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    Pcy coal presentation_2012 Pcy coal presentation_2012 Presentation Transcript

    • Representation of 600 MW Chandgana power plant
    • DisclaimerThe information contained in this presentation (“Presentation”) has been prepared by Prophecy Resources Corp. (“Company”) and is being communicated for general background informational purposes only. ThePresentation has not been independently verified and the information contained within is subject to updating, completion, revision, verification and further amendment. Neither the Company, nor its shareholders, directors,officers, agents, employees, or advisors give, has given or has authority to give, any representations or warranties (express or implied) as to, or in relation to, the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the information inthis Presentation, or any revision thereof, or of any other written or oral information made or to be made available to any interested party or its advisers (all such information being referred to as “Information”) and liabilitytherefore is expressly disclaimed. Information contained in this Presentation is the property of the Company. It is made available strictly for the purposes referred to above. Neither the communication of this Presentationnor any part of its contents is to be taken as any form of commitment on the part of the Company to proceed with any transaction. This Presentation does not constitute, or form part of, any offer or invitation to sell or issue,or any solicitation of any offer to subscribe for or purchase any securities in the Company, nor shall it, or the fact of its communication, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, or act as any inducement toenter into, any contract or commitment whatsoever with respect to such securities. The communication of this Presentation in or to persons in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons who may rceivecommunication of this Presentation should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions in advance of communication to them of this Presentation. In particular, this Presentation has not been approved byan authorised person pursuant to Section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (“FSMA”) and accordingly it is being delivered in the United Kingdom only to persons to whom this Presentation may bedelivered without contravening the financial promotion prohibition in Section 21 of the FSMA. Those persons are described in the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (“Order”)and include persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments and who fall within the category of person set out in Article 19 (investment professionals) of the Order. In addition, other than alimited number of persons reasonably believed to be qualified institutional buyers (as defined in Rule 144A under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended) or accredited investors (as defined in the National Instrument45/106), neither this Presentation nor any copy of its may be transmitted into the United States of America or Canada or distributed directly or indirectly, in the United States of America or Canada, or to any resident thereofexcept in compliance with the applicable securities laws. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable US or Canadian securities laws. By accepting communication of thisPresentation, the recipient represents and warrants that it is a person to whom this Presentation may be communicated without a violation of the laws of any relevant jurisdiction. This Presentation is not to becommunicated to any other person or used for any other purpose and any other person who receives communication of this Presentation should not rely or act upon it. In furnishing this Presentation, the Company doesnot undertake or agree to any obligation to provide the attendee with access to any additional information or to update this Presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in, or omissions from, this Presentation that maybecome apparent either during, or at any time after this Presentation. This Presentation contains or incorporates by reference “forward-looking information” which means disclosure regarding possible events, conditions,acquisitions, or results of operations that is based on assumptions about future conditions and courses of action and includes future oriented financial information with respect to prospective results of operations, financialposition or cash flows that is presented either as a forecast or a projection, and also includes, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the future financial and operating performance of the Company any of itssubsidiaries and other considerations as set out in more detail in the documents filed by the Company with the Toronto Stock Exchange. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use ofwords such as “plans”, “proposes”, “expects”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates”, or “believes” or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases, orstate that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which maycause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company and/or its current and proposed subsidiaries to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied bythe forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements contained herein are made as of the date of this Presentation and the Company disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether asa result of new information, future events or results or otherwise. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein. In addition, investors arecautioned that this presentation may contain information about mineral properties adjacent to or near the Company’s properties and in which the Company has no right or interest. Mineral deposits on such adjacent or nearproperties are not indicative of the mineral deposits, if any, which may be found on the Company’s properties. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. Neither the TSXnor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release. Certain statements contained in this Presentation, includingstatements which may contain words such as "expects", "anticipates", "intends", "plans", "believes", "estimates", or similar expressions, and statements related to matters which are not historical facts, are forward-lookinginformation within the meaning of securities laws. Such forward-looking statements, which reflect management’s expectations regarding Prophecy’s future growth, results of operations, performance, business prospectsand opportunities are based on certain factors and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results, performance, or achievements of the Company to be materiallydifferent from any future results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements in this Presentation include, without limitation, statements regardingthe development and production of the Company’s Chandgana Power Plant and other information concerning possible or assumed future results of operations of Prophecy. Material risks and uncertainties which couldcause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, exploration, development and production risks, risks related to the Company not having a history of mineralproduction, risks related to the development of the Chandgana Power Plant, risks related to the uncertainty of mineral resource and mineral reserve estimates, the cyclical nature of the mining industry, risks related to theavailability of capital and financing on acceptable terms, commodity price fluctuations, currency exchange rate and interest rate risks, risks associated with operating in foreign jurisdictions, uninsured risks, regulatorychanges, defects in title, availability of personnel, materials and equipment on a timely basis, accidents or equipment breakdowns, delays in receiving government approvals, and unanticipated environmental impacts onoperations and costs to remedy same. Assumptions underlying our expectations regarding forward-looking statements or information contained in this Presentation include, among others, that all required third partycontractual, regulatory and governmental approvals will be obtained for the development, construction and production of the Company’s properties, there being no significant disruptions affecting operations, whether due tolabour disruptions, currency exchange rates being approximately consistent with current levels, certain price assumptions for coal, prices for and availability of diesel, parts and equipment and other key supplies remainingconsistent with current levels, production forecasts meeting expectations, the accuracy of the Company’s current mineral resource and reserve estimates, labour and materials costs increasing on a basis consistent withthe Company’s current expectations and that any additional required financing will be available on reasonable terms. Although Prophecy has attempted to identify important risks and factors that could cause actual actions,events or results to differ materially from those described in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors and risks that cause actions, events or results not anticipated, estimated or intended. Accordingly, readersshould not place any undue reliance on forward-looking statements as such information may not be appropriate for other purposes. We disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward lookingstatements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law. Last updated January 02/02/ 2012 2
    • • Leading energy play, focus on developing energy solutions for Mongolia • 1.4* billion tonnes of coal in two distinct properties in Mongolia • Ulaan Ovoo ($30million+ invested): Largest independent coal supplier to Mongolia • Chandgana ($10million+ invested): 600MW Mine Mouth Power plant fully permitted, 1st of its kind in Mongolia • Strategic locations to supply power to neighboring China and Russia • As of Feb 19th, 2012, 90% of Prophecy Coal’s market cap is attributed to its equity share position in Prophecy Platinum Corp (TSX.V: NKL)*Ulaan Ovoo: 174 million tonnes of measured and 34 million tonnes of indicated coal. Ulaan Ovoo’s resource numbers are from the Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc report referenced in the Dec 2010, 43-101 Prefeasibility Study by Wardrop Engineering. Chandgana consists of twoproperties-Chandgana Tal and Chandgana Khavtgai. Chandgana Tal consists of 141 mt of measured resource. Chandgana Khavtgai consists of 509 mt measured and 539 mt indicated resource. Chandgana Khavtgai’s resource estimates are based on the September 2010 NI 43-101 ChandganaKhavtgai Technical Report by Kravits Geological Services, LLC. The report is authored by Christopher M. Kravits CPG, LPG of Kravits Geological Services, LLC., who is an independent Qualified Person under NI 43-101. And the Chandgana Tal resource estimate is also based on the September2007 NI 43-101 Chandgana Tal Technical Report by Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc..The report is authored by Mr. Gardar G. Dahl, Jr., CPG of Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc., who is an independent Qualified Person under NI 43-101. **As of 14/01/12 3
