Why do we end up working long hours? The Hockey Stick

Theoretical Work Estimate Assume an Expert has identified that a typical developer would complete work in 160 hrs. Assume that each developer puts in 8 hrs of productive work in a day The theoretical work progression would be something like the attached Are we not supposed to get weekends off?

Assume an Expert has identified that a typical developer would complete work in 160 hrs.

Assume that each developer puts in 8 hrs of productive work in a day

The theoretical work progression would be something like the attached

Theoretical Work Estimate What about the obligatory national holiday? And what about the family emergency that needs me to take off? That is why we have some contingency time baked in WEEKEND WEEKEND WEEKEND

What about the obligatory national holiday?

And what about the family emergency that needs me to take off?

Final Work Estimate WEEKEND WEEKEND WEEKEND WEEKEND And we tell the customer we will take 32 days instead of the 20 we estimated

Lets Look at it again… Theoretical Final We ain’t no Robots

Planned Work Progress Trendline Without Contingency With Contingency

New Technology – Learning Time Planned Trend line Transition Time Learning Curve

To Catch Up… Planned Trend line Learning Curve

Not a stretch yet, Possible with Eight Hour Days Planned Trend line Learning Curve Trend line accounting for learning time

But, we Just Got out of another Fire Fight… Planned Trendline Why not go slow for some time

We Just Got out of another Fire Fight… Planned Trendline We can go slow for some time After all we are no strangers to 10 hour days We should still be able to catch up

Ugh… Oh!!! Planned Trendline Life Happens !!!

How do we catch up? Planned Trendline 12 hr days including weekends

Planned Vs. Actual Work Progress The Hockey Stick

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