Libya Oil Markets Investment Opportunities, Market Analysis and Forecasts to 2020

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Libya Oil Markets Investment Opportunities, Market Analysis and
Forecasts to 2020
Published on April 2009

Report Summary

Libya Oil Markets Investment Opportunities, Market Analysis and Forecasts to 2020

Summary

This profile is the essential source for top-level energy industry data and information. The report provides an overview of the oil
industry in Libya. It details the market structure, regulatory environment, infrastructure and provides historical and forecasted statistics
relating to the supply/demand balance for the industry. It also provides information relating to the oil assets (oil fields, refineries,
pipelines and storage terminals) in Libya. The report also analyses the fiscal regime relevant to the oil assets in Libya and compares
the investment environment in Libya with other countries in the region. The profiles of the major companies operating in the oil sector
in Libya together with the latest news and deals are also included in the report.

Scope

- Historic and forecast data relating to production, consumption, imports, exports and reserves are provided for the oil industry for the
period 1995-2020.
- Historical and forecast data and information for all the major oil fields, refineries, pipelines and storage terminals in Libya Oil Markets
Investment Opportunities, Market Analysis and Forecasts to 2020 for the period 1995-2020.
- Operator and equity details for major oil assets in Libya Oil Markets Investment Opportunities, Market Analysis and Forecasts to
2020
- Key information relating to market regulations, key energy assets and the key companies operating in the Libya Oil Markets
Investment Opportunities, Market Analysis and Forecasts to 2020's oil industry.
- Detailed information on key fiscal terms (such as rents, bonuses, royalty, cost recovery, profit oil, petroleum and corporate taxes)
pertaining the geography is also provided. A sample calculation detailing how fiscal terms apply to a typical asset in the regime is
included.
- Information on the top companies in the Libya Oil Markets Investment Opportunities, Market Analysis and Forecasts to 2020
including business description, strategic analysis, and financial information.
- Product and brand updates, strategy changes, R&D projects, corporate expansions and contractions and regulatory changes.
- Key mergers and acquisitions, partnerships, private equity and venture capital investments, and IPOs.

Reasons to buy

- Gain a strong understanding of the country's energy market.
- Facilitate market analysis and forecasting of future industry trends.
- Evaluate the attractiveness of the geography for oil investment in the light of government policies and the fiscal environment.
- Facilitate decision making on the basis of strong historic and forecast production, reserves and capacity data.
- Understand the geography's policies and fiscal terms, and their impact on contractor's profits from upstream oil assets.
- Assess your competitor's major crude oil assets and their performance.
- Analyze the latest news and financial deals in the oil sector of each country.
- Develop strategies based on the latest operational, financial, and regulatory events.

Libya Oil Markets Investment Opportunities, Market Analysis and Forecasts to 2020 Page 1/9


- Do deals with an understanding of how competitors are financed, and the mergers and partnerships that have shaped the market.
- Identify and analyze the strengths and weaknesses of the leading companies in the country.

Table of Content

Table of Contents

1.1 List of Tables 8
1.2 List of Figures 10
2 Libya Energy sector 11
2.1 Libya Energy sector, Market Overview 11
2.2 Libya Energy sector, Crude Oil 12
2.2.1 Libya Crude Oil, Overview 12
2.2.2 Libya Crude Oil, Supply and Demand Balance 12
2.2.3 Libya Crude Oil, Regulatory Structure 18
2.2.4 Libya Crude Oil, Infrastructure 19
3 Libya Oil Upstream Investment Environment Benchmarking 21
3.1 Introduction 21
3.2 The Overall Ranking 21
3.3 Upstream Fiscal Attractiveness 22
3.3.1 Maximum Government Take Index 23
3.3.2 Maximum State Participation 23
3.3.3 Maximum Domestic Market Obligation 24
3.4 Oil Sector Performance 24
3.4.1 Exploration Activity 26
3.4.2 Oil Production 27
3.4.3 Oil Reserves 27
3.4.4 Oil Consumption 28
3.4.5 Refining Industry 28
3.5 Economic Performance 28
3.5.1 GDP Growth Index 30
3.5.2 FDI Confidence Index 30
3.5.3 Balance of Trade Index 31
3.6 Socio-Political Performance 31
3.6.1 Democracy Index 33
3.6.2 Governance Index 33
4 Libya Exploration and Production Sector 34
4.1 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Country Snapshot 34
4.1.1 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Key Data 34
4.1.2 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Crude Oil Assets Map 34
4.2 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Gross Crude Oil Production 35
4.2.1 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Gross Crude Oil Historical Production 35
4.2.2 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Gross Crude Oil Production by Assets 36
4.2.3 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Gross Equity Weighted Crude Oil Production by Company 37
4.3 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Gross Crude Oil Forecasts 41



