Russia Polyethylene Market

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Russian Market Report (business division of IndexBox Marketing Ltd., Moscow, Russia) is a leading Russian marketing and consultancy company, a well-known provider of consumer, retail, and wholesale …

Russian Market Report (business division of IndexBox Marketing Ltd., Moscow, Russia) is a leading Russian marketing and consultancy company, a well-known provider of consumer, retail, and wholesale market research information for a wide range of industries. For years of service, it has built an image of a loyal partner, a trustworthy source of information, and a specialist in its sphere. This has been achieved by very precise problem recognition and problem definition, appropriate research design, exact choice of research methods, state-of-the-art primary and secondary data collection, quantitative and qualitative research expertise, thorough and accurate analysis, and effective implementation.

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  • 1. Demo-VersionRussia: PolyethyleneMarketAnalysis and Forecast to 2017November 2012Marketing ResearchBarykovsky lane 4, building 2, office 201 e-mail: info@indexbox.ru www.indexbox.ruMoscow, 119034Phone number: +7 495 988 96 06
  • 2. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Brief OverviewThe report on the Russian polyethylene market contains:  Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;  Structure of consumption by region;  Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;  Analysis of exports and imports;  Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;  Analysis of raw materials’ base;  Analysis of the state of the consuming industries;  Assessment and forecast of market development;  Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.Methodology:  Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;  Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;  An analysis of statistical information: o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat); o The Federal Customs Service (FTS); o The Ministry of Economic Development; o The Federal Tax Service; o Industry associations.The report on the Russian polyethylene market contains information on thefollowing commodity groups:  Low pressure polyethylene ;  High pressure polyethylene.The report will allow you to: 1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on market data; 2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.Key figures presented in the report on the Russian polyethylene market:  Volumes of production, exports and imports;  Indicators of market development;  Consumption indicators.The report contains 160 pages, 53 Tables, and 72 Figures. Page 2 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 3. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of theforecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations andunions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided withspecial conditions on the purchase of the reports. Page 3 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 4. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Why People Choose Us • We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis. • We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts verify all secondary information used in the report. • We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a complete picture of the market of interest. • Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work. • We offer unique and individualized customer service: o Personal account on the website with a personal manager; o Monitoring of the status of your order online; o Pre-sale specialist advice and answers to post-purchase questions. • We offer special conditions for the actualization of our research reports. If interested, find out about these conditions from our specialists now! Page 4 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 5. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Research DesignThe purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian polyethylene market andbuild a forecast of the industry in the medium term.Geography of the research: RussiaMethodology1. Analysis of secondary market data:Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state andprivate media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBoxMarketing” own research.2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the marketand the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on marketparticipants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sendingrequests for price lists and other presentation materials.3. Expert Interviews with Market ParticipantsThe analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews withrepresentatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.Our approach to the estimationThe consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants(experts).ExpertsAs market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expertopinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regularbasis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special requestor under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensivedatabase of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, areprovided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports. Page 5 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 6. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Accuracy of forecastsThe accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historicalperiod (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts tocreate the overall average forecastIndicators1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of domestic production.3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports. Page 6 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 7. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Table of Contents1. Executive summary2. Research design3. Description of polyethylene4. Technology of production of polyethylene5. Characteristics of the Russian polyethylene market 5.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian polyethylene market 5.2. Structure of the polyethylene market 5.3. Level of concentration of production and characteristics of the competition on themarket6. Characteristics of the domestic production of polyethylene 6.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of polyethylene in 2005 - October 2012. 6.2. Structure of production polyethylene by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation 6.3. Main manufacturers of polyethylene 6.3.1. OJSC “Kazanorgsintez” 6.3.2. LLC “Stavrolen” 6.3.3. OJSC “Tomskneftekhim” 6.3.4. OJSC “Nizhnekamskneftekhim” 6.3.5. OJSC “Ufaorgsintez” 6.3.6. OJSC “Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat” 6.3.7. OJSC “Angarskiy Polymer Factory” 6.4. Investment projects in the industry7. Characteristics of manufacturers’ prices of polyethylene 7.