The Information Age: At the Inflection Point

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The Information Age: At the Inflection Point

  1. 1. Bill Coleman
  2. 2. The Cycles of Innovation Model <ul><li>“ History doesn’t repeat itself, but it sometimes rhymes” </li></ul><ul><li>Mark Twain </li></ul><ul><li>Cycles are thirty years long, one starts every 10 years </li></ul><ul><li>Cycles include three ten year phases: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Invention, Boom and Bust </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Buildout and Consolidation </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Commoditization </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Information age includes six cycles 1960 - 2040 </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Cycles 1 – 3: IT Cycles - The Cloud Platform </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Cycles 4 – 6: Web Cycles- The Web Platform </li></ul></ul>
  3. 3. The IT Cycles of Innovation 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 <ul><li>Commoditization </li></ul><ul><li>Build Out </li></ul><ul><li>_______ </li></ul><ul><li>Consolidation </li></ul><ul><li>Invention </li></ul><ul><li>_________ </li></ul><ul><li>Boom & Bust </li></ul>Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 Cycle 1 Cycle 2 Cycle 3 Cycle 4 Cycle 5 Cycle 6 <ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul>Computers Networks <ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Manufacturing </li></ul><ul><li>Equipment </li></ul><ul><li>Chip design & </li></ul><ul><li>test tools </li></ul><ul><li>______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul>
  4. 4. The IT Cycles of Innovation 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 <ul><li>Commoditization </li></ul><ul><li>Build Out </li></ul><ul><li>_______ </li></ul><ul><li>Consolidation </li></ul><ul><li>Invention </li></ul><ul><li>_________ </li></ul><ul><li>Boom & Bust </li></ul>Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 Cycle 1 Cycle 2 Cycle 3 Cycle 4 Cycle 5 Cycle 6 <ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Minicomputers </li></ul><ul><li>PCs </li></ul><ul><li>Servers (Unix </li></ul><ul><li>Workstations) ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer HW & </li></ul><ul><li>SW Companies </li></ul>Networks <ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Manufacturing </li></ul><ul><li>Equipment </li></ul><ul><li>Chip design & </li></ul><ul><li>test tools </li></ul><ul><li>______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Software: DBMS </li></ul><ul><li>Games, Word </li></ul><ul><li>Processing & </li></ul><ul><li>Spreadsheets </li></ul><ul><li>MSDOS: Binary </li></ul><ul><li>Compatibility ______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer HW & </li></ul><ul><li>SW Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Minicomputers </li></ul><ul><li>PCs </li></ul><ul><li>Servers (Unix </li></ul><ul><li>Workstations) ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer </li></ul><ul><li>Systems and </li></ul><ul><li>Software </li></ul>
  5. 5. The IT Cycles of Innovation 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 <ul><li>Commoditization </li></ul><ul><li>Build Out </li></ul><ul><li>_______ </li></ul><ul><li>Consolidation </li></ul><ul><li>Invention </li></ul><ul><li>_________ </li></ul><ul><li>Boom & Bust </li></ul>Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 Cycle 1 Cycle 2 Cycle 3 Cycle 4 Cycle 5 Cycle 6 <ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Minicomputers </li></ul><ul><li>PCs </li></ul><ul><li>Servers (Unix </li></ul><ul><li>Workstations) ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer HW & </li></ul><ul><li>SW Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Hubs & Routers </li></ul><ul><li>Networking SW </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Manufacturing </li></ul><ul><li>Equipment </li></ul><ul><li>Chip design & </li></ul><ul><li>test tools </li></ul><ul><li>______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Software: DBMS </li></ul><ul><li>Games, Word </li></ul><ul><li>Processing & </li></ul><ul><li>Spreadsheets </li></ul><ul><li>MSDOS: Binary </li></ul><ul><li>Compatibility ______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer HW & </li></ul><ul><li>SW Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Client/Serve </li></ul><ul><li>Applications </li></ul><ul><li>Dist Storage: </li></ul><ul><li>SAN & NAS </li></ul><ul><li>______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Minicomputers </li></ul><ul><li>PCs </li></ul><ul><li>Servers (Unix </li></ul><ul><li>Workstations) ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer </li></ul><ul><li>Systems and </li></ul><ul><li>Software </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Hubs & Routers </li></ul><ul><li>Networking SW </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking and Storage Systems and Software </li></ul>
  6. 6. Cycle 4: The Inflection Point <ul><li>The Internet really does change everything! </li></ul><ul><ul><li>The Cloud Platform emerges during Cycle 4 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Commoditization results in creative destruction of ICT </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>From now on it’s all about the “Web”! </li></ul></ul><ul><li>The Internet has three properties that create value: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Free reach </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Straight-thru-processing </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Transparency </li></ul></ul><ul><li>These are phases 4, 5 and 6 </li></ul>
  7. 7. Cycle 4: Web 2.0 Social Networking 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 <ul><li>Commoditization </li></ul><ul><li>Build Out </li></ul><ul><li>_______ </li></ul><ul><li>Consolidation </li></ul><ul><li>Invention </li></ul><ul><li>_________ </li></ul><ul><li>Boom & Bust </li></ul>Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 Cycle 1 Cycle 2 Cycle 3 Cycle 4 Cycle 5 Cycle 6 <ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Minicomputers </li></ul><ul><li>PCs </li></ul><ul><li>Servers (Unix </li></ul><ul><li>Workstations) ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer HW & </li></ul><ul><li>SW Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Hubs & Routers </li></ul><ul><li>Networking SW </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Reach </li></ul><ul><li>WWW </li></ul><ul><li>Distributed Apps </li></ul><ul><li>Ecommerce </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Internet </li></ul><ul><li>Applications & </li></ul><ul><li>Business </li></ul><ul><li>Models </li></ul>Straight –Thru-Processing Transparency <ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Manufacturing </li></ul><ul><li>Equipment </li></ul><ul><li>Chip design & </li></ul><ul><li>test tools </li></ul><ul><li>______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Software: DBMS </li></ul><ul><li>Games, Word </li></ul><ul><li>Processing & </li></ul><ul><li>Spreadsheets </li></ul><ul><li>MSDOS: Binary </li></ul><ul><li>Compatibility ______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer HW & </li></ul><ul><li>SW Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Client/Serve </li></ul><ul><li>Applications </li></ul><ul><li>Dist Storage: </li></ul><ul><li>SAN & NAS </li></ul><ul><li>______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Reach </li></ul><ul><li>Broadband </li></ul><ul><li>Search, SaaS </li></ul><ul><li>Web 2.0 </li></ul><ul><li>- Social Networking </li></ul><ul><li>- Dist Co-Creation </li></ul><ul><li>___________ Application & </li></ul><ul><li>Infrastructure </li></ul><ul><li>Software </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Minicomputers </li></ul><ul><li>PCs </li></ul><ul><li>Servers (Unix </li></ul><ul><li>Workstations) ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer </li></ul><ul><li>Systems and </li></ul><ul><li>Software </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Hubs & Routers </li></ul><ul><li>Networking SW </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking and Storage Systems and Software </li></ul><ul><li>Reach </li></ul><ul><li>WWW </li></ul><ul><li>Distributed Apps </li></ul><ul><li>Web 2.0 </li></ul><ul><li>- Personal Cyber </li></ul><ul><li>Assistant </li></ul><ul><li>____________ </li></ul><ul><li>Internet </li></ul><ul><li>Applications & </li></ul><ul><li>Business </li></ul><ul><li>Models </li></ul>
  8. 8. Cycle 5: The Internet Economy 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 <ul><li>Commoditization </li></ul><ul><li>Build Out </li></ul><ul><li>_______ </li></ul><ul><li>Consolidation </li></ul><ul><li>Invention </li></ul><ul><li>_________ </li></ul><ul><li>Boom & Bust </li></ul>Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 Cycle 1 Cycle 2 Cycle 3 Cycle 4 Cycle 5 Cycle 6 <ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Minicomputers </li></ul><ul><li>PCs </li></ul><ul><li>Servers (Unix </li></ul><ul><li>Workstations) ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer HW & </li></ul><ul><li>SW Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Hubs & Routers </li></ul><ul><li>Networking SW </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Reach </li></ul><ul><li>WWW </li></ul><ul><li>Distributed Apps </li></ul><ul><li>Ecommerce </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Internet </li></ul><ul><li>Applications & </li></ul><ul><li>Business </li></ul><ul><li>Models </li></ul><ul><li>Straight –Thru-Processing </li></ul><ul><li>WOA/Mashups </li></ul><ul><li>Identity 1.0 </li></ul><ul><li>Cloud 1.0 </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Web 3.0 Apps </li></ul><ul><li>and “Pull” </li></ul><ul><li>business models </li></ul>Transparency <ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Manufacturing </li></ul><ul><li>Equipment </li></ul><ul><li>Chip design & </li></ul><ul><li>test tools </li></ul><ul><li>______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Software: DBMS </li></ul><ul><li>Games, Word </li></ul><ul><li>Processing & </li></ul><ul><li>Spreadsheets </li></ul><ul><li>MSDOS: Binary </li></ul><ul><li>Compatibility ______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer HW & </li></ul><ul><li>SW Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Client/Serve </li></ul><ul><li>Applications </li></ul><ul><li>Dist Storage: </li></ul><ul><li>SAN & NAS </li></ul><ul><li>______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Reach </li></ul><ul><li>Broadband </li></ul><ul><li>Search, SaaS </li></ul><ul><li>Web 2.0 </li></ul><ul><li>- Social Networking </li></ul><ul><li>-Dist Co-Creation </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Application & </li></ul><ul><li>Infrastructure </li></ul><ul><li>Software </li></ul><ul><li>Straight –Thru-Processing </li></ul><ul><li>Web 3.0 “Pull” </li></ul><ul><li>Internet Commerce </li></ul><ul><li>Identity 2.0 </li></ul><ul><li>Cloud 2.0 </li></ul><ul><li>ICT Industry </li></ul><ul><li>Providers (Quad </li></ul><ul><li>Convergence ) </li></ul><ul><li>Search and Ad </li></ul><ul><li>business models </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Minicomputers </li></ul><ul><li>PCs </li></ul><ul><li>Servers (Unix </li></ul><ul><li>Workstations) ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer </li></ul><ul><li>Systems and </li></ul><ul><li>Software </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Hubs & Routers </li></ul><ul><li>Networking SW </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking and Storage Systems and Software </li></ul><ul><li>Reach </li></ul><ul><li>WWW </li></ul><ul><li>Distributed Apps </li></ul><ul><li>Web 2.0 </li></ul><ul><li>- Personal Cyber </li></ul><ul><li>Assistant </li></ul><ul><li>____________ </li></ul><ul><li>Internet </li></ul><ul><li>Applications & </li></ul><ul><li>Business </li></ul><ul><li>Models </li></ul><ul><li>Straight –thru -Processing </li></ul><ul><li>WOA/Mashups </li></ul><ul><li>Identity 3.0 </li></ul><ul><li>Cloud 3.0 </li></ul><ul><li>Web 3.0 </li></ul><ul><li>- Cyber Proxy </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Web 3.0 Apps </li></ul><ul><li>and “Push” </li></ul><ul><li>business </li></ul><ul><li>models </li></ul>
  9. 9. Cycle 6: Web Presence 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 <ul><li>Commoditization </li></ul><ul><li>Build Out </li></ul><ul><li>_______ </li></ul><ul><li>Consolidation </li></ul><ul><li>Invention </li></ul><ul><li>_________ </li></ul><ul><li>Boom & Bust </li></ul>Phase 3 Phase 2 Phase 1 Cycle 1 Cycle 2 Cycle 3 Cycle 4 Cycle 5 Cycle 6 <ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Minicomputers </li></ul><ul><li>PCs </li></ul><ul><li>Servers (Unix </li></ul><ul><li>Workstations) ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer HW & </li></ul><ul><li>SW Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Hubs & Routers </li></ul><ul><li>Networking SW </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Reach </li></ul><ul><li>WWW </li></ul><ul><li>Distributed Apps </li></ul><ul><li>Ecommerce </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Internet </li></ul><ul><li>Applications & </li></ul><ul><li>Business </li></ul><ul><li>Models </li></ul><ul><li>Straight –Thru-Processing </li></ul><ul><li>WOA/Mashups </li></ul><ul><li>Identity 1.0 </li></ul><ul><li>Cloud 1.0 ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Web 3.0 Apps </li></ul><ul><li>and “Pull” </li></ul><ul><li>business models </li></ul><ul><li>Transparency </li></ul><ul><li>Associative </li></ul><ul><li>data services </li></ul><ul><li>Quantum </li></ul><ul><li>computing ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Web 4.0: </li></ul><ul><li>Web Presence </li></ul><ul><li>(applications </li></ul><ul><li>and business </li></ul><ul><li>models) </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Manufacturing </li></ul><ul><li>Equipment </li></ul><ul><li>Chip design & </li></ul><ul><li>test tools </li></ul><ul><li>______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductor </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Software: DBMS </li></ul><ul><li>Games, Word </li></ul><ul><li>Processing & </li></ul><ul><li>Spreadsheets </li></ul><ul><li>MSDOS: Binary </li></ul><ul><li>Compatibility ______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer HW & </li></ul><ul><li>SW Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Client/Serve </li></ul><ul><li>Applications </li></ul><ul><li>Dist Storage: </li></ul><ul><li>SAN & NAS </li></ul><ul><li>______________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking </li></ul><ul><li>Companies </li></ul><ul><li>Reach </li></ul><ul><li>Broadband </li></ul><ul><li>Search, SaaS </li></ul><ul><li>Web 2.0 </li></ul><ul><li>- Social Networking </li></ul><ul><li>- Dist Co-Creation </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Application & </li></ul><ul><li>Infrastructure </li></ul><ul><li>Software </li></ul><ul><li>Straight –Thru-Processing </li></ul><ul><li>Web 3.0 “Pull” </li></ul><ul><li>Internet Commerce </li></ul><ul><li>Identity 2.0 </li></ul><ul><li>Cloud 2.0 </li></ul><ul><li>ICT Industry </li></ul><ul><li>Providers (Quad </li></ul><ul><li>Convergence ) </li></ul><ul><li>Search and Ad </li></ul><ul><li>business models </li></ul><ul><li>Transparency </li></ul><ul><li>Web 4.0 “Web </li></ul><ul><li>Presence” </li></ul><ul><li>Identity 3.0 </li></ul><ul><li>Self-forming </li></ul><ul><li>“ applications” </li></ul><ul><li>Pull market </li></ul><ul><li>economics </li></ul><ul><li>consolidates </li></ul><ul><li>the “Push” </li></ul><ul><li>mass market </li></ul><ul><li>economy </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>circuit </li></ul><ul><li>Simple memory </li></ul><ul><li>and logic chips </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Semiconductors </li></ul><ul><li>Computers </li></ul><ul><li>Minicomputers </li></ul><ul><li>PCs </li></ul><ul><li>Servers (Unix </li></ul><ul><li>Workstations) ___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Computer </li></ul><ul><li>Systems and </li></ul><ul><li>Software </li></ul><ul><li>Networks </li></ul><ul><li>Hubs & Routers </li></ul><ul><li>Networking SW </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Networking and Storage Systems and Software </li></ul><ul><li>Reach </li></ul><ul><li>WWW </li></ul><ul><li>Distributed Apps </li></ul><ul><li>Web 2.0 </li></ul><ul><li>- Personal Cyber </li></ul><ul><li>Assistant </li></ul><ul><li>____________ </li></ul><ul><li>Internet </li></ul><ul><li>Applications & </li></ul><ul><li>Business </li></ul><ul><li>Models </li></ul><ul><li>Straight –thru -Processing </li></ul><ul><li>WOA/Mashups </li></ul><ul><li>Identity 3.0 </li></ul><ul><li>Cloud 3.0 </li></ul><ul><li>Web 3.0 </li></ul><ul><li>- Cyber Proxy </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Web 3.0 Apps </li></ul><ul><li>and “Push” </li></ul><ul><li>business </li></ul><ul><li>models </li></ul><ul><li>Transparency </li></ul><ul><li>Associative </li></ul><ul><li>data services </li></ul><ul><li>Web 4.0 </li></ul><ul><li>- Cyber Awareness </li></ul><ul><li>- Physical & Virtual </li></ul><ul><li>converge </li></ul><ul><li>___________ </li></ul><ul><li>Web 4.0: </li></ul><ul><li>Web Presence </li></ul><ul><li>(applications </li></ul><ul><li>and business </li></ul><ul><li>models) </li></ul>
  10. 10. Life on the Web in 2040 <ul><li>Identity provides security with privacy and civil liberties </li></ul><ul><li>The “Pull” Economy dramatically improves productivity moving most the world into the middle class! </li></ul><ul><li>A dashboard for life – my world under my control! </li></ul><ul><li>Web Presence where virtual meets physical and our abilities transcend our disabilities! </li></ul><ul><li>My Proxy: The self-aware proxy for life “My buddy, my alter-ego, my mentor and my guardian! </li></ul><ul><li>So what comes next? </li></ul><ul><li>The Dematerialization Age, where Bio meets Nano </li></ul>

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