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Tero kivisaari telia_sonera_eng

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  • 1. Faster is better Tero Kivisaari President, TeliaSonera Eurasia Presented at Digital Communications Event 2010 September 21st, 2010 Almaty 1 1
  • 2. Changing competitive dynamics Content distribution Applications Web Browser & search engine Access Telcos Hardware 2
  • 3. Ten thousand times faster in 10 years 2009 4G – LTE 100Mbit/s 3G – UMTS 0.384 - 21.1 Mbit/s 2G – GSM/GPRS 9.6 kbps – 250 kbps 1999 3
  • 4. Pioneering mobile telecommunications World’s first mobile network 1956 2009 4
  • 5. Mobile broadband is exploding – case Sweden Mobile data growth Megabytes (‘000) 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 Q1 06 Q1 07 Q1 08 Q1 09 Q1 10 Mobile Broadband subscriptions Thousands 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 FY FY Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 06 07 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 5
  • 6. Traffic will double every year Tbyte 200,000 100,000 25,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 6
  • 7. Eurasia - mobile broadband potential Revenue split Country 3G license Moldcell – data growth Azerbaijan 12 000 Georgia √ 10 000 Kazakhstan √ 8 000 3G services launched 6 000 October 1, 2008 Moldova √ 4 000 Tajikistan √ 2 000 Uzbekistan 0 √ 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 Nepal Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr n/a 0% 20 % 40 % 60 % 80 % 100 % Data grow th, volume index (January 2008 = 100) Data Other VAS Voice/Other n/a • In Q2 2010, UCell was awarded a 4G license in Uzbekistan 7
  • 8. Drivers for mobile broadband • Cost control • Perceived value for money • Changed consumption behaviour – Personal content – Always on • Laptops taking over as preferred PC • Smartphones 8
  • 9. Any screen – device independent 9
  • 10. Demand for bandwidth is unlimited - services available at different bandwidth speeds Bandwidth1 █ Existing infrastructure Mbit/s █ FTTH required Always the same question: >250 “Will we need that much bandwidth?” VDSL2 100-250 • Full 3D virtual ADSL2+, 4G • Multiple collaboration VDSL 50-100 (real-time & streaming HD/3D TV voice & 3D • True HD ADSL 25-50 holography) • Remote • Mass-market 3G • HD TV cloud • Other DSL 6-16 hosting computing services • 3D in • 3D TV yet to be ISDN 2G 1-2 • IPTV multiplayer and full • Full-scale invented! • Video gaming interaction 3D emulation Peer-to-peer streaming solutions 0.128 music sharing • Video on Basic Internet demand browsing 1996 2000 2003 2006 2010 2012 2015 Time 1) Downlink bandwidth supported by respective technologies, respective uplink speeds are considered accordingly Source: McKinsey 10
  • 11. Technology evolution - requires high capacity transmission solutions Internet Today up to 100Mbit/s Core Fiber Radio 11
  • 12. New pricing logic in mobile broadband - from flat rate to volume based Speed Price related to usage 4G 10-100 MB/s 30 GB 20 GB 3G 1-10 MB/s 10 GB 2 GB 2G 0,1-1 MB/s Volume 12
  • 13. Next step - value based pricing Monthly fee + Volume cap Defined speed 13
  • 14. Keeping costs under control • Rapid technology development with price pressure • Network planning • New technology more efficient • Spectrum more efficiently used with technology neutrality • Network sharing Utilizing all possibilities in frequencies and technology 14
  • 15. Conclusion • Competitive landscape changing • People want access and services – Device independent – Anywhere and anytime – Multi-tasking without losing speed – Significantly shorter response times – Technology not important • Unlimited demand for bandwidth – Technology evolution – speed increases constantly – Frequency re-use/re-farming and technology neutrality • Develop business models • Fixed network needed for multiple users at fixed locations and high capacity mobile access 15
  • 16. www.teliasonera.com 16 16