Resilience
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Resilience

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Presentation to the Tillamook Futures Council on 4/19/2011. This is a draft document and contains copywrited material. Not for dissemination or use without expressed permission.

Presentation to the Tillamook Futures Council on 4/19/2011. This is a draft document and contains copywrited material. Not for dissemination or use without expressed permission.

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Resilience Resilience Presentation Transcript

  • A Discussion ofCommunity Resilience
    What is it? How do we assess it? Does it relate to sustainability?
    Robert EmanuelOregon Sea Grant Extension
  • So, what do we mean by community resilience?
  • State, Capacity & Change
    “We define resilience, formally, as the capacityof a system to absorb disturbance and reorganize while undergoing change so as to still retain essentially the same function, structure and feedbacks - and therefore the same identity.” --Walker et al. 2004
  • Blue Ball = “State”
    Basins = “Attractors”
    Basins + Ball = “Regime”
  • Downtown District
    Watershed
    Local Economy
    Agricultural Cooperative
    Wasteshed
    Forest
    Pasture
    Health Care Providers Network
    School District
    Local Timber Industry
    Fishery
    Local Government
    Transportation system
    Energy Grid
  • Tree growth rates
    Climate
    Demographics
    Slow moving variables
    Economic patterns
    Credit shifts
    Land ownership
    Biological Invasions
    Fast moving variables
    Forest Fires
    Diseases
    Weather
    Loss of a leader
    Market changes
    War
    Bankruptcy
    Thresholds or tipping points
    Natural Disasters
    Election
    Input Prices
  • Stored
    Released
  • Resilience Assessment is:
    Which basin are we in?
    Where in that basin?
    How to navigate the basin?
    Can we control the shape of the basin?
    Can we transform to a new state if necessary?
  • Assessing Resilience
    Identify a system
    Describe desirable & undesirable states
    Identify fast variables in system
    Identify slow variables in system
    Identify the thresholds in system
    Identify vulnerabilities to change
    Can we reduce or avoid these?
  • Sustainability meets Resilience
    Resilience
    Sustainability
  • Sustainability Community Basics
    Sustainable Energy Use*
    Sustainable Transportation*
    Sustainable Infrastructure**
    Sustainable Economics*
    Sustainable Natural Resources*
    Sustainable Solid Waste Management*
  • Tillamook CountyCommunity Sustainability & Resilience Action Plan
    Strategic Vision
    Community Vitality
    Community Resilience
    & Community Sustainability
  • Overlap Examples
    Conservation of natural resources
    Local sourcing of resources
    Appropriate, well-placed development
    Multiple modes of transportation
    Estuarine health
    Local energy sources
    Well planned infrastructure
    Inclusive, transparent governance
    Sustainable businesses
    Clear Floodplain Planning
    Good Communications Networks
    Strong local food systems
    Strong social capital
  • “Happiness is not the absence of problems but the ability to deal with them.” H. Jackson Brown, Jr.
  • Resources
    Resilience Alliance
    www.resalliance.org/index.php
    NOAA Coastal Services—Hazards & Climate Adaptation
    www.csc.noaa.gov/climate/
    How Resilient is your coastal community?
    www.csc.noaa.gov/psc/riskmgmt/resilience.html