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The Future of the Intenet How will _ I_ affect my life?

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  • 95% access internet today via PC 40% access internet in 2005 via internet devise But to get there,… IP v6
  • We are at the ice tip of the revolution Right now probably 4% are using the internet Today only 2-3% of mobile phones are connected to the internet
  • 20
  • Work Home Car Leisure
  • GET THE EXPERTISE TO WHERE IS NEEDED AND PROBLEM STAYS WHERE IT IS
  • Maybe this is rubbish for people who cool their beer in a dark basement room. But for busy professionals with little time for shopping a refrigerator that orders food if something is missing could be useful. Last week I thought this is fantasy with only “nice to have” importance. But look to the next slide what happened first week of December 99 - just few days before the 1. German IPv6-Forum conference.
  • This slide shows an Internet enabled car key that has been programmed to a maximum speed and an engine cut-off time. I don´t know exactly - But perhaps this key is personalized checks the fingerprint of the driver, communicates this to an authentication server of a security service. If the fingerprint is not valid the car will not start.
  • This is a concept model of a future terminal. It handles pictures, messages, it has a browser Internet ….and of course you can use it as a phone as well. Europe leads the way in the usage of Mobile technology. With 25% of the population mobile in Europe companies are opening up their eyes to moving from the table (desktop) to the shirt pocket. The next “hot spot” is Mobile Electronic Commerce services concerning a wide variety of applications for the mobile phone, nearly all concerning the handling of money in some way. Pay your gasoline using your phone Book your airline ticket with your phone, and pay for it Already early adaptors of mobile e-commerce are underway and in production. You can for example pay your parking ticket using your mobile in the city of Stockholm.
  • Mobile IP services are starting today: Here you can see a commodity PDA in a mobile data-communications scenario. It shows a clip of the map of Stockholm - the user can retrieve information below this map, like information about restaurants.
  • Transcript

    • 1. The Future of the Intenet How will “I” affect my life? Imad M Tarabay Chairman & CEO Fiberlink networks [email_address] Cisco Expo 2001 July 10 th 2001 Phoenicia Hotel Beirut / Lebanon
    • 2. Objective of My Presentation
      • Bring awareness to the value of internet 
      • Bring awareness to the impacts internet may have on our lives 5 years ahead
      • Where are we in Lebanon today?
    • 3. Misleading quotes
      • "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers."
      Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943.
    • 4. Misleading quotes
      • "There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home."
      Ken Olson, President, Chairman & Founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977
    • 5. Misleading quotes
      • “ 32 bits should be enough address space for Internet”
      Vint Cerf, 1977
    • 6. Misleading quotes
      • " 640K ought to be enough
      • for anybody ."
      Bill Gates, 1981
    • 7.
      • It is estimated that the Internet doubles in size every 11months and the World Wide Web doubles every 53 days.
      Internet Today FACTS
    • 8. The Internet Today (November 1998)!
      • 7 new users every second are added
      • Doubling in data transmission every 100 days
      • Doubling in data storage usage every 8 months
      • 10,000 domain names are being registered daily
      • Over 50 million people use the internet every week
    • 9. Statistics from IITF Report The emerging digital economy *
      • To get to market of 50,000,000 people
      • participating:
        • - Radio took 38 years
        • - TV took 13 years
        • - Internet made it in 4 years (once
        • opened to public)
      Delivered to the President and US Public on April 15 th 1999 by B. Daley, Sec. Of Commerce of the Information Infrastructure Task Force.
    • 10.
      • 50 Million Users
      • (Jul 1997)
      • 407 Million Users
      • (NUA Nov 2000 )
      Internet Global Statistics 22.5 Million Hosts (Bellcore June 1997) 115 Million Hosts (NW/TC Jan 2001)
    • 11. Worldwide Internet Users Nov 2000
      • CAN/US 167.12M 41%
      • Europe 113.14M 28%
      • Asia/Pac 104.88M 26%
      • Latin Am 16.45M 4%
      • Africa 3.11M 0.8%
      • Mid-East 2.4 M 0.6%
      • ---------------------------
      • Total - 407.1 M
      (Source www.nua.ie)
    • 12. Internet User Trends Source: Nua Internet Surveys + vgc projections
    • 13. 2005 & beyond NGI
    • 14. … based on the Internet explosion needs: Boost Infrastructure Larger bandwidth (thirsty applications) Robust infrastructure (no last mile congestion. That moved to “server level” IP to every appliance (but IPs are scarce 27% left –> IP v6) “ The big picture: Power of the mouse”
    • 15.
      • Approximately 70 units are left = 27 %
        • Here one unit means 1/256 of the total IPv4 address space size, i.e. /8 (=equivalent size of Class A)
      • Address Usage Rate (units per a year)
      IPv4 Address Usage Estimate 4.44 2.08 1.16 1.2 2000 ?? 2001 2.67 1.29 0.58 0.8 1999 0.77 1998 Total ARIN (America) APNIC ( Asia/Pacific ) RIPE/NC (Europe)
    • 16. IP v6 a new standard of IP #ing
      • Larger address space - IP v6 is 128 bit
      • (6x10 38 / sq. meter)
      • “ Plug & Play” Auto configuration: Can talk to IP v4 network (32 bit)
      • Simplify routing without resources, create multi-level heirarchies of address allocation.
