Cessna 182
How’d the flight go?
Importance of!
Passenger Briefing!
!
Weather Variables!
- Ceilings and visibility good for departure
- Visibility as low as 3 SM and 1,400’ ceilings,
moderate rain showers
- Thunderstorms/turbulence/icing not a factor
- VFR over the top is an option (not VFR ON TOP)
Passenger needs to make phone call en route!
Is this legal?!
45. AIRPLANE
Cirrus SR-22
Avidyne GPS/Moving-Map
Autopilot
iPad/ForeFlight
PILOT PROFILE
Private Pilot
Instrument Rating
Night current
Business trip
200 hours in the SR-22
600 hours total (70 in last 6 months)
KROC -> KOSU
Departure time 2330Z
(6:30pm local)
Time en route 2.0 hrs
Sunset is 0000Z
FLIGHT
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
46. Rochester (KROC)!
Long Runways
Instrument Approaches (ILS)
ATC Control Tower
Columbus, OH (KOSU)!
Long Runways
Instrument Approaches (ILS)
ATC Control Tower
!
Airport Considerations
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
60. Route/Altitude Selection
Minimum En Route Altitude
(MEA) 3,000’ MSL
Off Route Obstruction Clearance
Altitude (OROCA) 3,500’ MSL
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
61. Route/Altitude Selection
Minimum Obstruction Clearance Altitude
(MOCA) 2,100’ MSL
does not guarantee radar coverage
or radio reception (beyond 22 NM of the VOR)
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
62. Route/Altitude Selection
MEA 2,800 – 3,000’ MSL
Start off on airways
OROCA 3,500’ MSL
Proceed direct
Minimum IFR Altitude!
4,000’ MSL!
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
63. Fuel Planning
IFR Night Flight!
Alternate Required?!
- P6SM & Clouds Broken 2,400’
- Alternate required: 1 hour before
to 1 hour after ETA, Ceiling < 2,000’
and Visibility < 3 SM
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
64. Fuel Planning
Proposed Departure: 2330Z!
Time en route: 2:00 hours!
Proposed Arrival: 0130Z!
Considerations:!
Sunset is 0000Z
Weather deviations and/or diversion
FAR: fly to destination, then to alternate and land with 45 minutes fuel
FAR Min Fuel vs. Extra reserves
Smart Fuel: 2:00 + 1:15 reserves = 3:15
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
65. Pilot Considerations
Pilot Variables:!
- Up early in the morning
- Long day of meetings
- Critical business decisions
- Commitments early next morning
How do these affect your decision?!
!
- IMSAFE Checklist
- Fatigue affects night vision & decision making
––
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
66. Time to make a decision
Pilot Factors!
Health/fatigue
Day currency
Night currency
IFR Currency
Trip urgency
Airplane Factors!
Weight & Balance
Fuel
Maintenance
Weather Factors!
Destination ceiling/visibility for approach
Thunderstorms/turbulence
Icing!
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
67. Time to make a decision
What are my “outs”?
Wait until the morning (Cold front and low pressure move out of area)
Depart as planned, be prepared fly at MEA if ice becomes a factor at higher altitudes
If weather gets convective or you pick up in-flight ice, request routing to the south
!
!
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
68. How’d the flight go?
Weather Variables
- Moderate turbulence (unforecast)
- ATC Emergency (ice)
ATC/Navigation Variables
- Out of radar contact when amended
routing becomes necessary
- Loss of Comm at low altitudes
- ATC Emergency (weather)
Fall IFR Flight
Cirrus SR-22
71. New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
PILOT PROFILE
Private Pilot!
No Instrument Rating
Night current (for pax carrying)
Family Trip
500 hours in the A36
3 passengers (family)
AIRPLANE
Bonanza A36!
GPS-equipped
Autopilot
ADS-B In Weather (iPad)
KBKL-> KCNH!
Departure time 0200Z
(9:00pm local)
Time en route 2.5 hrs
Sunset is 2300Z
FLIGHT
72. Burke Lakefront (KBKL)!
Long Runway
Instrument Approaches (ILS)
ATC Tower
Claremont Municipal (KCNH)!
3,100’ Runway
Non-precision instrument approach
Non-towered
!
Airport Considerations
New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
73. Review A/FD for Destination!
Rwy 11 Threshold displace 1,055’
Self-service fuel information
“Expect downdraft appch to Rwy 29”
“Rotating beacon difficult to see from
the north”
ACTIVATE MIRL Rwy 11-29 and REIL
Rwy 29-CTAF
FSS RCO Frequency
Airport Considerations
New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
74. NOTAMS for Departure Airport!
Upcoming Race on the runways
Runway 6R/24L CLOSED
Runway 24R reduced to 2,500’
usable
How does this affect performance
planning and W&B?
Airport Considerations
New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
85. Fuel Requirements
New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
Proposed Departure: 0200Z!
Time en route: 2:30 hours!
Proposed Arrival: 0430Z!
Considerations:!
