The predicted death of the X-ray explosives screening market appears to have been pre-mature. In its report, Homeland Security Research Corporation forecasts that the market for modern X-Ray systems, upgrades and post warranty service will grow from $370 Million in 2008 to $735 in 2014 at a CAGR of over 12%. In this report, HSRC:1. Discusses the economic factors impacting seven sub-markets:Air cargo on scheduled passengers flights screening Airport-cabin baggage screening Secured facilities screening Postal items screening Supply chain cargo screening 1st responders bomb search Other x-ray explosives screening markets 2. Identifies the drivers propelling this growth, including:White House-mandated deployment of state-of-the-art X-ray systems at airports; $1.05 billion earmarked in the “2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act” for the purchase and installation of explosives detection technologies over the next 3 years; $1.57 billion of the TSA’s $8.03 billion FY2010 budget is intended for the purchase and installation of explosives detection systems (i.e., ETD, EDS, X-Ray systems); Failure to develop new, competitive modalities; 3. Analyzes the market dynamics ,opportunities and competitive environmentSeven end-customer sub-markets Systems markets and post warranty system upgrade & service markets Present and future technologies (e. g., Multi-Pixel X-Ray sources, Fused modalities Multi- Thread systems , Dual-Energy X-Ray, coherent scatter X-Ray, Backscatter X-Ray, Variable view X-Ray) Business Opportunities by Threats & Vulnerabilities - (e.g., Fused technologies systems, Multi-Threat systems) Market Drivers & Inhibitors
US X-Ray Explosives Detection Technologies & Markets - 2010-2014
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US X-Ray Explosives Detection Technologies & Markets - 2010-2014
Published on August 2009
Report Summary
The predicted death of the X-ray explosives screening market appears to have been pre-mature.
In its report, Homeland Security Research Corporation forecasts that the market for modern X-Ray systems, upgrades and post
warranty service will grow from $370 Million in 2008 to $735 in 2014 at a CAGR of over 12%.
In this report, HSRC:
1. Discusses the economic factors impacting seven sub-markets:Air cargo on scheduled passengers flights screening Airport-cabin
baggage screening Secured facilities screening Postal items screening Supply chain cargo screening 1st responders bomb search
Other x-ray explosives screening markets 2. Identifies the drivers propelling this growth, including:White House-mandated deployment
of state-of-the-art X-ray systems at airports; $1.05 billion earmarked in the “2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment
Act” for the purchase and installation of explosives detection technologies over the next 3 years; $1.57 billion of the
TSA’s $8.03 billion FY2010 budget is intended for the purchase and installation of explosives detection systems (i.e., ETD,
EDS, X-Ray systems); Failure to develop new, competitive modalities; 3. Analyzes the market dynamics ,opportunities and
competitive environmentSeven end-customer sub-markets Systems markets and post warranty system upgrade & service markets
Present and future technologies (e. g., Multi-Pixel X-Ray sources, Fused modalities Multi- Thread systems , Dual-Energy X-Ray,
coherent scatter X-Ray, Backscatter X-Ray, Variable view X-Ray) Business Opportunities by Threats & Vulnerabilities - (e.g., Fused
technologies systems, Multi-Threat systems) Market Drivers & Inhibitors
Table of Content
1 Scope
1.1 Basic Assumptions
1.1.1 Is There a Threat'
1.1.2 Possible Scenario Analysis
1.1.3 Additional Assumptions
1.2 Methodology
1.2.1 Research Methods
1.2.2 Report Structure
1.2.3 Who Is This Report For'
2 Executive Summary
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2.1 Major Findings
2.2 Major Conclusions
2.3 The Economic Slowdown Impact on the Market
2.3.1 Economic Downturn Impacts on the X-Ray Screening Market
2.3.2 Economy Downturn Impacts on X-Ray Screening Submarkets
2.4 2D X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Market Outlook: 2010-2014
3 Market Drivers
4 Market Inhibitors
5 Current 2D X-Ray Technologies
5.1 Explosive Materials Classification
5.2 Explosives Screening Modalities
5.2.1 X-Ray vs. ETD and EDS Modalities
5.3 2D X-Ray Technologies
5.3.1 X-Ray Systems - Principles of Operation
5.3.2 Innocuous Materials Interference