4.3.1 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Gross Crude Oil Forecasted Production 41
4.3.2 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Gross Revenue Forecast 41
4.3.3 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Government Take Forecast 42
4.3.4 Libya Exploration and Production Sector, Contractor Take Forecast 43
4.4 Libya Exploration And Production Sector, Crude Oil Asset Details 43
4.4.1 Libya Exploration And Production Sector, Active Crude Oil Asset Details 43
4.4.2 Libya Exploration And Production Sector, Planned Crude Oil Asset Details 43
5 Libya Pipeline Sector 44
5.1 Libya Pipeline Sector, Key Data 44
5.2 Libya Pipeline Sector, an Overview 44
5.3 Libya Pipeline Sector, Comparision of Key Crude Oil Pipeline Companies 45
5.4 Libya Pipeline Sector, Comparision of Key Petroleum Product Pipeline Companies 46
5.5 Libya Pipeline Sector, Crude Oil Pipelines 47
5.6 Libya Pipeline Sector, Petroleum Product Pipelines 49
6 Libya Refining Sector 50
6.1 Libya Refining Sector, Key Data 50
6.2 Libya Refining Sector, An Overview 50
6.2.1 Libya Refining Sector, Total Refining Capacity 50
6.3 Libya Refining Sector, Capacity- Wise Market Share by Company 51
6.4 Libya Refining Sector, Crude Distillation Unit Capacity 52
7 Profile Of Eni S.p.A. 53
7.1 Eni S.p.A., Key Facts 53
7.2 Eni S.p.A., Company Overview 53
7.3 Eni S.p.A., Business Description 53
7.3.1 Eni S.p.A., Business Description, Business Overview 53
7.3.2 Eni S.p.A., Business Description, Engineering and Construction 54
7.3.3 Eni S.p.A., Business Description, Exploration & Production 55
7.3.4 Eni S.p.A., Business Description, Gas & Power 56
7.3.5 Eni S.p.A., Business Description, Others 58
7.3.6 Eni S.p.A., Business Description, Petrochemicals 58
7.3.7 Eni S.p.A., Business Description, Refining and Marketing 59
7.4 Eni S.p.A., Value Chain Analysis 61
7.4.1 Eni S.p.A., Value Chain Analysis, Upstream 61
7.4.2 Eni S.p.A., Value Chain Analysis, Midstream 62
7.4.3 Eni S.p.A., Value Chain Analysis, Downstream 63
7.4.4 Eni S.p.A., Value Chain Analysis, Retail 64
7.5 Eni S.p.A., SWOT Analysis 64
7.5.1 Eni S.p.A., SWOT Analysis, Overview 64
7.5.2 Eni S.p.A., SWOT Analysis, Strengths 65
7.5.3 Eni S.p.A., SWOT Analysis, Weaknesses 66
7.5.4 Eni S.p.A., SWOT Analysis, Opportunities 68
7.5.5 Eni S.p.A., SWOT Analysis, Threats 69
7.6 Eni S.p.A., Revenue Analysis 70
7.6.1 Eni S.p.A., Revenue by Segment 71
7.6.2 Eni S.p.A., Revenue by Geography 72
7.7 Eni S.p.A., Financial and Operational Review 73
7.7.1 Financial Statements 73
7.7.2 Financial Ratios 74
8 Profile of Total S.A. 75
8.1 Total S.A., Key Information 75



