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Hedging  learn with fun
 

Hedging learn with fun

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    Hedging  learn with fun Hedging learn with fun Document Transcript

    • Learn With Fun: Hedgingroshankumar.2007@rediffmail.com
    • There is a village known as Mandva. The village is wellknown for the intelligence of its people. Chameli is onesmart girl of the village and Vijay Dinanath Chauhan asmart young man, is keen to marry Chameli. However,Chameli is unwilling to commit. She sets her conditionthat she might consider marrying him but would confirmonly after one year.She comes up with an idea and makes an offer to Vijay.She suggests that they draw up a contract which statesthat at the end of the year she might consider marryingVijay but there would be no obligation to do so. Forsigning up the contract, she would pay Vijay a sum ofmoney. As part of the contract, Vijay has to stay withinbounds and not persuade her during this period.If one sees this situation from Chamelis perspective, itappears that she is “Hedging” herself or we may say sheis “covering her risks” for a sum of money. Vijay on theother hand stands a chance of marrying Chameli after ayear and the sum of money that he gets for the contractbecomes the icing on the cake.roshankumar.2007@rediffmail.com
    • However, let us examine the scenario in the event ofChameli not marrying Vijay.Chameli would use her option of not marrying Vijay ifshe happens to find a groom more eligible than Vijay.The only price that she would have to bear for thisdecision is the sum of money that Vijay would get onaccount of the contract.So by offering this money, she covers her risks byensuring that she enjoys the option of marrying eitherVijay or somebody better. Vijay has a reasonablechance of marrying Chameli at the end of the year, but ifthat does not occur he at least gets to pocket themoney.Hedging of currency risk is similar to this story. Letssay Chameli places an order to buy foreign machinery ata million dollars at the end the year. As per the contract,she will need to make the payment at the end of theyear. Now lets say the value of a million dollar is 5 cr.rupees at the time of signing the contract.roshankumar.2007@rediffmail.com
    • At the end of the year the value of the dollar rises by10%. Now she would have to cough up additional Rs. 50lacs for the machinery (Rs 5.5 cr for a million dollars dueto price appreciation).This increase in cost is not good for her business. Andshe looks for ways of covering such currency risk.Instead of risking what could be Rs 50 lacs, she buys acall option.This option in essence gives her the option of eitherpurchasing a million dollars for Rs 5 cr. or else allowingthe option to expire. Logically, if the value of the milliondollars falls below Rs 5 cr, she would allow the option toexpire. But if the value of the million dollars goes upbeyond Rs 5 cr, she would execute the option.For getting the benefit of this protection, which ispopularly expressed as hedging in the financial terms,she would naturally have to pay a fee or price. Lets saythis is Rs 5 lacs (This is just for the sake of illustration.The exact price of the option etc. is beyond the scope ofthis lesson).roshankumar.2007@rediffmail.com
    • So by risking Rs 5 lacs, she gets the option ofpurchasing a million dollars either for Rs 5 cr. or less butcertainly not more. And for this she would have to payRs 5 lacs. If the price of a million dollars were to drop toRs 4.95 cr. then she would also recover her fee, (Rs 5lacs) and if the price were to drop to Rs 4.9 cr., shewould end up making a profit of Rs 5 lacs. (Her total costwould then be Rs 4.9 cr for a million dollar + Rs 5 lacsas the fee = Rs 4.95 cr. which is Rs 5 lacs less than theagreed price fixed a year ago.)Otherwise she would risk only Rs 5 lacs in the deal forwhich she would get a peace of mind by ensuring thatthe exchange rate for her does not change over theyear. This is popularly known as covering the currencyrisk by way of hedging through the purchase of calloptions.roshankumar.2007@rediffmail.com