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HYPOTHESIS TESTING
  By Shirali, Elmir, Ragim (BBA-020)
Agenda:
• Hypothesis : Meaning, Types,
  characteristics, sources
• Formulation of Hypothesis,
  Errors in hypothesis testing
Parametric and Nonparametric
  test
T-test, Z-test, F-test
What is a statistical hypothesis
              test?

A statistical hypothesis test is a method of
making decisions using data, whether from
a controlled experiment or an observational
study
What is a statistical hypothesis
             test?
It is an unproven statement or
proposition about a factor or
phenomenon that is of interest to the
researcher.
An important role of a hypothesis is to
suggest variables to be included in the
research design
Types:

Null Hypothesis (H0) –
This hypothesis states that there
is no difference between the
parameter and the statistic that is
being computed.
   Types:

 Analytical Hypothesis (H1)  – Here
 relationship of analytical variable
 is found. These are used when
 one would like to specify the
 relationship between changes in
 one property leading to change in
 another.
Characteristics of a 
Hypothesis:
• Clarity of concepts – Concepts should
  not be abstract. If concepts are not
  clear, precise problem formulation will
  be difficult leading to difficulty in data
  collection. Concepts are important
  because, it means different to
  different people.
• Ability to test – It should be possible
  to verify the hypothesis. Therefore, a
  good hypothesis is one in which there
  is empirical evidence.  
• Specific/Clear – What is to be tested
  should be clear. The relationship
  between the variables should be clear
  or the statistic under verification
  should be mentioned clearly.
• Statistical Tools – Hypothesis should
  be such that, it is possible to use
  statistical techniques. Such as Anova,
  Chi square, t- test or other non
  parametric tests.
• Logical – If there is two or more
  Hypothesis derived from the same
  basic theory, they should not
  contradict each other.
• Subjectivity – Researchers subjectivity
  or his biased Judgment should be
  eliminated from the hypothesis.
• Theory – Hypothesis must be
  supported or backed up by theoretical
  relevance.
Steps involved in Hypothesis 
           Testing:
           Formulate H0 and H1                      Select an appropriate test



                                      Choose the level of
           •                            significance, α


                                Collect data and calculate
                                     the test statistic.


   Determine the probability                     Determine the critical value
associated with the test statistic.               of the test statistic, TSCR

Compare probability with level               Determine if TSCR falls into rejection
     of significance, α                           or non-rejection region.

                        Reject or do not reject H0.
                 Draw a marketing research conclusion.
Parametric tests:
• These tests are based on some assumptions
  about the parent population from which the
  sample has been drawn. These assumptions
  can be with respect to sample size, type of
  distribution or on population parameters like
  mean, standard deviation etc.
• Parametric tests are more powerful.
• In parametric tests, it is assumed that the
  data follows normal distributions. Ex: Of
  parametric tests are Z Test, T-Test and F-Test.
T test:
• T-Test is a univariate test.
• Uses t-distribution, which is a
  symmetrical bell-shaped curve, for
  testing sample mean and proportion.
• Assumes that the variable is normally
  distributed and the mean is known and
  the population variance is estimated
  from the sample.
• It is used when the standard deviation
  is unknown and the size of sample is
  small (i.e. less than 30).
X − µ0
                         ~ N (0,1)
Z test -       σ/ n
• It is a popular test for judging the significance
  of mean and proportions.
• It is used for t-distribution and binomial or
  Poisson distribution also when the size of
  sample is very large (more than 30) on the
  presumption that such a distribution tends to
  approximate normal distribution as sample
  size becomes larger.
• Testing the hypothesis about difference
  between two means: This can be used when
  two population means are given and null
  hypothesis is H0: P1 = P2.
F test:
• An F test of sample variance may be
  performed if it is not known whether the two
  populations have equal variance.
• It is used to test the equality of variance of
  two normal populations i.e. to find whether
  two samples can be regarded as drawn from
  normal populations having the same
  variance.
• This test is particularly useful when multiple
  sample cases are involved and the data has
  been measured on interval or ratio scale.
• If the probability of F is greater than the
  significance level α, H0 is not rejected
Non Parametric Tests:
• Non Parametric tests are used to test the
  hypothesis with nominal and ordinal data.
• We do not make assumptions about the
  shape of population distribution.
• These are distribution-free tests.
• The hypothesis of non-parametric test is
  concerned with something other than the
  value of a population parameter.
• Easy to compute. There are certain situations
  particularly in marketing research, where the
  assumptions of parametric tests are not
  valid.
• Examples are Chi-Square Test, Mann Whitney
  U Test, Kruskal-Wallis Test, Rank Correlation
Basic test statistic for a mean:
                 point estimate of µ - target value of µ
test statistic =
                             σ point estimate of µ

