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                                                   Volume 1 | Issue 2 | March 2013 | `50




     Electricals Today
      More power to the industry




    focus
    Is it time for a rethink
    on PPA conditions?




 powerless
   DESPITE THE HYPE, P CHIDAMBARAM’S budget FAILED TO OFFER THE
       SECTOR ANY LIGHT AT THE END OF THE LONG, dark TUNNEL
    An ITP Publishing India Publication




01_ET_Mar13_CoverFinal.indd 1                                               06-03-2013 17:39:47
Contents
          People                                                                                                       12
          12	 Cover Story
          	       Despite the hype, Chidambaram’s budget has little to
                  offer the power sector. Is there any hope at all at the
                  end of the long, dark tunnel?

          25	 Column
          	       Sanjeev Aggarwal, MD of Amplus Infrastructure, talks
                  about green corridors to get rid of the power woes

          30	 Straight Talk
          	       CCI MD and CEO Maadhav Digraskar wants the
                  government to give the power sector special status




                                                                                             18                        38
          REPORTS
          18	 Distribution
          	       The country's peak demand-supply gap is ever
                  widening. Are we looking at a likely catastrophe?

          26	 Finance
          	       The power sector behemoth, Tata Power, reported
                  a disappointing quarter with losses amounting to
                  Rs329 crore




                                                                                                                             Maadhav Digraskar
          38	 Generation
          	       Fuel is on fire as additional capacity is getting
                  stranded due to lack of coal supply
                                                                            “In today’s
                                                                                                                30
                                                                            fiercely
                                                                            competitive
          REGULARS                                                          environment it
                                                                            is challenging
          06	 News, people & events                                         to retain our
          	       Industry round up, including new events and latest        leadership
                  developments                                              in the extra
                                                                            high voltage
          50	 Market data                                                   segment."
          	       A look at the key industry trends and statistics.
          	       And an analysis of what the numbers mean

          54	 Ten things about
          	       Grid stored energy can be used to address peak
                  power needs




                                                                                                  march 2013 | Electricals Today       3



03_ET_Mar13_Contents.indd 3                                                                                                  06-03-2013 12:20:40
Comment




                                                                                                                                                                  ET
                                     Power struggle
                                     One look at P Chidambaram’s budget, and one can easily tell that the
                                     finance minister – and the powers that be – are powerless to offset the
                                     dismal state of the sector.
                                                                                                                                                                   Electricals Today
                                         And you don’t have to be a power pundit to make out where the
                                                                                                                                                                   More power to the industry
                                     problems lie. Just check the stats: the number of rural households with
                                                                                                                                                                   Volume 1 | Issue 2 | March 2013
                                     no access to electricity in 2001 was 7.5 crore; in 2011, it increased to 7.8
                                     crore. Similarly, in 2001, the number of urban households with no access                                                 ITP Publishing India Pvt Ltd
                                     to electricity was 0.6 crore; in 2011, it increased to 0.7 crore!                                                    Notan Plaza, 3rd floor, 898, Turner Road
                                         Given these depressing figures, is there a solution in sight? The first                                            Bandra (West), Mumbai - 400050
                                     thing that probably comes to mind is adding new generation projects,                                                          T +91 22 6154 6000
                                     right? Well, think again. According to one study, electricity development                                             Deputy managing director S Saikumar
                                     should not be synonymous with setting up new projects.                                                                Publishing director Bibhor Srivastava
                                         The argument is straightforward. The end product of electricity is                                                      Group editor Shafquat Ali
                                     different in different sectors. It is luminosity in lighting, lifting water in
                                                                                                                                                                        Editorial Team
                                     irrigation, turning the wheel in industry and so on and so forth.                                               Niranjan Mudholkar, Imran Mirza, Nirmal Menon
                                         The energy required can come not just from a new generation project                                                 Shiv Joshi & Syed Ameen Kader
                                     alone. It is one of the many options and, not necessarily, the most optimal
                                     from the point of view of cost and long-term sustainability.                                                                        Advertising
                                                                                                                                                                Business head Hafeez Shaikh
                                         It can come from a new MW based on renewable or non-renewable                                                  T +91 98331 03611 hafeez.shaikh@itp.com
                                     resource or, for that matter, from a saved MW through efficiency
                                     improvement. And this, to me, poses the biggest challenge for the power                                                                 Studio
                                     industry: choosing the right power source, one that is both sustainable                                                    Head of design Milind Patil
                                                                                                                                                              Designer Reshma Jhunjhunwala
                                     and affordable.
                                         It is here that we are faced with the larger problem. How does the fresh                                                         Production
                                     capacity of power reach the intended user? And therein lies the biggest                                           Deputy production manager Ramesh Kumar
                                     failing for the sector: inefficiencies in transmission and distribution of                                                    ramesh.kumar@itp.com
                                     power. On an average, more than one third of the generated electricity
                                                                                                                                                                          Circulation
                                     is lost in T&D. To make matters worse, the investment in T&D has failed to                                            Distribution manager James D’Souza
                                     keep pace with the massive investment in generation.                                                               T +91 22 6154 6032 james.dsouza@itp.com
                                         Enough said. You probably get the drift. But it is ironical that the
                                     government chooses to ignore the writing on the wall. Why else would                                                                    Disclaimer
                                                                                                                                                      The publishers regret that they cannot accept liability
                                     the FM present such a lacklustre budget again – a budget that offers the                                      for error or omissions contained in this publication, how-
                                     sector no light at the end of the long, dark tunnel?                                                             ever caused. The opinions and views contained in this
                                                                                                                                                     publication are not necessarily those of the publishers.
                                                                                                                                                    Readers are advised to seek specialist advice before act-
                                                                                                                                                    ing on information contained in this publication, which
                                                                                                                                                    is provided for general use and may not be appropriate
                                                                                                                                                       for the readers’ particular circumstances. The owner-
                                     Shafquat Ali,                                                                                                      ship of trademarks is acknowledged. No part of this
                                     Group editor, ITP Publishing                                                                                    publication or any part of the contents thereof may be
                                                                                                                                                     reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted
                                                                                                                                                      in any form without the permission of the publishers
                                                                    FORM IV                                                                          in writing. An exemption is hereby granted for extracts
         (Statement about ownership and other particulars                 Address: Notan Plaza, 3rd Floor, 898, Turner Road, Bandra (w),                         used for the purpose of fair review.
         about the newspaper/magazine Electricals Today to                Mumbai- 400 050, Maharashtra.
         be published in the first issue every year after the last        Editor’s Name: Shafquat Ali                                               Printed and Published by Sai Kumar Shanmugam, Flat
         day of February)                                                 Nationality: Indian                                                      no 903, Building 47, NRI Colony, Phase – 2, Part -1, Sector
         Name of the Publication: Electricals Today                       (i) Whether Citizen of India: Yes                                           54, 56, 58, Nerul, Navi Mumbai 400706, on behalf of
         Periodicity of the publication/ Language: Monthly/English        (ii) If a foreigner, country of origin: Not applicable                     ITP Publishing India Private Limited, printed at Indigo
         Printer’s Name: Saikumar Shanmugam                               Address : Notan Plaza, 3rd Floor, 898, Turner Road, Bandra (W),           Press (India) Private Limited, Plot No.1C/716, Off Dadoji
         Nationality: Indian                                              Mumbai- 400 050, Maharashtra.                                            Konddeo Cross Road, Between Sussex And Retiwala Ind.
         (i) Whether Citizen of India: Yes                                Name and address of the individuals who own the                          Estate, Byculla (E) Mumbai- 400 027, India and published
         (ii) If a foreigner, country of origin Not applicable            newspaper/magazine and partners or shareholders                              at Notan Plaza, 3rd floor, 898, Turner Road, Bandra
         Address: Notan Plaza, 3rd Floor, 898, Turner Road, Bandra (w),   holding more than one percent of the total capital.                                        (West), Mumbai - 400050
         Mumbai- 400 050, Maharashtra                                     ITP Publishing India Pvt.Ltd. ITP Holdings Inc,
         Publisher’s Name: Saikumar Shanmugam                             PO Box 500024, Dubai, U.A.E.                                                                 Editor Shafquat Ali
         Nationality: Indian
         (i) Whether Citizen of India: Yes                                I, Saikumar Shanmugam, hereby declare that the particulars given above
         (ii) If a foreigner, country of origin: Not applicable           are true to the best of my knowledge and belief.

          Date: February 28, 2013				 	 Saikumar Shanmugam
          						Signature of the publisher                                                                                                                     Published by and © 2013 ITP Publishing India Pvt Ltd




         4     Electricals Today | MARCH 2013




04_ET_Mar13_Ed Letter.indd 4                                                                                                                                                                              06-03-2013 16:27:33
KNOWLEDGE PARTNER



                          ET
                          ELECTRICALS TODAY
                          MORE POWER TO THE INDUSTRY




temp_Cover.indd 1                                      07-03-2013 10:54:46
NEWS




          Shortcircuited: SEBs are increasingly
                                               9    News & P                         NTPC-CIL DEADLOCK TO
                                                                                     END SOON
          resorting to power cuts to get over the
          power shortage
                                                                                     It looks like the face-off
                                                                                     between NTPC and Coal India
                                                                                     Limited (CIL) on the fuel sup-
                                                                                     ply agreement (FSA) issue
                                                                                     is nearing closure. Accord-
                                                                                     ing to NTPC officials, most
                                                                                     major issues with CIL have
                                                                                     been resolved. The NTPC
                                                                                     officials have informed the
                                                                                     same to the CEA chairperson
                                                                                     in a meeting held recently.
                                                                                     A meeting to iron out the
                                                                                     remaining differences was
                                                                                     held between NTPC and CIL
                                                                                     officials at CIL headquarters
                                                                                     in Kolkata, towards the end of
                                                                                     last month.


         Lanco, R-Power cut off                                                      Mine developer
         supply to UPPCL                                                             for FECPL
        Power generating companies Reliance Power (R-Power) and Lanco Infrat-        Fatehpur East Coal Private Limited
        ech have cut off supplies to Uttar Pradesh Power Corporation (UPPCL) for     (FECPL) is planning to appoint a mine
        non-clearance of its dues. Reliance Power’s Rosa thermal power station       developer cum operator (MDO) to
        and Lanco Infratech’s Anpara C thermal power station have stopped sup-       develop the Fatehpur East coal block,
        plying power to UPPCL. "Both companies have shut down generation as          in the Mand Raigarh coalfield of
        we have not been able to make timely payments. While dues to Reliance        Chhattisgarh. FECPL, a joint venture
        amount to approximately Rs900 crore, Lanco’s dues are to the tune of         (JVC) of five independent power
             approximately Rs400 crore,” an UPPCL official said.                     producers, has issued a request for
                  Rosa TPS in Shahjahanpur district has shut down one unit of 300    proposal (RfP) that will include three
                      MW while Lanco Infratech’s Anpara C project in Sonebhadra      different activities, development, oper-
                           district has shut down one unit of 600 MW. Rosa and       ational and mine closure, to be carried
                                 Lanco have a total installed capacity of 1,200 MW   out by the chosen MDO. The develop-
        Rs1     ,500cr                each. While the former has four units, each    ment activities primarily involve con-
        Approximate dues               of 300 MW, Lanco has two coal-fired units     struction and maintenance of mining
                                      each of 600 MW. Reliance Power had got into    infrastructure as well as arrangement
             of UPPCL            a commercial dispute with the UPPCL last year       of manpower and water supply for the
                            after which it manually shut two of its four units.      project. Bids are expected to be sub-
                         The power corporation expects the situation to improve      mitted by March 18, 2013, following
                  once the Centre’s bailout package in the form of a financial       which the proposals for qualification
             restructuring package, comes through.                                   will be opened.



        6     Electricals Today | March 2013




06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 6                                                                                            06-03-2013 12:22:04
NEWS




& People  >>> FSAs still
                                                                                                             11


                                                                               Major challenge is securing fuel
          hanging fire
                                                                               supplies. Though India has the
          There is still a long way to go for CIL
          and its subsidiaries to sign all the
                                                                                 world's fourth largest reserves
          requisite Fuel Supply Agreements                                       of coal and has recently made
          (FSAs). In a meeting held recently
          convened by AS Bakshi, chairman, CEA,                                 gas discoveries that are notable
          the power utilities raised concerns
          regarding certain issues with Coal
                                                                                by global standards, inadequate
          India Ltd (CIL) subsidiaries. Subsidiar-                              fuel supplies are constraining the
          ies of CIL namely SECL and MCL in
          particular, have refused to consider                                 growth of power sector.”
          medium term power purchase agree-                                               Jyotiraditya Scindia, Union power minister
          ments (PPAs) necessary for the signing
          of FSAs. The companies have termed
          long term PPAs as a pre-requisite to
          ink the pact. The coal companies have
          also demanded written confirmation
          regarding supply of 5 per cent power
                                                       Distribution companies cannot
          to host states on variable charges.          continuously go on making losses.
                                                     State governments have no choice but to
            MoP seeks Rs1,500                        increase tariffs to make them viable.”
                                                     NK Jain, vice-chairman, JSW Energy
            cr for discoms
            Determined to ensure its ambi-
            tious turnaround plan for ailing                                    Reintroduction of Generation
            distribution companies, the power
            ministry had sought a Rs1,500-
                                                                                Based Incentive is a timely
            crore budgetary support for                                         intervention for the wind industry,
            funding the Transitional Finance
            Mechanism (TFM) under the                                             which was suffering for over
            scheme in 2013-14. It also wanted
            Rs4,500 crore for its rural electrifi-
                                                                                  than a year. It will rejuvenate the
            cation programme, the Rajiv Gan-                                       sector with more investments.
            dhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana
            (RGGVY), an 80 per cent jump over                                     This assumes greater significance
            the revised estimate of Rs2,492
            crore for this financial year. The
                                                                                 as the industry has an ambitious
            Rs1,500-crore central allocation is                                       plan of capacity addition in
            to be available for states showing
            an accelerated reduction in com-                                              the current plan period.”
            mercial and line losses.                                                      Ramesh Kymal, managing director, Gamesa India




                                                                                                                   March 2013 | Electricals Today   7



 06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 7                                                                                                                  06-03-2013 12:22:06
NEWS



       > > at a glance
        >                                                                                                  AP GENCO TO COMMENCE WORK
                                                                                                           The Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N Kiran Kumar Reddy
        TPC to invest Rs500 cr in Jharkhand                                                                approved the setting up of three new thermal stations
        TATA Power Co Ltd (TPC), which recently signed a power distribution franchise agreement            in the state. AP Genco is expected to commence work on
        with the Jharkhand State Electricity Board (JSEB), will invest Rs500 crore in the Jamshedpur       three projects with total installed capacity of 2,400 MW.
        circle of the state. TPC will upgrade existing infrastructure and distribution network there       These projects will be based on supercritical technology
        and hopes to reduce aggregate technical and commercial (ATC) losses to 13 per cent from            and have capacity of 800 MW each. Reddy has directed AP
        the current 33 per cent in the new circle. This is TPC’s first power distribution franchise,       Genco to complete these thermal power stations in the
        although it has distribution operations in Mumbai and Delhi with its own licence. “We              state within three years. The total cost is expected to be
        will be investing Rs500 crore in improving the distribution network,” said Tata Power’s            about Rs13,200 crore. These power plants will be setup
        executive director and chief financial officer S Ramakrishnan. Of this, Rs400 crore will be        at Krishnapatnam in Nellore district, a green field plant
        raised through loans under the Restructured Accelerated Power Development and Reform               and expansion at existing power plants at Vijayawada and
        Programme (R-APDRP) and Rs100 crore from internal resources, he said. The company aims             Kothagudem Thermal Stations.
        to reduce ATC losses to 13 per cent over the next five years.