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of polyethylene 7.2. Comparison of manufacturers’ prices by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation8. Characteristics of the imports of polyethylene to the Russian market 8.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of polyethylene 8.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported polyethylene on theterritory of the Russian Federation 8.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the polyethylene, imported to the RussianFederation 8.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of polyethylene 8.5. Structure of the imports of polyethylene by regions of the Russian Federation9. Characteristics of the Russian exports of polyethylene 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the exports of polyethylene 9.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of polyethylene 9.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying polyethylene for exports 9.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of polyethylene10. Factors, influencing the development of the polyethylene market in Russia11. Characteristics of the consumption of polyethylene 11.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of polyethylene in 2008-2011. Forecastuntil 2017 Page 7 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 8. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version) 11.2. Structure of consumption of polyethylene by industries 11.3. Balance between production and consumption of polyethylene12. Forecast for the development of the polyethylene market in 2012-2017 12.1. Scenarios for development of the world economy 12.2. Scenarios for development of the polyethylene marketAppendix1. Financial and economic indicators of the industryAppendix2. Profiles of the leading manufacturers Page 8 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 9. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)List of tablesTable 1. Volume and dynamics of the polystyrene market in 2007-2011 and forecast until2017, in thousands of tonsTable 2. Production of polyethylene in 2007 - September 2012, in thousands of tonsTable 3. Main manufacturers of polyethylene and production in 2009-2011 and the share ofproduction in 2011Table 4. Production of polyethylene in 2009-2011Table 5. Production of polymers by the OJSC “Tomskneftekhim” in 2009-2011Table 6. Production of basic polymers by the OJSC “Nizhnekamskneftekhim” in 2009-2011Table 7. Production of basic polymers by the OJSC “Ufaorgsintez” in 2009-2011Table 8. Production capacity for polyethylene production, planned for commissioning in2012-2018Table 9. Average manufacturers prices of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January2007 - September 2012Table 10. Imports of polyethylene in 2011 including Kazakhstan and BelarusTable 11. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-December 2011, in tonsTable 12. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-December 2011, in thousands of USDTable 13. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-July2012, in tonsTable 14. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-July2012, in thousands of USDTable 15. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by manufacturing countries in 2011, intonsTable 16. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by manufacturing countries in 2011, inthousands of USDTable 17. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by manufacturing countries in January-July2012, in tonsTable 18. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by manufacturing countries in January-July2012, in thousands of USDTable 19. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies in 2011, intonsTable 20. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies in 2011, inthousands of USDTable 21. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies in January-July 2012, in tonsTable 22. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies in January-July 2012, in thousands of USDTable 23. Volume of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by recipientcompanies in 2011, in tonsTable 24. Volume of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by recipientcompanies in 2011, in thousands of USD Page 9 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 10. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Table 25. Volume of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by recipientcompanies in January-July 2012, in tonsTable 26. Volume of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by recipientcompanies in January-July 2012, in thousands of USDTable 27. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by recipient regions of the RussianFederation in 2011, in tonsTable 28. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by recipient regions of the RussianFederation in 2011, in thousands of USDTable 29. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by recipient regions of the RussianFederation in January-July 2012, in tonsTable 30. Volume of the imports of polyethylene by recipient regions of the RussianFederation in January-July 2012, in thousands of USDTable 31. Imports of polyethylene in 2011 including Kazakhstan and BelarusTable 32. Exports of polyethylene in 2011 including Kazakhstan and BelarusTable 33. Volume of the exports of polyethylene in 2011, in tonsTable 34. Volume of the exports of polyethylene in 2011, in thousands of USDTable 35. Volume of the exports of polyethylene in January-July 2012, in tonsTable 36. Volume of the exports of polyethylene in January-July 2012, in thousands of USDTable 37. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by recipient countries in 2011, intonsTable 38. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by recipient countries in 2011, inthousands of USDTable 39. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by recipient countries in January-July 2012, in tonsTable 40. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by recipient countries in January-July 2012, in thousands of USDTable 41. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies in2011, in tonsTable 42. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies in2011, in thousands of USDTable 43. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies inJanuary-July 2012, in tonsTable 44. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies inJanuary-July 2012, in thousands of USDTable 45. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by sending regions in 2011, in tonsTable 46. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by sending regions in 2011, inthousands of USDTable 47. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by sending regions in January-July2012, in tonsTable 48. