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Internet Communications: A Look Ahead

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Jonathan Rosenberg, Skype's Chief Technology Strategist, presented at the 2010 PTC.

Jonathan Rosenberg, Skype's Chief Technology Strategist, presented at the 2010 PTC.

Published in: Technology, Business

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  • New year – new decade – opportunity for introspection and for looking forward. What have been industry’s successes so far?Voice: this has been our focus – and the industry has succeeded in delivering a narrowband voice experience everywhere. Yesterday also saw the beginnings of wideband voice. Skype led this – bringing wideband to all our 500M registered users. Others came along too. We’re seeing usage in other desktop apps and within enterprises too, but its far from ubiquiitous.Enterprise: VoIP has been a shining success here. XX% of new product sales into enterprise are voip and not TDM, install base is XX% voip, expecting to be XX% by year DDDD. Market leader Cisco is all IP. Cable: VoIP has made great inroads in cable – part of triple play, focused on cost savings. Invisible to users, but there are XX millions of US users with voip in the home from cable operators (not sure I can get number).Consumer Desktop: Huge usage of VoIP on the desktop by application providers. Skype again has led here – 520M users, 27.7billion S2S minutes Q309. Market here driven primarily by app providers – Skype, Google, Microsoft.Backhaul: The biggest usage of VoIP so far – inivisble to users, the glue between networks. One piece of evidence – <next slide>
  • Transcript

    • 1. Internet Communications: A Look Ahead
      Jonathan Rosenberg
      Chief Technology Strategist
    • 2. Successes ofYesterday
      Enterprise
    • 3. Successes ofYesterday
      49%
      Percentage of 2009 PBX line sales that are IP.
      Enterprise
      Source: Dell’Oro
    • 4. Successes ofYesterday
      Enterprise
      Cable
    • 5. Successes ofYesterday
      16.5M
      Number of US homes utilizing cable IP telephony
      Enterprise
      Cable
      Source: MediaCensus
    • 6. Successes ofYesterday
      Enterprise
      Cable
      ConsumerDesktop
    • 7. Successes ofYesterday
      521M
      Number of registered Skype Users at end of Q309
      Enterprise
      Cable
      ConsumerDesktop
    • 8. Successes ofYesterday
      41%
      Y2Y growth in registered Skype users as of Q209
      Enterprise
      Cable
      ConsumerDesktop
    • 9. Successes ofYesterday
      12%
      In 2009
      Enterprise
      8%
      Percentage of ILD traffic worldwide over Skype in 2008
      Cable
      ConsumerDesktop
      Source: Telegeography
    • 10. Successes ofYesterday
      27.7B
      S2S minutes inQ309
      Enterprise
      71%
      IY2Y Increase from 2008
      Cable
      ConsumerDesktop
    • 11. Successes ofYesterday
      Enterprise
      Backhaul
      Cable
      ConsumerDesktop
    • 12. Opportunities of Tomorrow
      Web
      Video
      Mobile
    • 13. Video – Why Now?
    • 14. Video – Why Now?
    • 15. Video – Why Now?
    • 16. Video – Why Now?
    • 17. placeholder graphic
      34%
      of Skype to Skype calls
      Include Video
    • 18.
    • 19. 38%
      in 2013
      15%
      of the mobile phones sold worldwide in 2008 were smartphones
      Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, 2009
    • 20. 100M
      LTE subscribers by 2014
      Source: Juniper Research
    • 21. 90%
      in 2014
      45%
      WiFi attach rate in smartphones in 2009
      Source: ABI Research
    • 22. Mobile VoIP: A Perfect Storm
      Wifi
      MobileVoIP
      Smartphones
      App Stores
      3g/4g
    • 23. Skype partnership with Hutchison 3
      3 Skypephone
      • 500K units sold, one of the most popular pre-pay handsets for 3
      • 24. 20% higher margin than average PAYG user on 3
      • 25. 79% of customers are new to 3
      • 26. 500M+ free Skype-to-Skype minutes on the 3 UK network since November 2006
      • 27. 1.7M free Skype-to-Skype minutes carried over 3 UK's network each day in August 2009
      • 28. 150M+ free Skype conversations on the 3 UK network since November 2006
    • The Line Between the Web and Real-Time Communications is Fading
      Social Networking = Person to Person
      IM in the Browser
      Wave and Real-Time Text
      Voice and Video in HTML5
      Web Apps as Interactive as Desktop
    • 29. The Web of Tomorrow will Have a Voice
      Voice and Video Seamlessly Integrated
      Web Applications Become Collaborative
      “Voice Connect” bridges communications into 3rd party apps
      The Browser is the Universal Client