5.3.3 Conventional 2D X-Ray
5.3.4 Dual Energy X-Ray
5.3.5 Quasi Dual Energy X-Ray
5.3.6 Variable-View X-Ray
5.3.7 Backscatter Screening X-Ray
5.3.8 Coherent Scatter 2D X-Ray
5.3.9 Threat Image Projection (TIP)
5.4 X-Ray Technologies: Performance Comparison
5.5 Explosives Screening Technologies: Price Comparison
6 2D X-Ray: TSA Product Certification
7 X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Outlook: 2010-2014
7.1 Air Cargo Screening
7.2 Airport Cabin Baggage Screening
7.3 Secured Facilities Explosives Screening
7.3.1 Secured Federal Facilities
7.4 Postal Items Explosives Screening
7.5 Supply Chain Cargo Explosives Screening
7.6 1st Responders X-Ray Equipment
7.7 Other X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems
8 Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Forecast: 2010-2014
9 Technology Outlook: 2010-2014
9.1 Fused X-Ray and ETD
9.2 Fused X-Ray Screening and RFID
9.3 Air-Cargo Containers Screening
9.4 Multi-Threat Multi-Modal Systems
9.5 Advanced Coherent X-Ray Scattering 2D X-Ray
9.6 Stereoscopic X-Ray Imaging
9.7 Multi-Pixel X-Ray Sources
10 Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges
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10.1 Introduction
10.2 Remote Tele-Interpretation
10.3 Medium Capacity Multi-Threat Screening Systems
10.4 Upgraded Multi Threat Screening System
10.5 Fused Technology Screening Systems With RFID and Risk Assessment Infrastructure
10.6 Third Party Service
11 Appendix A: DHS Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems
12 Appendix B: TSA Glossary
List of Tables
2. Executive Summary
Table 1 - USA Potential Targets Requiring Explosives Detection Screening
Table 2 - Economic Recession Impacts on X-Ray Explosives Detection Sub-markets
Table 3 - U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market [$ Million] - 2008-2014
Table 4 - U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market Structure [$ Million] - 2010-2014
Table 5 - U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection system Market [$ Million] - 2008-2014
5. Current 2D X-Ray Technologies
Table 6 - EDS, ETD and 2D X-Ray Technologies - Pros and Cons
Table 7 - Explosives, Drugs, and Common X-Ray "Interruption" Materials
Table 8 - Comparison of X-Ray Detection Technologies
Table 9 - Price Comparison of Bulk Explosives Screening Technologies
7. X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Outlook: 2010-2014
Table 10 - U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Table 11 - Air Cargo X-Ray Screening Market [Unit] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014
Table 12 - U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Table 13 - U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014
Table 14 - U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Screening Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Table 15 - U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014
Table 16 - U.S. Postal Items X-ray Screening Market [$M] Outlook - 2008-2014
Table 17 - U.S. Postal Items X-ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014
Table 18 - U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Table 19 - U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014
Table 20 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Table 21 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share [%] - 2008-2014
Table 22 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Table 23 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units] & Market Share
[%] - 2008-2014
8. Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Forecast: 2010-2014
Table 24 - U.S. X-ray Explosives Detection Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Sub-Markets [$ Million] Outlook:
2008-2014
Table 25 - Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Structure by Application [%] 2008-2014
9. Technology Outlook: 2010-2014
Table 26 - Pros and Cons of Multi-modal Technology
11. Appendix A: DHS Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems
Table 27 - Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems
Table 28 - Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems - Continued
Table 29 - Characterization of X-Ray Explosives Screening Systems - Continued
Table 30 - Characterization of Commercial X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems - Continued
List of Figures
1. Scope
Figure 1 - Airport Explosives Threats Vectors