        New national power grid to start operations by Jan 2014
        While integrating the southern grid with the already formed New Grid is underway, the
        Planning Commission has made some important recommendations and said that systems
        should be loaded gradually as experience is gained. This national power grid is expected
        to be operational by January 2014. The commission has said that for an initial period of six           TPC RfP for Delhi power procurement
        months to one year, AC ties must be primarily used to build reliability. It has also contended         To avoid the inconvenience of power cuts during the summers,
        that a right operating philosophy like frequency band tightening and tight control on                  Tata Power Delhi Distribution Limited (TPDDL) is planning to make
        drawals must be put in place for the synchronization to be a success. Experience of Turkey             short term power purchase agreements for the period from May 16
        can be utilised in this regard, the commission noted. Turkey was synchronously connected               to September 15, 2013. Although Tata Power has not put a cap on
        to Continental Europe in September 2010. However, three phases of trial operation and                  the quantum of power to be supplied by the successful bidder, the
        stabilisation were conducted for almost two years till late 2012.                                      distribution company (discom) has insisted on a minimum 25 MW for
                                                                                                               the entire period. In the request for proposal (RfP) document, it has
        WPI for power up in Jan’13                                                                             been specified that the power requirement for the 15-day period in
        The wholesale price index (WPI) for “Fuel and Power” for the month of January, 2013 rose               May will be 50 MW. This will further escalate to 200 MW and 300 MW
        by 0.3 per cent to 189.5 (Provisional) from 188.9 (Provisional) for the previous month due             in the months of June and July, respectively, and then drop to 150
        to higher price of bitumen (6 per cent), light diesel oil and furnace oil (1 per cent each).           MW during September 2013. Whatever amount the successful bidder
        However, the price of aviation turbine fuel (1 per cent) declined. The annual rate of inflation,       agrees to supply, it has to ensure that the actual scheduling does not
        based on monthly WPI, stood at 6.62 per cent (Provisional) for the month of January, 2013              deviate by more than 15 per cent of the contracted power as per the
        (over January, 2012) as compared to 7.18 per cent (Provisional) for the previous month                 approved open access on monthly basis. In case such a situation
        and 7.23 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Build up inflation              arises, the seller has to pay compensation to TPDDL at 20 per cent
        in the financial year so far was 5.09 per cent compared to a build-up of 6.15 per cent in the          of contracted tariff per KWh for the shortfall in excess of permitted
        corresponding period of the previous year.                                                             deviation of 15 per cent. Bidders were asked to submit their bids and
                                                                                                               supporting documents latest by February 27, 2013.
        TD Power Systems wins contracts worth Rs234 crore
        TD Power Systems Limited, a manufacturer of AC generators and solutions provider for                   TN invites bids for imported coal
        captive and independent power projects, announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary DF                  Tamil Nadu PSU TANGEDCO has invited bids for procurement of 4.2
        Power Systems Private Limited (DFPS) has been awarded two separate contracts worth                     million tonnes (MT) of imported steam coal for its 1,200 MW North
        Rs234 crore. DFPS won a Rs225 crore order from an industrial conglomerate for setting up               Chennai Thermal Power Project (Stage II) (NCTPP), which will com-
        of a 45 MW captive power plant in the northeast. Additionally, it also won an order from a             mence operation after May 2013, and for its other thermal stations
        private sector steel giant for waste gas fired package boilers valued at about Rs9 crore.              located in Ennore, Mettur and Tuticorin regions of Tamil Nadu. The
                                                                                                               selected bidder will have to supply coal for a six month period from
        Best Stall award for ABB at ELASIA                                                                     June 2013 to November 2013. In case of any delay in commission-
        ABB participated in the 5th ELASIA 2013 at Bangalore International Exhibition Center (BIEC)            ing of the NCTPP power plant, TANGEDCO has said that the time
        as platinum sponsors where it displayed its low voltage switchgear portfolio through a live            period will be extended upto a maximum of three months, beyond
        exhibiting stand of 90 square metrs. The stand consisted of segment-wise exhibit panels,               November 2013. As per the coal specifications mentioned by the
        live product demos, KNX living room automation with live demo automation and technical                 utility, the successful bidder will be liable to supply imported coal with
        paper presentations on ‘Innovative and reliable systems in Low Voltage (LV) Networks..                 Gross calorific value (GCV) of 5400-6300 kcal/kg and the size of the
        It was an ideal platform, where major players from electrical industries like switchgear,              coal should range between 0 to 50 mm. All bids need to be submitted
        lighting, cables and solutions for renewable energy displayed their products and solutions.            latest by March 12, 2013.




        8     Electricals Today | March 2013




06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 8                                                                                                                                                       06-03-2013 12:22:07
NEWS



         POSCO may become a CPSU                                        EAC defers forest                         Odisha criticised for
         The power ministry is actively con-
         sidering the Planning Commission's
                                                                        clearances                                diverting forest land
         proposal to categorise Power System
         Operation Corporation (POSOCO) as a                            An estimated Rs22,000 crore invest-       for power stations
         Group-A central public sector under-                           ment continues to be at stake as the
         taking (CPSU). Being categorised as a                          Expert Appraisal Committee (EAC)          The EAC has raised a red flag over Odisha
         Group-A CPSU will lend an indepen-                             has deferred its decision on clear-       Thermal Power Corporation Limited's
         dent stature to POSOCO, established                            ance-related issues for 4,100 MW of       (OTPCL) proposal to divert 1,969.78 hactre
         as a 100 per cent subsidiary of Power-                         thermal and captive power plants.         of land for the upcoming 3x800 MW
         grid in 2009.                                                  In the recently convened meeting of       supercritical coal based TPP despite five
            The Planning Commission has                                 the re-constituted EAC on environ-        reserve forests within a 10 km range of
         contended that this step is necessary                          mental impact assessment (EIA),           the project site. The committee expressed
         as POSOCO performs statutory func-                             the committee was taken aback by          concern that the land for project and ash
         tions of national importance through                           the developers' inability to bridge       pond is too large for just one project and
         RLDCs/NLDC. Central Electricity                                the missing gaps in project-specific      needs to be scaled down to the maximum
         Regulatory Commission (CERC) has                               documents despite being pulled            extent possible. Moreover, OTPCL must
         already conferred financial indepen-                           up earlier for this very reason. If the   make efforts to avoid using the 83.91 acres
         dence to POSCO. Classifying POSOCO                             developers fail to follow clear direc-    of forest land altogether. During the EAC
         as a 'Group-A' CPSU will not entail                            tions and furnish same old informa-       meeting, the committee further directed
         any financial implication as a revenue                         tion for resolution of matters, there     OTPCL to strictly adhere to Central Electric-
         stream is already provided for by CERC                         is nothing that the EAC can do            ity Authority (CEA) norms and accordingly
         in accordance with the provisions of                           except push its final decisions to the    present the revised layout along with the
         the Electricity Act, 2003.                                     next meeting.                             EIA Report.




         Tata Power registers 50.4 MW wind project
           Carbon-friendly: Tata Power's Samana plant in Gujarat will
           reduce carbon footprints by 96,821 tonnes of CO2
                                                                                                                  Tata Power has successfully registered
                                                                                                                  its 50.4 MW Wind power project at
                                                                                                                  Samana, Gujarat under Clean Develop-
                                                                                                                  ment Mechanism (CDM) programme
                                                                                                                  by United Nations Framework Conven-
                                                                                                                  tion on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The
                                                                                                                  50.4 MW wind plant was commis-
                                                                                                                  sioned in May 2009 and uses 63 wind
                                                                                                                  turbine generators of 800 KW capacity
                                                                                                                  each to harness wind energy for power
                                                                                                                  generation. Speaking on the occasion,
                                                                                                                  Anil Sardana, MD, Tata Power, said, “We
                                                                                                                  have always established that clean and
                                                                                                                  renewable energy is the need of the
                                                                                                                  hour and Tata Power will continue its
                                                                                                                  efforts towards this.” The Samana plant
                                                                                                                  helps in reducing an annual average of
                                                                                                                  96,821 tons of Carbon Dioxide equiva-
                                                                                                                  lent, by producing 104,970 MWh per
                                                                                                                  year (average) equivalent amount of
                                                                                                                  clean energy.



                                                                                                                                  March 2013 | Electricals Today   9



06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 9                                                                                                                                  06-03-2013 12:22:09
DIARY




            Events
            Save Power Show
            Venue: Le Meridien, Cochin
            Date: March 2-4
            The show is an excellent networking and knowledge-sharing
            platform for the stakeholders in the renewable energy sector.
            Save Power Show will showcase renewable energy and energy-
            efficient products and solutions under one roof, enabling visitors
            to acquire knowledge and information about the latest technol-
            ogy and the best solutions for their energy requirement.


            12th Coaltrans India
            Venue: Grand Hyatt, Goa
            Date: March 12-13
            The past 12 months have seen dramatic developments in the
            dynamics shaping India's coal sector. Yet amidst such difficulties,
            the power and steel demand remains strong and India's coal defi-
            cit continues to hold within it substantial exciting opportunities for
            growth and innovation. At this annual networking event, you can
            explore the new frontiers of India's rapidly expanding coal industry.
            A must-attend event for coal sellers, buyers and traders.


            Indian Solar Summit 2013
            Venue: Mahatma Mandir Convention Centre, Gandhinagar, Gujarat
            Date: April 18-19
            With the aim to accelerate the number of solar installations in the
            country to reach a target capacity of 20 GW by 2022, India has
            established itself as one of the most attractive renewable invest-
            ment markets in the world. In order to make this target a reality,
            India’s premier solar show – The Indian Solar Summit and Exhibi-
            tion – is back this year. Learn about the latest technologies and
            development opportunities which are shaping the Indian solar
            market.


            Renewable Energy World India 2013
            Venue: Bombay Exhibition Centre, Goregaon, Mumbai
            Date: May 6-8
            Renewable Energy World India 2013 shifts from New Delhi to
            India’s financial hub, Mumbai, where the event was last held in
            2010. With this move, the high-level conference and exhibition
            aims to expand its coverage from the northern part of India, which
            has been its main focus, to include the west and south. Under the
            theme, Indian Power – Time to Deliver, the event brings together
            decision-makers and professionals from leading companies
            involved in renewable energy generation, transmission and distri-
            bution within India and around the world.


            Power-Gen India & Central Asia 2013
            Venue: Pragati Maidan, New Delhi                                         Clearly, oblivious to the 25,000 volts line in
            Date: May 9-11
            Power-Gen India & Central Asia 2013 aims to showcase the latest          the backdrop, a recluse prefers a quick nap
            technologies and solutions in the power and energy sector as well
            as gather industry leaders and professionals together on a single        under the sun to the vagaries of the Indian
            platform. The show will provide immense opportunities for com-
            panies and industry experts to network, develop business rela-           power sector. And why not? The government’s
            tions and establish future business prospects. Keep up-to-date
            with the latest developments in the industry.                            promises for the man on the street remain no
                                                                                     more than a pipe dream.

        10    Electricals Today | March 2013




06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 10                                                                                                 06-03-2013 12:22:11
DIARY


                               the big picture




       POWER NAP                       March 2013 | Electricals Today   11



06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 11                                      06-03-2013 12:23:48
cover story




         E
                      nergy demand in India is growing at a fast pace.
                      Both domestic consumption and industrial con-
                      sumption were at the upper curve of the growth
                      trajectory in the 11th Plan period. This trend is
                      expected to continue in the 12th Plan period as well.
         The average per capita electricity consumption in the country is
         pegged at 876 kwh, as opposed to that in China, which is close
         to 3000 kwh. According to the World Bank data, the consump-
         tion in India was 556 in 2008, 590 in 2009 and 616 in 2010 and
         climbing close to 800 kwh in 2012.
            It is imperative that the government takes the right steps to
         bridge the demand – supply gap, which is hovering at above 10
         per cent. The power generators in the country, who are facing a
         number of issues, expected a budget that will go at least part of
         the way towards making the power sector financially viable. But
         Finance Minister P Chidambaram’s Budget 2013-2014 gave little
         cheer to the beleaguered sector.
            One market analyst put it succinctly. “The budget was neither
         populist nor reformist. It was actually feminist,” he said, reflect-
         ing the industry’s response to the budget. In contradiction to
         the expectation as the country heads into an election year, the
         budget was subtle with more concentration on women and
         children.

         BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS
         	 Policy on blending the prices of domestic and imported coal
            to be introduced.
         	 Proposal to executive coal mining projects in the Public
            Private Partnership (PPP) model through Coal India Limited to
            be floated.
         	 5 LNG terminals at Dabhol plant to be cleared.
         	 Shale gas exploration to be encouraged in the next fiscal.
         	 Generation-based incentives to wind energy projects reintro-
            duced; Rs800 crore provided for the purpose to Ministry of
            New & Renewable Energy.
         	 The tax holidays enjoyed under Section 80-IA extended for
            another year (till March 31, 2014).
         	 State governments urged to participate in the scheme
            announced earlier for financial restructuring of discoms.
         	 Power transmission system from Srinagar to Leh to be
            constructed at a cost of Rs1,840 crore (Rs226 crore will be
            disbursed in next fiscal).
              	 Zero customs duty levied for electrical plants and
                   machinery.

                                  MEDIUM-TERM SOLUTIONS
                                       The backbone of the economic



    876 kwh
                                            infrastructure and energy sector,
                                                  however, got a larger men-
                                                     tion. The FM started with
                                                     one of the major problems
       average per capita electricity
              consumption                        faced by the thermal power
                                           producers in the country: fuel
                                      supply constraint. “Coal imports, which
                                crossed 100 million tonnes during April-Dec




         12   Electricals Today | march 2013




12_16_ET_Feb13_Cover story_Budget.indd 12                                        06-03-2013 12:25:11
budget




                                                                   powerless
                                             Despite the hype, Finance
                                            Minister P Chidambaram’s
                                            budget has little to offer
                                            the power sector. Is there
                                                 any hope at all at the
                                                      end of the long,
                                                         dark tunnel?
                                                                  By LIZA V




                                                                              march 2013 | Electricals Today   13



12_16_ET_Feb13_Cover story_Budget.indd 13                                                                06-03-2013 12:25:12
cover story




              ‘Corrective measures not taken’
                JG Kulkarni, president, IEEMA, says the budget does little for the key electrical equipments industry
                                                           We were hoping for some corrective measures to revive the downturn in the
                                                           domestic electrical equipment industry, which is reeling under the twin onslaught
                                                           of the slowdown in the country’s power sector that has depressed domestic demand,
                                                           and the rapidly escalating imports of electrical equipment. This has resulted into
                                                           under-utilisation of the manufacturing capacity for electrical equipment.
                                                               Given the need to accelerate the Rural Electrification Programme, the fall in
                                                           Central Plan allocation for Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana (RGGVY) from
                                                           Rs4,900 crore to Rs4,500 crore is a matter of concern. Further, the revised estimate
                                                           of Rs2,492 crore against the budget estimate for 2012-13 shows that funds provided
                                                           were not fully utilised.
                                                               The Restructured Accelerated Power Development and Reforms Programme
                                                           (RAPDRP), which is primarily focussed on reduction of AT&C losses, has also seen a
                                                           sharp decline in Central Plan allocation from Rs3,114 crore (BE 2012-13) to Rs575
                                                           crore given the gross under-utilisation of funds allocated last year. Only Rs1,500 crore
                                                           were utilised out of the total allocation of Rs3,114 crore.
                                                               The financial health of the discoms is a critical success factor for the viability of the
                                                           electrical manufacturing sector. Although a sum of Rs1,500 crore has been allocated
                                                           for debt-restructuring of discoms, till date, only a handful of states have evinced
                                                           interest in the debt-restructuring plan the central government announced some
                                                           months ago.
                                                               However, the budget did include some measures that would certainly provide
                                                           relief to this sector. These include:
                                                           • 	Extension of the sunset date by one more year for the power sector for claiming
                                                               100 per cent deduction of profits under section 80 IA.
                                                           • 	Generation-based incentives for wind energy.
                                                           • 	Rs50,000 crore provision for tax free infrastructure bonds.
                                                           • 	 For the growth of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), the continuation
                                                               of the benefits for three more years, despite their growing out of their respective
                                                               category.
                                                           • 	Impetus to investment in plant and machinery above Rs100 crore through
                                                               investment allowance of 15 per cent to manufacturing companies.
                                                           • 	 Funding and other incentives for the ambitious target of skilling 50 million people in
                                                               the 12th Plan. This will enhance availability of skilled labour and talent.
                                                               While the intent of the budget is to accelerate the GDP growth in the 12th Plan, it
                                                           will be constrained by an absence of matching impetus to the electrical equipment
                                                           manufacturing sector in particular and in the value chain of power covering
                                                           generation, transmission and distribution, on the whole.




         14   Electricals Today | march 2013




12_16_ET_Feb13_Cover story_Budget.indd 14                                                                                                                  06-03-2013 12:25:15
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          2012, are expected to go up to 185 million tonnes in 2016-17,”
          Chidambaram said.
             For relief in the medium term, he announced the introduction
          of a policy on blending imported coal and domestic coal. He
          said that the government was working out a public private part-
          nership (PPP) model for coal mining. Commercial coal mining is
          being considered as a possible solution to increase the output
          to meet the growing demand for coal from power producers.
             Another issue related to coal Coal is linkage, which may get
          sorted out, thanks to the railway budget, which earmarks Rs100
          crore for coal linkage facility.
             Gautam Adani, chairman, Adani Group, pointed out, “The
          upward revision of import duty, from 1 per cent to over 4 per
          cent on steam coal imports will adversely impact the industry
          as it will lead to increase in the cost of power generation. This is
                                                                                           The announcement to equalise
          a little amusing as the country has a huge deficit in coal and the
          government is trying to minimise cost by augmenting coal sup-
                                                                                            custom and CVD for steam and
          ply through various initiatives for domestic production as well                  bituminous coal used in thermal
          as opting for price pooling of domestic and imported coal.”
             India Ratings, in its reaction on the budget announcement,
                                                                                 power generation at 2 per cent each provides
          said, “While it may be a little premature to form a definitive
          assessment, the government's plans to encourage public - pri-
                                                                                 clarity to claims that are raised otherwise by
          vate partnership projects along with the state-owned Coal India        the customs department”
          should, prima-facie, be deemed positive if it helps accelerate
          and supplement domestic coal production, particularly to meet          Anil Sardana, managing director, Tata Power
          the acute fuel scarcity facing power projects.”
             Anil Sardana, managing director, Tata Power, one of the
          country’s largest power producers, said, “We are thankful for the
          minister's announcement to equalise custom and CVD for steam           LENDING TO THE SECTOR
          and bituminous coal used in thermal power generation at 2 per          Cheaper loans and making lending to power projects priority
          cent each as this provides clarity to claims raised otherwise by       have been long-pending demands of the country's power gen-
          the customs department.”                                               erators. This time, the finance minister has relented.
                                                                                   Says Sabyasachi Majumdar, senior vice-president, corporate
                                                                                 sector ratings, ICRA Ltd, “The government has proposed a num-
                                                                                 ber of measures for augmenting the availability of long-term
                                                                                 funds at competitive rates. These include encouragement for
                                                                                 creation of infrastructure debt funds (IDFs), fixation of limit for
                                                                                 fund raising through tax-free bonds at Rs550 billion and credit
                                                                                 enhancement mechanism through IIFCL.”
                                                                                   The major cheer, however, was reserved for the wind sector
                                                                                 with the re-introduction of Generation Based Incentive (GBI).
                                                                                 Also, the tax holiday for wind projects under 80 IA has been
                                                                                 extended for another year. In addition, the finance minister
                                                                                 has announced an allocation of fund from the National Clean
                                                                                 Energy Fund (NCEF) through IREDA with a life span of five years
                                                                                 to make the renewable energy lending cheaper.
                                                                                   Ramesh Kymal, chairman, Indian Wind Turbine Manufactur-
                  The upward revision of import duty, from                       ers’ Association (IWTMA) and managing director, Gamesa India,
                  1% to over 4 % on steam coal imports                           said, “The re-introduction of GBI is a timely intervention for the
                                                                                 wind industry, which was suffering for more than a year. This
                 will adversely impact the industry as it                        would certainly rejuvenate and boost the sector with more
                                                                                 investments. Reintroduction of GBI assumes greater significance
          will lead to increase in the cost of power.”                           as the industry has an ambitious plan of capacity addition in
                                                                                 the current plan period. I am confident that the industry would
          Gautam Adani, chairman, Adani Group                                    bounce back by 2014-15 and may be able to cross the set target
                                                                                 of 5,000 MW capacity every year.”



                                                                                                                               march 2013 | Electricals Today   15



12_16_ET_Feb13_Cover story_Budget.indd 15                                                                                                                 06-03-2013 12:25:15
COVER STORY
         cover story




                                               RUNNING FOR COVER?
                                               The power generators in the country,
                                               who are facing a number of issues,
                                               expected a budget that will go at
                                               least part of the way towards making
                                               power sector financially viable. But
                                               Chidambaram’s budget gave little cheer
                                               to the beleaguered sector.


                                               TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE
                                               The most vital segment of the power sector – the electrical
                                               industry – is unhappy with the budget. JG Kulkarni, president,
                                               Indian Electrical and Electronics Manufacturing Association
                                               (IEEMA), said, “We were hoping for some corrective measures to
                                               revive the downturn in the domestic electrical equipment indus-
                                               try which is reeling under the twin onslaught of the slowdown
                                               in the country’s power sector, which has depressed domestic
                                               demand, and the rapidly escalating imports of electrical equip-
                                               ment. This has resulted in under utilisation of the manufacturing
                                               capacity for electrical equipment.”
                                                  Looking at the mammoth problems faced by the sector and
                                               recalling the near-total blackouts last year, experts says these
                                               measures seem like small drops in the ocean. There should be
                                               a way to end the policy paralysis in the power sector with an
                                               investor-friendly policy environment. But that may have to await
                                               the next government as UPA gears up for elections in 2014. The
                                               question for the power sector is: will it be too late by then?



         16   Electricals Today | march 2013




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         18    Electricals Today | march 2013




18_24_ET_Mar13_Special Report_Competative Bidding.indd 18   06-03-2013 12:26:59
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                lights out!
                  India’s peak hour demand-supply gap
                  to widen to 22%. is there a way out?
                    BY Liza V




                    T
                                  he power situation is fast progressing from a
                                  ‘warning’ to a 'crisis' situation. While ‘Power for
                                  all’ is still a distant dream, the situation is fast
                                  becoming critical!
                                     Last year, during the summers, northern parts of
                    the country faced a complete black out for 48 hours. The reason:
                    Over-drawing by some utilities to meet demand owing to fuel
                    supply issues. But the question that is staring us point blank
                    right now is whether we are heading towards another crisis
                    bigger with fast dwindling fuel supply.
                       The ambitious plan of adding 75,000 MW to the grid
                    in the 12th five year plan will remain a mirage, point out
                    industry experts. For a country which added between
                    50,000- 60,000 MW in the 11th Plan period (2007-2012),
                    75,000 MW should be an easily attainable target. But that
                    does not seem to be the case.
                       Total installed capacity in the country stood at 2,11,766
                    MW with less than 1,000 MW addition from the December
                    2012 levels. Out of this, the contribution from the thermal sector
                    is 738 MW. This too was achieved mainly because of the commis-
                    sioning of one unit of 660 MW of the Mundra UMPP in January.
                       During the 12th Plan period, according to the plan CEA
                    document, the government plans to add a capacity of 72,330
                    MW from thermal power projects. But the plan is likely to hit
                    a road-block with the fast changing fuel supply scenario, both
                    domestic and internation.

                    The Problem
                    The investment in the power sector by private players is
                    expected to reach over 50 per cent by 2017. In 2011, during the
                    last phase of the 11th Plan period this was below 30 per cent.




                                                                                         march 2013 | Electricals Today   19



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                                Total installed capacity as on 31-12-2012
                                                                                     The private sector came into the picture when they proved that they
                                                                                     have the ability to complete projects in an efficiently and timely
                                Fuel                   MW                     %
                                                                                     manner. It was a smooth run both for the companies and the govern-
                         Total Thermal              140976.18               66.82
                                                                                     ment till recently when the competitive bidding process started and
                                Coal                120,873.38              57.29
                                                                                     projects were awarded. The scene took a U-turn when the fuel supply
                                Gas                  18,903.05               8.96
                                                                                     issue came to the fore with the rising prices of coal.
                                 Oil                 1,199.75                0.56

                      Hydro (Renewable)              39,339.40              18.64    The beginning
                               Nuclear               4,780.00                2.26    Under the competitive bidding Case I, the bids were awarded in two
                         RES** (MNRE)                25,856.14              12.25    categories
                               Total                2,10,951.72             100.00     i) Projects awarded with domestic coal supply guarantee by Coal
                 Source: CEA
                                                                                     India Limited (CIL)
                                                                                       ii) On 100 per cent imported coal.
                    Details of Captive Coal Block Allocation to Power Sector           Under both categories large power projects were envisaged
                               Utility            Coal Blocks         Geological     and awarded.
                                                                     Reserves (MT)
                                                                                       As a result of the changed coal price scenario, power generators
                                CPSU                    13                  6893
                                                                                     bidding for projects which were awarded in the second category
                         State Utilities                39                  12717
                                                                                     (with 100 per cent imported coal), have appealed to the authorities
                               UMPPs                    7                   2607     to revisit the inked PPAs. These companies, while bidding for the
                               Private                  32                  6076     projects, assumed that the coal prices will remain at the lower price
                                Total                   91                  28294    bracket in the long term. However, the situation changed dramati-
                 Source: CEA                                                         cally with coal prices going up globally and the Indonesian govern-
                                                                                     ment, followed by the other major coal exporting countries, announc-



         20    Electricals Today | march 2013




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                                                                              Higher fuel cost will transpire into
                                                                              decreased returns from power
                                                                              projects. This will result in generators
                                                                              defaulting in loan payments to lenders
                                                                              and the spiraling effect would result
                                                                              non-performing assets for the banks.

