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  • 1. Economic Indicators Last update 15.11.2013 1 | [Presentation title] | [Client Name] | [Date]
  • 2. Economic Outlook Monthly Overview – October 2013 Europe: • Consensus November GDP forecast for WE remained on 0,0% for 2013 and on 1,3% for 2014. • The EU industrial confidence improved again compared to last month while the consumer confidence indicator remained stable on the same level as in September. • The IFO Business Climate index for Germany fell slightly for the first time after five increases. Both, the business expectations and the current business situation were assessed slightly less favorably than in the previous month. The German economy has not yet moved fully into gear. • The ECB rather surprisingly cut the target interest rate by 0,25%points on November 13 to the historically low level of 0,25%. Fears over a deflationary environment along with recent gains in the Euro, threatening the export-led recovery prompted ECB to act. US: • Consensus November GDP forecast for the US improved from 1,6% to 1,7% for 2013 and remained on 2,6% for 2014. • US growth accelerated in Q3 to 2,8% q-o-q and this month’s upbeat employment report suggests that the government shutdown may not have hurt activity as badly as previously feared. Japan: • The November GDP growth forecast for Japan again remained stable on 1,9% for 2013 and slightly came down from 1,7% to 1,6% for 2014. • Muted wage growth remains a burden to the outlook while many other of the country’s parameters have improved during the last months. 2 | Economic Indicators |
  • 3. Eurostat Data 3 | Economic Indicators |
  • 4. 13 Q1 12 Q1 '11 Q1 '10 Q1 '09 Q1 '08 Q1 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 '07Q1 % Economic Indicators – GDP EU 27 GDP for the EU 27 countries at constant prices quarter vs. same quarter of last year Source: Eurostat Sep 13 4 | Economic Indicators |
  • 5. Economic Indicators – GDP EU 27 1 0,5 0 % -0,5 -1 -1,5 -2 13 Q1 12 Q1 '11 Q1 '10 Q1 '09 Q1 '08 Q1 '07Q1 -2,5 GDP for the EU 27 countries at constant prices quarter on quarter Source: Eurostat Sep 13 5 | Economic Indicators |
  • 6. Economic Indicators –EU 27 Consumer Price Index 4,5 4 3,5 3 2,5 2 1,5 1 0,5 0 13/1 12/1 11/1 10/1 09/1 0,9 08/1 % The harmonized index of consumer prices is the result of the collaboration between Eurostat and National Statistical Institutes of the Member States. Source: Eurostat Nov 13 6 | Economic Indicators |
  • 7. Eurozone inflation Oct 13; 0,7 ECB short-term rate Jan 15 Jul.14 Jan 14 Jul.13 Jan 13 Jul.12 Jan 12 July 11 Jan 11 Jul.10 Jan 10 Jul.09 Nov.13; 0,25 Nov.13; 0,25 Jan 09 July 08 4,5 4,0 3,5 3,0 2,5 2,0 1,5 1,0 0,5 FED rate 0,0 -0,5 Jan 08 % Economic Indicators – ECB interest rate Source: ECB, FED Nov 13 7 | Economic Indicators |
  • 8. Economic Indicators –EU 27 Unemployment Rate 12 11 11 % 10 9 8 7 Jan 13 Jan 12 Jan 11 Jan 10 Jan 09 Jan 08 6 Unemployment rate for EU 27 countries Source: Eurostat Nov 13 8 | Economic Indicators |
  • 9. Economic Indicators – Industrial Confidence Ind EU Industrial confidence within EU 27 improved again in October. Jan 14 Jan 13 Jan 12 Jan 11 Jan 10 Jan 09 Jan 08 Jan 07 Jan 06 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 -35 -40 The Industrial Confidence Indicator is the arithmetic average of the answers to the questions on production expectations, order books and stocks. Source: Eurostat Nov 13 9 | Economic Indicators |
  • 10. Economic Indicators – Consumer Confidence Ind EU Consumer Confidence within EU 27 in October did not change from September. 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 Jan 14 Jan 13 Jan 12 Jan 11 Jan 10 Jan 09 Jan 08 Jan 07 Jan 06 -35 The Consumer Confidence Indicator is the arithmetic average of the answers to the questions on the financial situation of households and general economic situation (past and future) together with that on the advisability of making major purchases. Source: Eurostat Nov 13 10 | Economic Indicators |
  • 11. Economic Indicators – Capacity Utilization in Manufacturing Industry in % - EU 27 85 79,5 80 75 % 70 65 13Q1 12Q1 11Q1 10Q1 09Q1 08Q1 07Q1 06Q1 05Q1 04Q1 60 The capacity utilization in manufacturing industry gives the level of capacity utilization in percent, as assessed by managers in manufacturing industry. Source: Eurostat Nov 13 11 | Economic Indicators |