    •σ = standard deviation

    •For 2-sided test: Reject H0 when
    the test statistic is in the upper or
    lower 100*α/2% of the reference
    distribution
Non Parametric Tests:
• Non Parametric tests are used to test the
  hypothesis with nominal and ordinal data.
• We do not make assumptions about the
  shape of population distribution.
• These are distribution-free tests.
• The hypothesis of non-parametric test is
  concerned with something other than the
  value of a population parameter.
• Easy to compute. There are certain situations
  particularly in marketing research, where the
  assumptions of parametric tests are not
  valid.
• Examples are Chi-Square Test, Mann Whitney
  U Test, Kruskal-Wallis Test, Rank Correlation
P value
The P value is a probability, with
value ranging from zero to one.
The smaller the p-value, the more
statistical evidence exists to
support the alternative
hypothesis.
P value
•    If the p-value is less than 1%, there is
  overwhelming evidence that supports
  the alternative hypothesis.
• If the p-value is between 1% and 5%,
  there is a strong evidence that
  supports the alternative hypothesis.
• If the p-value is between 5% and 10%
  there is a weak evidence that supports
  the alternative hypothesis.
• If the p-value exceeds 10%, there is no
  evidence that supports the alternative
  hypothesis.
BBA, any questions? ;)
Thanks for Attention!
  References:
  • Moore, David S. 2002. The Basic Practice of Statistics, 2nd
  edition
  • Schervish, M (1996) Theory of Statistics, p. 218. Springer




                        • Shirali Orujlu
                        • Ragim Abdullayev
                        • Elmir Huseynov