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by sending regions in January-July2012, in thousands of USDTable 49. Profitability and financial balance dynamics of organizations by sector in 2008-January 2012 Page 10 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 11. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Table 50. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand for polyethylene in 2011-2017, in thousands of tonsTable 51. Base scenario for the development of the polyethylene marketTable 52. Conservative scenario for the development of the polyethylene marketTable 53. Pessimistic scenario for the development of the polyethylene market Page 11 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 12. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)List of FiguresFig. 1. Volume of supply on the polyethylene market in 2008-2011 and forecast for 2012-2017, in thousands of tonsFig. 2. Structure and dynamics of the polyethylene market in 2008-2011 and forecast until2017, in thousands of tonsFig. 3. Structure of the polyethylene market by origin in physical terms in 2011Fig. 4. Production of polyethylene in 2011 - September 2012, in thousands of tonsFig. 5. Production of polyethylene in January 2010 - September 2012, in %, to theanalogical period of the previous yearFig. 6. Production of polyethylene in 2005-2011, in thousands of tonsFig. 7. Production of polyethylene in 2007-2011, in billions of RURFig. 8. Structure of production of polyethylene by companies in 2011Fig. 9. Index of the average manufacturers prices of polyethylene in the Russian Federationin January-December 2011Fig. 10. Index of the average manufacturers prices of polyethylene in the RussianFederation in January-September 2012Fig. 11. Comparison of the average manufacturers prices of polyethylene by FederalDistricts, in September 2012Fig. 12. Dynamics of the average manufacturers prices of polyethylene in the RussianFederation in January 2011 - September 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period ofthe previous yearFig. 13. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in 2008-2011, in thousands of tonsFig. 14. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-December 2011, in tonsFig. 15. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-December 2011, in thousands of USDFig. 16. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-July2012, in tonsFig. 17. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-July2012, in thousands of USDFig. 18. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturingcountries in 2011 in physical termsFig. 19. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturingcountries in 2011 in value termsFig. 20. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturingcountries in January-July 2012 in physical termsFig. 21. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturingcountries in January-July 2012 in value termsFig. 22. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturingcompanies in 2011 in physical termsFig. 23. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturingcompanies in 2011 in terms of value Page 12 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 13. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Fig. 24. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturingcompanies in January-July 2012 in physical termsFig. 25. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturingcompanies in January-July 2012 in valueFig. 26. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by recipientcompanies in 2011 in physical termsFig. 27. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by recipientcompanies in 2011 in value termsFig. 28. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by recipientcompanies in January-July 2012 in physical termsFig. 29. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by recipientcompanies in January-July 2012 in value termsFig. 30. Structure of the imports of polyethylene by recipient regions of the RussianFederation in 2011 in physical termsFig. 31. Structure of the imports of polyethylene by recipient regions of the RussianFederation in 2011 in value termsFig. 32. Structure of the imports of polyethylene by recipient regions of the RussianFederation in January-July 2012 in physical termsFig. 33. Structure of the imports of polyethylene by recipient regions of the RussianFederation in January-July 2012 in value termsFig. 34. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in 2008-2011, in thousands of tonsFig. 35. Structure of the imports of polyvinyl chloride by regions of the Russian Federationin January-July 2012 in physical termsFig. 36. Structure of the imports of polyvinyl chloride by regions of the Russian Federationin January-July 2012 in value termsFig. 37. Dynamics of the exports of polyethylene in 2008-2011, in thousands of tonsFig. 38. Dynamics of the Russian exports of polyethylene in 2011, in tonsFig. 39. Dynamics of the Russian exports of polyethylene in 2011, in thousands of USDFig. 40. Dynamics of the Russian exports of polyethylene in January-July 2012, in tonsFig. 41. Dynamics of the Russian exports of polyethylene in January-July 2012, in thousandsof USDFig. 42. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by recipient countries in 2011 inphysical termsFig. 43. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by recipient countries in 2011 invalue termsFig. 44. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by recipient countries in January-July 2012 in physical termsFig. 45. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by recipient countries in January-July 2012 in value termsFig. 46. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies in2011 in physical termsFig. 47. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies in2011 in value terms Page 13 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 14. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Fig. 48. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies inJanuary-July 2012 in physical termsFig. 49. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by manufacturing companies inJanuary-July 2012 in value termsFig. 50. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by sending regions in 2011 inphysical termsFig. 51. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by sending regions in 2011 invalue termsFig. 52. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by sending regions in January-July2012 in physical termsFig. 53. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by sending regions in January-July2012 in value termsFig. 54. Quarterly dynamics of the GDP of Russia in 2007-2011, in trillions of RUR, excludingthe seasonal factorsFig. 55. Dynamics of the GDP of Russia in 2005-2011, in 2008 prices, in billions of RURFig. 56. Dynamics of the real income, real wages, and real pensions in 2005-2013, in %Fig. 57. Quarterly changes in the real disposable income of the population in the RussianFederation, in %, to the previous yearFig. 