  • 12. Ifo Data 12 | Economic Indicators |
  • 13. Economic Indicators – IFO World Economic Climate The Ifo World Economic climate brightens in Q4 2013 This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis. Source: IFO Nov 13 13 | Economic Indicators |
  • 14. Economic Indicators – IFO European Economic Climate The economic climate for Europe brightens significantly in Q4 2013. This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis. Source: IFO Nov 13 14 | Economic Indicators |
  • 15. Economic Indicators – IFO NA Economic Climate This indicator is being updated on a quarterly basis. Source: IFO Nov 13 15 | Economic Indicators |
  • 16. Economic Indicators – GDP Forecast Euro Area Source: IFO Oct 13 16 | Economic Indicators |
  • 17. Economic Indicators – GDP Forecast Germany Source: IFO Oct 13 17 | Economic Indicators |
  • 18. Economic Indicators – Exchange rate $ vs € Source: IFO Nov 13 18 | Economic Indicators |
  • 19. Economic Indicators – Ifo business situation and 6 month expectations 6 months expectations Business situation Jan 13 Jan 12 Jan 11 Jan 10 Jan 09 Jan 08 Jan 13 Jan 12 Jan 11 Jan 10 Jan 09 115 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 75 Jan 08 125 120 115 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 The Ifo Business Climate Index for Germany fell slightly for the first time after 5 increases. Firms assessed their business outlook slightly less optimistically than in the last month. Assessments of the current business situation were somewhat less positive, but remain above average. The German economy has not yet moved fully into gear. The IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business situation index shows the current evaluation of the economic situation, while the 6 month expectations index shows the expectations of the companies for the next 6 months. Over 7000 companies are being interviewed. Source: IFO Nov 13 19 | Economic Indicators |
  • 20. Economic Indicators – IFO Assessment of Current Business Situation The Ifo Business Climate Index for Germany fell slightly for the first time after 5 increases. Firms assessed their business outlook slightly less optimistically than in the last month. Assessments of the current business situation were somewhat less positive, but remain above average. The German economy has not yet moved fully into gear. Source: IFO Nov 13 20 | Economic Indicators |
  • 21. Economic Indicators – IFO business climate index printing industry The business climate within the printing industry decreased to -3 in October. Jan 14 Jan 13 Jan 12 Jan 11 Jan 10 Jan 09 Jan 08 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 -60 The IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business climate index for the printing industry is based on a monthly representative questionnaire to 300 German printers. Source: IFO Nov 13, bundesverband druck und medien 21 | Economic Indicators |
  • 22. Economic Indicators – IFO business climate index printing industry Business Development at German Printers – October 2013:  The assessment of the current business situation in the printing industry improved compared to the last month to now 7%, which is also 5% points above the same month of last year.  The business climate – an indicator for the development in the next quarter – came down from last month to now -3%, thus also remaining below the value of October last year.  The business expectations for the coming 6 months worsened to -13%. In October 2012 the value was slightly better at -9%. The IFO-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung business climate index for the printing industry is based on a monthly representative questionnaire to 300 German printers. Source: IFO Nov 13, bundesverband druck und medien 22 | Economic Indicators |
  • 23. Zenith Data 23 | Economic Indicators |
  • 24. Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13 24 | Economic Indicators |
  • 25. Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13 25 | Economic Indicators |
  • 26. Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13 26 | Economic Indicators |
  • 27. Advertising Growth – Zenith 9/13 Press release Source: ZenithOptimedia 9/13 27 | Economic Indicators |