8.2 Total S.A., Company Overview 75
8.3 Total S.A., Business Description 75
8.3.1 Total S.A., Business Description, Business Overview 75
8.3.2 Total S.A., Business Description, Chemicals 76
8.3.3 Total S.A., Business Description, Downstream 77
8.3.4 Total S.A., Business Description, Upstream 78
8.3.5 Total S.A., Business Description, Major Products and Services 79
8.4 Total S.A., Value Chain Analysis 81
8.4.1 Total S.A., Value Chain Analysis, Upstream 82
8.4.2 Total S.A., Value Chain Analysis, Midstream 82
8.4.3 Total S.A., Value Chain Analysis, Downstream 83
8.4.4 Total S.A., Value Chain Analysis, Retail 84
8.5 Total S.A., SWOT Analysis 84
8.5.1 Total S.A., SWOT Analysis, Overview 84
8.5.2 Total S.A., SWOT Analysis, Strengths 85
8.5.3 Total S.A., SWOT Analysis, Weaknesses 86
8.5.4 Total S.A., SWOT Analysis, Opportunities 87
8.5.5 Total S.A., SWOT Analysis, Threats 88
8.6 Total S.A., Revenue Analysis 89
8.6.1 Total S.A., Revenue by Segment 89
8.6.2 Total S.A., Revenue by Geography 90
8.7 Total S.A., Financial and Operational Review 91
9 Profile of Repsol YPF, S.A 93
9.1 Repsol YPF, S.A, Key Information 93
9.2 Repsol YPF, S.A, Company Overview 93
9.3 Repsol YPF, S.A, Business Description 93
9.3.1 Repsol YPF, S.A, Business Description, Business Overview 93
9.3.2 Repsol YPF, S.A, Business Description, Chemicals Segment 94
9.3.3 Repsol YPF, S.A, Business Description, Exploration and Production Segment 95
9.3.4 Repsol YPF, S.A, Business Description, Gas and Power Segment 97
9.3.5 Repsol YPF, S.A, Business Description, Refining and Marketing Segment 98
9.3.6 Repsol YPF, S.A, Business Description, Major Products and Services 99
9.4 Repsol YPF, S.A, Value Chain Analysis 101
9.4.1 Repsol YPF, S.A, Value Chain Analysis, Upstream 101
9.4.2 Repsol YPF, S.A, Value Chain Analysis, Midstream 102
9.4.3 Repsol YPF, S.A, Value Chain Analysis, Downstream 103
9.4.4 Repsol YPF, S.A, Value Chain Analysis, Retail 103
9.5 Repsol YPF, S.A, SWOT Analysis 104
9.5.1 Repsol YPF, S.A, SWOT Analysis, Overview 104
9.5.2 Repsol YPF, S.A, SWOT Analysis, Strengths 105
9.5.3 Repsol YPF, S.A, SWOT Analysis, Weaknesses 106
9.5.4 Repsol YPF, S.A, SWOT Analysis, Opportunities 107
9.5.5 Repsol YPF, S.A, SWOT Analysis, Threats 108
9.6 Repsol YPF, S.A, Revenue Analysis 109
9.6.1 Repsol YPF, S.A, Revenue by Segment 110
9.6.2 Repsol YPF, S.A, Revenue by Geography 110
9.7 Repsol YPF, S.A, Financial and Operational Review 111