                                                                              Globalcoal New Castle index, the New Castle Export index
                                                                              and the Platts-1 index. This pushed up the coal price higher
                                                                              than what was indicated in the purchase contract. Some of
                                                                              the available calculation shows that in money terms, the
                                                                              effect of this will be an increase equivalent to 0.70 paise per
                                                                              unit of electricity generated using imported coal.
                                                                                 Indonesia is not alone, Australia has imposed a pollution tax.
                                                                                 The projects which were contracted under the competi-
                                                                              tive bidding process with 85 per cent domestic coal supply
                                                                              guarantee from the CIL and 15 per cent imported coal,
                                                                              are facing the real challenge because of the short fall in
          ing that the export prices will have to follow either an index or   supply. Owing to different issues including the envi-
          a floor based on an index. Investors who assumed coal price at      ronmental clearance and forest land, CIL is not
          $40-45 per tonne while bidding for power supply are now wit-        able to meet demand. There is a marginal
          nessing the price shooting up to $100 a tonne. Those who have       increase in CIL’s coal production, but
          contracted projects by acquiring mines abroad under captive         the demand is much higher.
          consumption are also facing challenges with the international          There are coal blocks


                                                                                                               2,11,766 MW
          price. Many of the generators have bought coal mines either in      awarded domesti-
          Australia, Indonesia and South Africa. Considering the proximity    cally under the
          to the Indian coastline, majority of the companies went into        captive use
          contracts with Indonesia for captive mining. The lower price in     category.                                Total installed capacity in
          Indonesia was attractive for the domestic companies.                   The problems of green                         the country
             Companies like JSW Energy, Reliance ADAG, Adani Group,           area/forest/ area markings
          Tata Group, Lanco have over the years acquired mines in             has delayed mining by the private
          Indonesia. Over 50 per cent of the coal imports for the             companies. In some cases the coal
          domestic power companies are from Indonesia. Indonesian             blocks have been taken back because of
          companies have entered into agreement with the Indian               the delay in mining. In short, projects which are
          companies to sell coal according to a price agreed between          contracted either with domestic coal and international
          the two parties. This price was much lower than the coal            coal are put into a situation where the signed PPAs are fall-
          indices which was being adopted by many countries for price         ing flat.
          bench marking. Realising the loss of revenue, the Indonesian           A higher fuel cost will transpire into decreased returns
          government has imposed a royalty on coal exports. For the           from the projects. This may result in the generators delaying/
          price calculation they have taken the average of four coal          defaulting in loan payments. The spiraling effect would be
          indices, which include the Indonesian coal price index, the         the non-performing-assets for the banks.



                                                                                                                      march 2013 | Electricals Today   21



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                                                                                              PROJECTS AWARDED THROUGH TARIFF BASED COMPETITIVE BIDDING ROUTE
         What the industry wants                                                                       ULTRA MEGA POWER PROJECTS(UMPPs) ( as on 1st July,2012)
         “In the current scenario, all PPAs will fall flat,” pointed out Ashok
                                                                                      Name of the Project              Name of the           Date of LoI   Levelised
         Khurana, Director General, Association of Power Producers. "The             and capacity as per LoI        Successful Bidder                        Tariff
                                                                                                                                                            (Rs/KWH)
         earlier PPAs had a commitment of 85 per cent supply from CIL
         which came down to 70 per cent in the previous year and now                     MUNDRA (5x800 MW)            M/s Tata Power Ltd      28.12.2006     2.264
                                                                                             (Gujarat)
         it is 60 per cent,” he points out. Bringing down the percentage
                                                                                     SASAN (6x660 MW) (Gujarat)     M/s Reliance Power Ltd    01.08.2007     1.196
         of guaranteed coal by another 25 per cent is surely going to hit
                                                                                     KRISHNAPATNAM(6x660 MW)        M/s Reliance Power Ltd    30.11.2007     2.333
         the profitability of the project. The government has to look at                  (Andhra Pradesh)
         the ground reality and find out a solution to resolve the prob-                  TILAIYA(6x660 MW)         M/s Reliance Power Ltd    12.02.2009     1.770
         lem at the earliest, Khurana said.                                                   (Jharkhand)
              Other industry experts are of the opinion that this is purely          Source: CEA

         a contractual issue. However, the fear of not being able to pay
         back the loan is a harsh reality both for the generation utilities
         and the banks. A senior member of a state regulatory commis-               can ramp up production tremendously,” pointed out Kamesh-
         sion, on condition of anonymity commented that “Change                     war Rao . There is no doubt that the companies are getting
         is possible if all the parties agree to it. Reopening PPAs is a            affected. Third quarter results of Tata Power is a mirror to the
         possibility in long term contracts after 10 to 12 years, taking            existing situation, he added.
         into consideration all the changed scenarios. However, in a                   According to Rao, the solution is not as easy. However, clarity
         competitive bidding scenario, the PPAs need to be verified.” The           in coal pool pricing can address the issue to a large extent in the
         contracts which have been signed with fixed cost components                short term.
         are the ones which are taking the most hit. “On the face of it,
         fuel appears the major villain here. The risk component in the             Bailout
         PPAs may differ from case to case. So before jumping to conclu-            The problems of fuel supply and utilities not being able to
         sion, the technical, commercial and legal aspects also required            recover money is snowballing with each passing day. Some fear
         to be carefully examined,” he added.                                       that this can grow to where the discoms financial conditions
             “The problems faced by the utilities are not unique. Globally          are now. “Everyone fears the current situation,” says Rao. A pass-
         unanticipated developments have triggered similar situations               through according to CERC guidelines which is viable with the
         for utilities. While, fuel is one issue, in Europe it was the change       tariff mechanism could be a possible answer.
         in subsidies, while in other case it was a newer technology                   “Bailing out the generation utilities at this point is unfair. The
         which created issues,” said, Kameshwar Rao, executive direc-               post-bid change may indicate that the companies which lost
         tor, PricewaterhouseCooper, a consultancy firm. “This is not a             the bid may have been more competitive. The companies have
         dispute but a circumstance driven issue to look at a long term             consciously decided to absorb the risk by bidding in this man-
               contract. Here the problem is big as fuel shortage or price          ner. Firms which won the bid should have had back to back coal
                     hike was not envisaged in the contract,” he added.             supply agreement in place,” argued Shantanu Dixit of Prayas
                                                                                    Energy Group, a Pune-based energy sector think tank.
                                      Fuel Supply                                      The country has a peak demand deficit of over 9 per cent. The
                                           When the power producers slipped         stake holders are trying to bring down the T& D losses to the 15



                60%
                                                 to acute fuel shortage last        per cent levels. With many of the projects on hold, the question
                                                       year, the Prime Minister’s   which worries many is what will happen to the capacity addi-
                                                           Office intervened        tion plans? A power analyst from a leading financial lender is
                                                           with the formula of      quick to say that, “the second half of the current plan period will
           CIL's coal supply commitement                Fuel Supply Agreement       see a huge slip in capacity addition. The first half will add the
                                                  or FSAs. On the face of it, the   slippage from the last plan period, so it will be stable.”
                                            formula, appeared to be a surety           Kameshwar Rao quantifies it when he says “There will be an
                                      card for fuel supply. The generation utili-   off the cliff slip which will be between 7-8 per cent. The demand
                               ties are of the opinion that the FSA hasn’t made     supply gap will increase to 20-22 per cent by 2017 (end of the
                        any change to the problems of fuel supply yet.              current plan period). This will result in even cities ending up
                    Now, the government has suggested coal pooling prices           with 4-5 hours of power cuts a day.”
         to address the issue immediately.                                             Experts believe that one should look at Case 2 bidding as
            “The fuel price pass through shouldn’t be seen as a profit              fuel supply is the sole responsibility of the government and as
         making formula. It should be reviewed from case to case. The               a generator, the role of the utility will be limited. In that case
         suggestion is to constitute an independent committee to look               the price of power will be stable. In the short term, government
         into the problem,” said Khurana.                                           should clarify how it is going to incorporate the price pooling
            “Further improvement in fuel (coal) supply can be possible.             formula at the PPA level. Until and unless there is transparency
         Government may look at more investment in coal sector which                in this, the solution will be as much an eye wash as the FSAs.



         22    Electricals Today | march 2013




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distribution




          'The basic problem facing
          the sector today is fuel cost'
          Hemant Joshi, CFO, CLP India, on the urgency to resolve PPA related issues
          Interviewed by Liza V


               Could you please explain the problems faced by thermal                     In the recent past many private power generators
               projects currently?                                                        who have signed PPAs have approached different
               Fuel shortages, both coal and gas shortage is the major                    agencies highlighting the projects become unviable
               problem facing thermal projects now. The shortfall in supply                in the changed scenario. Your comment
               of domestic coal and a large increase in price of imported                  Many of PPAs signed earlier either were relying on
          has resulted in such a scenario. Projects which were planned with      procuring 100 per cent domestic coal or cheap international coal.
          100 per cent domestic coal are facing the problem because Coal         Since then domestic coal availability has decreased and interna-
          India Limited (CIL), the sole supplier of coal in India is unable to   tionally, coal prices have increased. Further PPAs were signed in
          meet all the demand. Internationally, because of change in laws in     two broad categories first, on fixed tariff basis where the fuel risk
          countries like Indonesia and also because of the demand supply         in borne by the electricity producer and secondly with the fuel
          situation, coal prices have increased. The sudden changes in the       price changes as a 100 per cent pass through. The ones which are
          prices are hitting the planned projects in a major way.                signed with fixed tariff are facing a major problem as their cost of




                                                                                                                         march 2013 | Electricals Today   23



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                                                          For many fixed tariff PPAs, this is an issue that needs to
                                                          be addressed urgently as cash flow from such projects
                                                         can no longer support debt payments. Many of these
                                                       projects have been financed by public sector banks. Thus,
                                                       a power sector problem has the potential of becoming a
                                                       much larger financial sector problem."

         production is now sometimes higher than the quoted PPA tariff.        sector problem will be quickly converted in to a banking sector
            For many fixed tariff PPAs, the issue needs to be addressed as     problem.
         the cash flow from many such projects can no longer support the          Given all this background, some sort of concessions can be
         debt payments. Many of these projects have been financed by           considered. I think that the sector has learned some lessons and
         public sector banks. In such a scenario, a power sector problem       we might not see that type of aggressive bidding done earlier. I
         has the potential of being converted in to a much larger financial    also think that banks will be more cautious and only good proj-
         sector problem. Something similar can also happen with the            ects will be able to raise money.
         large amount of public debts that are supporting the discom
         losses. Overall, lending to power sector projects will be extremely            What is the kind of dip we anticipate in capacity addi-
         difficult for the banks                                                        tion in the current Five Year Plan considering we are in
                                                                                        the first year of the Plan Period battling a huge crisis?
                  Last year after the PMO intervention we saw FSAs                      Could you quantify the effect?
                  being signed between the power producers and CIL. In                The effect of the current problems will be felt in the second
                   the current scenario, it is coal pooling which is being     half of the Twelfth Plan Period. The projects which were started
                   talked about. How effective will that be?                   at the end of the last Five year Plan will be the ones which will be
                 The basic problem facing the sector today is fuel costs.      coming on-stream in the near future. However, very few new coal
         Due to shortage in domestic coal and increase in price of inter-      based projects are being taken up. The story is even worse for
         national coal, the cost of fuel has increased. These costs have to    new gas projects as the availability of gas has dipped to alarming
         be allocated across the system which consists of IPP’s, state and     levels. Hydro continues to be plagued by tremendous delays
         central generators, coal India and the discoms. Who will absorb       whereas even wind additions have slowed down recently due
         this price gap is the question which needs to be addressed? Coal      to regulatory uncertainty. Overall, I think that meeting Twelfth
         pooling is one solution in which the cost increase is uniformly       Plan targets will be challenging unless the fuel issues are urgently
         spread across the system. But this is zero sum game in the sense      resolved.
         that if cost for one particular set of people goes down, then
         someone else in the system is faced with the higher cost. The                  By the end of 12th Five Year Plan it was envisaged that
         question about who shares the cost in what proportion is very                  electricity will be in an affordable bracket with all the
         difficult and something the government needs to decide quickly                   capacity addition plans coming on stream. Do you
         and move forward. Given the nature of the problem, it is going to                think cheaper electricity will be a reality?
         be very difficult to please everyone with any single solution.                 I think cheaper and affordable are two different things.
                                                                               On one hand, both coal and gas costs are going up. Depreciation
                 If these PPAs are reopened and given a revision in            in the value of rupee means that cost of imported fuel has also
                   tariff, don’t you think it will be completely against the   increased. Overall, we should consider cost of producing power to
                   structure of competitive bidding?                           go up. On the other hand, the national income is also increasing
                  What you are saying is essentially correct but a pragmatic   and India’s middle class and the commercial and industrial users
         and timely solution needs to be found. Thousands of mega-             can absorb the higher costs if they are assured of a reliable source
         watts of capacity are currently stranded as it is not viable under    of electricity. This issue gets caught up in politics where the differ-
         the existing PPA’s. New capacity additions have slowed down           ence between costs and affordability is often lost. As they say in
         and demand continues to grow. Further, if these problems are          basic economics, if you don’t pay a fair price for a commodity, it will
         not corrected now, payment defaults can happen and a power            be in short supply which in this case means blackouts.