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Hypothesis Testing Guide

  • 1. HYPOTHESIS TESTING By Shirali, Elmir, Ragim (BBA-020)
  • 2. Agenda: • Hypothesis : Meaning, Types, characteristics, sources • Formulation of Hypothesis, Errors in hypothesis testing Parametric and Nonparametric test T-test, Z-test, F-test
  • 3. What is a statistical hypothesis test? A statistical hypothesis test is a method of making decisions using data, whether from a controlled experiment or an observational study
  • 4. What is a statistical hypothesis test? It is an unproven statement or proposition about a factor or phenomenon that is of interest to the researcher. An important role of a hypothesis is to suggest variables to be included in the research design
  • 5. Types: Null Hypothesis (H0) – This hypothesis states that there is no difference between the parameter and the statistic that is being computed.
  • 6.    Types: Analytical Hypothesis (H1)  – Here relationship of analytical variable is found. These are used when one would like to specify the relationship between changes in one property leading to change in another.
  • 7. Characteristics of a  Hypothesis: • Clarity of concepts – Concepts should not be abstract. If concepts are not clear, precise problem formulation will be difficult leading to difficulty in data collection. Concepts are important because, it means different to different people. • Ability to test – It should be possible to verify the hypothesis. Therefore, a good hypothesis is one in which there is empirical evidence.  
  • 8. • Specific/Clear – What is to be tested should be clear. The relationship between the variables should be clear or the statistic under verification should be mentioned clearly. • Statistical Tools – Hypothesis should be such that, it is possible to use statistical techniques. Such as Anova, Chi square, t- test or other non parametric tests.
  • 9. • Logical – If there is two or more Hypothesis derived from the same basic theory, they should not contradict each other. • Subjectivity – Researchers subjectivity or his biased Judgment should be eliminated from the hypothesis. • Theory – Hypothesis must be supported or backed up by theoretical relevance.
  • 10. Steps involved in Hypothesis  Testing: Formulate H0 and H1 Select an appropriate test Choose the level of • significance, α Collect data and calculate the test statistic. Determine the probability Determine the critical value associated with the test statistic. of the test statistic, TSCR Compare probability with level Determine if TSCR falls into rejection of significance, α or non-rejection region. Reject or do not reject H0. Draw a marketing research conclusion.
  • 11. Parametric tests: • These tests are based on some assumptions about the parent population from which the sample has been drawn. These assumptions can be with respect to sample size, type of distribution or on population parameters like mean, standard deviation etc. • Parametric tests are more powerful. • In parametric tests, it is assumed that the data follows normal distributions. Ex: Of parametric tests are Z Test, T-Test and F-Test.
  • 12. T test: • T-Test is a univariate test. • Uses t-distribution, which is a symmetrical bell-shaped curve, for testing sample mean and proportion. • Assumes that the variable is normally distributed and the mean is known and the population variance is estimated from the sample. • It is used when the standard deviation is unknown and the size of sample is small (i.e. less than 30).
  • 13. X − µ0 ~ N (0,1) Z test - σ/ n • It is a popular test for judging the significance of mean and proportions. • It is used for t-distribution and binomial or Poisson distribution also when the size of sample is very large (more than 30) on the presumption that such a distribution tends to approximate normal distribution as sample size becomes larger. • Testing the hypothesis about difference between two means: This can be used when two population means are given and null hypothesis is H0: P1 = P2.
  • 14. F test: • An F test of sample variance may be performed if it is not known whether the two populations have equal variance. • It is used to test the equality of variance of two normal populations i.e. to find whether two samples can be regarded as drawn from normal populations having the same variance. • This test is particularly useful when multiple sample cases are involved and the data has been measured on interval or ratio scale. • If the probability of F is greater than the significance level α, H0 is not rejected
  • 15. Non Parametric Tests: • Non Parametric tests are used to test the hypothesis with nominal and ordinal data. • We do not make assumptions about the shape of population distribution. • These are distribution-free tests. • The hypothesis of non-parametric test is concerned with something other than the value of a population parameter. • Easy to compute. There are certain situations particularly in marketing research, where the assumptions of parametric tests are not valid. • Examples are Chi-Square Test, Mann Whitney U Test, Kruskal-Wallis Test, Rank Correlation
  • 16. Basic test statistic for a mean: point estimate of µ - target value of µ test statistic = σ point estimate of µ •σ = standard deviation •For 2-sided test: Reject H0 when the test statistic is in the upper or lower 100*α/2% of the reference distribution
  • 17. Non Parametric Tests: • Non Parametric tests are used to test the hypothesis with nominal and ordinal data. • We do not make assumptions about the shape of population distribution. • These are distribution-free tests. • The hypothesis of non-parametric test is concerned with something other than the value of a population parameter. • Easy to compute. There are certain situations particularly in marketing research, where the assumptions of parametric tests are not valid. • Examples are Chi-Square Test, Mann Whitney U Test, Kruskal-Wallis Test, Rank Correlation
  • 18. P value The P value is a probability, with value ranging from zero to one. The smaller the p-value, the more statistical evidence exists to support the alternative hypothesis.
  • 19. P value • If the p-value is less than 1%, there is overwhelming evidence that supports the alternative hypothesis. • If the p-value is between 1% and 5%, there is a strong evidence that supports the alternative hypothesis. • If the p-value is between 5% and 10% there is a weak evidence that supports the alternative hypothesis. • If the p-value exceeds 10%, there is no evidence that supports the alternative hypothesis.
  • 21. Thanks for Attention! References: • Moore, David S. 2002. The Basic Practice of Statistics, 2nd edition • Schervish, M (1996) Theory of Statistics, p. 218. Springer • Shirali Orujlu • Ragim Abdullayev • Elmir Huseynov

Editor's Notes

  1. There is no significant difference between the performance of the employees of a bank working in two different branches.
  2. Income level related to number of children in the family.
  3. Eg. Wearing a sunglass represents a life style for a student, whereas it is an eye protecting device to a doctor.