Charting Technology Development via Foresight

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This presentation provides case study of how myForesight chart technology development through the use of Foresight

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  • Crucial in development
  • Crucial in development
  • Charting Technology Development via Foresight

    1. 1. Charting Malaysia Technology Development through Foresight Rushdi Abdul Rahim
    2. 2. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Foresight…
    3. 3. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Year Country Exercise/Programme Method(s) Since 1971 Japan 1st to 4th STA surveys Delphi Japan 5th STA survey Delphi 1991 USA Critical Technologies Others New Zealand Public Good Science Fund Others 1992 Germany BMFT, T 21 Others South Korea Foresight Exercise Others 1993 Germany Delphi ’93 Delphi UK 1st TF Programme Delphi + Others 1994 France Technology Delphi Delphi 1995 France 100 Key Technologies Others Japan–Germany Mini-Delphi Delphi Austria Delphi Austria Delphi Japan 6th STA survey Delphi 1996 Australia Matching S&T to futures needs Others Spain ANEP Delphi + Others Hungary TF Programme (TEP) Delphi + Others Netherlands Technology Radar Others 1997 Finland SITRA Foresight Others South Africa Foresight Exercise Delphi + Others Germany Delphi ’98 Delphi Ireland Technology Foresight Ireland Others 1998 New Zealand Foresight Exercise Others UK 2nd UK Foresight Programme Others Sweden 1st Swedish Foresight Others Spain OPTI Technology Foresight Delphi South Korea Korean Technology Delphi Delphi Thailand ICT Foresight Delphi + Others 1999 China TF of Priority Industries Delphi + Others Others include: scenarios, panels, roadmapping, critical technologies, etc. Year Country Exercise/Programme Method(s) Japan 7th STA Survey Delphi Brazil Prospectar Delphi Brazil TFP Brazil (UNIDO/MDIC) Delphi + Others France 2nd 100 Key Technologies Others 2000 Portugal ET2000 Others Venezuela TFP Venezuela 1st cycle Delphi + Others Chile TFP Chile Delphi Germany FUTUR Others 2001 Czech Republic TF Exercise Others Turkey Vision 2023 Delphi + Others Colombia TFP Colombia 1st cycle Delphi + Others UK 3rd UK Foresight Programme Others Cyprus, Estonia, Malta eForesee Others Denmark National TF Denmark Others 2002 USA NIH Roadmap USA Others China TF Towards 2020 Delphi + Others Greece Technology Foresight Greece Others Norway Research Council 2020 studies Others 2003 Sweden 2nd Swedish TF Others Japan 8th Japanese Programme Delphi + Others South Korea Korea 2030 Delphi + Others Ukraine Ukranian TF Programme Delphi + Others France FuturRIS Others France AGORA Others Venezuela TFP Venezuela 2nd cycle Others 2004 Russia Key Technologies Others Colombia TFP Colombia 2nd cycle Delphi + Others Brazil Brazil 3 Moments Delphi + Others Romania Romanian S&T Foresight Delphi + Others Finland Finnsight Others Luxembourg FNR Foresight Others 2005 USA 21st Century Challenges GAO Others Finland SITRA Foresight Others 2006 Poland Poland 2020 – TF Programme Delphi + Others Others include: scenarios, panels, roadmapping, critical technologies, etc.
    4. 4. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source.
    5. 5. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Sectoral Foresight • Identification of Market, Product, Technology & Skills • Asses competencies, Benchmarking, Scenario building National Technology Mapping Phase 1 (NTMP I ) National Technology Mapping Phase 2 (NTMP II ) • Wood based • Food product • Machinery & Equipment • Telecommunications • Pharmaceutical Technology Foresight • Assess competencies, Benchmarking, Trend & Technology Scanning, Scenario building, Delphi • Identification of Technology Areas • New Key Economic Activities • National S&T Planning • Input to National Planning for next 10 years • Input to R&D activities Input Output Foresight in Malaysia
    6. 6. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. 6 national key result areas 12 national key economic areas 11 development areas 12 manufacturing sectors 8 non government business areas 9 National technology foresight areas 6 Mega science areas Niche priority areas National Focus Areas
    7. 7. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Foresight Malaysia in a glance…
    8. 8. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Foresight Methodology        
    9. 9. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Foresight Process
    10. 10. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. National Technology Foresight •Execution period: May – Dec 2010 •Horizon : 10 years •The recommendations proposed are to support an effective implementation and management of the Science and Technology (S&T) agenda at the national level for the next ten years.
    11. 11. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. …the how • Scanning global drivers and trends, • Evaluating local competencies benchmarked against some of the best in the world • Engaging multi-disciplinary stakeholders in the country • Vision building & Scenarios • Recommending & prioritising the key technology areas •