         24    Electricals Today | march 2013




18_24_ET_Mar13_Special Report_Competative Bidding.indd 24                                                                                       06-03-2013 12:28:33
transmission




          Plan for
          green corridors
          Creating large transmission projects to
          evacuate RE power is the need of the hour
          Sanjeev Aggarwal
          Managing Director, Amplus Infrastructure




          F
                        rom the current installed renewable capacity of approx.       potentially come up in Tamil Nadu or solar that can come up in Raj-
                        27,000 MW, 18,500 MW is contributed by wind and 1,250         asthan cannot be absorbed in those states; we need to provide a
                        MW by solar. No mean achievement for a sector that has        proper outlet for this capacity if we intend to use nature’s gift to us.
                        consistently been at the margin of capacity addition in          Creating large-scale transmission lines that can serve multiple
                        India – renewable power was always considered as a            states is one answer. We should be thankful to Powergrid that it has
          me-too in the larger context of thermal and hydro plants.                   already started working on this idea and has developed a detailed
             Last few years of volatile fuel prices and availability has pushed       plan for intra-state and inter-state system strengthening, requiring
          the Indian power sector as well as the global market towards focus          an investment of more than Rs42,000 crore. About Rs20,000 crore
          on wind and solar technologies. In the next 5 years, India expects          would be for intra-state strengthening and Rs22,000 crore for inter-
          to add 30 GW of wind and 10 GW of solar, not an unrealistic target          state grid integration. This would also include other work such as
          if one goes by global examples, and that gets coupled with the              energy storage, real time monitoring system and setting up of a
          lack of alternate power capacities that can be planned in India in          renewable energy management centre.
          this timeframe.                                                                However, financing of such a large amount is not the only chal-
             With wind power achieving ‘grid parity’ and solar achieving              lenge that faces the industry today. Just like other infrastructure, it
          ‘socket-parity’ vis a vis the alternatives that the consumers have, it is   is the implementation challenges on land, right of way, and forest
          likely that large investments will continue to flow in these segments.      clearances that can significantly delay the projects.
             This is where the problems arise for wind and solar power. They
          perform best in certain areas and for optimal capital utilisation; we
          ought to plan it that way.
             Renewable energy facilities where fuel is costless, operating costs      Powergrid has already begun
          are typically lower than fossil generation facilities, but the capital      system strengthening proejcts
          cost, including transmission line cost, are often a significant com-
          ponent of total project costs. Because renewable energy resources           worth Rs42,000 crore.
          are often located in remote locations, greater reliance on renewable
          electricity generation will also result in a geographic shift in the
          location of generation capacity, and in turn have repercussions for
          the new transmission investments required to address transmission              Any large scale transmission projects will take 2 to 4 years to be
          congestion. As a result, adequate existing transmission access is also      implemented while wind and solar projects are delivered in 3 to 9
          likely to be a driver of early large-scale, grid-connected renewable        months of starting work. This creates a mismatch in our expecta-
          energy development.                                                         tions and what can be actually delivered on the ground. If we really
             There have been reports in the last couple of years about plants         want to push our renewable programme, we have to create larger
          facing evacuation constraints in specific areas of the country. This        transmission capacities that can provide sufficient evacuation. We
          is obvious considering that so much capacity comes on line during           do not want to create infrastructure investments that do not deliver
          specific times of the year and can create problems for grid stability.      the results we expect because of avoidable bottlenecks. Not after
             As examples, it is becoming obvious that wind capacity that can          what is happening to gas and coal projects in the coutry!




                                                                                                                                march 2013 | Electricals Today   25



25_ET_Mar13_Sanjeev Agarwal.indd 25                                                                                                                        06-03-2013 12:32:32
Analysis




        26    Electricals Today | march 2013




26_29_ET_Mar13_Tata Power.indd 26              06-03-2013 12:34:39
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Et mar13

