P A G A S A N D C C June2310

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  • NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL CONDITIONS IS LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE IN THE ENTIRE COUNTRY ABOVE IN western portions of Luzon,iloilo, guimaras, negros, cebu in Visayas, Zamboanga, davao, basilan, sulu in Mindanao

Transcript

  • 1. PAGASA - DOST
  • 2.  
  • 3. Rainfall Forecast for Wednesday, 23 June 2010
  • 4. Rainfall Forecast for Monday, 28 June 2010
  • 5. RECENT CLIMATE CONDITIONS
    • El Niño dissipated during early May.
    • On-going transition towards La Niña
    • La Niña expected to fully developed by September 2010
  • 6. Global Advisories TABLE - IRI Probabilistic ENSO Forecast for NINO3.4 Region - Made in June 2010 Season La Niña Neutral El Niño JJA 2010 58% 41% 1% JAS 2010 61% 38% 1% ASO 2010 62% 37% 1% SON 2010 62% 37% 1% OND 2010 62% 37% 1% NDJ 2011 62% 37% 1% DJF 2011 62% 37% 1% JFM 2011 61% 38% 1% FMA 2011 58% 41% 1%
  • 7. June 1-22, 2010 Actual (mm) % Normal Normal (mm) (1971-2000) Actual Rainfall
  • 8. Normal (mm) (1971-2000) Forecast July 2010
  • 9. Normal (mm) (1971-2000) Forecast August 2010
  • 10. Normal (mm) (1971-2000) Forecast September 2010
  • 11. Normal (mm) (1971-2000) FORECAST OCTOBER 2010
  • 12. Tropical Cyclone Forecast July-September (2010)
  • 13. Weather Systems that may affect the country from June-September 2010
    • Southwest Monsoon
    • Monsoon trough
    • Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)
    • Tropical cyclone
    • Ridge of High Pressure Area
  • 14. Presidential Proclamation No. 1535 Typhoon and Flood Awareness Week Every 3d week of June each year
    • 21-27 June 2010
    • Kick-off launching ceremony - MM Barangay officials, SMART, Jollibee, Phil. Science Journalists Association, Typhoon Committee Foundation, Inc - Series of IEC - Media Seminar on Meteorological hazards in Baler, Aurora
  • 15.
    • No TC development until end of June 2010
    • Below normal rainfall for June 2010 in many areas in the country
    • La Nina condition expected September 2010 until the 1 st Quarter of 2011
  • 16. Thank you “ tracking the sky . . . helping the country”