    • Shares 202 Million (basic); 237 million (diluted)Market ~100 million CDN*CapitalizationOwnership 50% Retail, 30% Institutional, 20% Management & Directors $92 million in Prophecy Platinum (TSX.V-NKL) 22.5mInvestment shares, Victory Nickel 36.6m shares, Compliance EnergyPortfolio 5m shares Canadian Office: Vancouver, BC CanadaLocations Mongolian Office: Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia *As of 02/19/12 4
    • John Lee, CFA – Chairman / CEO • Founder of Prophecy Coal Corp. and Prophecy Platinum Corp.Paul Venter – VP Energy Operations & Director • 30 years of experience with BHP and Eskom in the mining, power generating, and transport industryRonnie Van Eeden – VP Mining Operations & Country Manager - Mongolia • 34 years of experience in coal mining and related industries including holding senior Eskom management positionsJivko Savov - Director • Deputy CEO of En+, company owned by Oleg Derispeska • Former Chairman of Rusal, Chairman of EuroSibEnergChuluunbaatar Baz - Director • President of Monnis, with 1,000+ employees, top 10 company in MongoliaMichael Deats - Director • Former Managing Director of BP Coal South Africa, Ex-Director of Eskom 5
    • 6
    • Mongolia is currently importing power fromUlaan Ovoo Russia at a rate of $0.08 per kw/h Chandgana PROXIMITY TO CHINA: - CHINA: 350 KM - BEIJING: 1,000 KM Central Energy system (CES) Eastern Energy system (EES) 7 New transmission lines
    • FAST GROWTH = RISING ENERGY DEMAND• GDP growth 2011: 17%• Compounded GDP growth since 2000: 123%• Power supply capacity in 2000: ~750MW• Power supply capacity in 2011: ~750MW• Largest coal supplier to China in 2011 (30MT), elapsed Australia• Tavan Tolgoi coking coal triple production by 2015 to 13MT/yr• Oyu Tolgoi Cu-Au scheduled production in 2013, could boost GDP by 30% *source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012‐01‐05/mongolia‐s‐renewables‐belittle‐world‐s‐nuclear‐supply.html 8
    • Central Tower, UB Oyu Tolgoi, Mongolia Blue Sky Tower, UB ShangriLa Hotel, UB Tavan Tolgoi, Mongolia 9
    • Ulaanbaatar• “Second most air polluted city in the world” - World Health Organization (WHO)• Population quadrupled since 2000 (1.7 million)• GDP per capita in 2011 USD$3,173• Antiquated and poorly maintained power Ulaanbaatar infrastructure• Power and Coal shortage (3 day stock pile currently) Source: The World Bank (Dec 2009). Mongolia: Air Pollution in Ulaanbaatar – Initial Assessment of Current Situation and Effects of Abatement Measures. World Health Organization-Global Health Observatory Data Repository-‘Annual 10 mean concentration of PM10 in cities’
    • Power Supply / Demand and GDP Growth Forecast 1600 $16 Demand 1400 $14 1200 $12 744 MW GDP, US$bn Deficit 1000 $10MW 800 $8 600 $6 Supply 400 $4 Russia Russia EES EES 200 $2 CES CES 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CES – Central Energy System 11 Source: Energy International Corporation, Eurasia Capital’s Mongolia Outlook Report EES – Eastern Energy System
    • 12Representation of 600 MW Chandgana power plant
    • Mongolia is currently importing power fromUlaan Ovoo Russia at a rate of $0.08 per kw/h Chandgana PROXIMITY TO CHINA: - CHINA: 350 KM - BEIJING: 1,000 KM Central Energy system (CES) Eastern Energy system (EES) 13 New transmission lines
    • Chandgana deposit & power plant site 100% Owned Resource: 1.2 Billion Tonnes* (M&I) Thermal Coal All Construction Permits Granted 0.5:1 Strip Ratio* Surface Mining License Granted Power plant conceptual rendering Mine-Mouth Power Plant Licensed Feasibility Study Complete 150km From Grid*Chandgana consists of two properties-Chandgana Tal and Chandgana Khavtgai. Chandgana Tal consists of 141 mt of measured resource. Chandgana Khavtgai consists of 509 mt measured and 539 mt indicated resource. Chandgana Khavtgai’s resource estimates are basedon the September 2010 NI 43-101 Chandgana Khavtgai Technical Report by Kravits Geological Services, LLC. The report is authored by Christopher M. Kravits CPG, LPG of Kravits Geological Services, LLC., who is an independent Qualified Person under NI 43-101. And theChandgana Tal resource estimate is also based on the September 2007 NI 43-101 Chandgana Tal Technical Report by Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc..The report is authored by Mr. Gardar G. Dahl, Jr., CPG of Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc., who is anindependent Qualified Person under NI 43-101.. Chandgana Tal has a strip ratio of 0.5:1 and Chandgana Khavtgai has a strip ratio of 2.2:1. 14
    • Chandgana Khavtgai• Mining License Obtained for 140MT Chandgana Tal• 0.68% sulphur / 12.5% ash• < 2 km from paved roads Chandgana Tal• < 150 km from power grid• 100km2 Prospective Claims Coal 20m Clay 40m Coal 15
    • - Helping to meet Mongolia’s Power Needs - 150km to grid 2 km 350km to ChinaChandgana Power Plant Power Coal Transmission Proposed Installed capacity: Phase I: 600 MW (connect to CES, EES of Mongolia) Phase II: 3600 MW (connect to China) Central Energy system (CES) Eastern Energy system (EES) 16