  • 1. ET Total number of pages 56 Volume 1 | Issue 2 | March 2013 | `50 Electricals Today More power to the industry focus Is it time for a rethink on PPA conditions? powerless DESPITE THE HYPE, P CHIDAMBARAM’S budget FAILED TO OFFER THE SECTOR ANY LIGHT AT THE END OF THE LONG, dark TUNNEL An ITP Publishing India Publication 01_ET_Mar13_CoverFinal.indd 1 06-03-2013 17:39:47
  • 2.
  • 3. Contents People 12 12 Cover Story Despite the hype, Chidambaram’s budget has little to offer the power sector. Is there any hope at all at the end of the long, dark tunnel? 25 Column Sanjeev Aggarwal, MD of Amplus Infrastructure, talks about green corridors to get rid of the power woes 30 Straight Talk CCI MD and CEO Maadhav Digraskar wants the government to give the power sector special status 18 38 REPORTS 18 Distribution The country's peak demand-supply gap is ever widening. Are we looking at a likely catastrophe? 26 Finance The power sector behemoth, Tata Power, reported a disappointing quarter with losses amounting to Rs329 crore Maadhav Digraskar 38 Generation Fuel is on fire as additional capacity is getting stranded due to lack of coal supply “In today’s 30 fiercely competitive REGULARS environment it is challenging 06 News, people & events to retain our Industry round up, including new events and latest leadership developments in the extra high voltage 50 Market data segment." A look at the key industry trends and statistics. And an analysis of what the numbers mean 54 Ten things about Grid stored energy can be used to address peak power needs march 2013 | Electricals Today 3 03_ET_Mar13_Contents.indd 3 06-03-2013 12:20:40
  • 4. Comment ET Power struggle One look at P Chidambaram’s budget, and one can easily tell that the finance minister – and the powers that be – are powerless to offset the dismal state of the sector. Electricals Today And you don’t have to be a power pundit to make out where the More power to the industry problems lie. Just check the stats: the number of rural households with Volume 1 | Issue 2 | March 2013 no access to electricity in 2001 was 7.5 crore; in 2011, it increased to 7.8 crore. Similarly, in 2001, the number of urban households with no access ITP Publishing India Pvt Ltd to electricity was 0.6 crore; in 2011, it increased to 0.7 crore! Notan Plaza, 3rd floor, 898, Turner Road Given these depressing figures, is there a solution in sight? The first Bandra (West), Mumbai - 400050 thing that probably comes to mind is adding new generation projects, T +91 22 6154 6000 right? Well, think again. According to one study, electricity development Deputy managing director S Saikumar should not be synonymous with setting up new projects. Publishing director Bibhor Srivastava The argument is straightforward. The end product of electricity is Group editor Shafquat Ali different in different sectors. It is luminosity in lighting, lifting water in Editorial Team irrigation, turning the wheel in industry and so on and so forth. Niranjan Mudholkar, Imran Mirza, Nirmal Menon The energy required can come not just from a new generation project Shiv Joshi & Syed Ameen Kader alone. It is one of the many options and, not necessarily, the most optimal from the point of view of cost and long-term sustainability. Advertising Business head Hafeez Shaikh It can come from a new MW based on renewable or non-renewable T +91 98331 03611 hafeez.shaikh@itp.com resource or, for that matter, from a saved MW through efficiency improvement. And this, to me, poses the biggest challenge for the power Studio industry: choosing the right power source, one that is both sustainable Head of design Milind Patil Designer Reshma Jhunjhunwala and affordable. It is here that we are faced with the larger problem. How does the fresh Production capacity of power reach the intended user? And therein lies the biggest Deputy production manager Ramesh Kumar failing for the sector: inefficiencies in transmission and distribution of ramesh.kumar@itp.com power. On an average, more than one third of the generated electricity Circulation is lost in T&D. To make matters worse, the investment in T&D has failed to Distribution manager James D’Souza keep pace with the massive investment in generation. T +91 22 6154 6032 james.dsouza@itp.com Enough said. You probably get the drift. But it is ironical that the government chooses to ignore the writing on the wall. Why else would Disclaimer The publishers regret that they cannot accept liability the FM present such a lacklustre budget again – a budget that offers the for error or omissions contained in this publication, how- sector no light at the end of the long, dark tunnel? ever caused. The opinions and views contained in this publication are not necessarily those of the publishers. Readers are advised to seek specialist advice before act- ing on information contained in this publication, which is provided for general use and may not be appropriate for the readers’ particular circumstances. The owner- Shafquat Ali, ship of trademarks is acknowledged. No part of this Group editor, ITP Publishing publication or any part of the contents thereof may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form without the permission of the publishers FORM IV in writing. An exemption is hereby granted for extracts (Statement about ownership and other particulars Address: Notan Plaza, 3rd Floor, 898, Turner Road, Bandra (w), used for the purpose of fair review. about the newspaper/magazine Electricals Today to Mumbai- 400 050, Maharashtra. be published in the first issue every year after the last Editor’s Name: Shafquat Ali Printed and Published by Sai Kumar Shanmugam, Flat day of February) Nationality: Indian no 903, Building 47, NRI Colony, Phase – 2, Part -1, Sector Name of the Publication: Electricals Today (i) Whether Citizen of India: Yes 54, 56, 58, Nerul, Navi Mumbai 400706, on behalf of Periodicity of the publication/ Language: Monthly/English (ii) If a foreigner, country of origin: Not applicable ITP Publishing India Private Limited, printed at Indigo Printer’s Name: Saikumar Shanmugam Address : Notan Plaza, 3rd Floor, 898, Turner Road, Bandra (W), Press (India) Private Limited, Plot No.1C/716, Off Dadoji Nationality: Indian Mumbai- 400 050, Maharashtra. Konddeo Cross Road, Between Sussex And Retiwala Ind. (i) Whether Citizen of India: Yes Name and address of the individuals who own the Estate, Byculla (E) Mumbai- 400 027, India and published (ii) If a foreigner, country of origin Not applicable newspaper/magazine and partners or shareholders at Notan Plaza, 3rd floor, 898, Turner Road, Bandra Address: Notan Plaza, 3rd Floor, 898, Turner Road, Bandra (w), holding more than one percent of the total capital. (West), Mumbai - 400050 Mumbai- 400 050, Maharashtra ITP Publishing India Pvt.Ltd. ITP Holdings Inc, Publisher’s Name: Saikumar Shanmugam PO Box 500024, Dubai, U.A.E. Editor Shafquat Ali Nationality: Indian (i) Whether Citizen of India: Yes I, Saikumar Shanmugam, hereby declare that the particulars given above (ii) If a foreigner, country of origin: Not applicable are true to the best of my knowledge and belief. Date: February 28, 2013 Saikumar Shanmugam Signature of the publisher Published by and © 2013 ITP Publishing India Pvt Ltd 4 Electricals Today | MARCH 2013 04_ET_Mar13_Ed Letter.indd 4 06-03-2013 16:27:33
  • 5. KNOWLEDGE PARTNER ET ELECTRICALS TODAY MORE POWER TO THE INDUSTRY temp_Cover.indd 1 07-03-2013 10:54:46
  • 6. NEWS Shortcircuited: SEBs are increasingly 9 News & P NTPC-CIL DEADLOCK TO END SOON resorting to power cuts to get over the power shortage It looks like the face-off between NTPC and Coal India Limited (CIL) on the fuel sup- ply agreement (FSA) issue is nearing closure. Accord- ing to NTPC officials, most major issues with CIL have been resolved. The NTPC officials have informed the same to the CEA chairperson in a meeting held recently. A meeting to iron out the remaining differences was held between NTPC and CIL officials at CIL headquarters in Kolkata, towards the end of last month. Lanco, R-Power cut off Mine developer supply to UPPCL for FECPL Power generating companies Reliance Power (R-Power) and Lanco Infrat- Fatehpur East Coal Private Limited ech have cut off supplies to Uttar Pradesh Power Corporation (UPPCL) for (FECPL) is planning to appoint a mine non-clearance of its dues. Reliance Power’s Rosa thermal power station developer cum operator (MDO) to and Lanco Infratech’s Anpara C thermal power station have stopped sup- develop the Fatehpur East coal block, plying power to UPPCL. "Both companies have shut down generation as in the Mand Raigarh coalfield of we have not been able to make timely payments. While dues to Reliance Chhattisgarh. FECPL, a joint venture amount to approximately Rs900 crore, Lanco’s dues are to the tune of (JVC) of five independent power approximately Rs400 crore,” an UPPCL official said. producers, has issued a request for Rosa TPS in Shahjahanpur district has shut down one unit of 300 proposal (RfP) that will include three MW while Lanco Infratech’s Anpara C project in Sonebhadra different activities, development, oper- district has shut down one unit of 600 MW. Rosa and ational and mine closure, to be carried Lanco have a total installed capacity of 1,200 MW out by the chosen MDO. The develop- Rs1 ,500cr each. While the former has four units, each ment activities primarily involve con- Approximate dues of 300 MW, Lanco has two coal-fired units struction and maintenance of mining each of 600 MW. Reliance Power had got into infrastructure as well as arrangement of UPPCL a commercial dispute with the UPPCL last year of manpower and water supply for the after which it manually shut two of its four units. project. Bids are expected to be sub- The power corporation expects the situation to improve mitted by March 18, 2013, following once the Centre’s bailout package in the form of a financial which the proposals for qualification restructuring package, comes through. will be opened. 6 Electricals Today | March 2013 06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 6 06-03-2013 12:22:04
  • 7. NEWS & People >>> FSAs still 11 Major challenge is securing fuel hanging fire supplies. Though India has the There is still a long way to go for CIL and its subsidiaries to sign all the world's fourth largest reserves requisite Fuel Supply Agreements of coal and has recently made (FSAs). In a meeting held recently convened by AS Bakshi, chairman, CEA, gas discoveries that are notable the power utilities raised concerns regarding certain issues with Coal by global standards, inadequate India Ltd (CIL) subsidiaries. Subsidiar- fuel supplies are constraining the ies of CIL namely SECL and MCL in particular, have refused to consider growth of power sector.” medium term power purchase agree- Jyotiraditya Scindia, Union power minister ments (PPAs) necessary for the signing of FSAs. The companies have termed long term PPAs as a pre-requisite to ink the pact. The coal companies have also demanded written confirmation regarding supply of 5 per cent power Distribution companies cannot to host states on variable charges. continuously go on making losses. State governments have no choice but to MoP seeks Rs1,500 increase tariffs to make them viable.” NK Jain, vice-chairman, JSW Energy cr for discoms Determined to ensure its ambi- tious turnaround plan for ailing Reintroduction of Generation distribution companies, the power ministry had sought a Rs1,500- Based Incentive is a timely crore budgetary support for intervention for the wind industry, funding the Transitional Finance Mechanism (TFM) under the which was suffering for over scheme in 2013-14. It also wanted Rs4,500 crore for its rural electrifi- than a year. It will rejuvenate the cation programme, the Rajiv Gan- sector with more investments. dhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana (RGGVY), an 80 per cent jump over This assumes greater significance the revised estimate of Rs2,492 crore for this financial year. The as the industry has an ambitious Rs1,500-crore central allocation is plan of capacity addition in to be available for states showing an accelerated reduction in com- the current plan period.” mercial and line losses. Ramesh Kymal, managing director, Gamesa India March 2013 | Electricals Today 7 06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 7 06-03-2013 12:22:06
  • 8. NEWS > > at a glance > AP GENCO TO COMMENCE WORK The Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N Kiran Kumar Reddy TPC to invest Rs500 cr in Jharkhand approved the setting up of three new thermal stations TATA Power Co Ltd (TPC), which recently signed a power distribution franchise agreement in the state. AP Genco is expected to commence work on with the Jharkhand State Electricity Board (JSEB), will invest Rs500 crore in the Jamshedpur three projects with total installed capacity of 2,400 MW. circle of the state. TPC will upgrade existing infrastructure and distribution network there These projects will be based on supercritical technology and hopes to reduce aggregate technical and commercial (ATC) losses to 13 per cent from and have capacity of 800 MW each. Reddy has directed AP the current 33 per cent in the new circle. This is TPC’s first power distribution franchise, Genco to complete these thermal power stations in the although it has distribution operations in Mumbai and Delhi with its own licence. “We state within three years. The total cost is expected to be will be investing Rs500 crore in improving the distribution network,” said Tata Power’s about Rs13,200 crore. These power plants will be setup executive director and chief financial officer S Ramakrishnan. Of this, Rs400 crore will be at Krishnapatnam in Nellore district, a green field plant raised through loans under the Restructured Accelerated Power Development and Reform and expansion at existing power plants at Vijayawada and Programme (R-APDRP) and Rs100 crore from internal resources, he said. The company aims Kothagudem Thermal Stations. to reduce ATC losses to 13 per cent over the next five years. New national power grid to start operations by Jan 2014 While integrating the southern grid with the already formed New Grid is underway, the Planning Commission has made some important recommendations and said that systems should be loaded gradually as experience is gained. This national power grid is expected to be operational by January 2014. The commission has said that for an initial period of six TPC RfP for Delhi power procurement months to one year, AC ties must be primarily used to build reliability. It has also contended To avoid the inconvenience of power cuts during the summers, that a right operating philosophy like frequency band tightening and tight control on Tata Power Delhi Distribution Limited (TPDDL) is planning to make drawals must be put in place for the synchronization to be a success. Experience of Turkey short term power purchase agreements for the period from May 16 can be utilised in this regard, the commission noted. Turkey was synchronously connected to September 15, 2013. Although Tata Power has not put a cap on to Continental Europe in September 2010. However, three phases of trial operation and the quantum of power to be supplied by the successful bidder, the stabilisation were conducted for almost two years till late 2012. distribution company (discom) has insisted on a minimum 25 MW for the entire period. In the request for proposal (RfP) document, it has WPI for power up in Jan’13 been specified that the power requirement for the 15-day period in The wholesale price index (WPI) for “Fuel and Power” for the month of January, 2013 rose May will be 50 MW. This will further escalate to 200 MW and 300 MW by 0.3 per cent to 189.5 (Provisional) from 188.9 (Provisional) for the previous month due in the months of June and July, respectively, and then drop to 150 to higher price of bitumen (6 per cent), light diesel oil and furnace oil (1 per cent each). MW during September 2013. Whatever amount the successful bidder However, the price of aviation turbine fuel (1 per cent) declined. The annual rate of inflation, agrees to supply, it has to ensure that the actual scheduling does not based on monthly WPI, stood at 6.62 per cent (Provisional) for the month of January, 2013 deviate by more than 15 per cent of the contracted power as per the (over January, 2012) as compared to 7.18 per cent (Provisional) for the previous month approved open access on monthly basis. In case such a situation and 7.23 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Build up inflation arises, the seller has to pay compensation to TPDDL at 20 per cent in the financial year so far was 5.09 per cent compared to a build-up of 6.15 per cent in the of contracted tariff per KWh for the shortfall in excess of permitted corresponding period of the previous year. deviation of 15 per cent. Bidders were asked to submit their bids and supporting documents latest by February 27, 2013. TD Power Systems wins contracts worth Rs234 crore TD Power Systems Limited, a manufacturer of AC generators and solutions provider for TN invites bids for imported coal captive and independent power projects, announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary DF Tamil Nadu PSU TANGEDCO has invited bids for procurement of 4.2 Power Systems Private Limited (DFPS) has been awarded two separate contracts worth million tonnes (MT) of imported steam coal for its 1,200 MW North Rs234 crore. DFPS won a Rs225 crore order from an industrial conglomerate for setting up Chennai Thermal Power Project (Stage II) (NCTPP), which will com- of a 45 MW captive power plant in the northeast. Additionally, it also won an order from a mence operation after May 2013, and for its other thermal stations private sector steel giant for waste gas fired package boilers valued at about Rs9 crore. located in Ennore, Mettur and Tuticorin regions of Tamil Nadu. The selected bidder will have to supply coal for a six month period from Best Stall award for ABB at ELASIA June 2013 to November 2013. In case of any delay in commission- ABB participated in the 5th ELASIA 2013 at Bangalore International Exhibition Center (BIEC) ing of the NCTPP power plant, TANGEDCO has said that the time as platinum sponsors where it displayed its low voltage switchgear portfolio through a live period will be extended upto a maximum of three months, beyond exhibiting stand of 90 square metrs. The stand consisted of segment-wise exhibit panels, November 2013. As per the coal specifications mentioned by the live product demos, KNX living room automation with live demo automation and technical utility, the successful bidder will be liable to supply imported coal with paper presentations on ‘Innovative and reliable systems in Low Voltage (LV) Networks.. Gross calorific value (GCV) of 5400-6300 kcal/kg and the size of the It was an ideal platform, where major players from electrical industries like switchgear, coal should range between 0 to 50 mm. All bids need to be submitted lighting, cables and solutions for renewable energy displayed their products and solutions. latest by March 12, 2013. 8 Electricals Today | March 2013 06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 8 06-03-2013 12:22:07
