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World on edge

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  • 1. Tipping on the Edge of Chaos
  • 2. Prevent
  • 3. Environmental collapse
  • 4. Economic collapse
  • 5. Gross World Product, 1950-2009 1950- Bright Economic Future…?
  • 6. The global economy has grown nearly 10-fold with 103% annual growth rate Gross World Product, 1950-2009 1950-
  • 7. Extrapolation of Illustr lustrious economic past into a promising future
  • 8. Economy is destroying its natural supports ing
  • 9. Economy is destroying its natural supports In fact we are ing running up against
  • 10. LIMITS
  • 11. Aquifers
  • 12. Soils
  • 13. Fisheries
  • 14. Forests
  • 15. Atmosphere
  • 16. Our Collective Demand
  • 17. Overshooting
  • 18. What Nature can provide
  • 19. How Ho can we assume that tha the growth of an economic system that eco is destroying its environmental supports can simply be sup projected into the LongLong-term future?
  • 20. Gathering Storm
  • 21. threatens
  • 22. Civilization
  • 23. Economic
  • 24. Political
  • 25. How Ho can we assume that tha the growth of an economic system that eco is destroying its environmental supports can simply be sup projected into the LongLong-term future?
  • 26. Indicator
  • 27. WATCH
  • 28. Food Prices
  • 29. Hunger Rates SOCIAL
  • 30. POLITICAL
  • 31. Sensing these INDICATORS POLITICAL
  • 32. How close we are to the ED OUR CIVILIZATION? EDGE
  • 33. 1. Rising FOOD PRICES ( ECONOMIC) 2. Rising HUNGER RATES ( SOCIAL) 3. Rising in NUMBERS OF FALLING STATES (POLITICAL) HOW CLOSE we are to the EDGE of OUR CIVILIZATION
  • 34. Our Global Food Situation
  • 35. Precarious
  • 36. Our Demand for FOOD
  • 37. World population is INCREASING by 80 MILLION annually
  • 38. Population Pressures continues…
  • 39. Population Pressures continues… World Population, 1950-2008, 1950with Projections to 2050 12 11 10 Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org 9 Billions 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1950 1970 1990 2010 Source: UNPop 2030 2050
  • 40. World population is Expanding INCREASING by 80 MILLION annually
  • 41. SUV’s tank could take up 25-gallons of Ethanol 25-
  • 42. That can feed one person for an entire year!
  • 43. Rising price of oil has made it PROFITABLE to turn GRAIN into FUEL!
  • 44. FOOD Supply
  • 45. Tightening..
  • 46. Growth in CROP yields – SLOWING!
  • 47. Industrialization
  • 48. Eroding Soils Expanding DESERTS
  • 49. Deforestation
  • 50. AQUIFERS being OVER PUMPED
  • 51. EXTREME WEATHER events
  • 52. Threatens HARVEST
  • 53. in Crop Yields Slowing Growth in Crop Yields Slowing
  • 54. Climate
  • 55. Average Global Temperature and Atmospheric Carbon ture Dioxide Concentrations (1880-2010) 188014.8 400 Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org 380 14.4 360 Temperature 14.2 340 14.0 320 13.8 300 CO2 13.6 13.4 1880 280 260 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 Source: NASA GISS; NOAA ESRL; Worldwatch 2000 Atmospheric CO2 (ppm) Temperature (degrees Celsius) 14.6
  • 56. As temperatures rise, glaciers and ice sheets melt, causing sea level o rise Current trajectory is alread Cu outpacing projection
  • 57. 1° C For every rise i temperature above ise in the optimum level during the growing season
  • 58. Yields of wheat, rice, and corn drop by 10 % (percent)
  • 59. Climate change threate food security and eatens could eventually create hundreds of millions ate of climate refugees.
  • 60. Time to Think
  • 61. Time to Think
  • 62. Time to Think
  • 63. No one knows for sure when it will be too late to address the trends of decline in he t Natural Resources to avoid collapse
  • 64. Business as usual is NOT working.
  • 65. How to GO about it?
  • 66. STABALIZE POPOULATION
  • 67. ERADICATE POVERTY
  • 68. RESTORE EARTH’s NATURAL SUPPORT SYSTEMS
  • 69. STABALIZE CLIMATE
  • 70. STABALIZE POPOULATION
  • 71. Universal Basic & Reproductive health Re care and family planning services
  • 72. ERADICATE POVERTY
  • 73. Basic Education program & Total Fertility rates Efforts to eliminate poverty and slow population growth w po always reinforce each other
  • 74. RESTORE EARTH’s NATURAL SUPPORT SYSTEMS
  • 75. Planting Trees
  • 76. Protecting Topsoil on cropland
  • 77. Restoring Rangelands
  • 78. Stabilizing Water Levels
  • 79. Protecting the Climate
  • 80. Reduce CO2 Emissions
  • 81. Energy efficient Transportation System
  • 82. Alternative Renewable Sources
  • 83. Energy Efficient Buildings
  • 84. Appliances Efficiency
  • 85. Energy Efficiency Measures Improving Building Insulation & Lightings Improving Appliances efficiency Improving Industrial Efficiency Restructuring Transportation
  • 86. Above all
  • 87. Mind Set
  • 88. “What is ESSENTIAL is NOT always visible to the eye”
  • 89. We need to ramp our RENEUABLES
  • 90. Wind
  • 91. Solar
  • 92. Geo Thermal hermal
  • 93. NO Fossil Fuel
  • 94. World Electricity Generation by Source in 2008 and in tion the Economy of 2020
  • 95. Adopting less-intensive farming and lessland management practices
  • 96. Carbon Dioxide Emiss issions Reduction Std.
  • 97. Tax what you burn, not what you earn rn, n
  • 98. Raise Tax on Carbon Emission
  • 99. Shift from Labor to Energy Taxes
  • 100. Less CO2 and more Jobs
  • 101. Redefine Security
  • 102. Introspection
  • 103. Preventing environmental and economic collapse requires political action from all of us in order to effect broad social change
  • 104. Wait and Watch the disaster ahead
  • 105. Be the generation that changes direction, moving the world onto a path of sustained progress?
  • 106. The choice is ours. It will be made by our generation, but it will affect life on earth for all generations to come