    • TPP & Lines $744 Million NPV / IRR $364.7 Million / 21.9%CapexPlant Capacity 4 x 150MW Debt / Equity 70 / 30Coal Output 2.7 Mt p.a. Interest rate / 10% / 12% Discount RateElectricity Tariff $0.06 /kwh Project life /Coal Pricing $15.5 /t 30 year / 10 year Loan TermOpex + Debt IRR Sensitivity / + 6% IRR / $0.023 + $0.025 /kwhPayment Tariff + 0.01 /kwh * FS January 2011 by Steag Germany - Power Plant only, not NI 43-101 17
    • * FS January 2011 by Steag Germany - Power Plant only, not NI 43-101 18
    •  Initial 600MW capacity will be dedicated toward domestic consumption. Proposed output increase to 3600MW would enable Mongolia to export power directly into China via existing Ultra High Voltage Lines. Source: SSE, sxcoal, McQuarie Research 19
    • Total Electricity Consumption 6000 5000 4000 Billion kWh 3000 2000 1000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012E Source: China Electricity Council 20
    • 14,000Electric power consumption 12,000 (kWh per capita) 10,000 Mongolia 8,000 China 6,000 India Japan 4,000 USA 2,000 - 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: International Energy Agency (IEA Statistics © OECD/IEA, http://www.iea.org/stats/index.asp), Energy Statistics  and Balances of Non‐OECD Countries and Energy Statistics of OECD Countries. 21
    • Chandgana: Estimated time line • TSX main board listing (Q4 2011) • Power plant license (Q4 2011) • Feasibility study (Q4 2011) • Conclude PPA* (Q2 2012) • Award EPC** Contract (Q2 2012) • Project financing (Q4 2012) • Start construction (2013) • Power on (Q4 2015) Scale model of Chandgana power plant *PPA – Power Purchase Agreement **EPC – Engineering, Procurement & Construction 22
    • Power Plant CommenceLicense Granted Construction 600MW phase 1 Conclude PPA* Power on Award EPC** power on Contract PhaseQ4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 II Export to2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 China Conclude Project FinancingFeasibility Study *PPA – Power Purchase Agreement Released **EPC – Engineering, Procurement & Construction All construction licenses received 23
    • 24
    • 100% Owned – Status: CommissionedResource: 209 million tonnes* (M&I)thermal coal – 20+ year mine life**1.8: 1 Strip Ratio - Surface Mining May 2011Production:2011: 200,000 tonnes2012: 300,000-500,000 tonnes (est.)Markets: Mongolia, Russia$30million invested (mine + equipment) July 2010 *Coal resources of 174 million tonnes measured and 34 million tonnes indicated from the NI 43-101 Behre Dolbear report prepared in 2007. 25 **Information based on Dec. 2010, 43-101 Prefeasibility Study by Wardrop Engineering.
    • Abundant High Quality Thermal Coal • (ar) Min. 5,000 kcal/kg GCV* • Max. 1% sulfur / 11.3% ash**Low Cost Mining • Single seam – 50m thickness • 1.8:1 strip ratioEquipment Received in April 2011 • Two sets CAT mining fleets: 500kt/annum • 18 SCANIA coal haul trucks * ar – as received / GCV – gross calorific value **Information based on Dec. 2010, 43-101 Prefeasibility Study by Wardrop Engineering. 26
    • Location Advantage: Ulaan to Russia: 15kmUlaan Ovoo Chandgana to China: 350km Chandgana to Beijing: 1,000km Chandgana Central Energy system (CES) Eastern Energy system (EES) 27 New transmission lines
    • • Leading energy play, focus on developing energy solutions for Mongolia • 1.4* billion tonnes of coal in two distinct properties in Mongolia • Ulaan Ovoo ($30million+ invested): Largest independent coal supplier to Mongolia • Chandgana ($10million+ invested): 600MW Mine Mouth Power plant fully permitted, 1st of its kind in Mongolia • Strategic locations to supply power to neighboring China and Russia • As of Feb 19th, 2012, 90% of Prophecy Coal’s market cap is attributed to its equity share position in Prophecy Platinum Corp (TSX.V: NKL)*Ulaan Ovoo: 174 million tonnes of measured and 34 million tonnes of indicated coal. Ulaan Ovoo’s resource numbers are from the Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc report referenced in the Dec 2010, 43-101 Prefeasibility Study by Wardrop Engineering. Chandgana consists of twoproperties-Chandgana Tal and Chandgana Khavtgai. Chandgana Tal consists of 141 mt of measured resource. Chandgana Khavtgai consists of 509 mt measured and 539 mt indicated resource. Chandgana Khavtgai’s resource estimates are based on the September 2010 NI 43-101 ChandganaKhavtgai Technical Report by Kravits Geological Services, LLC. The report is authored by Christopher M. Kravits CPG, LPG of Kravits Geological Services, LLC., who is an independent Qualified Person under NI 43-101. And the Chandgana Tal resource estimate is also based on the September2007 NI 43-101 Chandgana Tal Technical Report by Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc..The report is authored by Mr. Gardar G. Dahl, Jr., CPG of Behre Dolbear & Company (USA), Inc., who is an independent Qualified Person under NI 43-101. **As of 14/01/12 28
    • CANADIAN OFFICE MONGOLIAN OFFICE342 Water Street – 2nd Floor 8/F Monnis Tower, ChinggisVancouver, BC Ave.Canada V6B 1B6 1st Khoroo, Sukhbaatar DistrictPhone: 604-569-3661 Ulaanbaatar, MongoliaFax: 604-569-3617 Tel: +976.11.331669Toll Free: 1-800-459-5583 Fax: +976.11.312721info@prophecycoal.com info@prophecycoal.com 29
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