      • QoS and CoS (Class of Service)
      • DEAD:BEEF::73:FEED:F00D
      • Pro-Multimedia & Multi-cast
      • Embedded Security
      IPv6 - a small step for IP but a giant leap for Telcos
    • 17. INTERNET NEW INTERNET ARPANET Internet Generations
    • 18. Can the Internet run Quality & Security in one go?
      • Internet multicast “video”, telephony and “radio”
      • Transport of Internet traffic on cable, direct broadcast satellite, radio and broadcast TV
      • Real-time quality of service support, VoIP
      • Mutual Reinforcement among media (print, TV, radio, web, email)
    • 19. Internet-enabled Devices In need of IP Addresses, at least!
      • Information appliances
        • 1997 -- 3 M,
        • 1998 -- 6 M,
        • 2002 -- 56 M (IDC)
        • 2006 – 490 M (IDC)
      • WebTV, Palm-Pilot, Nokia 9000,Sony, Nintendo, Sega games
      • Wearable computers (Hardwear?, Underware?)
    • 20. What are we mostly using the internet for today?
      • E-mail
      • www
      • Chatting
      • E-commerce
      • video streaming (non-interactive)
      • Audio streaming
      • What else?
    • 21. What will we use the internet for in 2005?
    • 22.  
    • 23. GEO-INDEPENDENCE
      • If you own a business
            •  take your office worldwide – mobile office
            •  always connected when you want
            •  attend your board meeting while in Hawaii
      • If you are employed
            •  work/live in Lebanon (close to parents) while employed in EU or USA
            •  SOHO concept revived
      • If you are a professional
            •  i-learning
            •  i-recruitment
            •  e-medicine
      Imagine all this w/ net speech recognition
    • 24.  
    • 25. Imagine !
      • If you own a fast food / delivery restaurant
            •  you can broadcast your instant offer to refri’s,…
            •  increase sales,
            •  lower loss of food
      • If you as consumer want to eat or cook
            •  get the recipe online
            •  speak (voice & video) to friend through refri to discuss cooking tips
            •  order your meal online w/ scheduled delivery…
            •  listen to music or watch i-TV while cooking and talking on IP-Phone,…
            •  teach a class how to cook Thanksgiving Turkey!
      • If you as refrigerator vendor
            •  perform regular maintenance online
            •  sell applications (ads, recipe, value added w/ FF chains)…
      • Home weather internet appliance
    • 26. Source: Cadence, 1998
    • 27. Imagine !
      • Define geographical area authorized to travel – define speed – finger print security – individualization of car services
      • If ur car breaks
          • communicates w/ closest AAA to troll it (GPS)
          • contacts parents
          • contacts preferred nearby mechanic advising of the problem (sends diagnostics, checks stock for car parts, reserves them or orders from factory)…
      • Or your parents are constantly aware of the whereabouts of their children, driving behavior, etc…
      • If your fleet constantly communicates with base station sending & receiving status updates, pictures…
    • 28.  
    • 29. Looking for Killer Apps? World Wide Wireless
    • 30. Any Time, Any Where
    • 31. Vision: World at your fingertips ADSL, Cable TV,... Service Gateway
    • 32. How will that affect ur life?
      • From the consumer stand point?
              • Ease of daily activities (all is handy, reachable, accessible, programmable & smart)
              • More cost savings (promotions)
              • ENJOY LIFE !
      • From the business stand point?
              • New services & applications
              • Targeted sales / market segmentation
      • “ complexity at ease”
    • 33. 2050 & beyond
    • 34. Interplanetary Internet: “InterPlaNet”
      • Planetary internets
      • Interplanetary Gateways (out of ecliptic design…)
      • Interplanetary Channel Protocol
        • - IP encapsulated in CCSDS
        • - .earth? .mars? IPv6?
      • Functional Layers of Protocol
      • Project is part of Mars mission plans
    • 35.  
    • 36.  
    • 37. www. isoc .org/internet www. gip .org (global internet project) www. ipnsig .org (Interplanetary Internet)
    • 38. Fiberlink Networks do not get bored 
    • 39. Fiberlink History
      • Established 1998
      • 1 st operation in April 1999 as LYNX Internet
      • December 1999 sold to PSINet, forming regional ISP
      • Total focus on Corporate Applications
      • October 2000 founders exercise option to buy back forming Fiberlink Networks
      • Since October 2000 till date, customer increase 110%, revenue increase 140%
      • March 2001 Cisco Powered Network – 1 st ISP in Region
    • 40. Complete IT Solutions for Businesses Internet Access Dedicated Access Global Dial-up Access DSL Wireless Solutions e-Commerce Point-of-Sale Services Gateway Solutions Web Hosting Shared Hosting Managed Services Collocation Managed Applications Advanced Products Virtual ISP Security Solutions Video Streaming VPN Telephony (not in Lebanon!)
    • 41. Fiberlink Selected Customers IT & Educational New Media & Tech & Telecom Financial Institutions & Services Other Sectors
    • 42. Competitive Advantage: Corporate Focused ISP 7 x 24 x 365 customer care! Fiber optic Network Local & Global Hosting Center Broadband Managed Applications/Hosting e-Business Solutions Multimedia streaming services
    • 43. Conclusion or Reflection?!
      • Are we as Lebanese playing any role in this revolution?
      • Why not?
      • Where is the support we are supposed to get from Government?
      • Will we ever work in a deregulated market?
      • Will we ever reach world IT standards?
      • Will we ever stop exporting talents and start importing and attracting foreign talent?
      ISPs are best positioned,…but!
    • 44. Questions http://www.fiberlinknetworks.net