Population Volumes & Finance

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    Population Volumes & Finance - Presentation Transcript

    1. South Eastman Health/Santé Sud-Est. Inc. Health/Santé Sud- South Eastman
    2. South Eastman population relatively healthy relatively prosperous close to Winnipeg growing since 1997, growth >8 x provincial rate projected to keep on growing at same or greater rate to 2025
    3. actual RHA growth 1997 - 2001 5.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% Manitoba Winnipeg South Brandon Interlake Central Marquette South WM Parkland Norman Burntwood Churchill North Eastman Eastman -1.8% -2.2% -3.0% -5.0% -6.3% Source: Manitoba Health 1997-2002
    4. actual South Eastman growth 1997 - 2001 South Western Northern Central Southern Manitoba Eastman District District District District 0.6% 5.2% 0.4% 2.3% 9.5% 7.5% growth factors high birth rate high in-migration rate Source: Manitoba Health 1997-2002
    5. projected RHA growth 1998 - 2025 44% 38% 26% 20% 14% 13% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% Manitoba Winnipeg South Brandon Interlake Central Marquette South WM Parkland Norman Burnt/Chur North Eastman Eastman -6% Source: MB Bureau of Statistics, 1999
    6. projected South Eastman growth 2001 - 2025 38% 80000 7% 7% 7% 70000 7% 5% 60000 5% 50000 40000 30000 54759 61165 52031 57405 65080 68920 72400 20000 10000 0 1998 2001 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: MB Bureau of Statistics, 1999
    7. differential impacts of population growth 65+ population increase 1991-1997 projected 1998-2025 Manitoba 5% Manitoba 52% South Eastman 12% South Eastman 82% in South Eastman, 2025 population age 75+ = current population age 65+ Source: Manitoba Health, 1991-2000
    8. projected growth 65+ South Eastman 2001 - 2025 14000 12% 21% 12000 82% 25% 10000 16% 8000 8% 6000 4000 11000 12300 6300 9100 5830 7300 2000 0 2001 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: MB Bureau of Statistics, 1999
    9. projected growth 75+ South Eastman 2001 - 2025 6000 6% 22% 74% 5000 24% 4000 10% 12% 3000 2000 2669 5000 3060 3300 4100 5300 1000 0 2001 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: MB Bureau of Statistics, 1999
    10. projected birth rate increase South Eastman 2001 - 2025 highest projected % annual rate increase in MB 1200 27% 9% -1% -3% 1000 13% 6% 800 600 400 756 980 970 940 800 900 200 0 2001 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: MB Bureau of Statistics, 1999
    11. projected growth 0-4 South Eastman 2001 - 2025 6000 21% 3% -1% 10% 5000 5% 2% 4000 3000 2000 4002 4325 4100 4775 4925 4825 1000 0 2001 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: MB Bureau of Statistics, 1999
    12. profound impact on health service needs acute care – primary beds South Eastman 2001 - 2025 guide: 2.0 per 1,000 population current: 1.35 per 1,000 population 20% increase in primary bed needs by 2015, 38% by 2025 year # primary beds actual needed according to guide 2001 74 110 2005 - 115 2010 - 122 2015 - 130 2020 - 138 2025 - 145 Source: MB Bureau of Statistics, 1999; South Eastman RHA 2001
    13. use of primary bed days, by age group South Eastman hospitals 11% 79% 64% 25% 20% 1% % population % use South Eastman primary bed days Source: MCHP 2001; South Eastman RHA 2001
    14. projected use of primary bed days Bethesda Hospital 2001 - 2025 25000 94% 20000 annual days used 15000 100% occupancy 10000 11454 13046 15826 18720 20769 10683 5000 0 2001 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: MB Bureau of Statistics, 1999; MCHP 2000; South Eastman RHA 1997-2001; Bagust, Place, Posnett 1999.