10 Financial Deals Landscape 113
10.1 Detailed Deal Summary 113
10.1.1 Partnerships 113
10.1.2 Asset Transactions 119
11 Recent Developments 121
11.1 License Awards 121
11.1.1 Jul 17, 2008: OMV, Repsol Renew Murzuq Exploration Licenses With NOC 121
11.1.2 Jun 12, 2008: Eni And NOC Sign New Petroleum Contracts 121
11.2 Strategy and Business Expansion 122
11.2.1 Oct 08, 2008: Repsol To Expand Operations Into Southern And Western Africa 122
11.2.2 Sep 20, 2008: OIL To Commence Drilling At Libya Fields In 2009 122
11.2.3 Jul 09, 2008: Gazprom To Buy Oil And Gas From Libya 123
11.2.4 Jun 23, 2008: Occidental Signs Agreements In Libya 124
11.2.5 May 27, 2008: MOL Eyes Libyan Expansion 124
11.2.6 Apr 28, 2008: Gazprom And Eni Discuss Interaction In Libya 125
11.2.7 Apr 10, 2008: Gazprom In Discussions With Eni On Joint Libyan Gas Projects 125
11.3 Recent Discoveries 126
11.3.1 Jan 15, 2009: NOC Announces New Oil/Gas Discovery In Ghadames Basin, Libya 126
11.3.2 Jan 12, 2009: Verenex Discovers Oil And Gas At H1-47/02 Well In Ghadames Basin, Libya 126
11.3.3 Dec 15, 2008: NOC Announces Oil And Gas Discovery At D1-NC7A Well In Ghadames Basin, Libya 129
11.3.4 Oct 13, 2008: Verenex Discovers Oil And Gas At G1-47/02 Well In Ghadames Basin, Libya 129
11.3.5 Oct 07, 2008: Sirte Discovers Oil At A1-NC216A Well In Ghadames Basin, Libya 130
11.3.6 Sep 29, 2008: Verenex Discovers Oil At C1-47/04 Well In Ghadames Basin, Libya 130
11.3.7 Sep 29, 2008: RWE Dea Encounters Oil At G1-NC 193 Well In Sirte basin, Libya 131
11.4 Drilling and Production Updates 131
11.4.1 Mar 10, 2009: Wintershall Provides Production Update 131
11.4.2 Feb 19, 2009: Marathon Oil Provides 2008 Oil And Gas Reserves 134
11.4.3 Feb 05, 2009: Total Resumes Production At Its Libyan Al-Jurf Oilfield In January 2009 135
11.4.4 Dec 17, 2008: Hess Updates On Its Exploration Drilling In Africa 135
11.4.5 Nov 07, 2008: PT Medco Updates On Its Reserves In Area 47, Libya 135
11.5 Other Significant Developments 136
11.5.1 Mar 16, 2009: Libya To Spend $10 Billon To $12 Billion In Oil Projects In 2009 136
11.5.2 Feb 10, 2009: Total Signs Agreement With NOC To Renew EPSAs For Blocks C17 And C137 In Libya 136
11.5.3 Jan 13, 2009: Egypt And Libya To Spend $6 Billion In Oil Facilities 137
11.5.4 Dec 30, 2008: Oil Companies In Libya Ordered To Cut Production By 270,000 Bpd 137
11.5.5 Dec 24, 2008: Libya To Invest In Oil Refinery And Construction Projects In Egypt 138
11.6 New Contracts Announcements 138
11.6.1 Jan 19, 2009: Shell Awards Contract To BGP For 3D Seismic Project In Libya 138
11.6.2 Sep 25, 2008: BGP Wins 3D Onshore Project From Petro-Canada In Libya 138
12 Appendix 139
12.1 Methodology 139
12.1.1 Coverage 139
12.1.2 Secondary Research 140
12.1.3 Primary Research 140
12.1.4 E&P Forecasts 141
12.1.5 Midstream Forecasts 142
12.1.6 Expert Panel Validation 143
12.2 Contact Us 143
12.3 About GlobalData 143



12.4 Disclaimer 143

List of Tables

Table 1: Libya, Historical and Forecasted Production and Consumption of Crude Oil, 1996-2020 13
Table 2: Libya, Historical and Forecasted Exports of Crude Oil, 1996-2020 15
Table 3: Libya, Historical Reserves of Crude Oil, 1996-2008 17
Table 4: Libya, Crude Oil, Pipelines 20
Table 5: North Africa, Investment Benchmarking, Overall Country Rankings, 2008 21
Table 6: North Africa, Investment Benchmarking, Upstream Fiscal Attractiveness, 2008 22
Table 7: North Africa, Investment Benchmarking, Oil Sector Performance, 2008 24
Table 8: North Africa, Investment Benchmarking, Economic Performance, 2008 29
Table 9: North Africa, Country Standings, Economic Performance, 2008 29
Table 10: North Africa, Investment Benchmarking, Socio-Political Performance, 2008 31
Table 11: North Africa, Country Standings, Socio-Political Performance, 2008 32
Table 12: Libya, Crude Oil Key Statistics, 2008 34
Table 13: Libya, Total Gross Crude Oil Production (MMBBLs), 2001-2008 35
Table 14: Libya, Gross Crude Oil Production (MMBBLs), by Assets, 2001-2008 36
Table 15: Libya, Gross Equity Weighted Crude Oil Production (MMBBLs), by Company, 2001-2008 37
Table 16: Libya, Market Share (%) based on Gross Equity Weighted Crude Oil Production, 2001-2008 39
Table 17: Libya, Gross Crude Oil Production (MMBBLs), Forecast by Assets, 2009-2014 41
Table 18: Libya, Forecasted Assets-wise Gross Revenue(000'$), 2009-2014 41
Table 19: Libya, Projected Assets-wise Total Government Take (000'$), 2009-2014 42
Table 20: Libya, Projected Assets-wise Total Contractor Take (000'$), 2009-2014 43
Table 21: Libya, Active Oil Field Assets Details 43
Table 22: Libya, Planned Oil Field Assets Details 43
Table 23: Libya, Pipeline Key Statistics, 2008 44
Table 24: Libya, Crude Oil Pipeline Length by Company (Km), 2008 45
Table 25: Libya, Petroleum Product Pipeline Length by Company (Km), 2008 46
Table 26: Libya, Crude Oil Pipelines, 2008 47
Table 27: Libya, Crude Oil Pipelines, 2008 (Contd.) 48
Table 28: Libya, Petroleum Product Pipelines, 2008 49
Table 29: Libya, Refinery Key Statistics, 2008 50
Table 30: Libya, Total Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000- 2013 50
Table 31: Libya, Refining Capacity Company-wise (MMTPA), 2000-2013 51
Table 32: Libya, Crude Distillation Unit Capacity (MMTPA), 2000-2013 52
Table 33: Eni S.p.A., Key Facts 53
Table 34: Eni S.p.A., SWOT Analysis 65
Table 35: Eni S.p.A., Revenue by Segment, Euro Million, 2003-2007 71
Table 36: Eni S.p.A., Revenue by Geography, Euro Million, 2003-2007 72
Table 37: Eni S.p.A., Financial Statements, Euro Million, 2003-2007 73
Table 38: Eni S.p.A., Financial Ratios, Euro Million, 2003-2007 74
Table 39: TOTAL S.A., Key Facts 75
Table 40: TOTAL S.A., SWOT Analysis 85
Table 41: TOTAL S.A., Revenue by Segment, Euro Million, 2003-2007 89
Table 42: TOTAL S.A., Revenue by Geography, Euro Million, 2003-2007 90
Table 43: TOTAL S.A., Financial Statements, Euro Million, 2003-2007 91
Table 44: TOTAL S.A., Financial Ratios, Euro Million, 2003-2007 92