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2. Executive Summary
Figure 2 - Cabin Bags Screening In the Ensemble of Airport Security Means
Figure 3 - X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market [$ Million] - 2010-2014
Figure 4 - X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Sales and Service Market Structure [%] by Sub-market: 2008 & 2014
Figure 5 - U.S. X-Ray Explosives detection Systems Sales and Service Market Fragmentation [%] - 2008 & 2014
5. Current 2D X-Ray Technologies
Figure 6 - Explosive Materials Classification
Figure 7 - Major Explosives Detection Technologies: Bulk vs. Trace
Figure 8 - X-Ray Conveyor-Based Screening Systems - Principles of Operation
Figure 9 - Conventional X-Ray
Figure 10 - Dual Energy X-Ray
Figure 11 - Material Differentiation by Dual Energy X-Ray
Figure 12 - Dual Energy Z Map
Figure 13 - Quasi Dual Energy X-Ray
Figure 14 - Variable-View X-Ray Option
Figure 15 - Backscatter Cargo Screening X-Ray
Figure 16 - Coherent X-Ray Scheme
7. X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Outlook: 2010-2014
Figure 17 - U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Figure 18 - U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Systems and Service Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014
Figure 19 - U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]
Figure 20 - U.S. Air Cargo X-Ray Market Share [%] - 2008 & 2014
Figure 21 - U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Figure 22 - Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Systems and Service Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014
Figure 23 - U.S. Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market [Units]
Figure 24 - Airport Cabin Baggage X-Ray Screening Market Share [%] - 2008 & 2014
Figure 25 - Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008 -2014
Figure 26 - Secured Facilities X-Ray Screening Systems and Service Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014
Figure 27 - U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]
Figure 28 - U.S. Secured Facilities X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Share [%] 2008-2014
Figure 29 - U.S. Postal Items X-ray Screening Market [$M] Outlook - 2008-2014
Figure 30 - Postal Items X-ray Systems and Service Market [%] Structure - 2008 & 2014
Figure 31 - U.S. Postal Items X-ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]
Figure 32 - U.S. Postal Items X-ray Explosives Detection Market Share [%] -
Figure 33 - U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Figure 34 - Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Screening Systems and Service Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014
Figure 35 - U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]
Figure 36 - U.S. Supply Chain Cargo X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Share [%] - 2008 & 2014
Figure 37 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Figure 38 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Structure [%] - 2008 & 2014
Figure 39 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]
Figure 40 - U.S. 1st Responders X-Ray Explosives Detection Share [%] - 2008 & 2014
Figure 41 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [$M] - 2008-2014
Figure 42 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market Structure [%] - 2008 &
2014
Figure 43 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detection Market [Units]
Figure 44 - U.S. Other (e.g., Mobile Systems, People Screening Portals) X-Ray Explosives Detectors Share [%] - 2008 & 2014
8. Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Forecast: 2010-2014
Figure 45 - U.S. X-Ray Explosives Detection Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market [$ Million] - 2008-2014
Figure 46 - Systems Service, Refurbishing and Upgrade Market Structure by Application [%] 2008 & 2014
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9. Technology Outlook: 2010-2014
Figure 47 - Fused Modality Multi Threat (Explosives & Nuclear) Screening System
Figure 48 - 3D Stereoscopic X-Ray Camera and Images
Figure 49 - 3D Stereoscopic X-Ray Luggage Inspection Scheme
10. Business & Technological Opportunities and Challenges
Figure 50 - DHS S&T Explosives Division Functions
Figure 51 - TSA RDT&E Strategic Vision
Figure 52 - The 2D X-Ray Performance Criteria
Figure 53 - Remote Cargo Tele-Screening
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