  • 9. NEWS POSCO may become a CPSU EAC defers forest Odisha criticised for The power ministry is actively con- sidering the Planning Commission's clearances diverting forest land proposal to categorise Power System Operation Corporation (POSOCO) as a An estimated Rs22,000 crore invest- for power stations Group-A central public sector under- ment continues to be at stake as the taking (CPSU). Being categorised as a Expert Appraisal Committee (EAC) The EAC has raised a red flag over Odisha Group-A CPSU will lend an indepen- has deferred its decision on clear- Thermal Power Corporation Limited's dent stature to POSOCO, established ance-related issues for 4,100 MW of (OTPCL) proposal to divert 1,969.78 hactre as a 100 per cent subsidiary of Power- thermal and captive power plants. of land for the upcoming 3x800 MW grid in 2009. In the recently convened meeting of supercritical coal based TPP despite five The Planning Commission has the re-constituted EAC on environ- reserve forests within a 10 km range of contended that this step is necessary mental impact assessment (EIA), the project site. The committee expressed as POSOCO performs statutory func- the committee was taken aback by concern that the land for project and ash tions of national importance through the developers' inability to bridge pond is too large for just one project and RLDCs/NLDC. Central Electricity the missing gaps in project-specific needs to be scaled down to the maximum Regulatory Commission (CERC) has documents despite being pulled extent possible. Moreover, OTPCL must already conferred financial indepen- up earlier for this very reason. If the make efforts to avoid using the 83.91 acres dence to POSCO. Classifying POSOCO developers fail to follow clear direc- of forest land altogether. During the EAC as a 'Group-A' CPSU will not entail tions and furnish same old informa- meeting, the committee further directed any financial implication as a revenue tion for resolution of matters, there OTPCL to strictly adhere to Central Electric- stream is already provided for by CERC is nothing that the EAC can do ity Authority (CEA) norms and accordingly in accordance with the provisions of except push its final decisions to the present the revised layout along with the the Electricity Act, 2003. next meeting. EIA Report. Tata Power registers 50.4 MW wind project Carbon-friendly: Tata Power's Samana plant in Gujarat will reduce carbon footprints by 96,821 tonnes of CO2 Tata Power has successfully registered its 50.4 MW Wind power project at Samana, Gujarat under Clean Develop- ment Mechanism (CDM) programme by United Nations Framework Conven- tion on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The 50.4 MW wind plant was commis- sioned in May 2009 and uses 63 wind turbine generators of 800 KW capacity each to harness wind energy for power generation. Speaking on the occasion, Anil Sardana, MD, Tata Power, said, “We have always established that clean and renewable energy is the need of the hour and Tata Power will continue its efforts towards this.” The Samana plant helps in reducing an annual average of 96,821 tons of Carbon Dioxide equiva- lent, by producing 104,970 MWh per year (average) equivalent amount of clean energy. March 2013 | Electricals Today 9 06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 9 06-03-2013 12:22:09
  • 10. DIARY Events Save Power Show Venue: Le Meridien, Cochin Date: March 2-4 The show is an excellent networking and knowledge-sharing platform for the stakeholders in the renewable energy sector. Save Power Show will showcase renewable energy and energy- efficient products and solutions under one roof, enabling visitors to acquire knowledge and information about the latest technol- ogy and the best solutions for their energy requirement. 12th Coaltrans India Venue: Grand Hyatt, Goa Date: March 12-13 The past 12 months have seen dramatic developments in the dynamics shaping India's coal sector. Yet amidst such difficulties, the power and steel demand remains strong and India's coal defi- cit continues to hold within it substantial exciting opportunities for growth and innovation. At this annual networking event, you can explore the new frontiers of India's rapidly expanding coal industry. A must-attend event for coal sellers, buyers and traders. Indian Solar Summit 2013 Venue: Mahatma Mandir Convention Centre, Gandhinagar, Gujarat Date: April 18-19 With the aim to accelerate the number of solar installations in the country to reach a target capacity of 20 GW by 2022, India has established itself as one of the most attractive renewable invest- ment markets in the world. In order to make this target a reality, India’s premier solar show – The Indian Solar Summit and Exhibi- tion – is back this year. Learn about the latest technologies and development opportunities which are shaping the Indian solar market. Renewable Energy World India 2013 Venue: Bombay Exhibition Centre, Goregaon, Mumbai Date: May 6-8 Renewable Energy World India 2013 shifts from New Delhi to India’s financial hub, Mumbai, where the event was last held in 2010. With this move, the high-level conference and exhibition aims to expand its coverage from the northern part of India, which has been its main focus, to include the west and south. Under the theme, Indian Power – Time to Deliver, the event brings together decision-makers and professionals from leading companies involved in renewable energy generation, transmission and distri- bution within India and around the world. Power-Gen India & Central Asia 2013 Venue: Pragati Maidan, New Delhi Clearly, oblivious to the 25,000 volts line in Date: May 9-11 Power-Gen India & Central Asia 2013 aims to showcase the latest the backdrop, a recluse prefers a quick nap technologies and solutions in the power and energy sector as well as gather industry leaders and professionals together on a single under the sun to the vagaries of the Indian platform. The show will provide immense opportunities for com- panies and industry experts to network, develop business rela- power sector. And why not? The government’s tions and establish future business prospects. Keep up-to-date with the latest developments in the industry. promises for the man on the street remain no more than a pipe dream. 10 Electricals Today | March 2013 06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 10 06-03-2013 12:22:11
  • 11. DIARY the big picture POWER NAP March 2013 | Electricals Today 11 06-11__ET_Mar13_News.indd 11 06-03-2013 12:23:48
  • 12. cover story E nergy demand in India is growing at a fast pace. Both domestic consumption and industrial con- sumption were at the upper curve of the growth trajectory in the 11th Plan period. This trend is expected to continue in the 12th Plan period as well. The average per capita electricity consumption in the country is pegged at 876 kwh, as opposed to that in China, which is close to 3000 kwh. According to the World Bank data, the consump- tion in India was 556 in 2008, 590 in 2009 and 616 in 2010 and climbing close to 800 kwh in 2012. It is imperative that the government takes the right steps to bridge the demand – supply gap, which is hovering at above 10 per cent. The power generators in the country, who are facing a number of issues, expected a budget that will go at least part of the way towards making the power sector financially viable. But Finance Minister P Chidambaram’s Budget 2013-2014 gave little cheer to the beleaguered sector. One market analyst put it succinctly. “The budget was neither populist nor reformist. It was actually feminist,” he said, reflect- ing the industry’s response to the budget. In contradiction to the expectation as the country heads into an election year, the budget was subtle with more concentration on women and children. BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS  Policy on blending the prices of domestic and imported coal to be introduced.  Proposal to executive coal mining projects in the Public Private Partnership (PPP) model through Coal India Limited to be floated.  5 LNG terminals at Dabhol plant to be cleared.  Shale gas exploration to be encouraged in the next fiscal.  Generation-based incentives to wind energy projects reintro- duced; Rs800 crore provided for the purpose to Ministry of New & Renewable Energy.  The tax holidays enjoyed under Section 80-IA extended for another year (till March 31, 2014).  State governments urged to participate in the scheme announced earlier for financial restructuring of discoms.  Power transmission system from Srinagar to Leh to be constructed at a cost of Rs1,840 crore (Rs226 crore will be disbursed in next fiscal).  Zero customs duty levied for electrical plants and machinery. MEDIUM-TERM SOLUTIONS The backbone of the economic 876 kwh infrastructure and energy sector, however, got a larger men- tion. The FM started with one of the major problems average per capita electricity consumption faced by the thermal power producers in the country: fuel supply constraint. “Coal imports, which crossed 100 million tonnes during April-Dec 12 Electricals Today | march 2013 12_16_ET_Feb13_Cover story_Budget.indd 12 06-03-2013 12:25:11
  • 13. budget powerless Despite the hype, Finance Minister P Chidambaram’s budget has little to offer the power sector. Is there any hope at all at the end of the long, dark tunnel? By LIZA V march 2013 | Electricals Today 13 12_16_ET_Feb13_Cover story_Budget.indd 13 06-03-2013 12:25:12
  • 14. cover story ‘Corrective measures not taken’ JG Kulkarni, president, IEEMA, says the budget does little for the key electrical equipments industry We were hoping for some corrective measures to revive the downturn in the domestic electrical equipment industry, which is reeling under the twin onslaught of the slowdown in the country’s power sector that has depressed domestic demand, and the rapidly escalating imports of electrical equipment. This has resulted into under-utilisation of the manufacturing capacity for electrical equipment. Given the need to accelerate the Rural Electrification Programme, the fall in Central Plan allocation for Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojana (RGGVY) from Rs4,900 crore to Rs4,500 crore is a matter of concern. Further, the revised estimate of Rs2,492 crore against the budget estimate for 2012-13 shows that funds provided were not fully utilised. The Restructured Accelerated Power Development and Reforms Programme (RAPDRP), which is primarily focussed on reduction of AT&C losses, has also seen a sharp decline in Central Plan allocation from Rs3,114 crore (BE 2012-13) to Rs575 crore given the gross under-utilisation of funds allocated last year. Only Rs1,500 crore were utilised out of the total allocation of Rs3,114 crore. The financial health of the discoms is a critical success factor for the viability of the electrical manufacturing sector. Although a sum of Rs1,500 crore has been allocated for debt-restructuring of discoms, till date, only a handful of states have evinced interest in the debt-restructuring plan the central government announced some months ago. However, the budget did include some measures that would certainly provide relief to this sector. These include: • Extension of the sunset date by one more year for the power sector for claiming 100 per cent deduction of profits under section 80 IA. • Generation-based incentives for wind energy. • Rs50,000 crore provision for tax free infrastructure bonds. • For the growth of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), the continuation of the benefits for three more years, despite their growing out of their respective category. • Impetus to investment in plant and machinery above Rs100 crore through investment allowance of 15 per cent to manufacturing companies. • Funding and other incentives for the ambitious target of skilling 50 million people in the 12th Plan. This will enhance availability of skilled labour and talent. While the intent of the budget is to accelerate the GDP growth in the 12th Plan, it will be constrained by an absence of matching impetus to the electrical equipment manufacturing sector in particular and in the value chain of power covering generation, transmission and distribution, on the whole. 14 Electricals Today | march 2013 12_16_ET_Feb13_Cover story_Budget.indd 14 06-03-2013 12:25:15
  • 15. budget 2012, are expected to go up to 185 million tonnes in 2016-17,” Chidambaram said. For relief in the medium term, he announced the introduction of a policy on blending imported coal and domestic coal. He said that the government was working out a public private part- nership (PPP) model for coal mining. Commercial coal mining is being considered as a possible solution to increase the output to meet the growing demand for coal from power producers. Another issue related to coal Coal is linkage, which may get sorted out, thanks to the railway budget, which earmarks Rs100 crore for coal linkage facility. Gautam Adani, chairman, Adani Group, pointed out, “The upward revision of import duty, from 1 per cent to over 4 per cent on steam coal imports will adversely impact the industry as it will lead to increase in the cost of power generation. This is The announcement to equalise a little amusing as the country has a huge deficit in coal and the government is trying to minimise cost by augmenting coal sup- custom and CVD for steam and ply through various initiatives for domestic production as well bituminous coal used in thermal as opting for price pooling of domestic and imported coal.” India Ratings, in its reaction on the budget announcement, power generation at 2 per cent each provides said, “While it may be a little premature to form a definitive assessment, the government's plans to encourage public - pri- clarity to claims that are raised otherwise by vate partnership projects along with the state-owned Coal India the customs department” should, prima-facie, be deemed positive if it helps accelerate and supplement domestic coal production, particularly to meet Anil Sardana, managing director, Tata Power the acute fuel scarcity facing power projects.” Anil Sardana, managing director, Tata Power, one of the country’s largest power producers, said, “We are thankful for the minister's announcement to equalise custom and CVD for steam LENDING TO THE SECTOR and bituminous coal used in thermal power generation at 2 per Cheaper loans and making lending to power projects priority cent each as this provides clarity to claims raised otherwise by have been long-pending demands of the country's power gen- the customs department.” erators. This time, the finance minister has relented. Says Sabyasachi Majumdar, senior vice-president, corporate sector ratings, ICRA Ltd, “The government has proposed a num- ber of measures for augmenting the availability of long-term funds at competitive rates. These include encouragement for creation of infrastructure debt funds (IDFs), fixation of limit for fund raising through tax-free bonds at Rs550 billion and credit enhancement mechanism through IIFCL.” The major cheer, however, was reserved for the wind sector with the re-introduction of Generation Based Incentive (GBI). Also, the tax holiday for wind projects under 80 IA has been extended for another year. In addition, the finance minister has announced an allocation of fund from the National Clean Energy Fund (NCEF) through IREDA with a life span of five years to make the renewable energy lending cheaper. Ramesh Kymal, chairman, Indian Wind Turbine Manufactur- The upward revision of import duty, from ers’ Association (IWTMA) and managing director, Gamesa India, 1% to over 4 % on steam coal imports said, “The re-introduction of GBI is a timely intervention for the wind industry, which was suffering for more than a year. This will adversely impact the industry as it would certainly rejuvenate and boost the sector with more investments. Reintroduction of GBI assumes greater significance will lead to increase in the cost of power.” as the industry has an ambitious plan of capacity addition in the current plan period. I am confident that the industry would Gautam Adani, chairman, Adani Group bounce back by 2014-15 and may be able to cross the set target of 5,000 MW capacity every year.” march 2013 | Electricals Today 15 12_16_ET_Feb13_Cover story_Budget.indd 15 06-03-2013 12:25:15
  • 16. COVER STORY cover story RUNNING FOR COVER? The power generators in the country, who are facing a number of issues, expected a budget that will go at least part of the way towards making power sector financially viable. But Chidambaram’s budget gave little cheer to the beleaguered sector. TOO LITTLE, TOO LATE The most vital segment of the power sector – the electrical industry – is unhappy with the budget. JG Kulkarni, president, Indian Electrical and Electronics Manufacturing Association (IEEMA), said, “We were hoping for some corrective measures to revive the downturn in the domestic electrical equipment indus- try which is reeling under the twin onslaught of the slowdown in the country’s power sector, which has depressed domestic demand, and the rapidly escalating imports of electrical equip- ment. This has resulted in under utilisation of the manufacturing capacity for electrical equipment.” Looking at the mammoth problems faced by the sector and recalling the near-total blackouts last year, experts says these measures seem like small drops in the ocean. There should be a way to end the policy paralysis in the power sector with an investor-friendly policy environment. But that may have to await the next government as UPA gears up for elections in 2014. The question for the power sector is: will it be too late by then? 16 Electricals Today | march 2013 12_16_ET_Feb13_Cover story_Budget.indd 16 06-03-2013 12:25:16
  • 17. DS_ADVT.indd 2 2/8/2013 2:28:33 PM
  • 18. Special report 18 Electricals Today | march 2013 18_24_ET_Mar13_Special Report_Competative Bidding.indd 18 06-03-2013 12:26:59
  • 19. distribution lights out! India’s peak hour demand-supply gap to widen to 22%. is there a way out? BY Liza V T he power situation is fast progressing from a ‘warning’ to a 'crisis' situation. While ‘Power for all’ is still a distant dream, the situation is fast becoming critical! Last year, during the summers, northern parts of the country faced a complete black out for 48 hours. The reason: Over-drawing by some utilities to meet demand owing to fuel supply issues. But the question that is staring us point blank right now is whether we are heading towards another crisis bigger with fast dwindling fuel supply. The ambitious plan of adding 75,000 MW to the grid in the 12th five year plan will remain a mirage, point out industry experts. For a country which added between 50,000- 60,000 MW in the 11th Plan period (2007-2012), 75,000 MW should be an easily attainable target. But that does not seem to be the case. Total installed capacity in the country stood at 2,11,766 MW with less than 1,000 MW addition from the December 2012 levels. Out of this, the contribution from the thermal sector is 738 MW. This too was achieved mainly because of the commis- sioning of one unit of 660 MW of the Mundra UMPP in January. During the 12th Plan period, according to the plan CEA document, the government plans to add a capacity of 72,330 MW from thermal power projects. But the plan is likely to hit a road-block with the fast changing fuel supply scenario, both domestic and internation. The Problem The investment in the power sector by private players is expected to reach over 50 per cent by 2017. In 2011, during the last phase of the 11th Plan period this was below 30 per cent. march 2013 | Electricals Today 19 18_24_ET_Mar13_Special Report_Competative Bidding.indd 19 06-03-2013 12:28:23
  • 20. Special report Total installed capacity as on 31-12-2012 The private sector came into the picture when they proved that they have the ability to complete projects in an efficiently and timely Fuel MW % manner. It was a smooth run both for the companies and the govern- Total Thermal 140976.18 66.82 ment till recently when the competitive bidding process started and Coal 120,873.38 57.29 projects were awarded. The scene took a U-turn when the fuel supply Gas 18,903.05 8.96 issue came to the fore with the rising prices of coal. Oil 1,199.75 0.56 Hydro (Renewable) 39,339.40 18.64 The beginning Nuclear 4,780.00 2.26 Under the competitive bidding Case I, the bids were awarded in two RES** (MNRE) 25,856.14 12.25 categories Total 2,10,951.72 100.00 i) Projects awarded with domestic coal supply guarantee by Coal Source: CEA India Limited (CIL) ii) On 100 per cent imported coal. Details of Captive Coal Block Allocation to Power Sector Under both categories large power projects were envisaged Utility Coal Blocks Geological and awarded. Reserves (MT) As a result of the changed coal price scenario, power generators CPSU 13 6893 bidding for projects which were awarded in the second category State Utilities 39 12717 (with 100 per cent imported coal), have appealed to the authorities UMPPs 7 2607 to revisit the inked PPAs. These companies, while bidding for the Private 32 6076 projects, assumed that the coal prices will remain at the lower price Total 91 28294 bracket in the long term. However, the situation changed dramati- Source: CEA cally with coal prices going up globally and the Indonesian govern- ment, followed by the other major coal exporting countries, announc- 20 Electricals Today | march 2013 18_24_ET_Mar13_Special Report_Competative Bidding.indd 20 06-03-2013 12:28:28