58. Structure of the real expenditures in 2009-2011, in %Fig. 59. Dynamics of the debt on loans to individuals in January 2009-November2011,growth rate in %Fig. 60. Total volume of completed building construction in the Russian Federation in 2005-2011 in millions of cubic metersFig. 61. Structure of commissioned buildings in 2005-2011, in cubic metersFig. 62. Total construction volume of commissioned residential buildings in the RussianFederation in 2005-2011 in millions of cubic metersFig. 63. Total construction volume of commissioned nonresidential buildings in the RussianFederation in 2005-2011 in millions of cubic metersFig. 64. Volume of commissioned apartment buildings in 2005-2011, in thousands of squaremetersFig. 65. Volume of commissioned individual buildings in 2005-2011, in thousands of squaremetersFig. 66. Number of months that should be worked for the purchase of one square meter ofhousing on the primary marketFig. 67. Dynamics of the production of certain sectors in the economy in 2008-2011, 2008baseFig. 68. Dynamics of investments in fixed capital at constant prices (volume index) in 2005-2011, in %, to the previous yearFig. 69. Investments in fixed capital by sources of financing in the Russian Federation in2007-2011Fig. 70. Dynamics of consumption of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in 2008-2017,in thousands of tonsFig. 71. Structure of consumption of polyethylene in 2011 Page 14 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 15. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Fig. 72. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand for polyethylene in 2008-2017 Page 15 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 16. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Executive Summary* Key figures and conclusions about the market…The volume of supply on the Russian polyethylene market in 2012 was almost … tons, whichis …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume ofimported products on the polyethylene market was …%.The volume of production of polyethylene in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher than thevolume of production in 2011.The largest share (…%) of all polyethylene manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2012belongs to the … Federal District.In 2012, the import volume of polyethylene in Russia amounted to … tons in physical termsand to … thousand USD in value terms.In 2012, the volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene was … tons, which was equal to… thousand USD in value terms.…*The information provided from this point on in this demo version is for illustrative purposesonly, so that you can get a general overview of how our reports look like. If you need moreinformation, you can contact us at: info@indexbox.ru. Page 16 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 17. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)5. Characteristics of the Russianpolyethylene market... 5.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian polyethylene market in 2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017The volume of supply on the Russian polyethylene market in 2012 was almost … tons, whichis …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume ofimported products on the polyethylene market was …% of the total market. Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the polyethylene market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast for 2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario) Page 17 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 18. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)5.2. Structure of the polyethylene market in Russia: production,exports, imports, consumptionThe volume of imports of polyethylene in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of thetotal market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presentedbelow. Table 6. Volume and dynamics of the polyethylene market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons 2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017FVolume of … … … … … … … … … In unitsproduction In %, to …% …% …% …% …% …% …% …% the previous yearVolume of … … … … … … … … … In unitsexports In %, to …% …% …% …% …% …% …% …% the previous yearVolume of … … … … … … … … … In unitsimports In %, to …% …% …% …% …% …% …% …% the previous yearVolume of … … … … … … … … … In unitstotal supply In %, to …% …% …% …% …% …% …% …% the previous year Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Page 18 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 19. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version) Production Consumption Exports Imports 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 6. Volume and dynamics of the polyethylene market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tonsPage 19 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 20. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)6. Characteristics of the domesticproduction of polyethylene in Russiain 2007 - 2012… Characteristics of domestic production - Volume and dynamics by type of product - Production capacities - Structure of production - Main producers and their market shares6.1 Volume and dynamics of polyethylene production in 2007 -2012In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previousyear. Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 8 Polyethylene production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons Page 20 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 21. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version) Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)Fig. 9 Polyethylene production in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons and in %, to the previous year Page 21 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 22. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)6.3 The main manufacturers of polyethylene and theircorresponding market sharesThe main manufacturers of polyethylene in Russia in 2011 were Company A, Company B,and Company C. They produced …, …, and … tons, respectively. They were followed byCompany D (… tons, equal to …% of the total production) and Company E (… tons - …%).Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010- 2011, in thousands of tons Production Market of share Manufacturer Region polyethylen e, in tons… … … …… … … …… … … …… … … …… … … …… … … …OTHERS … …TOTAL … … Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)… Page 22 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 23. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)7. Characteristics of polyethylene prices 7.