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The Pharmaceutical Market: Greece, Business Monitor International
Published on January 2013

                                                                                                           Report Summary

Espicom market intelligence, brought to you by Business Monitor International


THE PHARMACEUTICAL MARKET: GREECE - REVIEW
The immediate threat of a Greek default and eurozone exit was reduced as the outcome of the legislative elections in June had a
much more benign outcome than many feared. A n exit would have - and could still be - disastrous for drugmakers operating in the
market. But even Greece staying in the monetary union means the government must continue with its austerity programme. While we
continue to hold to our view that Germany and the rest of the EU may reduce the focus on austerity and introduce some pro-growth
strategies, these are unlikely to generate any upside for the pharmaceutical industry and structural reforms within Greece will be
maintained. T he government remains committed to huge cuts in its public drug expenditure for 2012, with a painful claw-back tax in
operation and no extra resources available to pay-back existing debts.


Headline Expenditure Projections


Pharmaceuticals: EUR6.72bn (US$9.35bn) in 2011 to EUR5.92bn (US$7.52bn) in 2012;
-12.0% in local currency terms and -19.6% in US dollar terms. Forecast broadly maintained from Q3 12.


Healthcare: EUR21.80bn (US$30.31bn) in 2011 to EUR20.34bn (US$25.83bn) in 2012; -6.7% in local currency terms and -14.8% in
US dollar terms. Forecast broadly stable from Q3 12.


Medical devices: EUR670mn (US$931mn) in 2011 to EU607mn (US$771mn) in 2012; -9.3% in local currency terms and -17.1% in
US dollar terms. Forecast unchanged from Q3 12.



Risk/Reward Rating: In our latest RRRs, we have revised down our assessment of the Greek market, with a downgrade to the
industry risk score as a result of broadly unfavourable operating conditions worsening, specifically re-payment terms, which we have
criticised previously, and our assessment of whether innovative drugmakers would want to launch new products on the market.



Competitive Landscape


The competitive landscape section provides comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales and % share of total sales -
for the total pharmaceutical sector, as well as the OTC, generics, and distribution sub-sectors.




                                                                                                            Table of Content

Table of Contents


BMI Industry View 7



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SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic         12
Business Environment 13
Industry Forecast           14
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 14
Table: Greece Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts 18
Healthcare Market Forecast 24
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2009-2017 25
Table: Healthcare Governmental Indicators, 2009-2017 25
Table: Healthcare Private Indicators, 2009-2017 26
Economic Analysis             26
Prescription Drugs Market Forecast                    32
Table: Prescription Drug Sales Indicators, 2009-2017 33
Patented Drugs Market Forecast 34
Table: Patented Drug Sales, 2009-2017 35
Generic Drugs Market Forecast                    36
Table: Generic Drug Sales, 2009-2017 37
OTC Medicine Market Forecast                     38
Table: OTC Medicine Sales, 2009-2017 39
Table: OTC Medicine Sales Breakdown, 2007-2010                                39
Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast                    40
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast, 2009-2017 41
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario 42
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 43
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Ratings, Q113 43
Market Overview 47
Industry Trends And Developments                      50
Epidemiology 50
Healthcare Sector 51
Infrastructure 53
Table: Inpatient Facilities And Beds By Speciality, 2008 54
Table: Outpatient Facilities And Beds By Region, 2008                              55
Pharmaceutical Distribution 55
Drug Retailing 56
Table: Pharmacies By Region, 2007-2009 56
Regulatory Development                 58
Regulatory Regime              58
Regional Strategy             58
Regulatory Regime 59
Intellectual Property Regime                60
Pricing Regime           61
Table: Quarterly Total Sales Volume Per Medicinal Product (additional to 9% of the current decision rebate amount) 65
Reimbursement Regime 66
Competitive Landscape 69
Company Profile 71
Vianex 71
Lavipharm 73



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Elpen 76
Genesis Pharma              78
Pharmathen           80
Kleva 82
Alapis Pharma 84
GlaxoSmithKline 87
Pfizer 89
Novartis 91
Sanofi 93
Table: Leading Products                94
Merck Sharpe & Dohme 95
Table: Merck Sharp & Dohme: Leading Products                              96
Abbott Laboratories 97
Demographic Forecast                99
Greece Demographic Data 99
Table: Greece's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 100
Table: Greece's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 101
Table: Greece's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020                             102
Table: Greece's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020                                 102
Methodology           103
Methodology           103
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 103
Ratings Overview 104
Table: Pharmaceutical Business Environment Indicators 104
Weighting 105
Table: Weighting Of Components 105
Sources 105
Glossary 106




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The Pharmaceutical Market: Greece, Business Monitor International

  • 1. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics >> Get this Report Now by email! The Pharmaceutical Market: Greece, Business Monitor International Published on January 2013 Report Summary Espicom market intelligence, brought to you by Business Monitor International THE PHARMACEUTICAL MARKET: GREECE - REVIEW The immediate threat of a Greek default and eurozone exit was reduced as the outcome of the legislative elections in June had a much more benign outcome than many feared. A n exit would have - and could still be - disastrous for drugmakers operating in the market. But even Greece staying in the monetary union means the government must continue with its austerity programme. While we continue to hold to our view that Germany and the rest of the EU may reduce the focus on austerity and introduce some pro-growth strategies, these are unlikely to generate any upside for the pharmaceutical industry and structural reforms within Greece will be maintained. T he government remains committed to huge cuts in its public drug expenditure for 2012, with a painful claw-back tax in operation and no extra resources available to pay-back existing debts. Headline Expenditure Projections Pharmaceuticals: EUR6.72bn (US$9.35bn) in 2011 to EUR5.92bn (US$7.52bn) in 2012; -12.0% in local currency terms and -19.6% in US dollar terms. Forecast broadly maintained from Q3 12. Healthcare: EUR21.80bn (US$30.31bn) in 2011 to EUR20.34bn (US$25.83bn) in 2012; -6.7% in local currency terms and -14.8% in US dollar terms. Forecast broadly stable from Q3 12. Medical devices: EUR670mn (US$931mn) in 2011 to EU607mn (US$771mn) in 2012; -9.3% in local currency terms and -17.1% in US dollar terms. Forecast unchanged from Q3 12. Risk/Reward Rating: In our latest RRRs, we have revised down our assessment of the Greek market, with a downgrade to the industry risk score as a result of broadly unfavourable operating conditions worsening, specifically re-payment terms, which we have criticised previously, and our assessment of whether innovative drugmakers would want to launch new products on the market. Competitive Landscape The competitive landscape section provides comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales and % share of total sales - for the total pharmaceutical sector, as well as the OTC, generics, and distribution sub-sectors. Table of Content Table of Contents BMI Industry View 7 The Pharmaceutical Market: Greece, Business Monitor International (From Slideshare) Page 1/5
  • 2. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics >> Get this Report Now by email! SWOT 9 Political 11 Economic 12 Business Environment 13 Industry Forecast 14 Pharmaceutical Market Forecast 14 Table: Greece Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts 18 Healthcare Market Forecast 24 Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2009-2017 25 Table: Healthcare Governmental Indicators, 2009-2017 25 Table: Healthcare Private Indicators, 2009-2017 26 Economic Analysis 26 Prescription Drugs Market Forecast 32 Table: Prescription Drug Sales Indicators, 2009-2017 33 Patented Drugs Market Forecast 34 Table: Patented Drug Sales, 2009-2017 35 Generic Drugs Market Forecast 36 Table: Generic Drug Sales, 2009-2017 37 OTC Medicine Market Forecast 38 Table: OTC Medicine Sales, 2009-2017 39 Table: OTC Medicine Sales Breakdown, 2007-2010 39 Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast 40 Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast, 2009-2017 41 Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario 42 Industry Risk Reward