Table 45: Repsol YPF, S.A., Key Facts 93
Table 46: Repsol YPF, S.A., SWOT Analysis 105
Table 47: Repsol YPF, S.A., Revenue by Segment, Euro Million, 2003-2007 110
Table 48: Repsol YPF, S.A., Revenue by Geography, Euro Million, 2003-2007 111
Table 49: Repsol YPF, S.A., Financial Statements, Euro Million, 2003-2007 111
Table 50: Repsol YPF, S.A., Financial Ratios, Euro Million, 2003-2007 112
Table 51: National Oil To Form A Joint Venture With Trusta 113
Table 52: Galp Energia Enters Into Partnership With Libya Africa Investment 114
Table 53: Gazprom To Form Refining Joint Venture With National Oil 115
Table 54: Petro-Canada And Libyan National Oil Sign New EPSA Contracts 116
Table 55: National Oil Sign Exploration And Production Sharing Agreement With Sonatrach, Oil India And Indian Oil 117
Table 56: Gazprom And National Oil Corporation To Form A Joint Venture 118
Table 57: GDF Suez SA Acquires 20% Stake In Production License From Hellenic 119
Table 58: Oil India, Sonatrach, Indian Oil And National Oil To Acquire 4 Blocks In Libya 120

List of Figures

Figure 1: Libya, Energy Sector Break-Up, 2008 11
Figure 2: Libya, Crude Oil Production And Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 1996-2020 14
Figure 3: Libya, Crude Oil Exports (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 1996-2020 16
Figure 4: Libya, Crude Oil Reserves (Million Barrels), 1996-2008 18
Figure 5: North Africa, Country Standings, Upstream Fiscal Attractiveness, 2008 23
Figure 6: North Africa, Country Standings, Oil Sector Performance, by Reserves-Exploration & Production, 2008 25
Figure 7: North Africa, Country Standings, Oil Sector Performance, by Production-Consumption & Refining, 2008 26
Figure 8: North Africa, Country Standings, Exploration Blocks Awarded, 2008 27
Figure 9: North Africa, Country Standings, Economic Performance, 2008 30
Figure 10: North Africa, Country Standings, Socio-Political Performance, 2008 32
Figure 11: Libya, Crude Oil Assets Map, 2008 34
Figure 12: Libya, Total Gross Crude Oil Production (MMBBLs), 2001-2008 35
Figure 13: Libya, Gross Equity Weighted Crude Oil Production (MMBBLs),by Company, 2001-2008 38
Figure 14: Libya, Market Share (%) based on Gross Equity Weighted Crude Oil Production, 2008 40
Figure 15: Libya, Crude Oil Pipeline Length by Company (Km), 2008 45
Figure 16: Libya, Total Refining Capacity (MMTPA), 2000- 2013 51
Figure 17: Eni S.p.A., Value Chain Analysis 61
Figure 18: TOTAL S.A., Value Chain Analysis 81
Figure 19: Repsol YPF, S.A., Value Chain Analysis 101
Figure 20: GlobalData Methodology 139



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