Demographic Change and Economic Growth

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Demographic Change and Economic Growth

  1. 1. Can our Economies grow when ourDemographics change? Björn Schwentker mail@bjoernschwentker.de
  2. 2. Yes.
  3. 3. Growth?Netherlands:770,000 Mio US$ Germany: 2,800,000 Mio US$ (Gross Domestic Product, GDP)
  4. 4. Growth?Netherlands:46,300 US$ Germany: 40,400 US$ (GDP per capita)
  5. 5. Change? %?? Source: Sanderson & Sergei Scherbov, Nature 2005
  6. 6. New QuestionHow do we want to live?How do we achieve this?
  7. 7. Wealth! Increase GNP per capita (Germany)% Source: Axel Börsch-Supan, MEA
  8. 8. Ja 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% p an U S S A w ed en Ir la n d N et h U er K la n d A s u st G r er ia m an Fr y an ce It al y S p ai G n re ec E e st o n ia P 2009 to 2025: Increase real GDP per capita o la n dSource: Prognos 2009
  9. 9. (Un)Employment Source: Prognos 2009
  10. 10. What Vision?
  11. 11. Everything changes -Fortunately!

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