Ratings 43 Table: Central And Eastern Europe Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Ratings, Q113 43 Market Overview 47 Industry Trends And Developments 50 Epidemiology 50 Healthcare Sector 51 Infrastructure 53 Table: Inpatient Facilities And Beds By Speciality, 2008 54 Table: Outpatient Facilities And Beds By Region, 2008 55 Pharmaceutical Distribution 55 Drug Retailing 56 Table: Pharmacies By Region, 2007-2009 56 Regulatory Development 58 Regulatory Regime 58 Regional Strategy 58 Regulatory Regime 59 Intellectual Property Regime 60 Pricing Regime 61 Table: Quarterly Total Sales Volume Per Medicinal Product (additional to 9% of the current decision rebate amount) 65 Reimbursement Regime 66 Competitive Landscape 69 Company Profile 71 Vianex 71 Lavipharm 73 The Pharmaceutical Market: Greece, Business Monitor International (From Slideshare) Page 2/5
  • 3. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics >> Get this Report Now by email! Elpen 76 Genesis Pharma 78 Pharmathen 80 Kleva 82 Alapis Pharma 84 GlaxoSmithKline 87 Pfizer 89 Novartis 91 Sanofi 93 Table: Leading Products 94 Merck Sharpe & Dohme 95 Table: Merck Sharp & Dohme: Leading Products 96 Abbott Laboratories 97 Demographic Forecast 99 Greece Demographic Data 99 Table: Greece's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 100 Table: Greece's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 101 Table: Greece's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 102 Table: Greece's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 102 Methodology 103 Methodology 103 Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology 103 Ratings Overview 104 Table: Pharmaceutical Business Environment Indicators 104 Weighting 105 Table: Weighting Of Components 105 Sources 105 Glossary 106 The Pharmaceutical Market: Greece, Business Monitor International (From Slideshare) Page 3/5
  • 4. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics >> Get this Report Now by email! Fax Order Form To place an order via fax simply print this form, fill in the information below and fax the completed form to: Europe, Middle East and Africa : + 33 4 37 37 15 56 Asia, Oceania and America : + 1 (805) 617 17 93 If you have any questions please visit http://www.reportlinker.com/notify/contact Order Information Please verify that the product information is correct and select the format(s) you require. The Pharmaceutical Market: Greece, Business Monitor International Product Formats Please select the product formats and the quantity you require. 1 User License--USD 1 397.25 Quantity: _____ Site License--USD 2 794.50 Quantity: _____ Corporate License--USD 8 383.50 Quantity: _____ Contact Information Please enter all the information below in BLOCK CAPITALS Title: Mr Mrs Dr Miss Ms Prof First Name: _____________________________ Last Name: __________________________________ Email Address: __________________________________________________________________________ Job Title: __________________________________________________________________________ Organization: __________________________________________________________________________ Address: __________________________________________________________________________ City: __________________________________________________________________________ Postal / Zip Code: __________________________________________________________________________ Country: __________________________________________________________________________ Phone Number: __________________________________________________________________________ Fax Number: __________________________________________________________________________ The Pharmaceutical Market: Greece, Business Monitor International (From Slideshare) Page 4/5
  • 5. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics >> Get this Report Now by email! Payment Information Please indicate the payment method, you would like to use by selecting the appropriate box. Payment by credit card Card Number: ______________________________________________ Expiry Date __________ / _________ CVV Number _____________________ Card Type (ex: Visa, Amex…) _________________________________ Payment by wire transfer Crédit Mutuel RIB : 10278 07314 00020257701 89 BIC : CMCIFR2A IBAN : FR76 1027 8073 1400 0202 5770 189 Payment by check UBIQUICK SAS 16 rue Grenette – 69002 LYON, FRANCE Customer signature:   Please note that by ordering from Reportlinker you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions at http://www.reportlinker.com/index/terms Please fax this form to: Europe, Middle East and Africa : + 33 4 37 37 15 56 Asia, Oceania and America : + 1 (805) 617 17 93 The Pharmaceutical Market: Greece, Business Monitor International (From Slideshare) Page 5/5