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of polyethyleneManufacturers’ prices of polyethylene have been fluctuating a lot in the last 5 years – from … RUR/ton in 2007, through … RUR/ton in2009 to … RUR/ton in December 2012. In 2012, the prices were lower in …, when they were equal to … RUR/ton. They reached theirhighest value in …, when they were … RUR/ton, which was …% more, compared to the analogical period of the previous year. Table 20. Average manufacturers’ prices1 of polyethylene in Russia in January 2007 – November 2012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 In % to In % to analogica In % to In % to In % to In % to In In analogical In RUR/ In RUR/ In RUR/ In RUR/ l period December of the December of the RUR/ RUR/ period of the ton ton ton ton of the the previous previous the previous previous ton ton previous previous year month year month year yearJanuary … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%February … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%March … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%April … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%May … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%June … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%July … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%August … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%September … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%October … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%November … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%December … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …% Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)1 Manufacturers’ prices – subject to registration, as a rule, are the actual prices of produced and shipped in the current month production for the domestic market(excluding value added tax, excise duty and other taxes not included in the cost). Page 23 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 24. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)8. Characteristics of the imports ofpolyethylene to the Russian market 8.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian imports ofpolyethylene…The volume of Russian imports of polyethylene in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount ofpolyethylene was imported in …, when were exported … tons. Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-December 2011, in tonsMonth Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous monthJanuary …February … …%March … …%April … …%May … …%June … …%July … …%August … …%September … …%October … …%November … …%December … …%Total … Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Page 24 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 25. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version) Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-December 2011, in tons8.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the importedpolyethylene on the territory of the Russian FederationCountry A was the leader in terms of imports of polyethylene (in physical terms) in 2011,with a share of …% of the total. The country imported … tons of polyethylene in 2011. Thesecond place was taken by Country B, which in 2011 imported … tons of polyethylene (ashare of …%, respectively). In the third place was Country C with a share of …%. Page 25 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 26. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version) Country A 16.7% Country B 25.0% 8.3% Country C 12.5% Country D 20.8% Country E 16.7% OTHERS Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 20. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms Table 24. Volume of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturing countries in 2011, in tonsCountry of origin Net weight, in tons Share, in %Country A … …%Country B … …%Country C … …%Country D … …%Country E … …%OTHERS … …%TOTAL … …%Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)8.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the polyethylene,imported to the Russian FederationCompany A was the leader in terms of imports of polyethylene (in physical terms) in 2011,with a share of …% of the total. The company imported … tons of polyethylene in 2011. Thesecond place was taken by Company B, which in 2011 imported … tons of polyethylene (ashare of …%, respectively). In the third place was Company C with a share of …%. Page 26 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 27. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version) Company A 16.7% Company B 25.0% 8.3% Company C 12.5% Company D 20.8% Company E 16.7% OTHERS Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 22. Structure of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms Table 26. Volume of the imports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation by manufacturing companies in 2011, in tonsManufacturing company Net weight, in tons Share, in %Company A … …%Company B … …%Company C … …%Company D … …%Company E … …%OTHERS … …%TOTAL … …%Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Page 27 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 28. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)9. Characteristics of the Russianexports of polyethylene 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports ofpolyethylene…The volume of Russian exports of polyethylene in 2011 was … tons. The largest amount ofpolyethylene was exported in …, when were exported … tons. Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-December 2011, in tonsMonth Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous monthJanuary …February … …%March … …%April … …%May … …%June … …%July … …%August … …%September … …%October … …%November … …%December … …%Total … Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Page 28 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 29. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version) Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 27. Dynamics of the exports of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in January-December 2011, in tons9.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of polyethyleneIn 2011, the main recipient country of the Russian exports of polyethylene was Country A.Its share in physical terms was …%. It was then followed by Country B (…%) and Country C(…%). To Country D and Country E were exported …% and …%, respectively. The combinedshare of the other countries is …%. Page 29 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 30. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version) Country A 16.7% Country B 25.0% 8.3% Country C 12.5% Country D 20.8% Country E 16.7% OTHERS Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 2. Structure of the Russian exports of polyethylene by recipient countries in 2011 in physical terms Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of polyethylene by recipient countries in 2011, in tonsRecipient country Net weight, in tons Share, in %Country A … …%Country B … …%Country C … …%Country D … …%Country E … …%OTHERS … …%TOTAL … …% Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)… Page 30 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 31. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)11. Characteristics of consumption of polyethylene 11.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of polyethylene in 2008 - 2012. Forecast for 2013 - 2017The volume of consumption of polyethylene in 2012 was … tons, which was …% more,compared to 2011. In 2011 was noted the largest drop in the consumption of polyethylenein recent years - a decline of …% to … thousand tons. Another decline in recent years wasobserved in 2009, when the growth rate was …%, compared to 2008. At the end of 2012,the consumption of polyethylene almost reached the level in 2010, but the growth is not yetpossible to reach the pre-crisis levels of 2007 - 2008.According to forecasts, the favorable development of the consuming industries can helpconsumption of polyethylene increase in the next few years with rates of …-…% annually.Thus, by 2017, the consumption can reach … million tons. The demand for polyethylene inthe country will be met, as before, by the Russian manufacturers, who account for over …%of the market. Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 40. Dynamics of consumption of polyethylene in the Russian Federation in 2008 – 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons Page 31 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 32. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version) 11.2. Structure of consumption of polyethylene by industriesCurrently, the largest shares in the consumption of polyethylene are taken by Industry A(…%) and Industry B (…%). Industry C accounts for about … of the market, while IndustryD consumes about …% of the polyethylene in Russia. Industry A Industry B 10% 8% 35% 10% Industry C Industry D 37% Others Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 42. Structure of consumption of polyethylene by industries in 2012 Page 32 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 33. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version) 121.3. Balance between production and consumption of polyethylene In the forecasted balance between production and consumption are used estimates of the consumption of polyethylene and projections for increase in production. Throughout the forecast horizon, 2013 – 2017, there is a positive balance, calculated as the difference between production and consumption. The surplus on the market, as before, will be exported, mainly to the countries of the Customs Union, where most purchases are in made in Kazakhstan. Table 1. Balance between production and consumption on the polyethylene market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tonsIndicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Production … … … … … … … … … …Consumption … … … … … … … … … …Balance … … … … … … … … … …(Production-Consumption) Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F Consumption Production Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”) Fig. 47. Balance between production and consumption on the polyethylene market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons Page 33 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 34. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)About IndexBox"IndexBox" is one of the leading companies in the sphere of marketing consulting. We carryout pieces of marketing research and consult on questions about strategic marketing. • The "IndexBox" team has been working together for more than 7 years. • The average experience of "IndexBox" specialists in the marketing sphere is 10 years. • “IndexBox" employs 15 specialists in its research analytical department. • The gathering of the researched information is controlled by 8 employees, all with vast experience in field work. And who oversee more than 150 experienced interviewers. • Over 10 years, we have completed more than sixteen hundred projects, most of which are focused on the consumer and industrial markets. The geography of the research includes not only the territory of Russia, but also foreign markets. • In total, more than 80,000 respondents have taken part in our research studies. • Not only does "IndexBox" have a wide partner network in the regions of the Russian Federation, the CIS, and the Baltic countries, but also has countless foreign partners, including the largest research companies in the USA, the UK, France, India, and China.Our clients are big Russian and foreign companies: Page 34 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
  • 35. Market Research Russia: Polyethylene Market. November 2012 (Demo-version)Marketing researchOur specialization - the study of consumer and industrial markets, segments of B2C andB2B. Among the methods used: desk research, consumer surveys, expert surveys,competitive analysis, sales audit, a wide range of qualitative market research products andservices. Our competitive advantage is the formation of special research techniques to thetasks of each project. System planning and operational monitoring of the industry, created acompany that allows professionals to operate in IndexBox their work relevant and accurateinformation.Business PlanningWe are professionally engaged in developing business plans, feasibility studies, investmentmemoranda, conduct financial analysis of enterprises and prepare analysis for transactionsM & A. Business plans developed by IndexBox, contain a complete financial model for thefurther implementation of the project, all calculations are based on marketing information,which is permanently collected and analyzed for over 7 years. Documents comply with thestandards of Russian and foreign banks, the projects have market feasibility and realisticprojections, and we provide assistance in finding an investor and financing, legal support.Strategic MarketingWe develop strategic development for brands, products, separate business units andindustry. Generally, programs include product, pricing, marketing and communicationstrategy. Projects in the field of strategic marketing are relevant to large enterprises,financial and investment companies that are planning to expand its interests as well assmall companies that are thinking about business development.DevelopmentConsulting in development - is to develop the best options for use of the area. To do this,our marketing agency, conducts research real estate market, analyzes the possibleconstruction, and estimates the market feasibility and economic benefits of investing in realestate. Marketing agency IndexBox offers a range of professional services for the study ofthe real estate market and the development of individual marketing concept of the facility. Page 35 from 35 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru