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Second in continuing data driven analysis of the nature of change evident in 2008 voting patterns
The first presentation focused on analysis of the demographic shifts behind the Obama victory. This presentation analyzes exit polls to discover the issues that motivated this voting block to go to the polls.
The premise of the analysis: Comparing exit polling, to likely voter polling, increases accuracy in forecast of turnout and forecast of demographic shifts in the electorate.
The presentation suggests adoption of this method of analysis as a means of providing better measures of voter sentiment. These measures are useful in both enforcing accountability and encouraging participation.