    12. 12. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. • Scoping • Weak signals • Mega trends • Drivers of change • Plausible scenarios • Future niche • Future priority areas • Strategies Scoping Futures
    13. 13. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Mobilizing Futures Strategic Policy & Content Partners : • Ministries • Agencies • Universities • Research Institution • Industry Strategic Industry Partners : • Local and international industry leaders • SMEs Engagement with Foresight as well as S&T experts : • South Korea • UK • OECD • Canada • Malaysia
    14. 14. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Anticipating Futures  100+ products & services that is essential for the future  300+ technologies to enable the products & services In the outward-looking world, economic sustainability continues. In the inward- looking world, barriers are erected and economic liberalisation and political integration slows. At one extreme, very fast development in S&T and transformation plans were on track; at the other extreme, slower innovation growth with the poor innovation ecosystem hinders further progression. Slower Social-Economic with Political Transformation Inward Outward Emergenceofnew technologies&innovation Entrapment Don’t Worry, be Happy Sealed in the Time Capsuled Very fast A Star is Born
    15. 15. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Recommending Futures Attractiveness (Socio Economic) Feasibility (Technology Readiness) • Economic & industrial impact; • Competition; • Social impact; • Knowledge generation; • National security & sustainability; • Technology maturity, time horizon of impact; • Application potential & diffusion; • Resources & infrastructure.
    16. 16. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. … the future of Technology
    17. 17. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. … the technology areas +
    18. 18. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. … the follow up & uptakes
    19. 19. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. National R&D Prioritisation •Execution period: April – December 2011 •Horizon : 10 years •The listed prioritised R&D areas will provide the basis for resource allocation of the country for the next 10 years and beyond.
    20. 20. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. … the how Benchmarking the best practises Evaluating local R&D competencies Engaging stakeholders & EWGs Dedicated level of information filtering Selecting and prioritising R&D areas
    21. 21. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. … the recommendation Energy Environment & Climate change Food Security & Agriculture Medical & Healthcare Cyber Security Plantation Crops & Commodities Transportation & Urbanisation 8 Prioritised R&D Areas
    22. 22. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Future Rail 2030 •Execution period: May – December 2012 •Horizon : 20 years •Visioning that by 2030, Malaysia rail industry will be a strong and sustainable business, capable of satisfying the demands of the national rail transportation; and a competitive global player that optimises the use of indigenous resources and technologies
    23. 23. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. … the how Benchmarking the best practises Evaluating local competencies Engaging multi-disciplinary stakeholders Selecting & prioritising development areas
    24. 24. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. … the outcome Conducive rail industry eco-system High localization of rail products & services Competitive regional & global player GOAL 1 GOAL 2 GOAL 3
    25. 25. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. GSIAC - Food Security •Presented during the 1st Inter-sessional Meeting in New York in May 2012 •Increase of population and decreasing amount of arable land are among the concern and required special attention in securing food supply
    26. 26. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Green Technology Scenario 2030 •Presented to Ministry of Energy, Green Technology and Water •Green Technology Scenarios to be executed early 2013
    27. 27. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source.
    28. 28. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. Social & Societal Technology Economic & Business Values & Culture Policy & Regulations Environment
    29. 29. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source.
    30. 30. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source. myForesight® Horizon Scanning Foresight Projects Outreach Linkages Mega trends & issues scanning Foresight & future oriented Projects & activities Reports, publications, online portal, workshops & training etc. Networking, linkages & affiliation Main Activities
    31. 31. This presentation by myForesight - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source.
    32. 32. This presentation by myForesight® - National Foresight Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 unported License. This basically allows you to use the presentation as you like as long as you acknowledge the source.

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