Sunset is 2300Z
FAR: land with 30 minutes DAY, 45 minutes NIGHT
FAR Min Fuel vs. Extra reserves (may need to travel further East if ceilings drop)
Smart Fuel: 2:30 + 1:15 reserves = 3:45
86. Pilot Considerations
New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
Pilot Variables:!
- Family pressures to get to vacation
- Several drinks the night before
- Former smoker
- Commitments early next morning
How do these affect your decision?!
!
- IMSAFE Checklist
- External habits affects night vision & decision making
––
87. Aircraft Considerations
New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
Intermittent Oil Pressure Warning Light!
Forgot to charge iPad (primary charts)!
No backup & no charging source
Navigation Lights!
Operating Requirements
88. Time to make a decision
New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
Pilot Factors!
Health/fatigue
Day currency
Night currency
IFR Currency
Trip urgency
Airplane Factors!
Performance
Weight & Balance
Fuel
Maintenance
Weather Factors!
Departure Clouds/Ceiling
Arrival Clouds/Ceiling
WX Hazards (thunderstorms/turbulence/icing)!
89. Time to make a decision
New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
What are my “outs”?
1) Wait until the morning (good VFR weather forecast)
2) Depart as planned, be prepared to descend to lower altitude if ceilings lower
3) If ADS-B METAR updates indicated low ceilings while en route, divert to the east
where good VFR weather is in the forecast (fuel considerations?)
90. How’d the flight go?
New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
Weather Encountered
- Mist in Cleveland at departure reduces visibility
for Takeoff to 2 miles – Special VFR?
- Keep up with METAR reports near destination
with ADS-B datalink weather on the iPad
- Inadvertent flight into IMC nearing destination
Importance of!
Passenger Briefing!
91. How’d the flight go?
New England VFR Flight
Bonanza A36
En Route Decision Making
- Oxygen use at 9,500’ (Night flight)
- Disposable BOOST canisters
- Oil Pressure warning on descent to destination
- Checklist? Procedure?
- Runway light activation for landing
- Landing light inop
- Black hole effect during landing
- Displaced threshold Rwy 11
94. PILOT PROFILE
Commercial Pilot!
Instrument Rating (current)
Night current
Business Trip
3,000 hours in the Aztec
Co-pilot: CFI in need of twin time
AIRPLANE
Piper Aztec!
Dual WAAS GPS
Autopilot
iPad/ADS-B WX
Texas IFR Flight
Piper Aztec
KSHV -> KAMA!
Departure time 2050Z
(3:50pm local)
Time en route 2.5 hrs
Sunset is 0100Z
FLIGHT
95. Shreveport (KDTN)!
Long Runways
Instrument Approaches (ILS)
ATC Control Tower
Amarillo (KAMA)
Long Runways
Instrument Approaches (ILS)
ATC Control Tower
Airport Considerations
Texas IFR Flight
Piper Aztec
96. MOAs along the route!
Could present a challenge if
a course deviation is
required for weather
Airspace Considerations
Texas IFR Flight
Piper Aztec
99. Weather Briefing (2050Z departure)
Texas IFR Flight
Piper Aztec
Convective Forecast
Planning!
Convective Outlook!
These are examples of forecasts (not to be used for the Texas IFR scenario)
107. Fuel Requirements
Texas IFR Flight
Piper Aztec
Proposed Departure: 2050Z!
Time en route: 2:30 hours!
Proposed Arrival: 2320Z!
Considerations:!
FAR: land with 30 minutes DAY
FAR Min Fuel vs. Extra reserves (potential thunderstorm deviations or diversion)
Smart Fuel: 2:30 + 1:00 reserves = 3:30
108. Pilot Considerations
Texas IFR Flight
Piper Aztec
Pilot Variables:!
- Well-rested and no external distractions
- Experienced CFI on-board, reduced pilot workload
How do these affect your decision?!
!
- IMSAFE Checklist
- Full decision-making capacities dedicated to the flight
- Can 2 pilots talk each other into taking unnecessary risk?
- Who is PIC and makes the ultimate decision?
(
110. Time to make a decision
Texas IFR Flight
Piper Aztec
Pilot Factors!
Health/fatigue
Day currency
Night currency
IFR Currency
Trip urgency
Airplane Factors!
Weight & Balance
Fuel
Maintenance
Weather Factors!
Destination ceiling/visibility for approach
Thunderstorms/turbulence
Icing!
111. Time to make a decision
Texas IFR Flight
Piper Aztec
What are my “outs”?
1) Wait until the morning (warm front moves out of the area)
2) Depart as planned, use all resources to find a route through the convective weather
3) Depart as planned, divert before crossing the line if no holes are available
112. How’d the flight go?
Texas IFR Flight
Piper Aztec
Weather Encountered
- Moderate turbulence along front
- Datalink WX shows line filling in, no holes
- Divert to North Texas Regional Airport, wait it out
Importance of!
2-pilot Crew Briefing!
113. Eric Radtke & Bret Koebbe!
Go / No-go
Real–time decision making for pilots
Sporty’s Academy