    15. PCH beds South Eastman 2001 - 2025 beds per 1,000 population 75+: guide: 120 PCH + 10 supportive housing current: 125 PCH + 0 supportive housing year # beds actual needed according to guide 2001 334 + 0 320 + 27 2005 - 360 + 30 2010 - 396 + 33 2015 - 492 + 41 2020 - 600 + 50 2025 - 636 + 53 Source: MB Bureau of Statistics, 1999; South Eastman RHA 2001
    16. obstetrics South Eastman 2001 - 2025 500 9% 27% -1% -3% 13% 450 6% births in South Eastman facilities* 400 350 300 250 200 150 355 461 442 376 423 456 100 50 0 2001 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 * approximately 47% of all births Source: MB Bureau of Statistics, 1999; South Eastman RHA 2001
    17. demands on RHA services increasing 2 key factors: population growth repatriation of services to RHA
    18. hospital services South Eastman 1995/96 – 2000/01 overall population hospitalization rates steady, regardless of where hosp. occurs modest increase in % hospitalizations taking place in RHA (vs. Winnipeg) 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 58% 59% 60% 61% 61% 60% Source: Manitoba Health, 1997-2001
    19. medical services South Eastman 1995/96 – 2000/01 noticeable increase in % family physician services occurring in RHA (vs. Winnipeg) 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 74% 75% 74% 76% 78% 80% Source: Manitoba Health, 1997-2001
    20. medical services South Eastman 1995/96 – 2000/01 26% increase in # family physician services provided in RHA since 95/96 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 201,302 196,264 194,529 216,999 229,193 253,750 Source: Manitoba Health, 1997-2001
    21. emergency room visits South Eastman hospitals 1995/96 – 2000/01 45000 60% 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 26232 30204 34207 38396 41854 15000 10000 5000 0 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 Source: South Eastman RHA 1997-2001
    22. lab & diagnostic services South Eastman hospitals 1995/96 – 2000/01 lab workload units 22% 1.4 1.2 workload units (millions) 1 0.8 0.6 1.171 1.205 1.305 1.067 1.071 0.4 0.2 0 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 Source: South Eastman RHA 1997-2001
    23. surgery South Eastman hospitals 1995/96 – 2000/01 major minor 1000 900 37% 800 700 53% 600 500 400 300 869 920 693 530 903 810 540 820 950 589 200 100 0 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 Source: South Eastman RHA 1997-2001
    24. funding implications
    25. Rural Health Authorities Of Manitoba Total MB Funding and Total Population 98,271 100,000,000 100,000 80,000,000 80,000 74,919 Total Funding Population 60,000,000 60,000 54,759 $ 99,391,983 44,806 42,551 39,320 40,000,000 40,000 37,284 33,673 $ 68,718,061 $ 55,395,260 25,012 $ 44,813,767 $ 42,700,733 20,000,000 20,000 $ 37,461,818 $ 33,985,600 33,318,960 $ $ 24,205,707 0 0 SE SW I-LK NE PKLD BWD CTRL MQT NOR Rural Health Authority Source: RHA Annual Reports 2001 Manitoba Health Population – CFO Audit Committee
    26. Rural Health Authorities Of Manitoba Total Expenditure and Total Population 120,000,000 120,000 98,271 100,000,000 100,000 80,000,000 80,000 Expenditures ($) 74,919 Population 60,000,000 60,000 $ 119,944,000 54,759 44,806 42,551 39,320 $ 80,691,000 37,284 40,000,000 40,000 33,673 $ 64,607,000 25,012 $ 54,125,000 $ 52,877,000 $ 49,505,000 $ 42,579,000$ 41,379,000 20,000,000 20,000 $ 29,478,000 0 0 SE SW I-LK NE PKLD BWD CTRL MQT NOR Rural Health Authority Source: RHA Annual Reports 2001 Current Total Expenses Population – CFO Audit Committee
    27. Rural Health Authorities Of Manitoba Average MB Health Funding Per Capita 1,800 180% South Eastman decreases from 65.9% of average 165.39% funding per capita to 63.6% 1,600 160% % of Average Per Capita Funding MB Health Funding per Capita ($) 153.38% 1,400 140% $ Increase 129.87% 123.09% 1,200 120% 103.58% 100.00% 1,000 100% 122 232 108 800 80% 160 76.15% 75.72% 52 76 63.56% 63.04% 600 60% 59 23 29 86 400 40% SE SW I-LK NE PKLD BWD CTRL MQT NOR TOTAL Rural Health Authority Source: RHA Annual Reports 2001 – CFO Audit Committee Note: excludes % of avg MB Brandon, Wpg 2001 Churchill, Funding per Capita MB Health Funding Per Capita 2000 MB Health Funding Per Capita 2001
    28. Rural Health Authorities Of Manitoba Total Average Expenditure Per Capita 271 2,000 200% SE decreases from 67.9% of average to 135 65.5% of average. % of Average Expenditure per Capita 1,800 180% 166.64% Expenditure per Capita ($) 159.66% 1,600 160% 84 Increase 138 1,400 140% 132.21% 122.22% 78 92 1,200 120% 102.76% 100.00% 1,000 100% 112 47 77.75% 51 800 80% 74 72.61% 65.47% 63.12% 600 60% SE SW I-LK NE PKLD BWD CTRL MQT NOR TOTAL Rural Health Authority Source: RHA Annual Reports 2001 note: excludes Churchill, Brandon, Wpg – CFO Audit Committee Total expenditure per capita 2000 Total expenditure per capita 2001 % of avg exp per Capita 2001
    29. South Eastman RHA Adjusted Total Expenditure Per Capita South Eastman expenses adjusted for out of region $ 1,188 1,200 hospitalizations @ avg $467 per patient day. 1,100 35% of Acute care patient days estimated at $6.85M 1,000 or 16% of expenses. Expenditure per Capita ($) 900 $ 840 $ 778 800 $ 726 700 Adjusted 600 500 400 300 200 Adjusted per capita to 50% of the above effect re: 100 assumption that all RHA's have out of region hospitalizations (e.g. surgery). 0 100% adjustment = $903/capita note: Provincial average excludes Churchill, Rural Health Authority Brandon, Wpg SE 2000 Actual SE 2001 Actual SE 2001 Adjusted Provincial 2001 Actual Average
    30. Rural Health Authorities Of Manitoba Admin Cost % Of Operating Cost 7,000,000 5.72% WRHA = 7.2% All RHA's = 6.9% 6,000,000 7.08% Total Admin Costs ($) 5,000,000 7.72% 4,000,000 6.91% 5.23% 3,000,000 5.59% 6.18% 10.55% 4.25% 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 SE SW I-LK NE PKLD BWD CTRL MQT NOR Rural Health Authority Source: MB Health MIS Database report (final audit) reporting year 2001 distributed April 8, 2002
    31. Rural Health Authorities Of Manitoba Admin Expense Per Capita 140 14% WRHA = 7.2% of operating WRHA = $117.68 per capita 120 12% % of Total Operating Costs Expenditure per Capita ($) 10.55% 100 10% 80 8% 7.72% 7.08% 6.91% 6.30% 6.18% 125.30 60 6% 5.72% 5.59% 116.55 5.23% 105.65 98.96 4.25% 40 4% 71.25 67.81 59.89 56.71 20 2% 41.92 33.19 0 0% SE SW I-LK NE PKLD BWD CTRL MQT NOR TOTAL Rural Health Authority Source: MB Health MIS database report April, 2002 Per Capita Admin Costs % Admin costs of Operating Costs
    32. Rural Health Authorities Of Manitoba Admin Cost as % of Operating Exp 1,000,000 876,000 Source: MB Health MIS database 676,000 643,000 report April, 2002 Admin Expenditures Inc/(Dec) ($) 500,000 338,000 320,000 50,000 0 (138,000) (277,000) (324,000) (500,000) (485,000) (589,000) (720,000) (839,000) (1,000,000) (948,000) (1,019,000) (1,239,000) (1,381,000) (1,500,000) Only South Eastman would increase admin expenses at the (1,568,000) guideline 5% of operating. (2,000,000) SE SW I-LK NE PKLD BWD CTRL MQT NOR Rural Health Authority @ Actual Avg 6.3% of Operating @ Guideline Avg 5.0% of Operating
    33. MB ANNUAL REPORT 2001 Net MB Health Funding 8,000,000 7,485,059 Wpg = $110,563,000 (77.1%) 6,972,650 Total = $143,453,000 6,000,000 Incremental Funding ($) 4,000,000 3,619,909 2,982,652 2,931,612 2,867,189 2,737,789 2,257,034 2,000,000 1,719,008 1,535,870 402,516 0 BDN CTRL I-LK NOR PKLD SW BWD CHCL MQT NE SE Regional Health Authority Source: MB Health Annual Report 2001
    34. MB HEALTH ANNUAL REPORT 2001 Net MB Health Funding 16.00% 14.25% 14.00% 12.00% 11.51% % Increase/(Decrease) 10.10% 9.92% 10.00% 9.30% 8.57% 8.51% 8.04% 7.82% 8.00% 7.52% 6.00% 5.36% 4.00% 3.46% 2.99% 2.00% 0.00% BDN CTRL I-LK NOR PKLD SW TOTAL BWD CHCL MQT NE SE WPG Regional Health Authority Source: MB Health Annual Report 2001
    35. South Eastman Health/Santé Sud-Est Inc Daily Average Cash Balances $2,000,000 $1,000,000 Daily Average Cash Balance ($) $0 ($1,000,000) Approved Line of credit = $1.7M ($2,000,000) ($3,000,000) Exceed line of credit and unable to meet payroll. ($4,000,000) ($5,000,000) JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Month 2001 2002

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