  • 21. distribution Higher fuel cost will transpire into decreased returns from power projects. This will result in generators defaulting in loan payments to lenders and the spiraling effect would result non-performing assets for the banks. Globalcoal New Castle index, the New Castle Export index and the Platts-1 index. This pushed up the coal price higher than what was indicated in the purchase contract. Some of the available calculation shows that in money terms, the effect of this will be an increase equivalent to 0.70 paise per unit of electricity generated using imported coal. Indonesia is not alone, Australia has imposed a pollution tax. The projects which were contracted under the competi- tive bidding process with 85 per cent domestic coal supply guarantee from the CIL and 15 per cent imported coal, are facing the real challenge because of the short fall in ing that the export prices will have to follow either an index or supply. Owing to different issues including the envi- a floor based on an index. Investors who assumed coal price at ronmental clearance and forest land, CIL is not $40-45 per tonne while bidding for power supply are now wit- able to meet demand. There is a marginal nessing the price shooting up to $100 a tonne. Those who have increase in CIL’s coal production, but contracted projects by acquiring mines abroad under captive the demand is much higher. consumption are also facing challenges with the international There are coal blocks 2,11,766 MW price. Many of the generators have bought coal mines either in awarded domesti- Australia, Indonesia and South Africa. Considering the proximity cally under the to the Indian coastline, majority of the companies went into captive use contracts with Indonesia for captive mining. The lower price in category. Total installed capacity in Indonesia was attractive for the domestic companies. The problems of green the country Companies like JSW Energy, Reliance ADAG, Adani Group, area/forest/ area markings Tata Group, Lanco have over the years acquired mines in has delayed mining by the private Indonesia. Over 50 per cent of the coal imports for the companies. In some cases the coal domestic power companies are from Indonesia. Indonesian blocks have been taken back because of companies have entered into agreement with the Indian the delay in mining. In short, projects which are companies to sell coal according to a price agreed between contracted either with domestic coal and international the two parties. This price was much lower than the coal coal are put into a situation where the signed PPAs are fall- indices which was being adopted by many countries for price ing flat. bench marking. Realising the loss of revenue, the Indonesian A higher fuel cost will transpire into decreased returns government has imposed a royalty on coal exports. For the from the projects. This may result in the generators delaying/ price calculation they have taken the average of four coal defaulting in loan payments. The spiraling effect would be indices, which include the Indonesian coal price index, the the non-performing-assets for the banks. march 2013 | Electricals Today 21 18_24_ET_Mar13_Special Report_Competative Bidding.indd 21 06-03-2013 12:28:32
  • 22. Special report PROJECTS AWARDED THROUGH TARIFF BASED COMPETITIVE BIDDING ROUTE What the industry wants ULTRA MEGA POWER PROJECTS(UMPPs) ( as on 1st July,2012) “In the current scenario, all PPAs will fall flat,” pointed out Ashok Name of the Project Name of the Date of LoI Levelised Khurana, Director General, Association of Power Producers. "The and capacity as per LoI Successful Bidder Tariff (Rs/KWH) earlier PPAs had a commitment of 85 per cent supply from CIL which came down to 70 per cent in the previous year and now MUNDRA (5x800 MW) M/s Tata Power Ltd 28.12.2006 2.264 (Gujarat) it is 60 per cent,” he points out. Bringing down the percentage SASAN (6x660 MW) (Gujarat) M/s Reliance Power Ltd 01.08.2007 1.196 of guaranteed coal by another 25 per cent is surely going to hit KRISHNAPATNAM(6x660 MW) M/s Reliance Power Ltd 30.11.2007 2.333 the profitability of the project. The government has to look at (Andhra Pradesh) the ground reality and find out a solution to resolve the prob- TILAIYA(6x660 MW) M/s Reliance Power Ltd 12.02.2009 1.770 lem at the earliest, Khurana said. (Jharkhand) Other industry experts are of the opinion that this is purely Source: CEA a contractual issue. However, the fear of not being able to pay back the loan is a harsh reality both for the generation utilities and the banks. A senior member of a state regulatory commis- can ramp up production tremendously,” pointed out Kamesh- sion, on condition of anonymity commented that “Change war Rao . There is no doubt that the companies are getting is possible if all the parties agree to it. Reopening PPAs is a affected. Third quarter results of Tata Power is a mirror to the possibility in long term contracts after 10 to 12 years, taking existing situation, he added. into consideration all the changed scenarios. However, in a According to Rao, the solution is not as easy. However, clarity competitive bidding scenario, the PPAs need to be verified.” The in coal pool pricing can address the issue to a large extent in the contracts which have been signed with fixed cost components short term. are the ones which are taking the most hit. “On the face of it, fuel appears the major villain here. The risk component in the Bailout PPAs may differ from case to case. So before jumping to conclu- The problems of fuel supply and utilities not being able to sion, the technical, commercial and legal aspects also required recover money is snowballing with each passing day. Some fear to be carefully examined,” he added. that this can grow to where the discoms financial conditions “The problems faced by the utilities are not unique. Globally are now. “Everyone fears the current situation,” says Rao. A pass- unanticipated developments have triggered similar situations through according to CERC guidelines which is viable with the for utilities. While, fuel is one issue, in Europe it was the change tariff mechanism could be a possible answer. in subsidies, while in other case it was a newer technology “Bailing out the generation utilities at this point is unfair. The which created issues,” said, Kameshwar Rao, executive direc- post-bid change may indicate that the companies which lost tor, PricewaterhouseCooper, a consultancy firm. “This is not a the bid may have been more competitive. The companies have dispute but a circumstance driven issue to look at a long term consciously decided to absorb the risk by bidding in this man- contract. Here the problem is big as fuel shortage or price ner. Firms which won the bid should have had back to back coal hike was not envisaged in the contract,” he added. supply agreement in place,” argued Shantanu Dixit of Prayas Energy Group, a Pune-based energy sector think tank. Fuel Supply The country has a peak demand deficit of over 9 per cent. The When the power producers slipped stake holders are trying to bring down the T& D losses to the 15 60% to acute fuel shortage last per cent levels. With many of the projects on hold, the question year, the Prime Minister’s which worries many is what will happen to the capacity addi- Office intervened tion plans? A power analyst from a leading financial lender is with the formula of quick to say that, “the second half of the current plan period will CIL's coal supply commitement Fuel Supply Agreement see a huge slip in capacity addition. The first half will add the or FSAs. On the face of it, the slippage from the last plan period, so it will be stable.” formula, appeared to be a surety Kameshwar Rao quantifies it when he says “There will be an card for fuel supply. The generation utili- off the cliff slip which will be between 7-8 per cent. The demand ties are of the opinion that the FSA hasn’t made supply gap will increase to 20-22 per cent by 2017 (end of the any change to the problems of fuel supply yet. current plan period). This will result in even cities ending up Now, the government has suggested coal pooling prices with 4-5 hours of power cuts a day.” to address the issue immediately. Experts believe that one should look at Case 2 bidding as “The fuel price pass through shouldn’t be seen as a profit fuel supply is the sole responsibility of the government and as making formula. It should be reviewed from case to case. The a generator, the role of the utility will be limited. In that case suggestion is to constitute an independent committee to look the price of power will be stable. In the short term, government into the problem,” said Khurana. should clarify how it is going to incorporate the price pooling “Further improvement in fuel (coal) supply can be possible. formula at the PPA level. Until and unless there is transparency Government may look at more investment in coal sector which in this, the solution will be as much an eye wash as the FSAs. 22 Electricals Today | march 2013 18_24_ET_Mar13_Special Report_Competative Bidding.indd 22 06-03-2013 12:28:32
  • 23. distribution 'The basic problem facing the sector today is fuel cost' Hemant Joshi, CFO, CLP India, on the urgency to resolve PPA related issues Interviewed by Liza V Could you please explain the problems faced by thermal In the recent past many private power generators projects currently? who have signed PPAs have approached different Fuel shortages, both coal and gas shortage is the major agencies highlighting the projects become unviable problem facing thermal projects now. The shortfall in supply in the changed scenario. Your comment of domestic coal and a large increase in price of imported Many of PPAs signed earlier either were relying on has resulted in such a scenario. Projects which were planned with procuring 100 per cent domestic coal or cheap international coal. 100 per cent domestic coal are facing the problem because Coal Since then domestic coal availability has decreased and interna- India Limited (CIL), the sole supplier of coal in India is unable to tionally, coal prices have increased. Further PPAs were signed in meet all the demand. Internationally, because of change in laws in two broad categories first, on fixed tariff basis where the fuel risk countries like Indonesia and also because of the demand supply in borne by the electricity producer and secondly with the fuel situation, coal prices have increased. The sudden changes in the price changes as a 100 per cent pass through. The ones which are prices are hitting the planned projects in a major way. signed with fixed tariff are facing a major problem as their cost of march 2013 | Electricals Today 23 18_24_ET_Mar13_Special Report_Competative Bidding.indd 23 06-03-2013 12:28:32
  • 24. Special report For many fixed tariff PPAs, this is an issue that needs to be addressed urgently as cash flow from such projects can no longer support debt payments. Many of these projects have been financed by public sector banks. Thus, a power sector problem has the potential of becoming a much larger financial sector problem." production is now sometimes higher than the quoted PPA tariff. sector problem will be quickly converted in to a banking sector For many fixed tariff PPAs, the issue needs to be addressed as problem. the cash flow from many such projects can no longer support the Given all this background, some sort of concessions can be debt payments. Many of these projects have been financed by considered. I think that the sector has learned some lessons and public sector banks. In such a scenario, a power sector problem we might not see that type of aggressive bidding done earlier. I has the potential of being converted in to a much larger financial also think that banks will be more cautious and only good proj- sector problem. Something similar can also happen with the ects will be able to raise money. large amount of public debts that are supporting the discom losses. Overall, lending to power sector projects will be extremely What is the kind of dip we anticipate in capacity addi- difficult for the banks tion in the current Five Year Plan considering we are in the first year of the Plan Period battling a huge crisis? Last year after the PMO intervention we saw FSAs Could you quantify the effect? being signed between the power producers and CIL. In The effect of the current problems will be felt in the second the current scenario, it is coal pooling which is being half of the Twelfth Plan Period. The projects which were started talked about. How effective will that be? at the end of the last Five year Plan will be the ones which will be The basic problem facing the sector today is fuel costs. coming on-stream in the near future. However, very few new coal Due to shortage in domestic coal and increase in price of inter- based projects are being taken up. The story is even worse for national coal, the cost of fuel has increased. These costs have to new gas projects as the availability of gas has dipped to alarming be allocated across the system which consists of IPP’s, state and levels. Hydro continues to be plagued by tremendous delays central generators, coal India and the discoms. Who will absorb whereas even wind additions have slowed down recently due this price gap is the question which needs to be addressed? Coal to regulatory uncertainty. Overall, I think that meeting Twelfth pooling is one solution in which the cost increase is uniformly Plan targets will be challenging unless the fuel issues are urgently spread across the system. But this is zero sum game in the sense resolved. that if cost for one particular set of people goes down, then someone else in the system is faced with the higher cost. The By the end of 12th Five Year Plan it was envisaged that question about who shares the cost in what proportion is very electricity will be in an affordable bracket with all the difficult and something the government needs to decide quickly capacity addition plans coming on stream. Do you and move forward. Given the nature of the problem, it is going to think cheaper electricity will be a reality? be very difficult to please everyone with any single solution. I think cheaper and affordable are two different things. On one hand, both coal and gas costs are going up. Depreciation If these PPAs are reopened and given a revision in in the value of rupee means that cost of imported fuel has also tariff, don’t you think it will be completely against the increased. Overall, we should consider cost of producing power to structure of competitive bidding? go up. On the other hand, the national income is also increasing What you are saying is essentially correct but a pragmatic and India’s middle class and the commercial and industrial users and timely solution needs to be found. Thousands of mega- can absorb the higher costs if they are assured of a reliable source watts of capacity are currently stranded as it is not viable under of electricity. This issue gets caught up in politics where the differ- the existing PPA’s. New capacity additions have slowed down ence between costs and affordability is often lost. As they say in and demand continues to grow. Further, if these problems are basic economics, if you don’t pay a fair price for a commodity, it will not corrected now, payment defaults can happen and a power be in short supply which in this case means blackouts. 24 Electricals Today | march 2013 18_24_ET_Mar13_Special Report_Competative Bidding.indd 24 06-03-2013 12:28:33
  • 25. transmission Plan for green corridors Creating large transmission projects to evacuate RE power is the need of the hour Sanjeev Aggarwal Managing Director, Amplus Infrastructure F rom the current installed renewable capacity of approx. potentially come up in Tamil Nadu or solar that can come up in Raj- 27,000 MW, 18,500 MW is contributed by wind and 1,250 asthan cannot be absorbed in those states; we need to provide a MW by solar. No mean achievement for a sector that has proper outlet for this capacity if we intend to use nature’s gift to us. consistently been at the margin of capacity addition in Creating large-scale transmission lines that can serve multiple India – renewable power was always considered as a states is one answer. We should be thankful to Powergrid that it has me-too in the larger context of thermal and hydro plants. already started working on this idea and has developed a detailed Last few years of volatile fuel prices and availability has pushed plan for intra-state and inter-state system strengthening, requiring the Indian power sector as well as the global market towards focus an investment of more than Rs42,000 crore. About Rs20,000 crore on wind and solar technologies. In the next 5 years, India expects would be for intra-state strengthening and Rs22,000 crore for inter- to add 30 GW of wind and 10 GW of solar, not an unrealistic target state grid integration. This would also include other work such as if one goes by global examples, and that gets coupled with the energy storage, real time monitoring system and setting up of a lack of alternate power capacities that can be planned in India in renewable energy management centre. this timeframe. However, financing of such a large amount is not the only chal- With wind power achieving ‘grid parity’ and solar achieving lenge that faces the industry today. Just like other infrastructure, it ‘socket-parity’ vis a vis the alternatives that the consumers have, it is is the implementation challenges on land, right of way, and forest likely that large investments will continue to flow in these segments. clearances that can significantly delay the projects. This is where the problems arise for wind and solar power. They perform best in certain areas and for optimal capital utilisation; we ought to plan it that way. Renewable energy facilities where fuel is costless, operating costs Powergrid has already begun are typically lower than fossil generation facilities, but the capital system strengthening proejcts cost, including transmission line cost, are often a significant com- ponent of total project costs. Because renewable energy resources worth Rs42,000 crore. are often located in remote locations, greater reliance on renewable electricity generation will also result in a geographic shift in the location of generation capacity, and in turn have repercussions for the new transmission investments required to address transmission Any large scale transmission projects will take 2 to 4 years to be congestion. As a result, adequate existing transmission access is also implemented while wind and solar projects are delivered in 3 to 9 likely to be a driver of early large-scale, grid-connected renewable months of starting work. This creates a mismatch in our expecta- energy development. tions and what can be actually delivered on the ground. If we really There have been reports in the last couple of years about plants want to push our renewable programme, we have to create larger facing evacuation constraints in specific areas of the country. This transmission capacities that can provide sufficient evacuation. We is obvious considering that so much capacity comes on line during do not want to create infrastructure investments that do not deliver specific times of the year and can create problems for grid stability. the results we expect because of avoidable bottlenecks. Not after As examples, it is becoming obvious that wind capacity that can what is happening to gas and coal projects in the coutry! march 2013 | Electricals Today 25 25_ET_Mar13_Sanjeev Agarwal.indd 25 06-03-2013 12:32:32
  • 26. Analysis 26 Electricals Today | march 2013 26_29_ET_Mar13_Tata Power.indd 26 06-03-2013 12:34:39